2018 IAAE International Association for Applied Econometrics Conference

Montreal, Canada

 
June 26, 2018
 
09:00 to 18:00Registration
 
 
11:00 to 12:00IAAE Lecture: Janet Currie
 
 
12:00 to 13:30Lunch
 
 
13:30 to 15:00Parallel sessions 1
 
 
15:00 to 15:30Break
 
 
15:30 to 17:00Parallel sessions 2
 
 
17:15 to 18:15Plenary lecture: Serena Ng
 
 
18:15 to 20:00Welcome reception
 
 
 
June 27, 2018
 
08:00 to 18:00Registration
 
 
09:00 to 10:00Plenary lecture: Frank Schorfheide
 
 
10:00 to 10:30Break
 
 
10:30 to 12:30Parallel sessions 3
 
 
12:30 to 14:00Lunch
 
 
14:00 to 16:00Parallel sessions 4
 
 
16:00 to 16:30Break
 
 
16:30 to 17:30Plenary lecture: Alfred Galichon
 
 
17:30 to 18:30IAAE members meeting
 
 
18:45 to 22:00Conference dinner
 
 
 
June 28, 2018
 
08:00 to 17:00Registration
 
 
09:00 to 10:00Plenary lecture: Guido Imbens
 
 
10:00 to 10:30Break
 
 
10:30 to 12:30Parallel sessions 5
 
 
12:30 to 14:00Lunch
 
 
14:00 to 16:00Parallel sessions 6
 
 
16:00 to 16:30Break
 
 
16:30 to 17:30Plenary lecture: Alan Timmermann
 
 
18:00 to 21:00Cocktail, Galerie MX
 
 
 
June 29, 2018
 
09:00 to 10:00Plenary lecture: Tim Conley
 
 
10:00 to 10:30Break
 
 
10:30 to 12:30Parallel sessions 7
 
 

 

Program Notes and Index of Sessions

IAAE Lecture: Janet Currie
June 26, 2018 11:00 to 12:00
 
IAAE Lecture: Janet Currie

Parallel sessions 1
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
News and Sentiments I
Macro-Finance I
Financial econometrics I
Empirical Finance I
Macroeconometrics I
Forecasting financial markets
Regulation
Time Series and Panel Data Applications
Measurement error and treatment effects
Education I
Environment I
Online Markets
Spatial Panel Data

Parallel sessions 2
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Housing and the macroeconomy
Forecast combination and evaluation I
Energy and commodities
Forecasting inflation
Empirical Finance II
Time Series Models I
Peer Effects
Distributions and Quantiles
Spatial Econometrics I
Industrial Organizations I
Immigration
Games
Household Finances I

Plenary lecture: Serena Ng
June 26, 2018 17:15 to 18:15
 
Plenary lecture: Serena Ng

Plenary lecture: Frank Schorfheide
June 27, 2018 09:00 to 10:00
 
Plenary lecture: Frank Schorfheide

Parallel sessions 3
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Inflation dynamics I
Volatility Modelling I
Unconventional monetary policy
Uncertainty in Macroeconomics I
Business Cycle Fluctuations I
Big data
Financial econometrics II
Macro-Finance II
DSGE models
Interest rate dynamics
Econometric Theory
Clustered Inference
Minimum Wage
Health Economics I
Environment II
Household Finances II
Structural Models

Parallel sessions 4
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Nonlinearities in macroeconomic dynamics
Central bank forecasting
Empirical Finance III
Factor models I
Monetary Policy Rules
Heterogeneity in macroeconomics
Time Series Models II
Macroeconomics and asset prices
Volatility modeling II
Identification in SVARs I
Treatment Effects I
Network Models
Housing Markets
Model Uncertainty
Education II
Industrial Organizations II
Labor Markets I

Break
June 27, 2018 16:00 to 16:30

Plenary lecture: Alfred Galichon
June 27, 2018 16:30 to 17:30
 
Plenary lecture: Alfred Galichon

Plenary lecture: Guido Imbens
June 28, 2018 09:00 to 10:00
 
Plenary lecture: Guido Imbens

Parallel sessions 5
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Time variation in macroeconomic dynamics
Identification in SVARs II
Oil prices
Volatility modeling III
Macro-Finance III
Forecast combination and evaluation II
Fiscal policy
Survey Forecasts and Expectation Formation I
Financial econometrics III
Monetary Policy I
Regression discontinuity
Discrete Choice
Treatment Effects II
Health Economics II
Sample Selection
Trade
Teachers and Schools
Development

Parallel sessions 6
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
(Structural) VARs
Labor markets and the macroeconomy
Nowcasting
Forecasting business cycles
News and Sentiments II
Uncertainty in Macroeconomics II
Monetary Policy II
The effect of fiscal shocks
Time Series Models III
Empirical Finance IV
Spatial Econometrics II
Weak Identification
Panel Data
Applications of Machine Learning
Education III
Labor Markets II
Inequality

Plenary lecture: Alan Timmermann
June 28, 2018 16:30 to 17:30
 
Plenary lecture: Alan Timmermann

Plenary lecture: Tim Conley
June 29, 2018 09:00 to 10:00
 
Plenary Lecture: Tim Conley

Parallel sessions 7
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Macro-Finance IV
Factor Models II
Exchange rates
Inflation dynamics II
Uncertainty in Macroeconomics III
Survey Forecasts and Expectation Formation II
Volatility modeling IV
Time Series Models IV
Business Cycle Fluctuations II
Prediction with high dimensional data
Treatment Effects III
Return predictability
Health Economics III
Dynamics of Prices and Returns
Economic and Financial Networks

 

Summary of All Sessions

Click here for an index of all participants

#Date/TimeLocationTitlePapersOrganizer
1June 26, 2018
11:00-12:00
N/A IAAE Lecture: Janet Currie0
2June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A News and Sentiments I4Francesco Bianchi
3June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Macro-Finance I4
4June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Empirical Finance I4
5June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Financial econometrics I3
6June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Forecasting financial markets3
7June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Macroeconometrics I4
8June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Regulation3
9June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Measurement error and treatment effects4
10June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Time Series and Panel Data Applications4
11June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Education I3
12June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Environment I3
13June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Online Markets4
14June 26, 2018
13:30-15:00
N/A Spatial Panel Data4
15June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Housing and the macroeconomy3
16June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Forecast combination and evaluation I3
17June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Energy and commodities3
18June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Forecasting inflation3
19June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Empirical Finance II3
20June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Time Series Models I3Raffaella Giacomini
21June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Peer Effects3
22June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Distributions and Quantiles3
23June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Spatial Econometrics I3
24June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Industrial Organizations I3
25June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Immigration3
26June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Games3
27June 26, 2018
15:30-17:00
N/A Household Finances I3
28June 26, 2018
17:15-18:15
N/A Plenary lecture: Serena Ng0
29June 27, 2018
9:00-10:00
N/A Plenary lecture: Frank Schorfheide0
30June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Inflation dynamics I4Todd Clark
31June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Volatility Modelling I3Raffaella Giacomini
32June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Uncertainty in Macroeconomics I4
33June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Unconventional monetary policy4
34June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Business Cycle Fluctuations I4Francesco Bianchi
35June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Big data4
36June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Financial econometrics II4
37June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Macro-Finance II4Francesco Bianchi
38June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A DSGE models4
39June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Interest rate dynamics4
40June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Econometric Theory4
41June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Clustered Inference4
42June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Minimum Wage4
43June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Health Economics I3
44June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Environment II3
45June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Household Finances II4
46June 27, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Structural Models3
47June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Nonlinearities in macroeconomic dynamics4
48June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Central bank forecasting4
49June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Empirical Finance III4
50June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Factor models I4
51June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Heterogeneity in macroeconomics4
52June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Monetary Policy Rules4
53June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Time Series Models II4
54June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Macroeconomics and asset prices4
55June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Volatility modeling II4
56June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Identification in SVARs I4Todd Clark
57June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Treatment Effects I4
58June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Network Models4
59June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Housing Markets4
60June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Model Uncertainty4
61June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Education II4
62June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Industrial Organizations II4
63June 27, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Labor Markets I4
64June 27, 2018
16:30-17:30
N/A Plenary lecture: Alfred Galichon0
65June 28, 2018
9:00-10:00
N/A Plenary lecture: Guido Imbens0
66June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Time variation in macroeconomic dynamics4Todd Clark
67June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Identification in SVARs II4
68June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Oil prices4
69June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Volatility modeling III4
70June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Macro-Finance III4
71June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Forecast combination and evaluation II4
72June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Fiscal policy4
73June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Survey Forecasts and Expectation Formation I4Raffaella Giacomini
74June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Financial econometrics III4
75June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Discrete Choice3
76June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Monetary Policy I4Francesco Bianchi
77June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Regression discontinuity4
78June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Treatment Effects II3
79June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Health Economics II4
80June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Sample Selection4
81June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Trade4
82June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Teachers and Schools4
83June 28, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Development4
84June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A (Structural) VARs4Raffaella Giacomini
85June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Labor markets and the macroeconomy4
86June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Nowcasting4
87June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Forecasting business cycles4
88June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A News and Sentiments II4
89June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Uncertainty in Macroeconomics II3
90June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Monetary Policy II4
91June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A The effect of fiscal shocks4
92June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Time Series Models III4
93June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Empirical Finance IV4
94June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Spatial Econometrics II3
95June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Weak Identification 4
96June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Panel Data4
97June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Applications of Machine Learning3
98June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Education III4
99June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Labor Markets II4
100June 28, 2018
14:00-16:00
N/A Inequality4
101June 28, 2018
16:30-17:30
N/A Plenary lecture: Alan Timmermann0
102June 29, 2018
9:00-10:00
N/A Plenary Lecture: Tim Conley0
103June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Macro-Finance IV4Todd Clark
104June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Exchange rates4
105June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Factor Models II3
106June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Inflation dynamics II4
107June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Uncertainty in Macroeconomics III4
108June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Survey Forecasts and Expectation Formation II4
109June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Volatility modeling IV4
110June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Time Series Models IV4
111June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Business Cycle Fluctuations II4
112June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Prediction with high dimensional data4
113June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Return predictability4
114June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Treatment Effects III3
115June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Health Economics III4
116June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Dynamics of Prices and Returns3
117June 29, 2018
10:30-12:30
N/A Economic and Financial Networks4
 

117 sessions, 410 papers, and 0 presentations with no associated papers


 

2018 IAAE International Association for Applied Econometrics Conference

Detailed List of Sessions

 
Session 1: IAAE Lecture: Janet Currie
June 26, 2018 11:00 to 12:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
 
Session 2: News and Sentiments I
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University
Session Chair: Laura Moretti, European Central Bank
 

Revisions in Utilization-Adjusted TFP and Robust Identification of News Shocks
   presented by: Eric Sims, University of Notre Dame
 

Measuring News Sentiment
   presented by: Adam Shapiro, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
 

vOILatility: Forecasting Oil Prices under Uncertainty
   presented by: Marcelle Chauvet, University of California Riverside
 

News, Noise and Oil Price Swings
   presented by: Laura Moretti, European Central Bank
 
Session 3: Macro-Finance I
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Michael Siemer, Federal Reserve Board
 

The Natural Rate of Interest and the Financial Cycle
   presented by: Georgi Krustev, European Central Bank
 

Measuring Financial Cycle Time
   presented by: Marco Lombardi, Bank for International Settlements
 

The Real Effects of Credit Booms and Busts
   presented by: Michael Siemer, Federal Reserve Board
 

Bank capital constraints, lending supply and economic activity
   presented by: Antonio Conti, Bank of Italy
 
Session 4: Financial econometrics I
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Davide Pettenuzzo, Brandeis Univeristy
 

Modelling time-varying parameters using artificial neural networks : A GARCH illustration
   presented by: Morvan Nongni Donfack, Universté Laval
 

High Frequency Tail Risk
   presented by: Caio Almeida, Getulio Vargas Foundation
 

High-frequency Cash Flow Dynamics
   presented by: Davide Pettenuzzo, Brandeis Univeristy
 
Session 5: Empirical Finance I
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Mamiko Yamashita, Toulouse School of Economics
 

Model Risk of Expected Shortfall
   presented by: NING ZHANG, University of Reading
 

Robustly modelling the scale and shape dynamics of stock return distributions
   presented by: Jaideep Oberoi, University of Kent
 

Return predictability and risk management
   presented by: Mamiko Yamashita, Toulouse School of Economics
 

Carry Trades and Endogenous Regime Switches in Exchange Rate Volatility
   presented by: Heejoon Han, Sungkyunkwan University
 
Session 6: Forecasting financial markets
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Jianjian Jin, Bank of Canada
 

Beset With Cares At Nightfall: A Comprehensive Analysis of Incorporating Overnight Futures Data In Daytime Stock Volatility Forecasting
   presented by: Giorgio Mirone, Aarhus University & CREATES
 

Exchange rate predictability and dynamic Bayesian learning
   presented by: Rainer Schüssler, University of Rostock
 

Which Model to Forecast the Target Rate
   presented by: Jianjian Jin, Bank of Canada
 
Session 7: Macroeconometrics I
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Andrzej Kociecki, Narodowy Bank Polski
 

Measuring Productivity and Absorptive Capacity Evolution
   presented by: Stef De Visscher, Ghent University
 

Global Robust Bayesian Analysis in Large Models
   presented by: Paul Ho, Princeton University
 

Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregressions: Some New Perspective
   presented by: Andrzej Kociecki, Narodowy Bank Polski
 

Measuring the inflation-unemployment trade-off
   presented by: Regis Barnichon, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
 
Session 8: Regulation
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Amine Ouazad, HEC Montreal
 

Systemic Risk from Asset Concentration and Common Holdings among Banks
   presented by: Celso Brunetti, Federal Reserve Board
 

Structural Stress Tests
   presented by: Sigurd Mølster Galaasen, Norges Bank
 

BALANCE-SHEET DIVERSIFICATION IN GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM: IDENTIFICATION AND NETWORK EFFECTS
   presented by: Amine Ouazad, HEC Montreal
 
Session 9: Measurement error and treatment effects
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Rossella Calvi, Rice University
 

Stochastic Revealed Preferences with Measurement Error: Testing for Exponential Discounting in Survey Data
   presented by: Nail Kashaev, University of Western Ontario
 

On the Estimation of Treatment Effects with Endogenous Misreporting
   presented by: Rusty Tchernis, Georgia State University
 

Women's Empowerment and Family Health: Estimating LATE with Mismeasured Treatment
   presented by: Rossella Calvi, Rice University
 

Revisiting Regression Adjustment in Experiments with a Heterogeneous Treatment Effects Model
   presented by: Akanksha Negi, Michigan State University
 
Session 10: Time Series and Panel Data Applications
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Ruixuan Liu, Emory University
 

You can't always get what you want? A Monte Carlo analysis of the bias and the efficiency of dynamic panel data estimators
   presented by: Vadim Kufenko, University of Hohenheim
 

The Cost-Sharing, Shadow Price and Cluster in Medical Care Utilization: A Self-Exciting Perspective
   presented by: Yuhao LI, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
 

Accelerated Failure Time Models with Logconcave Errors
   presented by: Ruixuan Liu, Emory University
 

Instrumental Variable Estimation of Dynamic Linear Panel Data Models with Defactored Regressors and a Multifactor Error Structure
   presented by: Takashi Yamagata, University of York
 
Session 11: Education I
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Christian Belzil, Ecole Polytechnique
 

Dealing With Differential Item Functioning In Item Response Models: Inter-temporal Differences.
   presented by: James McIntosh, Concordia University
 

How Do Mothers Manage? Universal Daycare, Child Skill Formation, and the Parental Time-Education Puzzle
   presented by: Timea Laura Molnar, Analysis Group / Groupe d'Analyse (Montréal)
 

The Evolution of the U.S. Family Income-Schooling Relationship and Educational Selectivity
   presented by: Christian Belzil, Ecole Polytechnique
 
Session 12: Environment I
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Averi Chakrabarti, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
 

Evaluating the effect of local monitoring on nuclear safety: Evidence from France
[slides]
   presented by: Petyo Bonev, Mines ParisTech
 

Understanding Disparities in Punishment: Regulator Preferences and Expertise
   presented by: Bernardo Silveira, Olin Business School
 

Forests and Infant Mortality in Indonesia
   presented by: Averi Chakrabarti, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill
 
Session 13: Online Markets
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Maude Hasbi, Chalmers University of Technology
 

The Effect of ID Verification in Online Markets: Evidence from a Field Experiment
   presented by: Patrick Scholten, Bentley University
 

Ethnic Discrimination on an Online Marketplace of Vacation Rentals
   presented by: Morgane Laouenan, CNRS Paris-Sorbonne
 

More is Better, or Not? An Empirical Analysis of Buyer Preferences for Variety on the E-Market
   presented by: Senay Sokullu, University of Bristol
 

Impact of Very High-Speed Broadband on Local Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence
   presented by: Maude Hasbi, Chalmers University of Technology
 
Session 14: Spatial Panel Data
June 26, 2018 13:30 to 15:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Cynthia Fan Yang, University of Southern California
 

Nonparametric panel data models with cross-sectional dependence
   presented by: Alexandra Soberon, Universidad de Cantabria
 

Common Correlated Effect Cross-sectional Dependence Corrections for Non-linear Conditional Mean Panel Models
   presented by: Sinem Hacioglu Hoke, Bank of England
 

Incidental Parameters Problem in Testing: A Case of Cross-section Dependence Tests with Common Components
   presented by: Arturas Juodis, University of Groningen
 

Common Factors and Spatial Dependence: An Application to US House Prices
   presented by: Cynthia Fan Yang, University of Southern California
 
Session 15: Housing and the macroeconomy
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Bruno Albuquerque, Ghent University
 

Property Heterogeneity and Convergence Club Formation among Local House Prices
   presented by: Jesus Otero, Universidad del Rosario
 

Land Use Regulations, Migration and Rising House Price Dispersion in the U.S.
   presented by: WUKUANG CUN, University of Southern California
 

Time-varying housing supply elasticities and US housing cycles
   presented by: Bruno Albuquerque, Ghent University
 
Session 16: Forecast combination and evaluation I
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: George Athanasopoulos, Monash University
 

Multivariate Bayesian Predictive Synthesis in Macroeconomic Forecasting
   presented by: Knut Are Aastveit, Norges Bank
 

Unrestricted and Controlled Identification of Loss Functions: Possibility and Impossibility Results
   presented by: Robert Lieli, Central European University
 

Optimal forecast reconciliation for hierarchical and grouped time series through trace minimization
   presented by: George Athanasopoulos, Monash University
 
Session 17: Forecasting inflation
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Marco Del Negro, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
 

FORECASTING INFLATION IN A DATA-RICH ENVIRONMENT: THE BENEFITS OF MACHINE LEARNING METHODS
   presented by: Gabriel Vasconcelos, PUC-Rio
 

Forecasting Deflation Probability in the EA: A Combinatoric Approach
   presented by: Luca Brugnolini, University of Rome Tor Vergata and Central Bank of Malta
 

The Conquest of Inflation Credibility in the U.S.-- A Bayesian Approach for Inference on Probabilistic Surveys
   presented by: Marco Del Negro, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
 
Session 18: Energy and commodities
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Stephen Snudden, Queen's University
 

Asymmetric Responses of Consumer Spending to Energy Prices: The Role of Information and News Coverage
   presented by: Edward Knotek II, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
 

The Simple Economics of Global Fuel Consumption
   presented by: Reinhard Ellwanger, Bank of Canada
 

International Remittances, Migration, and Primary Commodities
   presented by: Stephen Snudden, Queen's University
 
Session 19: Time Series Models I
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: Raffaella Giacomini, University College London
Session Chair: Daniel Buncic, Sveriges Riksbank
 

Detecting Time Irreversibility Using Quantile Autoregressive Models
[slides]
   presented by: Alain Hecq, Maastricht University
 

Vector Quantile Autoregression: A Random Coefficient Approach
   presented by: Sulkhan Chavleishvili, European Central Bank
 

Identification and Estimation issues in Exponential Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models
   presented by: Daniel Buncic, Sveriges Riksbank
 
Session 20: Empirical Finance II
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Kerem Tuzcuoglu, Bank of Canada
 

The Informational Value of Consensus Prices: Evidence from the OTC Derivatives Market
   presented by: Andreas Uthemann, London School of Economics
 

Short Selling and Excess Return Correlation
   presented by: Marco Valerio Geraci, University of Cambridge
 

Composite Likelihood Estimation of AR-Probit Model: Application to Credit Ratings
   presented by: Kerem Tuzcuoglu, Bank of Canada
 
Session 21: Peer Effects
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Kyriakos Petrou, University of Cyprus
 

Heterogeneous Endogenous Effects in Networks
   presented by: sida peng, MICROSOFT RESEARCH
 

Network Competition and Team Chemistry in the NBA
   presented by: Hyunseok Jung, Syracuse University
 

A Social Interaction Approach to Social Identity and its Role to Preferences for Redistribution and Beliefs
   presented by: Kyriakos Petrou, University of Cyprus
 
Session 22: Spatial Econometrics I
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Andros Kourtellos, University of Cyprus
 

Adaptive Inference on Pure Spatial Models
   presented by: Jungyoon Lee, Royal Holloway, University of London
 

Continuously Updated Indirect Inference in Spatial Autoregressions with Unobserved Heterogeneity
   presented by: FRANCESCA ROSSI, University of Verona
 

Threshold Spatial Autoregression
   presented by: Andros Kourtellos, University of Cyprus
 
Session 23: Distributions and Quantiles
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Yuya Sasaki, Vanderbilt University
 

Distributional Counterfactual Analysis with (common) Deterministic trend units
   presented by: Ricardo Masini, Escola de Economia de São Paulo - FGV
 

Distributional Regression in Survival Analysis
   presented by: Andrés García-Suaza, Universidad del Rosario
 

Quantile Regression with Interval Data
   presented by: Yuya Sasaki, Vanderbilt University
 
Session 24: Industrial Organizations I
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Elliot Anenberg, Federal Reserve Board
 

Spillover effects and city development
   presented by: Roxana Fernandez, CREST-ENSAE
 

A structural model of hospital competition
   presented by: Lionel Wilner, INSEE-CREST
 

Information Technology and Consumption Agglomeration: Evidence from Yelp
   presented by: Elliot Anenberg, Federal Reserve Board
 
Session 25: Immigration
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Christoph Wigger, University of Cologne
 

Immigration and housing for the near-retirees
   presented by: Wendy Kei, University of British Columbia
 

Deprivation, enclaves, and socioeconomic classes of UK immigrants. Does English proficiency matter?
   presented by: Yu Aoki, University of Aberdeen and IZA
 

Who with Whom? Untangling the Effect of High-Skilled Immigration on Innovation
   presented by: Christoph Wigger, University of Cologne
 
Session 26: Games
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Mengkai Yu, Georgetown University
 

Inference in Games without Nash Equilibrium: An Application to Restaurants Competition in Opening Hours
   presented by: Erhao Xie, University of Toronto
 

Games with unobservable heterogeneity and multiple equilibria: An application to mobile telecommunications
   presented by: Mathieu Marcoux, Université de Montréal
 

Optimal Dynamic Hotel Pricing
   presented by: Mengkai Yu, Georgetown University
 
Session 27: Household Finances I
June 26, 2018 15:30 to 17:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: May Rostom, University College London & Bank of England
 

Raising pension awareness through letters and social media: What works for whom? Evidence from a randomized and quasi-experiment
   presented by: Marike Knoef, Leiden University, Netspar
 

Unconventional monetary policy and households’ financial portfolio choices
   presented by: Caterina Forti Grazzini, DIW Berlin
 

Consumption Response to Aggregate Shocks and the Role of Leverage
   presented by: May Rostom, University College London & Bank of England
 
Session 28: Plenary lecture: Serena Ng
June 26, 2018 17:15 to 18:15
 
Session Organizer: ,
 
Session 29: Plenary lecture: Frank Schorfheide
June 27, 2018 9:00 to 10:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
 
Session 30: Inflation dynamics I
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: Todd Clark, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Session Chair: Filippo Pellegrino, London School of Economics; Now-Casting Economics
 

Inflation dynamics during the Financial Crisis in Europe: cross-sectional identification of long-run inflation expectations
   presented by: Geraldine Dany-Knedlik, DIW Berlin
 

The Role of Expectations in Changed Inflation Dynamics
   presented by: John Roberts, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
 

Phillips curves in the euro area?
   presented by: Luca Onorante, European Central Bank
 

A Model of the Fed’s View on Inflation
   presented by: Filippo Pellegrino, London School of Economics; Now-Casting Economics
 
Session 31: Volatility Modelling I
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: Raffaella Giacomini, University College London
Session Chair: Jean-Marie Dufour, McGill University
 

Forecasting realized volatility: the role of implied volatility, leverage effects and the volatility of realized volatility
   presented by: Katerina Tsakou, Swansea University
 

A Stochastic Price Duration Model for Estimating High-Frequency Volatility
   presented by: Wei Wei,
 

Simple Estimators and Inference for Higher-order Stochastic Volatility Models
   presented by: Jean-Marie Dufour, McGill University
 
Session 32: Unconventional monetary policy
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Filippo Ferroni, Chicago FED
 

The Effects of Conventional and Unconventional Monetary Policy on Exchange Rates
   presented by: Barbara Rossi, ICREA-Univ. Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE
 

Evaluating the Effects of Forward Guidance and Large-scale Asset Purchases
   presented by: Xu Zhang, University of California, San Diego
 

IDENTIFYING UNCONVENTIONAL MONETARY POLICY SHOCKS
   presented by: Masahiko Shibamoto, Kobe University
 

Delphic and Odyssean monetary policy shocks: Evidence from the euro-area
   presented by: Filippo Ferroni, Chicago FED
 
Session 33: Uncertainty in Macroeconomics I
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Christos Ioannidis, Aston University
 

Uncertainty Across Volatility Regimes
   presented by: Luca Fanelli, University of Bologna
 

Expectations Shocks with Uncertain Data
   presented by: Ana Beatriz Galvao, University of Warwick
 

Uncertainty and Financial Stability: a VAR Analysis
   presented by: Chiara Scotti, Federal Reserve Board
 

Economic Policy Uncertainty and Bond Risk Premia
   presented by: Kook Ka, Bank of Korea
 
Session 34: Business Cycle Fluctuations I
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University
Session Chair: Yunjong Eo, University of Sydney
 

Are linear models really unuseful to describe business cycle data?
   presented by: Artur Silva Lopes, ISEG, Universidade de Lisboa
 

Global Macroeconomic Volatility
   presented by: Danilo Leiva-Leon, Banco de España
 

Duration-dependent Markov-switching model: an empirical study for the Brazilian business cycle
   presented by: Fernando Mendes, UFRGS
 

Why has the U.S. economy stagnated since the Great Recession?
   presented by: Yunjong Eo, University of Sydney
 
Session 35: Big data
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Giorgio Primiceri, Northwestern University
 

Macroeconomic forecast accuracy in a data-rich environment
   presented by: Maxime Leroux,
 

On LASSO for Predictive Regression
   presented by: Ji Hyung Lee, University of Illinois
 

A horse race in high dimensional space
   presented by: paolo andreini, Tor vergata University
 

Economic Predictions with Big Data: The Illusion of Sparsity
   presented by: Giorgio Primiceri, Northwestern University
 
Session 36: Financial econometrics II
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Jérémy Leymarie, University of Orléans
 

Understanding the Economic Determinants of the Severity of Operational Losses: A regularized Generalized Pareto Regression Approach
   presented by: Julien Hambuckers, University of Goettingen
 

Time-varying Learning Combinations of Bayesian Dynamic Models and Equity Momentum Strategies
   presented by: Herman van Dijk, Erasmus University Rotterdam
 

Optimal Estimation of Multi-Country Gaussian Dynamic Term Structure Models Using Linear Regressions
   presented by: Antonio Diez de los Rios, Bank of Canada
 

Backtesting Marginal Expected Shortfall and Related Systemic Risk Measures
   presented by: Jérémy Leymarie, University of Orléans
 
Session 37: Macro-Finance II
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University
Session Chair: Jelena Zivanovic, Bank of Canada
 

Do loan demand shocks matter? A new look at credit supply and demand channels of the UK Economy.
   presented by: Richard Kima, University of Southampton
 

Follow the money: Does the financial sector intermediate natural resource windfalls?
   presented by: Steven Poelhekke, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
 

Financial Shocks, Credit Spreads, and the International Credit Channel
[slides]
   presented by: Andrej Sokol, Bank of England
 

A structural empirical analysis of the external finance premium
   presented by: Jelena Zivanovic, Bank of Canada
 
Session 38: DSGE models
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Marc Giannoni, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
 

Macroeconomic implications of shadow banks: A DSGE analysis
   presented by: Molin Zhong, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
 

Misspecification in DSGE Models and Policy Implications: Empirical Evidence from the Euro Area
   presented by: Alessia Paccagnini, University College Dublin
 

DSGE models with financial frictions: frequency does matter
[slides]
   presented by: Paolo Gelain, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
 

DSGE Forecasts of the Lost Recovery
   presented by: Marc Giannoni, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
 
Session 39: Interest rate dynamics
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Fan Dora Xia, Bank for International Settlements
 

A shadow rate without a lower bound constraint
   presented by: Rafael De Rezende, Sveriges Riksbank
 

Interest Rate Conundrums in the Twenty-First Century
   presented by: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University
 

Some Evidence on Secular Drivers of U.S. Safe Real Rates
   presented by: Kurt Lunsford, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
 

Negative Interest Rate Policy and Yield Curve
   presented by: Fan Dora Xia, Bank for International Settlements
 
Session 40: Econometric Theory
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Timothy Armstrong, Yale University
 

Inference for moments of ratios with robustness against large trimming bias and unknown convergence rate
   presented by: Takuya Ura, University of California, Davis
 

Inference in Non-Parametric/Semi-Parametric Moment Equality Models with Shape Restrictions
   presented by: Yu Zhu, Bank of Canada
 

Testing Generalized Regression Monotonicity
   presented by: Xiaoxia Shi, University of Wisconsin at Madison
 

Finite-Sample Optimal Estimation and Inference on Average Treatment Effects Under Unconfoundedness
   presented by: Timothy Armstrong, Yale University
 
Session 41: Clustered Inference
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Seojeong Lee, University of New South Wales
 

Validity of Wild Bootstrap Inference with Clustered Errors
   presented by: James MacKinnon, Queen's University
 

Asymptotic Results under Multiway Clustering
   presented by: Yannick Guyonvarch, CREST-ENSAE
 

Bootstrap and Asymptotic Inference with Multiway Clustering
   presented by: Matthew Webb, Carleton University
 

Inference for Iterated GMM Under Misspecification and Clustering
   presented by: Seojeong Lee, University of New South Wales
 
Session 42: Minimum Wage
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna, Vanderbilt University
 

On the effects of the minimum wage on employment, formality, and the wage distribution
   presented by: Hugo Jales, Syracuse University
 

Employment Effects of Introducing a Minimum Wage: The Case of Germany
   presented by: Oliver Holtemöller, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg and Halle Leibniz-Institute for Economic Research (IWH)
 

Minimum wages and youth employment in Belgium
   presented by: Maritza López Novella, Federal Planning Bureau
 

Difference in Differences with Multiple Time Periods with an Application on the Minimum Wage and Employment
   presented by: Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna, Vanderbilt University
 
Session 43: Health Economics I
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Vincenzo Atella, University of Rome Tor Vergata
 

Market structure, patient choice and hospital quality for elective patients
   presented by: Giuseppe Moscelli, University of Surrey
 

Harnessing the Small Victories: Empirical Evidence from a Calorie and Weight Loss Tracking Application
   presented by: Nathan Yang, McGill Desautels Faculty of Management
 

Technological Advance in Cholesterol Medication Meets Physician Learning: A Non-Parametric Bounding Approach
   presented by: Vincenzo Atella, University of Rome Tor Vergata
 
Session 44: Environment II
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Reinhard Weisser, Queen Mary University of London
 

On Model Selection Criteria for Climate Change Impact Studies
   presented by: Dalia Ghanem, University of California, Davis
 

Dealing with corner solutions in multi-crop micro-econometric models: an endogenous regime approach with regime fixed costs
   presented by: Alain Carpentier, UMR SMART-LERECO INRA Agrocampus Ouest
 

The impact of local shocks on well-being: Only a matter of perception?
   presented by: Reinhard Weisser, Queen Mary University of London
 
Session 45: Household Finances II
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Tamas Briglevics, Magyar Nemzeti Bank
 

The Impact of School-Based Financial Education on High School Students and their Teachers: Experimental Evidence from Peru
   presented by: Veronica Frisancho, Inter-American Development Bank (IDB)
 

Student Loan Debt and Financial Health of U.S. Households
   presented by: Venoo Kakar, San Francisco State University
 

How Do Entrepreneurial Portfolios Respond to Income Taxation?
   presented by: Davud Rostam-Afschar, Universitaet Hohenheim
 

The Effect of Interest Rate Normalization on Mortgage Delinquencies in Hungary: A Structural Approach
   presented by: Tamas Briglevics, Magyar Nemzeti Bank
 
Session 46: Structural Models
June 27, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Thierry Magnac, Toulouse School of Economics
 

Party Formation in a Parliamentary Democracy
[slides]
   presented by: Selcen Cakir, University of Virginia
 

Identification and Estimation of Nonparametric Hedonic Equilibrium Model with Unobserved Quality
   presented by: Ruoyao Shi, UC Riverside
 

A Pigouvian Approach to Congestion in Matching Markets
[slides]
   presented by: Thierry Magnac, Toulouse School of Economics
 
Session 47: Nonlinearities in macroeconomic dynamics
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Laura Jackson Young, Bentley University
 

Is Business Cycle Asymmetry Intrinsic in Industrialized Economies?
   presented by: Irina Panovska, Lehigh University
 

Assessing Aggregate Investment Nonlinearities
   presented by: Edward Herbst, Federal Reserve Board
 

On Nonlinearities in Unemployment
   presented by: Francois Langot, GAINS
 

Nonlinearities, Smoothing, and Countercyclical Monetary Policy
   presented by: Laura Jackson Young, Bentley University
 
Session 48: Central bank forecasting
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Dean Croushore, University of Richmond
 

Changes in Predictability of the Canadian Economy: Evidence from the Bank of Canada Staff's Forecasts
   presented by: Rodrigo Sekkel, Bank of Canada
 

Asymmetry, Complementarities, and Federal Reserve Forecasts
   presented by: Michael Owyang, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis
 

Detecting Time-dependent Bias in the Fed’s Greenbook Forecasts of Foreign GDP Growth
   presented by: Neil Ericsson, Federal Reserve Board
 

Fiscal Surprises at the FOMC
   presented by: Dean Croushore, University of Richmond
 
Session 49: Empirical Finance III
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Lynda Khalaf, Carleton University
 

Integration and Disintegration of EMU Government Bond Markets
   presented by: Philipp Sibbertsen, Leibniz Universitaet Hannover
 

Some financial implications of global warming
   presented by: Claudio Morana, University Milano Bicocca
 

Stock Market Access and Cash Flow Allocation during the Financial Crisis
   presented by: David Florysiak, University of Southern Denmark
 

Weak beta, strong beta: multi-factor pricing and rank restrictions
   presented by: Lynda Khalaf, Carleton University
 
Session 50: Factor models I
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Matteo Luciani, Federal Reserve Board, Washington DC
 

Forecasting Large Realized Covariance Matrices: The Benefits of Factor Models and Shrinkage
   presented by: Diego Brito, PUC-Rio
 

Comovements in the Real Activity of Developed and Emerging Economies: A Test of Global versus Specific International Factors
   presented by: Antoine Djogbenou, Queen's University
 

Quantifying the Monetary Transmission Mechanism: A Mixed-Frequency Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive Regression Approach
   presented by: Zhi Zhao,
 

Common Factors, Trends, and Cycles in Large Datasets
   presented by: Matteo Luciani, Federal Reserve Board, Washington DC
 
Session 51: Heterogeneity in macroeconomics
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Michele Lenza, European Central Bank
 

On the U.S. Firm and Establishment Size Distributions
   presented by: Andrea Stella, Federal Reserve Board
 

Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity in the U.S.: New Evidence from Worker-Firm Linked Data
   presented by: Andre Kurmann, Drexel University
 

What is the extent of misallocation?
   presented by: Bruno Pellegrino, UCLA
 

How Does Monetary Policy A􏰀ffect Income and Wealth Inequality? Evidence from the Euro Area
   presented by: Michele Lenza, European Central Bank
 
Session 52: Monetary Policy Rules
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Andreas Tryphonides, Humboldt U
 

Asymmetries in the Interest Rate Rule: Data versus DSGE
   presented by: Anna Almosova, Humboldt University of Berlin
 

Interest Rate Rules Across The Business Cycle
   presented by: Daniel Soques, University of North Carolina at Wilmington
 

FOMC Fed Funds Rate Responses Treat Persistent Fluctuations Differently from Other Fluctuations
   presented by: Randal Verbrugge, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
 

Learning from Errors: The case of Monetary and Fiscal Policy Regimes
   presented by: Andreas Tryphonides, Humboldt U
 
Session 53: Time Series Models II
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Damba Lkhagvasuren, Concordia University, Montreal, Canada
 

A uni…ed theory for the family of time varying models with ARMA representations: One solution …ts all
   presented by: Menelaos Karanasos, Brunel University
 

Nonfractional Memory: Filtering, Antipersistence, and Forecasting
   presented by: J. Eduardo Vera Valdés, Aalborg University
 

A Sieve-SMM Estimator for Dynamic Models
   presented by: Jean-Jacques Forneron, Columbia University
 

Highly Persistent Finite-State Markov Chains with Non-Zero Skewness and Excess Kurtosis
   presented by: Damba Lkhagvasuren, Concordia University, Montreal, Canada
 
Session 54: Macroeconomics and asset prices
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Marek Raczko, Bank of England
 

Asset Pricing with Recursive Preferences and Stochastic Volatility: A Bayesian DSGE Analysis
   presented by: David Rapach, Saint Louis University
 

Federal Reserve Private Information and the Stock Market
   presented by: Aeimit Lakdawala, Michigan State University
 

(Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia
   presented by: Alexander Meyer-Gohde, Goethe-Universität Frankfurt
 

The Information in the Term Structures of Bond Yields
   presented by: Marek Raczko, Bank of England
 
Session 55: Volatility modeling II
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Giuseppe Buccheri, Scuola Normale Superiore
 

Mixing Mixed Frequency Macroeconomic Forecasting Models with High Frequency Volatility and Risk Factors: An Empirical Assessment
   presented by: Chun Yao, Rutgers University
 

Choosing Between Different Time-Varying Volatility Models for Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis
[slides]
   presented by: Thore Schlaak, DIW Berlin
 

Conditional heteroscedasticity models with time-varying parameters: Estimation and forecasting
   presented by: armin pourkhanali, Monash University
 

A General Class of Score-Driven Smoothers
   presented by: Giuseppe Buccheri, Scuola Normale Superiore
 
Session 56: Identification in SVARs I
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: Todd Clark, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Session Chair: Robin Braun, University of Konstanz
 

Identifying Shocks via Time-Varying Volatility
   presented by: Daniel Lewis, Harvard University
 

Identifying Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression Models by a Change in Shock Variances
   presented by: Yohei Yamamoto, Hitotsubashi University
 

Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions Through Higher Unconditional Moments
   presented by: Michel Normandin, HEC Montreal
 

Identification of Structural Vector Autoregressions by Stochastic Volatility
   presented by: Robin Braun, University of Konstanz
 
Session 57: Treatment Effects I
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Christopher Adams, Federal Trade Commission
 

Multivalued Treatments and Decomposition Analysis: An application to the WIA Program
   presented by: Sebastian Calonico, University of Miami
 

Identifying Treatment Effects in the Presence of Confounded Types
   presented by: Desire Kedagni, Penn State University
 

Sharp Bounds on Functionals of the Joint Distribution in the Analysis of Treatment Effects
   presented by: Thomas Russell, University of Toronto
 

Empirical Bayesian Estimation of Treatment Effects
   presented by: Christopher Adams, Federal Trade Commission
 
Session 58: Network Models
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Michaela Kesina, ETH Zurich
 

A structural model of homophily and clustering in social networks
   presented by: Angelo Mele, Johns Hopkins University
 

Spatial Dependence and Common Factors in the English Housing Market: A STARF Model
   presented by: Beulah Chelva, University of Leeds
 

Normal Approximation in Strategic Network Formation
   presented by: Hyungsik Roger Moon, University of Southern California
 

Estimation of models with an endogenous spatial or network matrix - a transformation approach
   presented by: Michaela Kesina, ETH Zurich
 
Session 59: Housing Markets
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Albert Zevelev, Baruch CUNY
 

Imperfect Information, Learning and Housing Market Dynamics
   presented by: Christophe BRUNEEL, Toulouse School of Economics
 

Housing Price Network Effects from Public Transit Investment: Evidence from Vancouver
   presented by: Alex Chernoff, Bank of Canada
 

Is my rental price overestimated? A small area index for Germany
   presented by: Lea Eilers, RWI – Leibniz Institute for Economic Research
 

Does Collateral Value Affect Asset Prices? Evidence from a Natural Experiment in Texas
   presented by: Albert Zevelev, Baruch CUNY
 
Session 60: Model Uncertainty
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Christophe Gaillac, CREST and TSE
 

How to use economic theory to improve estimators
   presented by: Maximilian Kasy, Harvard University
 

Inference for Impulse Responses under Model Uncertainty
   presented by: Lenard Lieb, Maastricht University
 

Minimizing Sensitivity to Model Misspecification
   presented by: Stephane Bonhomme, University of Chicago
 

Testing Rational Expectations using Data Combination
   presented by: Christophe Gaillac, CREST and TSE
 
Session 61: Education II
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Xintong Han, Concordia University
 

The Effects of Schoolwide Tracking on Low and High Skill Students: Evidence from South Korea
   presented by: Eunjee Kwon, University of Southern California, USC
 

The Dynamics and Determinants of Adolescent Bullying Victimisation
   presented by: Georgios Chrysanthou, University of Alicante
 

Students' dynamic learning: a structural empirical model
   presented by: Xintong Han, Concordia University
 

The Impact of High School Financial Education on Financial Knowledge and Choices: Evidence from a Randomized Trial in Spain
   presented by: Laura Hospido, Banco de España and IZA
 
Session 62: Industrial Organizations II
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Wilko Letterie, Maastricht University
 

An Experimental Approach to Merger Analysis
   presented by: Christopher Conlon, NYU Stern
 

Effort and Selection Effects of Performance Pay in Knowledge Creation
   presented by: Erina Ytsma, MIT
 

Mergers and Acquisitions, and the Propagations in Production Networks
   presented by: Lan Lan, Toulouse School of Economics
 

Price Changes - Stickiness and Internal Coordination in Multiproduct Firms
   presented by: Wilko Letterie, Maastricht University
 
Session 63: Labor Markets I
June 27, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Cristina Barcelo, Banco de España
 

Conditional Choice Probability Estimation of Continuous-Time Job Search Models
[slides]
   presented by: Attila Gyetvai, Duke University
 

Identifying Distributions in a Panel Model with Heteroskedasticity: An Application to Earnings Volatility
   presented by: Irene Botosaru, University of Bristol
 

Time variation in the competitiveness of product and labor markets of Chinese firms: An application of the distance test
   presented by: Quint Wiersma, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
 

The Risk of Job Loss, Household Formation and Housing Demand: Evidence from Differences in Severance Payments
   presented by: Cristina Barcelo, Banco de España
 
Session 64: Plenary lecture: Alfred Galichon
June 27, 2018 16:30 to 17:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
 
Session 65: Plenary lecture: Guido Imbens
June 28, 2018 9:00 to 10:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
 
Session 66: Time variation in macroeconomic dynamics
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: Todd Clark, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Session Chair: Luis Uzeda, Bank of Canada
 

Non-linear effects of government spending shocks in the US. Evidence from state-level data.
   presented by: Haroon Mumtaz, Queen Mary
 

A Panel Smooth Transition Model for the Exchange Rate Pass-Through: New Evidence from the New EU Member States
   presented by: Nidhaleddine BEN CHEIKH, ESSCA School of Management (France)
 

Common Sources of Instabilities in Macroeconomic Dynamics: A Factor-TVP Approach
   presented by: Dalibor Stevanovic, Université du Québec à Montréal
 

The Effects of Monetary Policy on Trend Inflation: Evidence from Models with Drifting and Cross-Correlated Parameters
   presented by: Luis Uzeda, Bank of Canada
 
Session 67: Identification in SVARs II
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Srecko Zimic, European Central Bank
 

Identification through Heterogeneity
   presented by: Pooyan Amir Ahmadi, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champai
 

Proxy-SVAR as a Bridge for Identification with Mixed Frequency Data
   presented by: Alejandro Vicondoa, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile
 

Stargazing with Structural VARs: Shock Identification via Independent Component Analysis
   presented by: Dmitry Kulikov, Eesti Pank
 

The Importance of Foreign Shocks on Money Market Rates: Event-Study Magnitude Restriction
   presented by: Srecko Zimic, European Central Bank
 
Session 68: Oil prices
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Lanouar Charfeddine, Qatar University
 

Nonlinear Intermediary Pricing\\ in the Oil Futures Market
[slides]
   presented by: Anton Velinov, DIW Berlin
 

A fistful of oil barrels for a few more dollars: strategic interactions and price dynamics in the global oil market
   presented by: virginia di nino, ECB
 

The Transmission of Exogenous Commodity and Oil Prices shocks to Latin America - A Panel VAR approach
   presented by: Rocio Gondo, Banco Central de Reserva del Peru
 

Oil Price Changes and U.S. Real GDP Growth: Is this Time Different?
   presented by: Lanouar Charfeddine, Qatar University
 
Session 69: Volatility modeling III
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Yongdeng Xu, Cardiff University
 

Stylized Facts for Extended HEAVY/GARCH models and MEM: the importance of asymmetries, power transformations, long memory, structural breaks and spillovers
   presented by: Yfanti Stavroula, Lancaster University
 

Modelling Intraday Correlations using Multivariate GARCH
   presented by: Ayesha Scott, Auckland University of Technology
 

Filtering With Confidence: In-sample Confidence Bands For GARCH Filters
   presented by: Marcin Zamojski, University of Gothenburg
 

Matrix Inequality Constraints for Vector (Asymmetric Power) GARCH/HEAVY Models and MEM with spillovers: some New (Mixture) Formulations
   presented by: Yongdeng Xu, Cardiff University
 
Session 70: Macro-Finance III
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Ana Iregui, Banco de la Republica
 

Risk Sharing, Efficiency of Capital Allocation, and the Connection between Banks and the Real Economy
   presented by: Alessandro Barattieri, Collegio Carlo Alberto and ESG UQAM
 

Do US and global shocks matter for EMEs financial conditions?
   presented by: Ana Simona Manu, ECB
 

Financial Globalization and Bank Lending: The Limits of Domestic Monetary Policy?
   presented by: Jin Cao, Norges Bank
 

Interest rate convergence across maturities: Evidence from bank data in an emerging market economy
   presented by: Ana Iregui, Banco de la Republica
 
Session 71: Forecast combination and evaluation II
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Michael McCracken, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
 

Testing Forecast Accuracy of Expectiles and Quantiles with the Extremal Consistent Loss Functions
   presented by: Yu-Min Yen, National Chengchi University
 

Dynamic multivariate posterior predictive checks for macroeconomic density forecasts
   presented by: Andrei Sarychev, Bank of England; European Central Bank
 

Improving the Power of the Giacomini-White Test for Applications with Covariance-Stationary Data
   presented by: Walter Mayer, University of Mississippi
 

An Empirical Investigation of Direct and Iterated Multistep Conditional Forecasts
   presented by: Michael McCracken, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
 
Session 72: Fiscal policy
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Tatiana Kirsanova, University of Glasgow
 

Sources of Borrowing and Fiscal Multipliers
   presented by: Romanos Priftis, Bank of Canada
 

Measuring the Strength of the Theories of Government Size
   presented by: Alex Lenkoski, Norwegian Computing Center
 

On the relevance of double tax treaties in the presence of treaty shopping
   presented by: Andrzej Stasio, Vienna University of Econ. and Bus.
 

Sustainable Policy Equilibria in a Monetary Union
   presented by: Tatiana Kirsanova, University of Glasgow
 
Session 73: Survey Forecasts and Expectation Formation I
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: Raffaella Giacomini, University College London
Session Chair: Zhao Han, College of William and Mary
 

Expectation Formation Following Large Unexpected Shocks
   presented by: Xuguang Sheng, American University
 

Robust Inference under Time-Varying Volatility - A Real-Time Evaluation of Professional Forecasters
   presented by: Christoph Hanck, Universität Duisburg-Essen
 

Central Bank Credibility and Inflation Expectations: A Microfounded Forecasting Approach
   presented by: Joao Issler, Getulio Vargas Foundation
 

Roles of Higher-Order Expectations on Inflation and Expected Inflation: An Analytical Approach and Evidence from Survey Data
   presented by: Zhao Han, College of William and Mary
 
Session 74: Financial econometrics III
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Markus Michaelsen, Universität Hamburg
 

Dynamic portfolio overlap networks, contagion, and the credit spread puzzle
   presented by: Julia Schaumburg, VU University Amsterdam
 

Long-term investing under uncertain parameter instability
   presented by: Bart Keijsers, Erasmus University Rotterdam
 

Realized Peaks over Threshold: a Time-Varying Extreme Value Approach with High-Frequency based Measures
   presented by: Debbie Dupuis, HEC Montréal
 

Information Flow Dependence in Financial Markets
   presented by: Markus Michaelsen, Universität Hamburg
 
Session 75: Monetary Policy I
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University
Session Chair: Yoosoon Chang, Indiana University
 

Monetary Policy and Household (De-)leveraging
   presented by: Martin Harding, DIW Berlin
 

In Fed Watchers' Eyes: Hawks, Doves and Monetary Policy
   presented by: Klodiana Istrefi, Banque de France
 

Monetary Policy and its Effect on Regional Employment
   presented by: Fergus Cumming,
 

A structural investigation of monetary policy shifts
   presented by: Yoosoon Chang, Indiana University
 
Session 76: Regression discontinuity
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Ying-Ying Lee, University of California, Irvine
 

Impossible Inference in Econometrics: Theory and Applications
   presented by: Marinho Bertanha, University of Notre Dame
 

Assessing the Effects of Reemployment Bonuses on Job Search: A Regression Discontinuity Approach
   presented by: Taehyun Ahn, Sogang University
 

Coverage Optimal Confidence Intervals, with Application to Regression Discontinuity Designs
   presented by: Max Farrell, University of Chicago Booth
 

Regression Discontinuity Designs with a Continuous Treatment
   presented by: Ying-Ying Lee, University of California, Irvine
 
Session 77: Discrete Choice
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Zhentong Lu, Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
 

Estimating Heterogeneous Effects in Binary Response Models
   presented by: Anastasia Semykina, Florida State University
 

Relaxing Conditional Independence in an Endogenous Binary Response Model
   presented by: Alyssa Carlson, Michigan State University
 

Identification and Estimation of Triangular Models with a Binary Treatment
   presented by: Santiago Pereda-Fernández, Banca d'Italia
 
Session 78: Treatment Effects II
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Giovanni Mellace, University of Southern Denmark
 

Program Evaluation in the Presence of Strategic Interactions
   presented by: Francis DiTraglia, University of Pennsylvania
 

Two-Sample Estimation as an Alternative to Instrumental Variable Estimation in the Presence of Omitted Variables
   presented by: Irina Murtazashvili, Drexel University
 

Mediation Analysis Synthetic Control
[slides]
   presented by: Giovanni Mellace, University of Southern Denmark
 
Session 79: Health Economics II
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Daniel Avdic, CINCH and University of Duisburg-Essen
 

Impact of DRG refinement on the choice between scheduled C-section and normal delivery: recent evidence from France
   presented by: Aleksandr Proshin, Paris School of Economics
 

Decomposing the Decline in Drinking and Driving during "The Other Great Moderation"
   presented by: Darren Grant, Sam Houston State University
 

Information shocks and provider adaptation: Evidence from interventional cardiology
   presented by: Daniel Avdic, CINCH and University of Duisburg-Essen
 

Patients are different! Explaining the relation between pills and cholesterol
   presented by: Domenico Depalo, Banca d'Italia
 
Session 80: Sample Selection
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Yulong Wang, Syracuse University
 

Additive Nonparametric Sample Selection Models with Endogeneity
   presented by: Deniz Ozabaci, University of New Hampshire
 

Wage Decompositions and Sample Selection: Evidence for the United States
   presented by: Aico van Vuuren, University of Gothenburg
 

FISCAL AUSTERITY AND INCOME INEQUALITY: WHO BEARS THE COSTS?
   presented by: Vivian Norambuena, Universidad de Chile
 

Unbiased Estimation of Tail Properties in Small Samples with Complete, Censored, or Truncated Data
   presented by: Yulong Wang, Syracuse University
 
Session 81: Trade
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Romina Safojan, Tilburg University
 

Dollar funding and firm-level exports
   presented by: Guillaume Horny, Banque de France
 

Do Investment Agreements Necessarily Cause Offshoring? The Canada-Peru Case
[slides]
   presented by: Stephanie Houle, McMaster University
 

Export Manufacturing Competition Effects on Labour Markets and the Family: Evidence from Mexico
   presented by: Manuel Alejandro Estefan Davila, University College London
 

The Effect of Exports on Labor Informality: Evidence from Argentina
   presented by: Romina Safojan, Tilburg University
 
Session 82: Teachers and Schools
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Yun Pu, The Ohio State University
 

Knowledge is Power: School Construction & Intergenerational Human Capital
   presented by: Naveen Sunder, Cornell University
 

The Effect of Teacher Bonuses on Learning Outcomes and the Distribution of Teacher Skill: Evidence from Rural Schools in Peru
   presented by: Juan F. Castro, Universidad del Pacifico
 

Tuition subsidies and overeducation
   presented by: Ciprian Domnisoru, Carnegie Mellon University
 

College Admission in Three Chinese Provinces: Boston Mechanism vs. Deferred Acceptance Mechanism
   presented by: Yun Pu, The Ohio State University
 
Session 83: Development
June 28, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Kholekile Malindi, Stellenbosch University
 

An Empirical Equilibrium Model of Formal and Informal Credit Markets in Developing Countries
   presented by: Fan Wang, University of Houston
 

Local Violence, Market Transactions and Living Standard: Disruptive Impact of the Mexican Drug War, 2001–2012
   presented by: Alberto Iniguez-Montiel, University of Tokyo
 

Incentive, Self-selection, and Social Norm in Labor Contract: A Two-stage Field Experiment in the Philippines
   presented by: Yuki Higuchi, Nagoya City University
 

An employer learning model of the South African racial wage gap
   presented by: Kholekile Malindi, Stellenbosch University
 
Session 84: (Structural) VARs
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: Raffaella Giacomini, University College London
Session Chair: Michal Franta, Czech National Bank
 

Bayesian Structural VAR models: an extended approach
   presented by: Martin Bruns, DIW Berlin
 

A Class of Time-Varying Parameter Structural VARs for Inference under Exact or Set Identification
[slides]
   presented by: Mark Bognanni, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
 

Selection of Prior Tightness for Set-Identified Structural Vector Autoregressions
   presented by: Alessio Volpicella, Queen Mary University
 

The Likelihood of Effective Lower Bound Events
   presented by: Michal Franta, Czech National Bank
 
Session 85: Labor markets and the macroeconomy
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Svetlana Rujin, RWI – Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
 

Slow Recoveries and Labor Market Polarization
   presented by: Wen Zhang, Renmin University of China
 

Gender Differences in the Volatility of Work Hours and Labor Demand
   presented by: Amy Guisinger, Lafayette College
 

Immigration and the macroeconomy: some new empirical evidence
   presented by: Francesco Furlanetto, Norges Bank
 

Labor Market Outcomes of Technology Shocks: International Perspective
   presented by: Svetlana Rujin, RWI – Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung
 
Session 86: Nowcasting
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Kajal Lahiri, State University New York Albany
 

Bayesian Adaptive Penalized MIDAS Regressions: Estimation, Selection, and Prediction
   presented by: Matteo Mogliani, Banque de France
 

Macroeconomic news and market reaction: Surprise indexes meet nowcasting
   presented by: Alberto Caruso, Confindustria and ECARES, Université li
 

Uncertain Kingdom: A Framework for Nowcasting GDP and its Revisions
   presented by: Silvia Miranda-Agrippino, Bank of England
 

Forecasting New York State Tax Revenue: A Factor MIDAS Approach
   presented by: Kajal Lahiri, State University New York Albany
 
Session 87: Forecasting business cycles
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Haixi Li, Freddie Mac
 

Predicting Recessions in Italy: A Nonparametric Discrete Choice Models for Time Series
   presented by: Camilla Mastromarco, University of Salento
 

Vulnerable Growth
   presented by: Domenico Giannone, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
 

Predicting Ordinary and Severe Recessions with a Three-state Markov-Switching Dynamic Factor Model
   presented by: Magnus Reif, ifo Institute
 

Detecting recessions in real time: A Bayesian decision theoretic approach
   presented by: Haixi Li, Freddie Mac
 
Session 88: News and Sentiments II
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Leonardo Melosi, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
 

How does government spending news affect interest rates? Evidence from the United States
   presented by: Chen Yong, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics
 

Time Varying Sentiments and the Business Cycle
   presented by: Fabrizio Venditti, Banca d'Italia
 

Amplification effects of news shocks through uncertainty
   presented by: Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, University of Warwick
 

News and Noise in the Post-Great Recession Recovery
   presented by: Leonardo Melosi, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
 
Session 89: Uncertainty in Macroeconomics II
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University
 

Non-linear Effects of Uncertainty
   presented by: Andreas Dibiasi, ETH Zurich
 

A New Way to Quantify the Effect of Uncertainty
   presented by: Alexander Richter, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
 

Pricing Macroeconomic Uncertainty
   presented by: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University
 
Session 90: Monetary Policy II
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Erwan Gautier, Banque de France
 

Monetary policy surprises and exchange rate predictability
[slides]
   presented by: Johannes Graeb, European Central Bank
 

Who listens when the ECB talks? Spillovers from ECB's monetary policy and communication
   presented by: Saskia ter Ellen, Norges Bank
 

Career Concerns and Peer Effects in Tournaments: Evidence from ECB Reserve Currency Portfolios
   presented by: Luana Zaccaria, EIEF
 

Shocks vs Menu Costs: Patterns of Price Rigidity in an Estimated Multi-Sector Menu-Cost Model
   presented by: Erwan Gautier, Banque de France
 
Session 91: The effect of fiscal shocks
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Joan Paredes, European Central Bank
 

The international transmission of US fiscal shocks
   presented by: luca metelli, Banca d'Italia
 

Adaptive Learning and the Transmission of Government Spending Shocks in the Euro Area
   presented by: Ewoud Quaghebeur, Ghent University
 

The Network Effects of Fiscal Adjustments
   presented by: Madina Karamysheva, National Research University Higher School of Economics
 

Subsidising car purchases in the euro area: Any spill-over on production?
   presented by: Joan Paredes, European Central Bank
 
Session 92: Time Series Models III
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Arnaud Dufays, Universite Laval
 

New robust inference for predictive regressions
[slides]
   presented by: Anton Skrobotov, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration and Innopolis University
 

Testing for Parameter Instability in Predictive Regression Models
   presented by: Robert Taylor, University of Essex
 

Bootstrapping Structural Change Tests
   presented by: Otilia Boldea, Tilburg University
 

Relevant parameter change in structural break models
   presented by: Arnaud Dufays, Universite Laval
 
Session 93: Empirical Finance IV
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: christian Gourieroux, University of Toronto and CREST
 

Aggregate and Firm level volatility: the role of acquisitions and disposals.
   presented by: Sean Holly, Cambridge University
 

Net trade credit and firm performance
   presented by: Yiannis Karavias, University of Birmingham
 

Inefficiency and Bank Failures: A Joint Bayesian Estimation of a Stochastic Frontier Model and a Hazards Model
   presented by: Jim Sanchez, Universidad EAFIT
 

Disastrous Defaults
   presented by: christian Gourieroux, University of Toronto and CREST
 
Session 94: Spatial Econometrics II
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Guillaume Pouliot, University of Chicago
 

The LLN and CLT for Kernel-Weighted U-Processes of Spatially Dependent Data with Applications to Nonparametric Model Specification Testing
   presented by: Yiguo Sun, UNIVERSITY OF GUELPH
 

Fast and Scalable Variational Bayes Estimation of Spatial Econometric Models for Gaussian Data
   presented by: Guohui Wu, SAS Institute Inc.
 

Spatial Econometrics for Misaligned Data
   presented by: Guillaume Pouliot, University of Chicago
 
Session 95: Weak Identification
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Gregory Cox, Columbia University
 

A more powerful subvector Anderson Rubin test in linear instrumental variable regression
   presented by: Frank Kleibergen, University of Amsterdam
 

Inference in Second-Order Identified Models
   presented by: Prosper Dovonon, Concordia University
 

Identification-Robust Nonparametric Inference in a Linear IV Model
   presented by: Bertille Antoine, Simon Fraser University
 

Weak Identification in a Class of Generically Identified Models with an Application to Factor Models
   presented by: Gregory Cox, Columbia University
 
Session 96: Panel Data
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Takahide Yanagi, Hitotsubashi University
 

Second-order corrected likelihood for nonlinear panel models with fixed effects
   presented by: Geert Dhaene, KU Leuven
 

A regularization approach to the dynamic panel data model estimation
   presented by: Marine Carrasco, University of Montreal
 

Density Forecasts in Panel Data Models: A Semiparametric Bayesian Perspective
   presented by: Laura Liu, Federal Reserve Board
 

Kernel Estimation for Panel Data with Heterogeneous Dynamics
   presented by: Takahide Yanagi, Hitotsubashi University
 
Session 97: Applications of Machine Learning
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Matthew Harding, University of California, Irvine
 

Heterogeneous Employment Effects of Job Search Programmes: A Machine Learning Approach
   presented by: Anthony Strittmatter, University of St. Gallen
 

Instrument Validity Tests with Causal Trees: With an Application to the Same-sex Instrument
   presented by: Raphael Guber, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging
 

Informative Dimensionality Reduction Using a Deep Autoencoder
   presented by: Matthew Harding, University of California, Irvine
 
Session 98: Education III
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Julie Pernaudet, University of Chicago
 

Part-time Vocational Education and Training and Labour Market Outcomes; a Dynamic Approach
   presented by: Brecht Neyt, Ghent University
 

The Puzzle of Educated Unemployment in West Africa
   presented by: Meango Romuald, Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy
 

Raising the Take-up of Higher Education Grants among Disadvantaged Students: Evidence from a Field Experiment
   presented by: Julie Pernaudet, University of Chicago
 

Vocational high school graduates wage gap: the role of cognitive skills and firms
   presented by: Hugo Reis, Banco de Portugal
 
Session 99: Labor Markets II
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Matthias Wieschemeyer, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH)
 

Kids and (or) Career? Family Policies' Effects on Women's Life Cycle Fertility and Labor Supply
   presented by: Hanna Wang, University of Pennsylvania
 

What are the main obstacles to hiring after recessions in Europe?
   presented by: Simon Savsek, European Investment Bank
 

Informing employees about training subsidies: Results from a randomized field experiment
   presented by: Pia Homrighausen, Institute for Employment Research (IAB)
 

Progressive tax-like effects of inflation: fact or myth? The U.S. post-war experience
   presented by: Matthias Wieschemeyer, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH)
 
Session 100: Inequality
June 28, 2018 14:00 to 16:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Mustapha Douch, Aston University
 

Trends in the distribution of household income and changes in the interdependence between income sources
   presented by: Philippe Van Kerm, LISER and University of Luxembourg
 

Average Gaps and Oaxaca–Blinder Decompositions: A Cautionary Tale about Regression Estimates of Racial Differences in Labor Market Outcomes
   presented by: Tymon Słoczyński, Brandeis University
 

The Convergence of the Gender Pay Gap - An Alternative Estimation Approach -
   presented by: Marina Topfer, University of Erlangen-Nuremberg
 

Aid Effectiveness: Human Rights as a Conditionality Measure?
   presented by: Mustapha Douch, Aston University
 
Session 101: Plenary lecture: Alan Timmermann
June 28, 2018 16:30 to 17:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
 
Session 102: Plenary Lecture: Tim Conley
June 29, 2018 9:00 to 10:00
 
Session Organizer: ,
 
Session 103: Macro-Finance IV
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: Todd Clark, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Session Chair: Lorenzo Pozzi, Erasmus University Rotterdam
 

Risk endogeneity at the lender-/investor-of-last-resort
   presented by: Bernd Schwaab, European Central Bank
 

The (un)demand for cash in Canada
   presented by: Geoffrey Dunbar, Bank of Canada
 

The Macroeconomic Effects of Bank Capital Requirement Tightenings: Evidence from a Narrative Approach
   presented by: Esteban Prieto, Deutsche Bundesbank
 

Consumption and wealth in the long run: an integrated unobserved component approach
   presented by: Lorenzo Pozzi, Erasmus University Rotterdam
 
Session 104: Factor Models II
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: L. Vanessa Smith, University of York
 

Sieve estimation of time-varying factor loadings
   presented by: Ying Lun Cheung, Goethe University Frankfurt
 

Quantile Factor Models
   presented by: JUAN J. DOLADO, European University Institute
 

Short T Dynamic Panel Data Models with Individual and Interactive Time Effects
[slides]
   presented by: L. Vanessa Smith, University of York
 
Session 105: Exchange rates
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: David Papell, University of Houston
 

The Macroeconomic Effects of Exchange Rate Movements in Emerging Market Economies
   presented by: Pablo Anaya, Freie Universität Berlin, DIW Berlin
 

Exchange Rate Determination under Inflation Targeting: A Microstructural Approach for Emerging Economies
   presented by: Fredy Gamboa-Estrada, Banco de la Republica
 

Does a Big Bazooka Matter? Central Bank Balance-Sheet Policies and Exchange Rates
   presented by: Georgios Georgiadis, European Central Bank
 

Long-Run Purchasing Parity Redux
   presented by: David Papell, University of Houston
 
Session 106: Inflation dynamics II
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Viacheslav Sheremirov, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
 

Global Factors and Trend Inflation
   presented by: Benjamin Wong, Monash University
 

Estimating unobservable inflation expectations in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve
   presented by: Francesca Rondina, University of Ottawa
 

Inflation Expectations and Nonlinearities in the Phillips Curve
   presented by: Viacheslav Sheremirov, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
 

Inflation targeting under inflation uncertainty - Multi-economy evidence from a stochastic volatility model
   presented by: Maren Ulm, University of Goettingen
 
Session 107: Uncertainty in Macroeconomics III
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Norbert Metiu, Deutsche Bundesbank
 

MACROECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY, PERCEPTION AND INTERNET
   presented by: Maria Elena Bontempi, University of Bologna
 

The impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on inequality: An empirical study for the UK.
   presented by: Angeliki Theophilopoulou, University of Westminister
 

Optimal Monetary Policy in a Regime-Switching DSGE Model with Time-Varying Concern for Model Uncertainty
   presented by: Gulserim Ozcan, Bilkent University
 

The impact of correlation shocks
   presented by: Norbert Metiu, Deutsche Bundesbank
 
Session 108: Survey Forecasts and Expectation Formation II
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Sarantis Tsiaplias, The University of Melbourne
 

Business Cycle Asymmetry and Unemployment Rate Forecasts
   presented by: Simon van Norden, Mr
 

Conformism and Inflation Expectations Surveys
   presented by: Rolande KPEKOU TOSSOU, Université Laval
 

From fixed-event to fixed-horizon density forecasts: professional forecasters' view on multi-horizon uncertainty
   presented by: Gergely Ganics, Bank of Spain
 

What do consumers know about aggregate prices?
   presented by: Sarantis Tsiaplias, The University of Melbourne
 
Session 109: Volatility modeling IV
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Ulrich Hounyo, University at Albany, SUNY
 

Asymptotic Theory for Renewal Based High-Frequency Volatility Estimation
   presented by: Yifan LI, Lancaster University
 

Forecasting the Implied Volatility Surface using Put-Call parity Deviations
   presented by: Xun Gong, Erasmus University Rotterdam
 

On the robustness of the principal volatility components
   presented by: Pedro Valls Pereira, Sao Paulo School of Economics - FGV
 

Is the diurnal pattern sufficient to explain the intraday variation in volatility? A nonparametric assessment approach
   presented by: Ulrich Hounyo, University at Albany, SUNY
 
Session 110: Time Series Models IV
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Alexander Mayer, WHU -- Otto von Beisheim School of Management
 

Regime Switching Models with Multiple Dynamic Factors
   presented by: Shi Qiu, Indiana University Bloomington
 

Confidence Sets for the Date of a Structural Change at the End of a Sample
   presented by: Eiji Kurozumi, Hitotsubashi University
 

Conditional Inference in Nearly Cointegrated Vector Error-Correction Models with Small Signal-To-Noise Ratio
   presented by: Elena Pesavento, Emory University
 

A Three-Step Estimator for Macroeconomic Learning Models
   presented by: Alexander Mayer, WHU -- Otto von Beisheim School of Management
 
Session 111: Business Cycle Fluctuations II
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Pål Boug, Statistics Norway
 

Business cycle narratives
   presented by: Vegard Larsen, Norges Bank
 

Noise-Ridden Lending Cycles
[slides]
   presented by: Elena Afanasyeva, Federal Reserve Board
 

Global Macro-Financial Cycles and Spillovers
   presented by: Jongrim Ha, World Bank
 

The consumption Euler equation or the Keynesian consumption function?
   presented by: Pål Boug, Statistics Norway
 
Session 112: Prediction with high dimensional data
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Sullivan Hué, Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orléans
 

Lasso variable selection in predictive mixed-frequency model
   presented by: Clément Marsilli, Banque de France
 

Forecasting Near-equivalence of Linear Dimension Reduction Methods in Large Panels of Macro-variables
   presented by: alessandro barbarino, Federal Reserve Board
 

Reversed Ordered Monitoring CUSUM Test with Factor Structure
   presented by: Shou-Yung Yin, The University of Chicago
 

Machine Learning for Credit Scoring: Improving Logistic Regression with Non Linear Decision Tree Effects
   presented by: Sullivan Hué, Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orléans
 
Session 113: Return predictability
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Stefano Soccorsi, Lancaster University Management School
 

Long-Horizon Stock Valuation and Return Forecasts Conditional on Demographic Projections
   presented by: Alex Maynard, University of Guelph
 

Uncovered Return Parity: Equity Returns and Currency Returns
   presented by: Edouard Djeutem, Bank of Canada
 

Cyclical Earnings as a Predictor of Stock Index Crash Risk
   presented by: Tom Roberts, Bank of Canada
 

Forecasting Stock Returns with Large Dimensional Factor Models
   presented by: Stefano Soccorsi, Lancaster University Management School
 
Session 114: Treatment Effects III
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Sylvain Chabe-Ferret, Toulouse School of Economics
 

Identification with Additively Separable Heterogeneity
   presented by: Roy Allen, University of Western Ontario
 

The Problem of Causal Inference without Balance Checking in Natural Experiment Design: An Entropy Balancing Matching Analysis
   presented by: CHEN WANG, ANU
 

How Bad is Unconfoundedness in Practice? Evidence from Randomised Controlled Trials with Imperfect Compliance
   presented by: Sylvain Chabe-Ferret, Toulouse School of Economics
 
Session 115: Health Economics III
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Siddhartha Sanghi, Washington University in St. Louis
 

Health effects of extending State Pension Age for UK women
   presented by: Ludovico Carrino, King's College London
 

Measuring Physicians’ Response to Incentives: Evidence on Hours Worked and Multitasking
   presented by: Bernard Fortin, Laval University
 

The impact of access to health facilities on maternal care use and health status: Evidence from longitudinal data from rural Uganda
   presented by: Fredrick Manang, University of Dodoma (UDOM)
 

Health Inequality: Role of Insurance and Technological Progress
   presented by: Siddhartha Sanghi, Washington University in St. Louis
 
Session 116: Dynamics of Prices and Returns
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Veronika Selezneva, CERGE-EI
 

Oil Prices in the Determination of Sovereign CDS Spreads: The Case of Russia
   presented by: Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi, Banque de France
 

Econometric Modeling of Systemic Risk: Going Beyond Pairwise Comparison and Allowing for Nonlinearity
   presented by: Ali Habibnia, London School of Economics
 

Formation of Market Beliefs in the Oil Market
   presented by: Veronika Selezneva, CERGE-EI
 
Session 117: Economic and Financial Networks
June 29, 2018 10:30 to 12:30
 
Session Organizer: ,
Session Chair: Roy Allen, University of Western Ontario
 

The Double-Edged Sword of Global Integration: Robustness, Fragility & Contagion in the International Firm Network
[slides]
   presented by: Julieta Yung, Bates College
 

Do social ties lead to job referrals?
   presented by: marie lalanne, Goethe University of Frankfurt, Research Center SAFE
 

Search Frictions in International Good Markets
   presented by: Julien Martin, Université du Québec à Montréal
 

Strategic Substitutability in the Workplace: An Empirical Evidence
   presented by: Elfried Faton, Laval University
 

 

Index of Participants

Legend: C=chair, P=Presenter, D=Discussant
#ParticipantRoles in Conference
2Aastveit, Knut AreP16
3Adams, ChristopherP57, C57
4Afanasyeva, ElenaP111
5Ahn, TaehyunP76
6Albuquerque, BrunoP15, C15
7Allen, RoyP114, C117
8Almeida, CaioP4
9Almosova, AnnaP52
10Amir Ahmadi, PooyanP67
11Anaya, PabloP105
12andreini, paoloP35
13Anenberg, ElliotP24, C24
14Antoine, BertilleP95
15Aoki, YuP25
16Armstrong, TimothyP40, C40
17Atella, VincenzoP43, C43
18Athanasopoulos, GeorgeP16, C16
19Avdic, DanielP79, C79
20Avouyi-Dovi, SanviP116
21Barattieri, AlessandroP70
22barbarino, alessandroP112
23Barcelo, CristinaP63, C63
24Barnichon, RegisP7
25Belzil, ChristianP11, C11
26BEN CHEIKH, NidhaleddineP66
27Bertanha, MarinhoP76
28Bianchi, FrancescoP89, C89
29Bognanni, MarkP84
30Boldea, OtiliaP92
31Bonev, PetyoP12
32Bonhomme, StephaneP60
33Bontempi, Maria ElenaP107
34Botosaru, IreneP63
35Boug, PålP111, C111
36Braun, RobinP56, C56
37Briglevics, TamasP45, C45
38Brito, DiegoP50
39Brugnolini, LucaP17
40BRUNEEL, ChristopheP59
41Brunetti, CelsoP8
42Bruns, MartinP84
43Buccheri, GiuseppeP55, C55
44Buncic, DanielP19, C19
45Cakir, SelcenP46
46Calonico, SebastianP57
47Calvi, RossellaP9, C9
48Cao, JinP70
49Carlson, AlyssaP77
50Carpentier, AlainP44
51Carrasco, MarineP96
52Carrino, LudovicoP115
53Caruso, AlbertoP86
54Cascaldi-Garcia, DaniloP88
55Castro, Juan F.P82
56Chabe-Ferret, SylvainP114, C114
57Chakrabarti, AveriP12, C12
58Chang, YoosoonP75, C75
59Charfeddine, LanouarP68, C68
60Chauvet, MarcelleP2
61Chavleishvili, SulkhanP19
62Chelva, BeulahP58
63Chernoff, AlexP59
64Cheung, Ying LunP104
65Chrysanthou, GeorgiosP61
66Conlon, ChristopherP62
67Conti, AntonioP3
68Cox, GregoryP95, C95
69Croushore, DeanP48, C48
70Cumming, FergusP75
71CUN, WUKUANGP15
72Dany-Knedlik, GeraldineP30
73De Rezende, RafaelP39
74De Visscher, StefP7
75Del Negro, MarcoP17, C17
76Depalo, DomenicoP79
77Dhaene, GeertP96
78di nino, virginiaP68
79Dibiasi, AndreasP89
80Diez de los Rios, AntonioP36
81DiTraglia, FrancisP78
82Djeutem, EdouardP113
83Djogbenou, AntoineP50
84DOLADO, JUAN J.P104
85Domnisoru, CiprianP82
86Douch, MustaphaP100, C100
87Dovonon, ProsperP95
88Dufays, ArnaudP92, C92
89Dufour, Jean-MarieP31, C31
90Dunbar, GeoffreyP103
91Dupuis, DebbieP74
92Eilers, LeaP59
93Ellwanger, ReinhardP18
94Eo, YunjongP34, C34
95Ericsson, NeilP48
96Estefan Davila, Manuel AlejandroP81
97Fanelli, LucaP33
98Farrell, MaxP76
99Faton, ElfriedP117
100Fernandez, RoxanaP24
101Ferroni, FilippoP32, C32
102Florysiak, DavidP49
103Forneron, Jean-JacquesP53
104Forti Grazzini, CaterinaP27
105Fortin, BernardP115
106Franta, MichalP84, C84
107Frisancho, VeronicaP45
108Furlanetto, FrancescoP85
109Gaillac, ChristopheP60, C60
110Galaasen, Sigurd MølsterP8
111Galvao, Ana BeatrizP33
112Gamboa-Estrada, FredyP105
113Ganics, GergelyP108
114García-Suaza, AndrésP23
115Gautier, ErwanP90, C90
116Gelain, PaoloP38
117Georgiadis, GeorgiosP105
118Geraci, Marco ValerioP20
119Ghanem, DaliaP44
120Giannone, DomenicoP87
121Giannoni, MarcP38, C38
122Gondo, RocioP68
123Gong, XunP109
124Gourieroux, christianP93, C93
125Graeb, JohannesP90
126Grant, DarrenP79
127Guber, RaphaelP97
128Guisinger, AmyP85
129Guyonvarch, YannickP41
130Gyetvai, AttilaP63
131Ha, JongrimP111
132Habibnia, AliP116
133Hacioglu Hoke, SinemP14
134Hambuckers, JulienP36
135Han, XintongP61, C61
136Han, HeejoonP5
137Han, ZhaoP73, C73
138Hanck, ChristophP73
139Harding, MatthewP97, C97
140Harding, MartinP75
141Hasbi, MaudeP13, C13
142Hecq, AlainP19
143Herbst, EdwardP47
144Higuchi, YukiP83
145Ho, PaulP7
146Holly, SeanP93
147Holtemöller, OliverP42
148Homrighausen, PiaP99
149Horny, GuillaumeP81
150Hospido, LauraP61
151Houle, StephanieP81
152Hounyo, UlrichP109, C109
153Hué, SullivanP112, C112
154Iniguez-Montiel, AlbertoP83
155Ioannidis, ChristosC33
156Iregui, AnaP70, C70
157Issler, JoaoP73
158Istrefi, KlodianaP75
159Jackson Young, LauraP47, C47
160Jales, HugoP42
161Jin, JianjianP6, C6
162Jung, HyunseokP21
163Juodis, ArturasP14
164Ka, KookP33
165Kakar, VenooP45
166Karamysheva, MadinaP91
167Karanasos, MenelaosP53
168Karavias, YiannisP93
169Kashaev, NailP9
170Kasy, MaximilianP60
171Kedagni, DesireP57
172Kei, WendyP25
173Keijsers, BartP74
174Kesina, MichaelaP58, C58
175Khalaf, LyndaP49, C49
176Kima, RichardP37
177Kirsanova, TatianaP72, C72
178Kleibergen, FrankP95
179Knoef, MarikeP27
180Knotek II, EdwardP18
181Kociecki, AndrzejP7, C7
182Kourtellos, AndrosP22, C22
183KPEKOU TOSSOU, RolandeP108
184Krustev, GeorgiP3
185Kufenko, VadimP10
186Kulikov, DmitryP67
187Kurmann, AndreP51
188Kurozumi, EijiP110
189Kwon, EunjeeP61
190Lahiri, KajalP86, C86
191Lakdawala, AeimitP54
192lalanne, marieP117
193Lan, LanP62
194Langot, FrancoisP47
195Laouenan, MorganeP13
196Larsen, VegardP111
197López Novella, MaritzaP42
198Lee, Ji HyungP35
199Lee, JungyoonP22
200Lee, SeojeongP41, C41
201Lee, Ying-YingP76, C76
202Leiva-Leon, DaniloP34
203Lenkoski, AlexP72
204Lenza, MicheleP51, C51
205Leroux, MaximeP35
206Letterie, WilkoP62, C62
207Lewis, DanielP56
208Leymarie, JérémyP36, C36
209Li, HaixiP87, C87
210LI, YifanP109
211LI, YuhaoP10
212Lieb, LenardP60
213Lieli, RobertP16
214Liu, LauraP96
215Liu, RuixuanP10, C10
216Lkhagvasuren, DambaP53, C53
217Lombardi, MarcoP3
218Lu, ZhentongC77
219Luciani, MatteoP50, C50
220Lunsford, KurtP39
221MacKinnon, JamesP41
222Magnac, ThierryP46, C46
223Malindi, KholekileP83, C83
224Manang, FredrickP115
225Manu, Ana SimonaP70
226Marcoux, MathieuP26
227Marsilli, ClémentP112
228Martin, JulienP117
229Masini, RicardoP23
230Mastromarco, CamillaP87
231Mayer, AlexanderP110, C110
232Mayer, WalterP71
233Maynard, AlexP113
234McCracken, MichaelP71, C71
235McIntosh, JamesP11
236Mele, AngeloP58
237Mellace, GiovanniP78, C78
238Melosi, LeonardoP88, C88
239Mendes, FernandoP34
240metelli, lucaP91
241Metiu, NorbertP107, C107
242Meyer-Gohde, AlexanderP54
243Michaelsen, MarkusP74, C74
244Miranda-Agrippino, SilviaP86
245Mirone, GiorgioP6
246Mogliani, MatteoP86
247Molnar, Timea LauraP11
248Moon, Hyungsik RogerP58
249Morana, ClaudioP49
250Moretti, LauraP2, C2
251Moscelli, GiuseppeP43
252Mumtaz, HaroonP66
253Murtazashvili, IrinaP78
254Negi, AkankshaP9
255Neyt, BrechtP98
256Nongni Donfack, MorvanP4
257Norambuena, VivianP80
258Normandin, MichelP56
259Oberoi, JaideepP5
260Onorante, LucaP30
261Otero, JesusP15
262Ouazad, AmineP8, C8
263Owyang, MichaelP48
264Ozabaci, DenizP80
265Ozcan, GulserimP107
266Paccagnini, AlessiaP38
267Panovska, IrinaP47
268Papell, DavidP105, C105
269Paredes, JoanP91, C91
270Pellegrino, FilippoP30, C30
271peng, sidaP21
272Pereda-Fernández, SantiagoP77
273Pernaudet, JulieP98, C98
274Pesavento, ElenaP110
275Petrou, KyriakosP21, C21
276Pettenuzzo, DavideP4, C4
277Poelhekke, StevenP37
278Pouliot, GuillaumeP94, C94
279pourkhanali, arminP55
280Pozzi, LorenzoP103, C103
281Prieto, EstebanP103
282Priftis, RomanosP72
283Primiceri, GiorgioP35, C35
284Proshin, AleksandrP79
285Pu, YunP82, C82
286Qiu, ShiP110
287Quaghebeur, EwoudP91
288Raczko, MarekP54, C54
289Rapach, DavidP54
290Reif, MagnusP87
291Reis, HugoP98
292Richter, AlexanderP89
293Roberts, JohnP30
294Roberts, TomP113
295Romuald, MeangoP98
296Rondina, FrancescaP106
297ROSSI, FRANCESCAP22
298Rossi, BarbaraP32
299Rostam-Afschar, DavudP45
300Rostom, MayP27, C27
301Rujin, SvetlanaP85, C85
302Russell, ThomasP57
303Safojan, RominaP81, C81
304Sanchez, JimP93
305Sanghi, SiddharthaP115, C115
306Sant'Anna, Pedro H. C.P42, C42
307Sarychev, AndreiP71
308Sasaki, YuyaP23, C23
309Savsek, SimonP99
310Słoczyński, TymonP100
311Schaumburg, JuliaP74
312Schüssler, RainerP6
313Schlaak, ThoreP55
314Scholten, PatrickP13
315Schwaab, BerndP103
316Scott, AyeshaP69
317Scotti, ChiaraP33
318Sekkel, RodrigoP48
319Selezneva, VeronikaP116, C116
320Semykina, AnastasiaP77
321Shapiro, AdamP2
322Sheng, XuguangP73
323Sheremirov, ViacheslavP106, C106
324Shi, RuoyaoP46
325Shi, XiaoxiaP40
326Shibamoto, MasahikoP32
327Sibbertsen, PhilippP49
328Siemer, MichaelP3, C3
329Silva Lopes, ArturP34
330Silveira, BernardoP12
331Sims, EricP2
332Skrobotov, AntonP92
333Smith, L. VanessaP104, C104
334Snudden, StephenP18, C18
335Soberon, AlexandraP14
336Soccorsi, StefanoP113, C113
337Sokol, AndrejP37
338Sokullu, SenayP13
339Soques, DanielP52
340Stasio, AndrzejP72
341Stavroula, YfantiP69
342Stella, AndreaP51
343Stevanovic, DaliborP66
344Strittmatter, AnthonyP97
345Sun, YiguoP94
346Sunder, NaveenP82
347Taylor, RobertP92
348Tchernis, RustyP9
349ter Ellen, SaskiaP90
350Theophilopoulou, AngelikiP107
351Topfer, MarinaP100
352Tryphonides, AndreasP52, C52
353Tsakou, KaterinaP31
354Tsiaplias, SarantisP108, C108
355Tuzcuoglu, KeremP20, C20
356Ulm, MarenP106
357Ura, TakuyaP40
358Uthemann, AndreasP20
359Uzeda, LuisP66, C66
360Valls Pereira, PedroP109
361van Dijk, HermanP36
362Van Kerm, PhilippeP100
363van Norden, SimonP108
364van Vuuren, AicoP80
365Vasconcelos, GabrielP17
366Velinov, AntonP68
367Venditti, FabrizioP88
368Vera Valdés, J. EduardoP53
369Verbrugge, RandalP52
370Vicondoa, AlejandroP67
371Volpicella, AlessioP84
372Wang, FanP83
373Wang, HannaP99
374WANG, CHENP114
375Wang, YulongP80, C80
376Webb, MatthewP41
377Wei, WeiP31
378Weisser, ReinhardP44, C44
379Wiersma, QuintP63
380Wieschemeyer, MatthiasP99, C99
381Wigger, ChristophP25, C25
382Wilner, LionelP24
383Wong, BenjaminP106
384Wright, JonathanP39
385Wu, GuohuiP94
386Xia, Fan DoraP39, C39
387Xie, ErhaoP26
388Xu, YongdengP69, C69
389Yamagata, TakashiP10
390Yamamoto, YoheiP56
391Yamashita, MamikoP5, C5
392Yanagi, TakahideP96, C96
393Yang, NathanP43
394Yang, Cynthia FanP14, C14
395Yao, ChunP55
396Yen, Yu-MinP71
397Yin, Shou-YungP112
398Yong, ChenP88
399Ytsma, ErinaP62
400Yu, MengkaiP26, C26
401Yung, JulietaP117
402Zaccaria, LuanaP90
403Zamojski, MarcinP69
404Zevelev, AlbertP59, C59
405ZHANG, NINGP5
406Zhang, XuP32
407Zhang, WenP85
408Zhao, ZhiP50
409Zhong, MolinP38
410Zhu, YuP40
411Zimic, SreckoP67, C67
412Zivanovic, JelenaP37, C37

 

This program was last updated on 2018-05-24 16:03:53 EDT