| June 25, 2019 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Time | Location | Event |
| 09:45 to 10:45 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | IAAE Lecture: Sir Richard Blundell, Nonlinear Persistence and Partial Insurance: Explorations in the Panel Data Dynamics of Income and Consumption |
| | ||
| 11:00 to 12:45 | see below | Parallel sessions 1 |
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| 12:45 to 14:00 | Lunch, Landmark | |
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| 14:00 to 15:45 | see below | Parallel sessions 2 |
| | ||
| 15:45 to 16:15 | Coffee/Tea Break | |
| | ||
| 16:15 to 17:15 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | Panel Discussion on the State and Future of Econometrics - Panelists: Peter C.B. Phillips, Richard Blundell, Esfandiar Maasoumi, and Robin Lumsdaine |
| | ||
| 17:15 to 18:15 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | Plenary lecture 1: Ivana Komunjer, A Perturbation Approach to Nonlinear Filtering |
| | ||
| 19:00 to 20:30 | Welcome Reception, Landmark | |
| | ||
| June 26, 2019 | ||
| Time | Location | Event |
| 08:30 to 09:30 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | Plenary lecture 2: Fabio Canova, Mind the Gap? Stylized Facts and Structural Models |
| | ||
| 09:30 to 10:00 | Coffee/Tea Break | |
| | ||
| 10:00 to 11:45 | see below | Parallel sessions 3 |
| | ||
| 11:45 to 13:00 | Lunch, Landmark | |
| | ||
| 13:00 to 15:00 | see below | Special Session in Honor of Aris Spanos |
| | ||
| 13:00 to 14:45 | see below | Parallel sessions 4 |
| | ||
| 14:45 to 15:15 | Coffee/Tea Break | |
| | ||
| 15:15 to 17:00 | see below | Parallel sessions 5 |
| | ||
| 17:15 to 18:15 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | Plenary lecture 3: Bryan Graham, Some Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Networks |
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| 18:15 to 19:00 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | IAAE member meeting |
| | ||
| 19:00 to 23:00 | Conference dinner at Chateau Status including transportation, sightseeing tour, and private viewing at the Cyprus Museum. | |
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| June 27, 2019 | ||
| Time | Location | Event |
| 08:45 to 09:45 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | Plenary lecture 4: Petra Todd, Understanding How Personality Traits Contribute to Gender Differences in Labor Market Outcomes |
| | ||
| 09:45 to 10:15 | Coffee/Tea Break | |
| | ||
| 10:15 to 12:00 | see below | Parallel sessions 6 |
| | ||
| 12:00 to 13:15 | Lunch, Landmark | |
| | ||
| 13:15 to 15:00 | see below | Parallel sessions 7 |
| | ||
| 15:00 to 15:30 | Coffee/Tea Break | |
| | ||
| 15:30 to 17:15 | see below | Parallel sessions 8 |
| | ||
| 17:30 to 18:30 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | Plenary lecture 5: Chris Hansen, Inference for Heterogeneous Effects Using Low-Rank Estimation |
| | ||
| 19:30 to 21:00 | Cocktail Reception at 1888 Wine & Cocktail Bar | |
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| June 28, 2019 | ||
| Time | Location | Event |
| 08:45 to 09:45 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | Plenary lecture 6: Raffaella Giacomini, Estimation under Ambiguity |
| | ||
| 09:45 to 10:15 | Coffee/Tea Break | |
| | ||
| 10:15 to 12:00 | see below | Parallel sessions 9 |
| | ||
| IAAE Lecture: Sir Richard Blundell, Nonlinear Persistence and Partial Insurance: Explorations in the Panel Data Dynamics of Income and Consumption Location: Ballroom B & C - Landmark June 25, 2019 09:45 to 10:45 |
|---|
| Parallel sessions 1 Locations: listed below June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 | |
|---|---|
| Treatment Effects and Matching in Panel Data Models, Kantara B - Landmark | |
| Advances in Econometrics: Methods and Applications I, Ahera A - Landmark | |
| Assessing Interest Rates and Their Trends, Clio - Semeli | |
| Commodity Prices, Danae - Semeli | |
| Crime, Evropi - Semeli | |
| Forecast Evaluation, Othello - Landmark | |
| Identification in Structural VARs via Heteroskedasticity or Higher-Order Moments, Ballroom B & C - Landmark | |
| Intergenerational Mobility I, Akamas B - Landmark | |
| Market Microstructure, Nefeli - Semeli | |
| Observation-Driven Models and Methods, Akamas A - Landmark | |
| Quantifying Tail Risks in Macroeconomics and Finance, Ballroom A - Landmark | |
| Regime and Parameter Change in Time Series Models I, Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | |
| Topics in Panel Data Applications, Kantara A - Landmark |
| Parallel sessions 2 Locations: listed below June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 | |
|---|---|
| Advances in Big Data and Covariance Estimation, Kantara B - Landmark | |
| Advances in Methods for DSGE and Heterogeneous Agent Models, Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | |
| Advances in the Econometrics of Social Interactions, Clio - Semeli | |
| Aspects of Monetary Policy Behavior, Ballroom A - Landmark | |
| Empirical Assessments of Inflation Expectations, Kantara A - Landmark | |
| Employment I, Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | |
| Forecasting Applications I, Akamas A - Landmark | |
| Identification in Structural VARs I, Akamas B - Landmark | |
| Instrumental Variables, Danae - Semeli | |
| Labor Markets and Education I, Ahera A - Landmark | |
| Semiparametric Panel Data Models, Othello - Landmark | |
| Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects, Ballroom B & C - Landmark | |
| Topics in Empirical Microeconomics I, Ahera B - Landmark |
| Panel Discussion on the State and Future of Econometrics -
Panelists: Peter C.B. Phillips, Richard Blundell, Esfandiar Maasoumi, and Robin Lumsdaine Location: Ballroom B & C - Landmark June 25, 2019 16:15 to 17:15 |
|---|
| Plenary lecture 1: Ivana Komunjer, A Perturbation Approach to Nonlinear Filtering Location: Ballroom B & C - Landmark June 25, 2019 17:15 to 18:15 |
|---|
| Plenary lecture 2: Fabio Canova, Mind the Gap? Stylized Facts and Structural Models Location: Ballroom B & C - Landmark June 26, 2019 08:30 to 09:30 |
|---|
| Parallel sessions 3 Locations: listed below June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 | |
|---|---|
| Advances in Econometrics: Methods and Applications II, Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | |
| Advances in Forecasting Methods, Evropi - Semeli | |
| Bayesian Methods in Time Series Models, Akamas B - Landmark | |
| Discrete Choice Models I, Ahera B - Landmark | |
| Estimating and Testing Dependence in Panel Data, Othello - Landmark | |
| FAVAR Advances and Applications, Nefeli - Semeli | |
| Inflation Comovement and Persistence, Ballroom B & C - Landmark | |
| Intergenerational Mobility II, Ahera A - Landmark | |
| Jumps in Asset Returns and Other Applications with Intraday Data, Kantara B - Landmark | |
| Labor Markets, Danae - Semeli | |
| Macroeconomic Perspectives on Financial Cycles and Stability, Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | |
| Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods, Kantara A - Landmark | |
| Topics in Empirical Industrial Organization I, Akamas A - Landmark | |
| Treatment Effects, Ballroom A - Landmark |
| Special Session in Honor of Aris Spanos Locations: listed below June 26, 2019 13:00 to 15:00 | |
|---|---|
| Special Session in Honor of Aris Spanos, Ballroom B & C - Landmark |
| Parallel sessions 4 Locations: listed below June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 | |
|---|---|
| Assessing Fiscal Policy Effects I, Akamas A - Landmark | |
| Assessing the Effects of Uncertainty, Ballroom A - Landmark | |
| Education II, Ahera A - Landmark | |
| Event Studies in Macro-Finance, Nefeli - Semeli | |
| Financial Applications of Panel Data, Kantara B - Landmark | |
| Financial Frictions in Macro Models, Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | |
| Gender Gaps I, Ahera B - Landmark | |
| Health I, Kantara A - Landmark | |
| Household Consumption and Finance I, Clio - Semeli | |
| Macroeconomics and Macro-Prudential Regulation, Evropi - Semeli | |
| Measuring and Assessing Output Gaps, Danae - Semeli | |
| Minimum Wage, Othello - Landmark | |
| Monetary Policy Transmission, Akamas B - Landmark | |
| Term Structure Dynamics, Meeting Room 1 - Landmark |
| Parallel sessions 5 Locations: listed below June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 | |
|---|---|
| Advances in Big Data: Methods and Applications, Ballroom B & C - Landmark | |
| Banking and Financing, Ahera A - Landmark | |
| Forecasting Applications II, Othello - Landmark | |
| Gender Norms, Evropi - Semeli | |
| Health II, Danae - Semeli | |
| Identification in Proxy SVARs, Akamas B - Landmark | |
| Macroeconomic Assessments of Shocks and Structural Changes, Ahera B - Landmark | |
| Monetary Policy Analysis with High Frequency Data, Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | |
| Panel Models with Discrete Structure, Kantara B - Landmark | |
| Regime and Parameter Change in Time Series Models II, Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | |
| Time-Series Structure of Panel Data, Ballroom A - Landmark | |
| Topics in Empirical Microeconomics II, Akamas A - Landmark | |
| Topics in Labor Economics, Kantara A - Landmark |
| Plenary lecture 3: Bryan Graham, Some Recent Developments in the Econometrics of Networks Location: Ballroom B & C - Landmark June 26, 2019 17:15 to 18:15 |
|---|
| Plenary lecture 4: Petra Todd, Understanding How Personality Traits Contribute to Gender Differences in Labor Market Outcomes Location: Ballroom B & C - Landmark June 27, 2019 08:45 to 09:45 |
|---|
| Parallel sessions 6 Locations: listed below June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 | |
|---|---|
| Child Development, Othello - Landmark | |
| Detecting and Predicting Turning Points and Recessions, Kantara A - Landmark | |
| Developments in Factor Model and Related Methods, Kantara B - Landmark | |
| Discrete Choice Models II, Ahera A - Landmark | |
| Employment II, Akamas A - Landmark | |
| Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities, Ballroom B & C - Landmark | |
| Household Consumption and Finance II, Danae - Semeli | |
| Inference in Time Series Subject to Change, Nefeli - Semeli | |
| Modern Inference Methods for Panel Data Models, Ballroom A - Landmark | |
| Portfolio Choice, Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | |
| Return Predictability, Akamas B - Landmark | |
| Topics in Empirical Industrial Organization II, Clio - Semeli | |
| Topics in Empirical Microeconomics III, Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | |
| Topics in Exchange Rates, Ahera B - Landmark |
| Parallel sessions 7 Locations: listed below June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 | |
|---|---|
| Assessing Fiscal Policy Effects II, Othello - Landmark | |
| Challenges and Solutions with Big Data in Time Series, Ballroom B & C - Landmark | |
| Econometric Theory, Ahera B - Landmark | |
| Education III, Evropi - Semeli | |
| Effects of Credit and Financial Conditions on the Macroeconomy, Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | |
| Human Capital Investments and Skills, Kantara B - Landmark | |
| Inequality, Akamas B - Landmark | |
| Labour mobility, Kantara A - Landmark | |
| Risk Assessment Methods and Applications, Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | |
| Selecting or Combining Models or Forecasts, Akamas A - Landmark | |
| Topics in Empirical Microeconomics III, Ahera A - Landmark | |
| Volatility Models and Applications, Ballroom A - Landmark |
| Parallel sessions 8 Locations: listed below June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 | |
|---|---|
| Advances in Econometrics: Methods and Applications III, Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | |
| Connectedness and Interdependence, Akamas B - Landmark | |
| Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy, Kantara B - Landmark | |
| Forecasting Applications III, Akamas A - Landmark | |
| Gender Gaps II, Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | |
| Machine Learning in Macro/Finance Applications, Ballroom B & C - Landmark | |
| Macroeconomic Analysis of Labor's Share and Inequality, Kantara A - Landmark | |
| New Developments in Time Series Testing, Nefeli - Semeli | |
| Oil Prices, Ahera B - Landmark | |
| Preference Heterogeneity, Danae - Semeli | |
| Retirement, Othello - Landmark | |
| Social Interactions in Social Networks, Ballroom A - Landmark | |
| Topics in Empirical Industrial Organization IV, Ahera A - Landmark |
| Plenary lecture 5: Chris Hansen, Inference for Heterogeneous Effects Using Low-Rank Estimation Location: Ballroom B & C - Landmark June 27, 2019 17:30 to 18:30 |
|---|
| Plenary lecture 6: Raffaella Giacomini, Estimation under Ambiguity Location: Ballroom B & C - Landmark June 28, 2019 08:45 to 09:45 |
|---|
| Parallel sessions 9 Locations: listed below June 28, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 | |
|---|---|
| Aggregate Productivity and Technological Change, Ahera B - Landmark | |
| Assessing Bubbles and Other Topics in Time Series Theory, Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | |
| Economic Growth and Other Long-Run Trends, Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | |
| Empirical Assessments of Banking, Kantara A - Landmark | |
| Forecasting Applications IV, Othello - Landmark | |
| International Capital Flows and Cycles, Akamas B - Landmark | |
| Labor Market Dynamics, Kantara B - Landmark | |
| Labor Markets and Education II, Ahera A - Landmark | |
| Monetary Policy, Financial Crises, and Credit Flows, Ballroom A - Landmark | |
| Topics in Household Consumption and Investment, Akamas A - Landmark |
Summary of All Sessions |
|---|
Click here for an index of all participants |
| # | Date/Time | Location | Type | Title | Papers | Organizer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Kantara B - Landmark | contributed | Treatment Effects and Matching in Panel Data Models | 4 | |
| 2 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Ahera A - Landmark | contributed | Advances in Econometrics: Methods and Applications I | 4 | |
| 3 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Clio - Semeli | contributed | Assessing Interest Rates and Their Trends | 4 | James Hamilton |
| 4 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Danae - Semeli | contributed | Commodity Prices | 4 | Juan Rubio-Ramirez |
| 5 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Evropi - Semeli | contributed | Crime | 3 | |
| 6 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Othello - Landmark | contributed | Forecast Evaluation | 4 | Domenico Giannone |
| 7 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | contributed | Identification in Structural VARs via Heteroskedasticity or Higher-Order Moments | 4 | Juan Rubio-Ramirez |
| 8 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Akamas B - Landmark | contributed | Intergenerational Mobility I | 3 | |
| 9 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Nefeli - Semeli | contributed | Market Microstructure | 4 | Jonathan Wright |
| 10 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Akamas A - Landmark | contributed | Observation-Driven Models and Methods | 4 | Barbara Rossi |
| 11 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Ballroom A - Landmark | contributed | Quantifying Tail Risks in Macroeconomics and Finance | 4 | Andrew Patton |
| 12 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | contributed | Regime and Parameter Change in Time Series Models I | 3 | Andres Aradillas-Lopez |
| 13 | June 25, 2019 11:00-12:45 | Kantara A - Landmark | contributed | Topics in Panel Data Applications | 3 | Martin Weidner |
| 14 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Kantara B - Landmark | contributed | Advances in Big Data and Covariance Estimation | 4 | Andrew Patton |
| 15 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | contributed | Advances in Methods for DSGE and Heterogeneous Agent Models | 4 | Juan Rubio-Ramirez |
| 16 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Clio - Semeli | contributed | Advances in the Econometrics of Social Interactions | 4 | |
| 17 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Ballroom A - Landmark | contributed | Aspects of Monetary Policy Behavior | 4 | Mark Watson |
| 18 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Kantara A - Landmark | contributed | Empirical Assessments of Inflation Expectations | 4 | Francesco Bianchi |
| 19 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | contributed | Employment I | 3 | |
| 20 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Akamas A - Landmark | contributed | Forecasting Applications I | 4 | Domenico Giannone |
| 21 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Akamas B - Landmark | contributed | Identification in Structural VARs I | 4 | Juan Rubio-Ramirez |
| 22 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Danae - Semeli | contributed | Instrumental Variables | 3 | |
| 23 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Ahera A - Landmark | contributed | Labor Markets and Education I | 4 | |
| 24 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Othello - Landmark | contributed | Semiparametric Panel Data Models | 3 | Martin Weidner |
| 25 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | contributed | Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects | 4 | Domenico Giannone |
| 26 | June 25, 2019 14:00-15:45 | Ahera B - Landmark | contributed | Topics in Empirical Microeconomics I | 4 | |
| 27 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | contributed | Advances in Econometrics: Methods and Applications II | 4 | |
| 28 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Evropi - Semeli | contributed | Advances in Forecasting Methods | 4 | Domenico Giannone |
| 29 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Akamas B - Landmark | contributed | Bayesian Methods in Time Series Models | 4 | Juan Rubio-Ramirez |
| 30 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Ahera B - Landmark | contributed | Discrete Choice Models I | 4 | |
| 31 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Othello - Landmark | contributed | Estimating and Testing Dependence in Panel Data | 4 | Martin Weidner |
| 32 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Nefeli - Semeli | contributed | FAVAR Advances and Applications | 4 | Barbara Rossi |
| 33 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | contributed | Inflation Comovement and Persistence | 4 | Barbara Rossi |
| 34 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Ahera A - Landmark | contributed | Intergenerational Mobility II | 3 | |
| 35 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Kantara B - Landmark | contributed | Jumps in Asset Returns and Other Applications with Intraday Data | 4 | Andrew Patton |
| 36 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Danae - Semeli | contributed | Labor Markets | 4 | |
| 37 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | contributed | Macroeconomic Perspectives on Financial Cycles and Stability | 4 | Boragan Aruoba |
| 38 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Kantara A - Landmark | contributed | Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods | 4 | |
| 39 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Akamas A - Landmark | contributed | Topics in Empirical Industrial Organization I | 4 | Andres Aradillas-Lopez |
| 40 | June 26, 2019 10:00-11:45 | Ballroom A - Landmark | contributed | Treatment Effects | 4 | |
| 41 | June 26, 2019 13:00-15:00 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | invited | Special Session in Honor of Aris Spanos | 4 | |
| 42 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Akamas A - Landmark | contributed | Assessing Fiscal Policy Effects I | 2 | Boragan Aruoba |
| 43 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Ballroom A - Landmark | contributed | Assessing the Effects of Uncertainty | 4 | Francesco Bianchi |
| 44 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Ahera A - Landmark | contributed | Education II | 3 | |
| 45 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Nefeli - Semeli | contributed | Event Studies in Macro-Finance | 4 | Jonathan Wright |
| 46 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Kantara B - Landmark | contributed | Financial Applications of Panel Data | 3 | Martin Weidner |
| 47 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | contributed | Financial Frictions in Macro Models | 4 | Francesco Bianchi |
| 48 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Ahera B - Landmark | contributed | Gender Gaps I | 4 | |
| 49 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Kantara A - Landmark | contributed | Health I | 4 | |
| 50 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Clio - Semeli | contributed | Household Consumption and Finance I | 4 | |
| 51 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Evropi - Semeli | contributed | Macroeconomics and Macro-Prudential Regulation | 3 | Boragan Aruoba |
| 52 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Danae - Semeli | contributed | Measuring and Assessing Output Gaps | 4 | James Hamilton |
| 53 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Othello - Landmark | contributed | Minimum Wage | 4 | |
| 54 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Akamas B - Landmark | contributed | Monetary Policy Transmission | 3 | Boragan Aruoba |
| 55 | June 26, 2019 13:00-14:45 | Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | contributed | Term Structure Dynamics | 4 | Jonathan Wright |
| 56 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | contributed | Advances in Big Data: Methods and Applications | 3 | |
| 57 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Ahera A - Landmark | contributed | Banking and Financing | 4 | Jonathan Wright |
| 58 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Othello - Landmark | contributed | Forecasting Applications II | 4 | Domenico Giannone |
| 59 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Evropi - Semeli | contributed | Gender Norms | 3 | |
| 60 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Danae - Semeli | contributed | Health II | 3 | |
| 61 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Akamas B - Landmark | contributed | Identification in Proxy SVARs | 4 | Juan Rubio-Ramirez |
| 62 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Ahera B - Landmark | contributed | Macroeconomic Assessments of Shocks and Structural Changes | 4 | Mark Watson |
| 63 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | contributed | Monetary Policy Analysis with High Frequency Data | 4 | Jonathan Wright |
| 64 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Kantara B - Landmark | contributed | Panel Models with Discrete Structure | 4 | Martin Weidner |
| 65 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | contributed | Regime and Parameter Change in Time Series Models II | 4 | James Hamilton |
| 66 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Ballroom A - Landmark | contributed | Time-Series Structure of Panel Data | 4 | Martin Weidner |
| 67 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Akamas A - Landmark | contributed | Topics in Empirical Microeconomics II | 4 | Andres Aradillas-Lopez |
| 68 | June 26, 2019 15:15-17:00 | Kantara A - Landmark | contributed | Topics in Labor Economics | 4 | |
| 69 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Othello - Landmark | contributed | Child Development | 3 | |
| 70 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Kantara A - Landmark | contributed | Detecting and Predicting Turning Points and Recessions | 4 | Domenico Giannone |
| 71 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Kantara B - Landmark | contributed | Developments in Factor Model and Related Methods | 4 | Graham Elliott |
| 72 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Ahera A - Landmark | contributed | Discrete Choice Models II | 4 | |
| 73 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Akamas A - Landmark | contributed | Employment II | 4 | |
| 74 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | contributed | Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities | 4 | Domenico Giannone |
| 75 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Danae - Semeli | contributed | Household Consumption and Finance II | 4 | |
| 76 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Nefeli - Semeli | contributed | Inference in Time Series Subject to Change | 4 | Graham Elliott |
| 77 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Ballroom A - Landmark | contributed | Modern Inference Methods for Panel Data Models | 3 | Martin Weidner |
| 78 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | contributed | Portfolio Choice | 4 | Francesco Bianchi |
| 79 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Akamas B - Landmark | contributed | Return Predictability | 4 | Jonathan Wright |
| 80 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Clio - Semeli | contributed | Topics in Empirical Industrial Organization II | 3 | Andres Aradillas-Lopez |
| 81 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | contributed | Topics in Empirical Microeconomics III | 4 | |
| 82 | June 27, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Ahera B - Landmark | contributed | Topics in Exchange Rates | 4 | Barbara Rossi |
| 83 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Othello - Landmark | contributed | Assessing Fiscal Policy Effects II | 4 | Boragan Aruoba |
| 84 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | contributed | Challenges and Solutions with Big Data in Time Series | 4 | Mark Watson |
| 85 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Ahera B - Landmark | contributed | Econometric Theory | 4 | |
| 86 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Evropi - Semeli | contributed | Education III | 4 | |
| 87 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | contributed | Effects of Credit and Financial Conditions on the Macroeconomy | 3 | Boragan Aruoba |
| 88 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Kantara B - Landmark | contributed | Human Capital Investments and Skills | 4 | |
| 89 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Akamas B - Landmark | contributed | Inequality | 4 | |
| 90 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Kantara A - Landmark | contributed | Labour mobility | 4 | |
| 91 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | contributed | Risk Assessment Methods and Applications | 4 | Andrew Patton |
| 92 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Akamas A - Landmark | contributed | Selecting or Combining Models or Forecasts | 4 | Barbara Rossi |
| 93 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Ahera A - Landmark | contributed | Topics in Empirical Microeconomics III | 4 | |
| 94 | June 27, 2019 13:15-15:00 | Ballroom A - Landmark | contributed | Volatility Models and Applications | 4 | Barbara Rossi |
| 95 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | contributed | Advances in Econometrics: Methods and Applications III | 4 | |
| 96 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Akamas B - Landmark | contributed | Connectedness and Interdependence | 4 | Andrew Patton |
| 97 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Kantara B - Landmark | contributed | Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy | 4 | Jonathan Wright |
| 98 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Akamas A - Landmark | contributed | Forecasting Applications III | 4 | Domenico Giannone |
| 99 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | contributed | Gender Gaps II | 3 | |
| 100 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Ballroom B & C - Landmark | contributed | Machine Learning in Macro/Finance Applications | 4 | Jonathan Wright |
| 101 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Kantara A - Landmark | contributed | Macroeconomic Analysis of Labor's Share and Inequality | 4 | Boragan Aruoba |
| 102 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Nefeli - Semeli | contributed | New Developments in Time Series Testing | 4 | Barbara Rossi |
| 103 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Ahera B - Landmark | contributed | Oil Prices | 3 | James Hamilton |
| 104 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Danae - Semeli | contributed | Preference Heterogeneity | 3 | |
| 105 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Othello - Landmark | contributed | Retirement | 3 | |
| 106 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Ballroom A - Landmark | contributed | Social Interactions in Social Networks | 4 | |
| 107 | June 27, 2019 15:30-17:15 | Ahera A - Landmark | contributed | Topics in Empirical Industrial Organization IV | 4 | |
| 108 | June 28, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Ahera B - Landmark | contributed | Aggregate Productivity and Technological Change | 4 | Francesco Bianchi |
| 109 | June 28, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Meeting Room 1 - Landmark | contributed | Assessing Bubbles and Other Topics in Time Series Theory | 3 | Barbara Rossi |
| 110 | June 28, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Meeting Room 2 - Landmark | contributed | Economic Growth and Other Long-Run Trends | 4 | Boragan Aruoba |
| 111 | June 28, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Kantara A - Landmark | contributed | Empirical Assessments of Banking | 4 | Jonathan Wright |
| 112 | June 28, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Othello - Landmark | contributed | Forecasting Applications IV | 3 | Domenico Giannone |
| 113 | June 28, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Akamas B - Landmark | contributed | International Capital Flows and Cycles | 4 | Jonathan Wright |
| 114 | June 28, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Kantara B - Landmark | contributed | Labor Market Dynamics | 4 | Boragan Aruoba |
| 115 | June 28, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Ahera A - Landmark | contributed | Labor Markets and Education II | 3 | |
| 116 | June 28, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Ballroom A - Landmark | contributed | Monetary Policy, Financial Crises, and Credit Flows | 4 | Francesco Bianchi |
| 117 | June 28, 2019 10:15-12:00 | Akamas A - Landmark | contributed | Topics in Household Consumption and Investment | 3 |
117 sessions, 439 papers, and 0 presentations with no associated papers |
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IAAE 2019 Annual Conference |
Detailed List of Sessions |
| Session 1: Treatment Effects and Matching in Panel Data Models June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Kantara B - Landmark |
|---|
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Anthony Strittmatter, University of St. Gallen |
| Session type: contributed |
| Synthetic Difference In Differences |
| presented by: Dmitry Arkhangelsky, CEMFI |
| Semiparametric Efficiency in Linear Pseudo-Panel Data Models: With an Application to DID Regression |
| presented by: David Pacini, University of Bristol |
| Doubly Robust Difference-in-Differences Estimators |
| presented by: Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna, Vanderbilt University |
| What is the Value Added by using Causal Machine Learning Methods in a Welfare Experiment Evaluation? |
| presented by: Anthony Strittmatter, University of St. Gallen |
| Session 2: Advances in Econometrics: Methods and Applications I June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Ahera A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Miguel Delgado, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid |
| Session type: contributed |
| Measures of piecewise dependence |
| presented by: Razvan Sufana, York University |
| Beyond the human development index: a stochastic spanning methodology |
| presented by: Thanasis Stengos, University of Guelph |
| THE HIDDEN BIAS: MISCLASSIFIED BINARY REGRESSORS IN THE GENERAL LINEAR MODEL |
| presented by: Vidhura Tennekoon, Department of Economics |
| Counterfactual Analysis Using Censored Duration Data |
| presented by: Miguel Delgado, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid |
| Session 3: Assessing Interest Rates and Their Trends June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Clio - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: James Hamilton, University of California, San Diego |
| Session Chair: Marco Del Negro, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Session type: contributed |
| Predicting interest rates in real-time |
| presented by: Alberto Caruso, Confindustria |
| Global Trends in Interest Rates |
| presented by: Marco Del Negro, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Why so low for so long? A long-term view of real interest rates |
| presented by: Mikael Juselius, Bank of FInland |
| Estimating the Natural Rate of Interest in Real Time |
| presented by: David Papell, University of Houston |
| Session 4: Commodity Prices June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Danae - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: Juan Rubio-Ramirez, Emory |
| Session Chair: Duc (Brian) Tran, University of Melbourne |
| Session type: contributed |
| The Interplay Between Oil and Food Commodity Prices: Has It Changed over Time? |
| presented by: Wouter Van der Veken, wouvdrve.vanderveken@ugent.be |
| The Impact of Weather on Commodity Prices: A Warning for the Future |
| presented by: Annalisa Marini, University of Exeter |
| Technology shocks and the Prebisch-Singer hypothesis |
| presented by: Vincenzo De Lipsis, University College London |
| Commodity Uncertainty in a Small Open Economy: Theory and Empirics |
| presented by: Duc (Brian) Tran, University of Melbourne |
| Session 5: Crime June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Evropi - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Giovanni Mastrobuon, Collegio Carlo Alberto |
| Session type: contributed |
| Shaking Criminal Incentives |
| presented by: Theodore Koutmeridis, University of Glasgow |
| Shooting down the price: evidence from mafia homicides and housing market volatility |
| presented by: Andrea Mario Lavezzi, Università di Palermo |
| Crime is Terribly Revealing: Information Technology and Police Productivity |
| presented by: Giovanni Mastrobuoni, Collegio Carlo Alberto |
| Session 6: Forecast Evaluation June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Othello - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Domenico Giannone, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Session Chair: Sander Barendse, Oxford University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Comparing Predictive Accuracy in the Presence of a Loss Function Shape Parameter |
| presented by: Sander Barendse, Oxford University |
| Tests of conditional predictive ability: some simulation evidence |
| presented by: Michael McCracken, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| Non-parametric Tests for Superior Predictive Ability |
| presented by: Valerio Poti, University College Dublin |
| Encompassing Tests for Higher-Order Elicitable Functionals |
| presented by: Julie Schnaitmann, University of Konstanz |
| Session 7: Identification in Structural VARs via Heteroskedasticity or Higher-Order Moments June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Ballroom B & C - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Juan Rubio-Ramirez, Emory |
| Session Chair: Tomasz Wozniak, University of Melbourne |
| Session type: contributed |
| Monetary Policy, External Instruments and Heteroskedasticity |
| presented by: Thore Schlaak, DIW Berlin |
| A generalized method of moments estimator for structural vector autoregressions based on higher moments |
| presented by: Sascha Keweloh, |
| Robust Inference in Models Identified via Heteroskedasticity |
| presented by: Daniel Lewis, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Partial Identification of Heteroskedastic Structural VARs: Theory and Bayesian Inference |
| presented by: Tomasz Wozniak, University of Melbourne |
| Session 8: Intergenerational Mobility I June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Akamas B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Dionissi Aliprantis, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland |
| Session type: contributed |
| A New Approach to Measuring Genetic and Environmental Effects in Twins Studies |
| presented by: Andros Kourtellos, University of Cyprus |
| Test Scores, Schools, and the Geography of Economic Opportunity |
| presented by: Sulagna Mookerjee, Georgetown University SFS-Q |
| What Explains Neighborhood Sorting by Income and Race? |
| presented by: Dionissi Aliprantis, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland |
| Session 9: Market Microstructure June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Nefeli - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session Chair: Theodosis Kallenos, University of Cyprus |
| Session type: contributed |
| The effects of trade size and market depth on immediate price impact |
| presented by: Heather Anderson, Monash University |
| Participation After Sudden Access |
| presented by: Michael Haliassos, Goethe University Frankfurt |
| Local Mispricing and Microstructural Noise: A Parametric Perspective |
| presented by: Ilya Archakov, University of Vienna |
| Strategic Timing in Closed-End Fund Portfolio Holdings Disclosure |
| presented by: Theodosis Kallenos, University of Cyprus |
| Session 10: Observation-Driven Models and Methods June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Akamas A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Barbara Rossi, ICREA-Univ. Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE |
| Session Chair: Marcin Zamojski, University of Gothenburg |
| Session type: contributed |
| Dynamic clustering of multivariate panel data |
| presented by: Julia Schaumburg, VU University Amsterdam |
| Dynamic Term Structure Models with Score-Driven Time-Varying Parameters: Estimation and Forecasting |
| presented by: Marcin Zamojski, University of Gothenburg |
| A General Class of Score-Driven Smoothers |
| presented by: Fulvio Corsi, University of Pisa |
| Missing Observations in Observation-Driven Time Series Models |
| presented by: Paolo Gorgi, VU University Amsterdam |
| Session 11: Quantifying Tail Risks in Macroeconomics and Finance June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Ballroom A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Andrew Patton, |
| Session Chair: Luca Trapin, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Milano |
| Session type: contributed |
| Telling tales from the tails: high-dimensional tail interdependence |
| presented by: Evarist Stoja, University of Bristol |
| Assessing Macroeconomic Tail Risk |
| presented by: Francesca Loria, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve Board |
| Flighty Liquidity |
| presented by: Domenico Giannone, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Liquidity tail risk in the wake of the financial crisis: Evidence from the U.S. stock market |
| presented by: Luca Trapin, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Milano |
| Session 12: Regime and Parameter Change in Time Series Models I June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Meeting Room 1 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Andres Aradillas-Lopez, Pennsylvania State University |
| Session Chair: Eiji Kurozumi, Hitotsubashi University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Monitoring Parameter Changes in Models with a Trend |
| presented by: Eiji Kurozumi, Hitotsubashi University |
| Non-Linearities in International Prices |
| presented by: Sangsoo Park, Korea University |
| Long memory conditional heteroscedasticity in count data |
| presented by: Mawuli Segnon, University of Muenster |
| Session 13: Topics in Panel Data Applications June 25, 2019 11:00 to 12:45 Kantara A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Martin Weidner, University College London |
| Session Chair: Chrysanthi Rapti, UCL |
| Session type: contributed |
| Bought, sold, and bought again : the impact of complex value chains on export elasticities |
| presented by: Vanessa Gunnella, European Central Bank |
| Reexamining the growth effects of ENSO: the role of local weather conditions |
| presented by: Olivier Damette, Université de Lorraine, Faculté de Droit et de Sciences Economiques |
| The impact of weather on the trade of agricultural commodities |
| presented by: Chrysanthi Rapti, UCL |
| Session 14: Advances in Big Data and Covariance Estimation June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Kantara B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Andrew Patton, |
| Session Chair: Pedro Valls Pereira, Sao Paulo School of Economics - FGV |
| Session type: contributed |
| A New Parametrization of Correlation Matrices |
| presented by: Peter Hansen, University of North Carolina at CH |
| Forecasting conditional covariance matrices in high-dimensional data using the general dynamic factor model |
| presented by: Pedro Valls Pereira, Sao Paulo School of Economics - FGV |
| A regularization approach for estimation and variable selection in high dimensional regression |
| presented by: Yiannis Dendramis, Athens University of Economics and Business |
| Tailored Lasso for Moderate Dimensional VECM and Exchange Rates |
| presented by: Melanie Schienle, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology |
| Session 15: Advances in Methods for DSGE and Heterogeneous Agent Models June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Meeting Room 2 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Juan Rubio-Ramirez, Emory |
| Session Chair: Andrzej Kociecki, Narodowy Bank Polski |
| Session type: contributed |
| Identification and estimation of heterogeneous agent models: A likelihood approach |
| presented by: Mu-Chun Wang, Universität Hamburg |
| Risk-Sensitive Linear Approximations∗ |
| presented by: Alexander Meyer-Gohde, Goethe-Universität Frankfurt |
| QUALITATIVE SURVEYS AND MARGINS OF ADJUSTMENT IN HETEROGENEOUS AGENT ECONOMIES |
| presented by: Andreas Tryphonides, Humboldt U |
| A Framework to Analyze Identification in DSGE Models |
| presented by: Andrzej Kociecki, Narodowy Bank Polski |
| Session 16: Advances in the Econometrics of Social Interactions June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Clio - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Michele Aquaro, European Commission |
| Session type: contributed |
| Threshold Spatial Autoregression |
| presented by: Antri Konstantinidi, University of Cyprus |
| Heterogeneity in Network Peer Effects |
| presented by: Livia Shkoza, University of Konstanz |
| Estimation and Inference in Spatial Models with Dominant Units |
| presented by: Cynthia Yang, Florida State University |
| Estimation and Inference for Spatial Models with Heterogeneous Coefficients: An Application to U.S. House Prices |
| presented by: Michele Aquaro, European Commission |
| Session 17: Aspects of Monetary Policy Behavior June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Ballroom A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Mark Watson, Princeton University |
| Session Chair: Tatevik Sekhposyan, Texas A&M University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Monetary Policy Uncertainty: A Tale of Two Tails |
| presented by: Tatevik Sekhposyan, Texas A&M University |
| An Empirical Estimation of the Fed’s Targeting Rule and Preference∗ |
| presented by: Donghai Zhang, University of Bonn |
| Forward guidance and expectation formation: cross-country evidence from survey data |
| presented by: Christopher Sutherland, Bank of Canada |
| What Say They About Their Mandate? A Textual Assessment of Federal Reserve Speeches |
| presented by: Robin Lumsdaine, Kogod School of Business, American Unive |
| Session 18: Empirical Assessments of Inflation Expectations June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Kantara A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University |
| Session Chair: Johannes Schuffels, Maastricht University |
| Session type: contributed |
| How Do Consumers Adapt to a New Environment in their Economic Forecasting? Evidence from the German Reunification |
| presented by: Olga Goldfayn-Frank, Goethe University Frankfurt |
| Inflation expectations and consumer spending: the role of household balance sheets |
| presented by: Johannes Schuffels, Maastricht University |
| Perceptions and Expectations of Inflation by U.S. Households |
| presented by: Ekaterina Peneva, Federal Reserve Board |
| Trend Inflation and Inflation Compensation |
| presented by: Aubrey Poon, University of Strathclyde |
| Session 19: Employment I June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Meeting Room 1 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Peter Shirley, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research |
| Session type: contributed |
| Using occupations to evaluate the employment effects of the 2015 introduction of a statutory minimum wage in Germany |
| presented by: Martin Friedrich, Institute for Employment Research |
| Timed to Say Goodbye: Does Unemployment Benefit Eligibility Affect Worker Layoffs? |
| presented by: Andrea Albanese, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research |
| First-Time Mothers and the Labor Market Effects of the Earned Income Tax Credit |
| presented by: Peter Shirley, Luxembourg Institute of Socio-Economic Research |
| Session 20: Forecasting Applications I June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Akamas A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Domenico Giannone, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Session Chair: Stig Møller, Aarhus University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Nowcasting Gross Domestic Output |
| presented by: Kurt Lewis, Federal Reserve Board |
| In Search of Information: Use of Google Trends' Data to Narrow Information Gaps for Low-income Developing Countries |
| presented by: Futoshi Narita, International Monetary Fund |
| Forecasting exchange rates of major currencies with long maturity forward rates |
| presented by: Zsolt Darvas, Bruegel & Corvinus University of Budapest, and University of Pécs |
| Forecasting house prices using online search activity |
| presented by: Stig Møller, Aarhus University |
| Session 21: Identification in Structural VARs I June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Akamas B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Juan Rubio-Ramirez, Emory |
| Session Chair: Luca Fanelli, University of Bologna |
| Session type: contributed |
| Identifying and Estimating the E¤ects of Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Data: How to Do It And What Have We Learned? |
| presented by: Barbara Rossi, ICREA-Univ. Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE |
| Dynamic effects of persistent shocks |
| presented by: Jesus Gonzalo, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid |
| Identifying Macro Equations Using Past Shocks as Instruments |
| presented by: Geert Mesters, Universitat Pompeu Fabra |
| Exogenous uncertainty and the identication of Structural Vector Autoregressions with external instruments |
| presented by: Luca Fanelli, University of Bologna |
| Session 22: Instrumental Variables June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Danae - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Patrick Burauel, DIW Berlin |
| Session type: contributed |
| Salvaging Falsified Instrumental Variable Models |
| presented by: Alexandre Poirier, Georgetown University |
| Inference in Instrumental Variables Models with Heteroskedasticity and Many Instruments |
| presented by: Federico Crudu, University of Siena |
| Vector-induced spectral measures and instrument exogeneity |
| presented by: Patrick Burauel, DIW Berlin |
| Session 23: Labor Markets and Education I June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Ahera A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Cecilia Machado, Getulio Vargas Foundation FGV-EPGE |
| Session type: contributed |
| Are Labour market statuses, Markov time-homogeneous process? |
| presented by: Niki Stylianidou, ISTAT |
| Youth Responses to Cash Transfers: Evidence from Brazil |
| presented by: Cecilia Machado, Getulio Vargas Foundation FGV-EPGE |
| Taking PISA Seriously: How Accurate are Low-Stakes Exams? |
| presented by: Jinwen Wang, Penn State University |
| The Impact of Military Service on Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Rural China |
| presented by: Sophie Xuefei Wang, Central University of Economics and Finance |
| Session 24: Semiparametric Panel Data Models June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Othello - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Martin Weidner, University College London |
| Session Chair: Chris Muris, University of Bristol |
| Session type: contributed |
| A Correlated Random Coefficient Panel Model with Time - Varying Endogeneity |
| presented by: Louise Laage, TSE postdoc/ Georgetown University |
| Identifying Distributions in a Panel Model with Heteroskedasticity: An Application to Earnings Volatility |
| presented by: Irene Botosaru, University of Bristol |
| Binarization for Panel Models with Fixed Effects |
| presented by: Chris Muris, University of Bristol |
| Session 25: Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Ballroom B & C - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Domenico Giannone, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Session Chair: Carlos Diaz, University of Leicester |
| Session type: contributed |
| Macroeconomic Uncertainty estimates and their effect on key economic indicators in Cyprus |
| presented by: Maria Demetriadou, |
| The Effect of the Bank of England Expected Inflation Uncertainty on Private Forecasters' Disagreement |
| presented by: Carlos Diaz, University of Leicester |
| Estimating Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Discord Using Info-Metrics |
| presented by: Kajal Lahiri, State University New York Albany |
| Measuring Data Uncertainty: An Application using the Bank of Englands Fan Charts for Historical GDP Growth |
| presented by: Ana Beatriz Galvao, University of Warwick |
| Session 26: Topics in Empirical Microeconomics I June 25, 2019 14:00 to 15:45 Ahera B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Ioannis Laliotis, London School of Economics |
| Session type: contributed |
| Summertime and the drivin’ is easy? Daylight Saving Time and vehicle accidents |
| presented by: Ioannis Laliotis, London School of Economics |
| Effect of Fasting on Traffic Accidents |
| presented by: Ahmet Gulek, Koc University |
| Analysing Subjective Well-Being Data with Misclassification |
| presented by: Ekaterina Oparina, University of Surrey |
| Relativity and Habit Formation in Life Satisfaction |
| presented by: Andreas Aristidou, University of Southern California |
| Session 27: Advances in Econometrics: Methods and Applications II June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Meeting Room 1 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Richard Ashley, Virginia Tech |
| Session type: contributed |
| SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF OLS MULTIPLE REGRESSION INFERENCE WITH RESPECT TO POSSIBLE LINEAR ENDOGENEITY IN THE EXPLANATORY VARIABLES |
| presented by: Richard Ashley, Virginia Tech |
| Rate-Optimal Estimation of the Intercept in a Semiparametric Sample-Selection Model |
| presented by: Chuan Goh, University of Guelph |
| Optimal GMM-based Model Averaging for Finite Samples |
| presented by: Vasco Gabriel, University of Surrey |
| Constrained Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Structural Gravity Models |
| presented by: Michael Pfaffermayr, University of Innsbruck |
| Session 28: Advances in Forecasting Methods June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Evropi - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: Domenico Giannone, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Session Chair: Shaun Vahey, Warwick University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Improved Methods for Combining Point Forecasts for an Asymmetrically Distributed Variable |
| presented by: Shaun Vahey, Warwick University |
| Microfounded Forecasting |
| presented by: Joao Issler, Getulio Vargas Foundation |
| Using External Judgment in Euro Area Predictions |
| presented by: Gergely Ganics, Bank of Spain |
| Higher Moment Constraints for Predictive Density Combinations |
| presented by: Laurent Pauwels, University of Sydney |
| Session 29: Bayesian Methods in Time Series Models June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Akamas B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Juan Rubio-Ramirez, Emory |
| Session Chair: Gary Koop, University of Strathclyde |
| Session type: contributed |
| Variational Bayesian Inference in Large Vector Autoregressions with Hierarchical Shrinkage |
| presented by: Gary Koop, University of Strathclyde |
| Adaptive Bayesian Estimation of Conditional Discrete-Continuous Distributions with an Application to Stock Market Trading Activity |
| presented by: Andriy Norets, Brown University |
| Bayesian Cubic Local Projection |
| presented by: Luca Brugnolini, No Affiliation |
| Robust Bayesian inference in the presence of distributional misspecification in VAR models |
| presented by: Katerina Petrova, University of St Andrews |
| Session 30: Discrete Choice Models I June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Ahera B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Lina Zhang, Monash University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Indirect Inference with a Non-Smooth Criterion Function |
| presented by: Tatsushi oka, Monash University |
| Simple Nonparametric Bounds on the Joint Distribution of Welfare and Endogenous Choice(s) in Discrete Random Utility Models |
| presented by: Sebastiaan Maes, KU Leuven |
| Identification of Structural Parameters in Dynamic Discrete Choice Games with Fixed Effects Unobserved Heterogeneity |
| presented by: Victor Aguirregabiria, University of Toronto |
| Weak Instruments Test in Discrete Choice Models |
| presented by: Lina Zhang, Monash University |
| Session 31: Estimating and Testing Dependence in Panel Data June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Othello - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Martin Weidner, University College London |
| Session Chair: Natalia Bailey, Monash University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Measuring trends and persistence in capital and labor misallocation |
| presented by: Maurice Bun, De Nederlandsche Bank |
| Testing the number of components in finite mixture model with normal panel regression |
| presented by: Jasmine Hao, UBC |
| A Linear Dynamic Mixed Model for Spatial Panel Data |
| presented by: Brajendra C. Sutradhar, Carleton University, Memorial University |
| Exponent of Cross-sectional Dependence for Residuals |
| presented by: Natalia Bailey, Monash University |
| Session 32: FAVAR Advances and Applications June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Nefeli - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: Barbara Rossi, ICREA-Univ. Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE |
| Session Chair: Maurizio Daniele, University of Konstanz |
| Session type: contributed |
| A regularized structural factor-augmented vector autoregressive model |
| presented by: Maurizio Daniele, University of Konstanz |
| Targeted Impulse Responses |
| presented by: Igor Masten, University of Ljubljana |
| The Quantitative Effects of Tax Foresight: Not All States Are Equal |
| presented by: Sandeep Kumar Rangaraju, Weber State University |
| Central Bank Policies and Financial Markets: Lessons from the Euro Crisis |
| presented by: Milan Nedeljkovic, FEFA; CESifo |
| Session 33: Inflation Comovement and Persistence June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Ballroom B & C - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Barbara Rossi, ICREA-Univ. Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE |
| Session Chair: Ana Gómez-Loscos, Banco de España |
| Session type: contributed |
| Incomplete Price Adjustment and Inflation Persistence |
| presented by: Marcelle Chauvet, University of California Riverside |
| Inflation interdependence in advanced economies |
| presented by: Ana Gómez-Loscos, Banco de España |
| Exchange Rate Shocks and Inflation Comovement in the Euro Area |
| presented by: Eva Ortega, Bank of Spain |
| Understanding Global Inflation Synchronization |
| presented by: Jongrim Ha, World Bank |
| Session 34: Intergenerational Mobility II June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Ahera A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Sumaiya Rahman, University of Surrey |
| Session type: contributed |
| Gender heterogeneity and the role of ethnic capital in the intergenerational transmission of educational attainment |
| presented by: Agnieszka Postepska, University of Groningen |
| The Determinants of Children’s and Adolescents’ Time Use and the Trade-off Within |
| presented by: Sarah Grace See, University of Groningen |
| Falling Absolute Intergenerational Mobility |
| presented by: Sumaiya Rahman, University of Surrey |
| Session 35: Jumps in Asset Returns and Other Applications with Intraday Data June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Kantara B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Andrew Patton, |
| Session Chair: Rodrigo Hizmeri, Lancaster University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Exploiting the information of Signed Jumps and Jump Activity in forecasting Stocks Returns Volatility |
| presented by: Rodrigo Hizmeri, Lancaster University |
| Jump Factor Models in Large Cross-Sections |
| presented by: George Tauchen, Duke University |
| News and Intraday Jumps: a Big Data Approach |
| presented by: Francesco Poli, Imperial College London |
| The Effect of Intraday Periodicity on Realized Volatility Measures |
| presented by: Janosch Kellermann, Ruhr-Universität Bochum |
| Session 36: Labor Markets June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Danae - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Giulia Santangelo, European Commission, Joint Research Centre |
| Session type: contributed |
| Active Labour Market Policies in Flanders. Evaluation of the ESF “Work Experience for Young Persons” programme |
| presented by: Giulia Santangelo, European Commission, Joint Research Centre |
| Why are the older workers discriminated? |
| presented by: Emmanuel Duguet, Université Paris Est, ERUDITE |
| Earnings Volatility: The Role Of Non-Employment Spells |
| presented by: Alexander Plum, Auckland University of Technology |
| Getting out of the starting gate on the right foot: employment effects of investment in human capital |
| presented by: Agata Maida, U Milan |
| Session 37: Macroeconomic Perspectives on Financial Cycles and Stability June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Meeting Room 2 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Boragan Aruoba, University of Maryland |
| Session Chair: Francisco Palomino, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserv |
| Session type: contributed |
| The reaction function channel of monetary policy and financial boom-bust cycles |
| presented by: Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul, BIS |
| Money, credit, monetary policy and the business cycle in the euro area: what has changed since the crisis? |
| presented by: Michele Lenza, European Central Bank |
| Getting in all the Cracks: Monetary Policy and Indicators of Financial Stability |
| presented by: Andrea Ajello, Federal Reserve Board |
| Macroeconomic Overheating and Financial Vulnerability |
| presented by: Francisco Palomino, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserv |
| Session 38: Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Kantara A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Juan Carlos Escanciano, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid |
| Session type: contributed |
| A specification test for semiparametric models with generated regressors |
| presented by: ELIA LAPENTA, Toulouse School of Economics |
| Semiparametric Model with an Unknown Threshold: The case of Capital Flows |
| presented by: Nelson Ramirez-Rondan, Universidad del Pacifico |
| Optimal weighting for linear inverse problems |
| presented by: Senay Sokullu, University of Bristol |
| Locally Robust Semiparametric Estimation |
| presented by: Juan Carlos Escanciano, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid |
| Session 39: Topics in Empirical Industrial Organization I June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Akamas A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Andres Aradillas-Lopez, Pennsylvania State University |
| Session Chair: Hayato Nakanishi, Kanagawa University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Multidimensional Auctions of Option Values |
| presented by: Yunmi Kong, Rice University |
| Estimation of exchangeable distribution when the highest or lowest and another order statistics are observable: Application to first-price auctions |
| presented by: Hayato Nakanishi, Kanagawa University |
| Intrafirm spillovers of export promotion agencies |
| presented by: Manuel Barron, Universidad del Pacifico |
| Production Function Estimation Robust to Flexible Timing of Labor Input |
| presented by: Kyoo il Kim, Michigan State University |
| Session 40: Treatment Effects June 26, 2019 10:00 to 11:45 Ballroom A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Lukas Laffers, Matej Bel University, Faculty of Natural Sciences |
| Session type: contributed |
| Combining Quasi-Experimental Shocks with Exogenous Exposure: A General Framework |
| presented by: Peter Hull, University of Chicago |
| Sensitivity of LATE Estimates to Violations of the Monotonicity Assumption |
| presented by: Claudia Noack, |
| Treatment Effect Models with Strategic Interaction in Treatment Decisions |
| presented by: Tadao Hoshino, Waseda University |
| Sensitivity of Bounds on ATEs under Survey Non-response |
| presented by: Lukas Laffers, Matej Bel University, Faculty of Natural Sciences |
| Session 41: Special Session in Honor of Aris Spanos June 26, 2019 13:00 to 15:00 Ballroom B & C - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: M. Hashem Pesaran, University of Southern California, and Trinity College, Cambridge |
| Session type: invited |
| Boosting the Hodrick Prescott Filter |
| presented by: Peter Phillips, Yale University |
| Elongated Pseudo-Panels from Time Series of Cross Sections |
| presented by: Esfandiar Maasoumi, Emory University |
| Inference for Iterated GMM Under Misspecification |
| presented by: Bruce Hansen, University of Wisconsin |
| The Replication Crises and the Trustworthiness of Empirical Evidence in Economics |
| presented by: Aris Spanos, Virginia Tech |
| Session 42: Assessing Fiscal Policy Effects I June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Akamas A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Boragan Aruoba, University of Maryland |
| Session Chair: Javier Ferri, University of Valencia |
| Session type: contributed |
| Households's balance sheets and the effect of fiscal policy |
| presented by: Javier Ferri, University of Valencia |
| Assessing Expectations as a Monetary/Fiscal State-Dependent Phenomenon |
| presented by: Marios Zachariadis, University of Cyprus |
| Session 43: Assessing the Effects of Uncertainty June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Ballroom A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University |
| Session Chair: Mirela Miescu, Queen Mary University of London |
| Session type: contributed |
| The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Evidence from Geopolitical Swings in Korean Peninsula |
| presented by: Inhwan So, The Bank of Korea |
| Tracking Uncertainty through the Relative Sentiment Shift Series |
| presented by: Rickard Nyman, University College London |
| Uncertainty shocks in emerging economies: a global to local approach for identification |
| presented by: Mirela Miescu, Queen Mary University of London |
| Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy: A High-Frequency Identification Strategy |
| presented by: Piergiorgio Alessandri, Banca d'Italia |
| Session 44: Education II June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Ahera A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: David Kiss, Leibniz University Hannover |
| Session type: contributed |
| Parental Love Is Not Blind: Identifying Selection into Early School Start |
| presented by: Nadia Campaniello, University of Essex |
| High Stakes Testing and Student Achievement |
| presented by: David Kiss, Leibniz University Hannover |
| Cycling for Education? Heterogeneous Preferences for Academic Tracks at Secondary School |
| presented by: Sergio Parra-Cely, Universidad San Francisco de Quito |
| Session 45: Event Studies in Macro-Finance June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Nefeli - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session Chair: Niels-Jakob Hansen, International Monetary Fund |
| Session type: contributed |
| Measuring Euro Area Monetary Policy |
| presented by: Carlo Altavilla, European Central Bank |
| Monetary Policy Transmission and Spillovers in an Open Economy During Normal and Negative Interest Rate Periods |
| presented by: PER STEFAN Laseen, Sveriges Riksbank |
| Information Effects of Euro Area Monetary Policy: New Evidence from High-Frequency Futures Data |
| presented by: Mark Kerssenfischer, Deutsche Bundesbank |
| High Frequency Identification of Political Outcome on Asset Prices |
| presented by: Niels-Jakob Hansen, International Monetary Fund |
| Session 46: Financial Applications of Panel Data June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Kantara B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Martin Weidner, University College London |
| Session Chair: Christoph Fischer, Deutsche Bundesbank |
| Session type: contributed |
| Cheap employment: Does real exchange rate depreciation increase industrial employment? |
| presented by: Fredy Gamboa-Estrada, Banco de la Republica |
| The bank lending channel in Switzerland: Capturing cross-section heterogeneity and asymmetry over time. |
| presented by: Sylvia Kaufmann, Study Center Gerzensee |
| Equilibrium real exchange rate estimates across time and space |
| presented by: Christoph Fischer, Deutsche Bundesbank |
| Session 47: Financial Frictions in Macro Models June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Meeting Room 2 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University |
| Session Chair: Paolo Gelain, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland |
| Session type: contributed |
| The financial accelerator mechanism: does frequency matter? |
| presented by: Paolo Gelain, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland |
| Risk and State-dependent Financial Frictions |
| presented by: Martin Harding, DIW Berlin |
| Expectation Formation, Financial Frictions, and Forecasting Performance of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models |
| presented by: Oliver Holtemöller, Martin-Luther-University Halle-Wittenberg and Halle Leibniz-Institute for Economic Research (IWH) |
| Jobless and Wageless Growth: The Composition Effects of Credit Easing |
| presented by: Khalid Elfayoumi, Free University of Berlin and DIW Berlin |
| Session 48: Gender Gaps I June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Ahera B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Yuejun Zhao, Monash University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Counterfactual quantile decompositions with selection correction taking into account Huber/Melly (2015): An application to the German gender wage gap |
| presented by: Martin Biewen, University of Tübingen |
| Are Women Doing It For Themselves? Gender Segregation and the Gender Wage Gap |
| presented by: Nikolaos Theodoropoulos, University of Cyprus |
| The Effect of Single-sex Education on Educational Attainment of Men and Women: Evidence from Iran |
| presented by: Mohammad Vesal, Sharif University of Technology |
| Widowhood and Cognitive Decline among US Elders: Mind Out of Time, or Time Not Out of Mind? |
| presented by: Yuejun Zhao, Monash University |
| Session 49: Health I June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Kantara A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Hermien Dijk, University of Groningen |
| Session type: contributed |
| SeaTE: Subjective ex ante Treatment Effect of Health on Retirement |
| presented by: Pamela Giustinelli, Bocconi University |
| Mental Health over the Life Course: Evidence for a U-Shape? |
| presented by: Hermien Dijk, University of Groningen |
| Opioids and the Labor Market |
| presented by: Mark Schweitzer, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland |
| Family Ties and Children Obesity in Italy |
| presented by: Silvia Tiezzi, University of Siena |
| Session 50: Household Consumption and Finance I June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Clio - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Thomas Wiemann, University of Oxford |
| Session type: contributed |
| Interest-Only Mortgages and Consumption Growth: Evidence from a Mortgage Market Reform |
| presented by: Natalia Khorunzhina, Copenhagen Business School |
| Hedging Labor Income Risk over the Life-Cycle |
| presented by: Raffaele Corvino, Cass Business School |
| The Effect of Health Care Policy Uncertainty on Households' Consumption and Portfolio Choice |
| presented by: Thomas Wiemann, University of Oxford |
| Household portfolio choices and nonlinear income risk |
| presented by: Julio Galvez, Bank of Spain |
| Session 51: Macroeconomics and Macro-Prudential Regulation June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Evropi - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: Boragan Aruoba, University of Maryland |
| Session Chair: Niki Papadopoulou, Central Bank of Cyprus |
| Session type: contributed |
| The MacroFin Copula: a Probabilistic Approach for Countercyclical Scenario Calibration |
| presented by: Elena Rancoita, Europen Central Bank |
| Macroprudential and Monetary Policies with an Imperfectly Competitive Banking Sector |
| presented by: Nimrod Segev, Bank of Israel |
| Empowering Central Bank Asset Purchases: The Role of Financial Policies |
| presented by: Niki Papadopoulou, Central Bank of Cyprus |
| Session 52: Measuring and Assessing Output Gaps June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Danae - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: James Hamilton, University of California, San Diego |
| Session Chair: Benjamin Wong, Monash University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Are all output gap estimates unstable in real time? |
| presented by: alessandro barbarino, Federal Reserve Board |
| Estimating and Accounting for the Output Gap with Large Bayesian Vector Autoregressions |
| presented by: Benjamin Wong, Monash University |
| Reliable Real-time Output Gap Estimates Based on a Modified Hamilton Filter |
| presented by: Josefine Quast, Friedrich-Schiller University Jena |
| An Output Gap Measure for the Euro Area: Exploiting Country-Level and Cross-Sectional Data Heterogeneity |
| presented by: Manuel González-Astudillo, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System |
| Session 53: Minimum Wage June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Othello - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Bernardo Fanfani, University of Turin |
| Session type: contributed |
| The Employment Effects of the Minimum Wage: A Selection Ratio Approach to Measuring Treatment Effects |
| presented by: David Slichter, Binghamton University (SUNY) |
| Do Minimum Wages Make Wages More Rigid? Evidence from French Micro Data |
| presented by: Sebastien Roux, INSEE |
| Minimum Wage Effects in Colombia: employment, compliance and firm size |
| presented by: Christian Posso, Banco de la República |
| The Employment Effects of Collective Bargaining |
| presented by: Bernardo Fanfani, University of Turin |
| Session 54: Monetary Policy Transmission June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Akamas B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Boragan Aruoba, University of Maryland |
| Session Chair: Bruno Albuquerque, Ghent University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Changing supply elasticities and regional housing booms |
| presented by: Bruno Albuquerque, Ghent University |
| Firms' Expectations and Monetary Policy Shocks in the Eurozone |
| presented by: Snezana Eminidou, University of Cyprus |
| The Role of Borrowing Constraints in the Transmission of Monetary Policy |
| presented by: Fergus Cumming, Bank of England |
| Session 55: Term Structure Dynamics June 26, 2019 13:00 to 14:45 Meeting Room 1 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session Chair: Benjamin Johannsen, Federal Reserve Board |
| Session type: contributed |
| Evaluating the Impact of the Federal Reserve's Purchase Programs: A Shadow Rate Term Structure Model Approach |
| presented by: Lisha Li, University of York |
| What does the Eurodollar futures market tell us about the effects of credit shocks and monetary policy at the lower bound? |
| presented by: Peter Spencer, University of York |
| Immunization with term structure dynamics |
| presented by: Jorge Hansen, Aarhus University, CREATES |
| The Predictability of Bond Risk Premia: A Bayesian View |
| presented by: Benjamin Johannsen, Federal Reserve Board |
| Session 56: Advances in Big Data: Methods and Applications June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Ballroom B & C - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: M. Hashem Pesaran, University of Southern California, and Trinity College, Cambridge |
| Session type: contributed |
| Modified Causal Forests for Estimating Heterogeneous Causal Effects |
| presented by: Michael Lechner, University of St. Gallen |
| Machine Learning Estimation of Heterogeneous Causal Effects: Empirical Monte Carlo Evidence |
| presented by: Michael Knaus, University of St. Gallen |
| Detection of Units with Pervasive Effects in Large Panel Data Models |
| presented by: M. Hashem Pesaran, University of Southern California, and Trinity College, Cambridge |
| Session 57: Banking and Financing June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Ahera A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session Chair: Sotirios Kokas, University of Glasgow |
| Session type: contributed |
| Which Banks Smooth and at What Price? |
| presented by: Sotirios Kokas, University of Glasgow |
| Reciprocal Lending Relationships Between Financial Conglomerates: Evidence from the Mexican Repo Market |
| presented by: Karoll Gomez, Universidad Nacional de Colombia |
| State-aided Price Coordination in the Dutch Mortgage Market |
| presented by: Mark Dijkstra, Utrecht University |
| The Formation of Hidden Negative Capital in Banking: A Product Mismatch Hypothesis |
| presented by: Mikhail Mamonov, CERGE-EI |
| Session 58: Forecasting Applications II June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Othello - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Domenico Giannone, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Session Chair: Emilio Colombo, Catholic University of Milano |
| Session type: contributed |
| Commodity Return Predictability: Economic Value and Links to the Real Economy |
| presented by: Emmanuel Eyiah-Donkor, University College Dublin |
| The Information Content of Short-Term Options |
| presented by: Lazaros Symeonidis, Norwich Business School, University of East Anglia |
| Forecasting Commodity Prices in data-rich, unstable environments |
| presented by: Anastasia Allayioti, University of Warwick |
| Statistical learning and exchange rate forecasting |
| presented by: Emilio Colombo, Catholic University of Milano |
| Session 59: Gender Norms June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Evropi - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Edith Aguirre, University of York |
| Session type: contributed |
| Domestic Violence and Women’s Earnings: Does Frequency Matter? |
| presented by: Edith Aguirre, University of York |
| Gender Identity and Relative Income within Households: A critical re-examination of Bertrand, Kamenica Pan (QJE, 2015) using U.S. and German data |
| presented by: Michael Oberfichtner, Institute for Employment Research (IAB) |
| Marital Norms and Women’s Education |
| presented by: Mayuri Chaturvedi, Columbia University |
| Session 60: Health II June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Danae - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Xueyan Zhao, Monash University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Partial Identification of Average Treatment Effects: A Comparison of Non-Parametric and Quasi Maximum Likelihood Inference |
| presented by: Xueyan Zhao, Monash University |
| Additional Funding for Special Needs Students: Quasi-experimental Results From the Netherlands |
| presented by: Roel Freriks, University of Groningen |
| Trade Liberalization and Newborn Health: Evidence from US Exposure to Chinese Import Competition |
| presented by: Hao Li, Nanjing Audit University |
| Session 61: Identification in Proxy SVARs June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Akamas B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Juan Rubio-Ramirez, Emory |
| Session Chair: Haroon Mumtaz, Queen Mary |
| Session type: contributed |
| Forecast revisions as instruments for news shocks |
| presented by: Danilo Cascaldi-Garcia, Federal Reserve Board |
| Identification with External Instruments in Structural VARs under Partial Invertibility |
| presented by: Giovanni Ricco, University of Warwick |
| Proxy-SVAR as a Bridge for Identification with Higher Frequency Data |
| presented by: Andrea Giovanni Gazzani, Bank of Italy |
| Changing impact of shocks: a time-varying proxy SVAR approach |
| presented by: Haroon Mumtaz, Queen Mary |
| Session 62: Macroeconomic Assessments of Shocks and Structural Changes June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Ahera B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Mark Watson, Princeton University |
| Session Chair: Kostas Mouratidis, The University of Sheffield |
| Session type: contributed |
| Monetary Policy in a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime: Structural Vector Autoregressions with Jumps |
| presented by: Hang Zhou, University of International Business and Economics |
| Steady as She Goes—Estimating Potential Output During Financial “Booms and Busts” |
| presented by: Marzie Sanjani, International Monetary Fund |
| Technology News Shocks and the Slope of the Yield Curve: An International Perspective |
| presented by: Gregor von Schweinitz, Halle Institute for Economic Research |
| The North-South Divide, the Euro and the World |
| presented by: Kostas Mouratidis, The University of Sheffield |
| Session 63: Monetary Policy Analysis with High Frequency Data June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Meeting Room 1 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session Chair: Marek Jarocinski, European Central Bank |
| Session type: contributed |
| Market betas and FOMC announcements |
| presented by: Simon Bodilsen, Aarhus University |
| Stock returns, monetary policy and shifts in central bank communication |
| presented by: Leandro M. Magnusson, University Western Australia |
| Model evaluation of the Fed monetary rules |
| presented by: Igor Kheifets, ITAM |
| International spillovers of the Fed and ECB monetary policy surprises |
| presented by: Marek Jarocinski, European Central Bank |
| Session 64: Panel Models with Discrete Structure June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Kantara B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Martin Weidner, University College London |
| Session Chair: Shakeeb Khan, Boston College |
| Session type: contributed |
| Modelling with Discretized Ordered Choice Covariates |
| presented by: Ágoston Reguly, Central European University |
| Simple methods for consistent estimation of dynamic panel data sample selection models |
| presented by: Jose M. Labeaga, UNED |
| Binary Response Dynamic Panel Data Models with Switching Dependence |
| presented by: Eleni Aristodemou, University of Amsterdam |
| dentification of Dynamic Panel Binary Response Models∗ |
| presented by: Shakeeb Khan, Boston College |
| Session 65: Regime and Parameter Change in Time Series Models II June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Meeting Room 2 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: James Hamilton, University of California, San Diego |
| Session Chair: Danilo Leiva-Leon, Banco de España |
| Session type: contributed |
| Endogenous Time-Variation in Vector Autoregressions |
| presented by: Danilo Leiva-Leon, Banco de España |
| Contagious Switching |
| presented by: Michael Owyang, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis |
| A discrete-choice regime-switching model for the federal funds rate target |
| presented by: Andrei Sirchenko, University of Amsterdam |
| Recession probabilities falling from the STARs |
| presented by: Sercan Eraslan, Deutsche Bundesbank |
| Session 66: Time-Series Structure of Panel Data June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Ballroom A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Martin Weidner, University College London |
| Session Chair: Ryo Okui, Seoul National University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Identifying Global and National Output and Fiscal Policy Shocks Using a GVAR |
| presented by: Alexander Chudik, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| Panel data cointegration analysis with structural instabilities |
| presented by: Anindya Banerjee, University of Birmingham |
| Noncommon Breaks |
| presented by: Simon Smith, University of Southern California |
| Estimation of a break point in group membership structure |
| presented by: Ryo Okui, Seoul National University |
| Session 67: Topics in Empirical Microeconomics II June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Akamas A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Andres Aradillas-Lopez, Pennsylvania State University |
| Session Chair: Thanh Nam Le, Erasmus University Rotterdam |
| Session type: contributed |
| Why doesn’t everyone vote? Evidence from compulsory elections in Australia |
| presented by: Eamon McGinn, UTS |
| Social Norms as a Cost-Effective Measure of Managing Transport Demand |
| presented by: Firat Yaman, City University London |
| Partial Identification in nonparametric one-to-one matching models |
| presented by: Shruti Sinha, Toulouse School of Economics |
| Corruption, Economic Shock and Firm Performance |
| presented by: Thanh Nam Le, Erasmus University Rotterdam |
| Session 68: Topics in Labor Economics June 26, 2019 15:15 to 17:00 Kantara A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Valentin Schiele, Paderborn University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Spring Forward, Don't Fall Back - The Effect of Daylight Saving Time on Road Safety |
| presented by: Valentin Schiele, Paderborn University |
| Distributional Effects of Local Minimum Wage Hikes: A Spatial Job Search Approach |
| presented by: Weilong Zhang, University of Cambridge |
| Regional Convergence at the County Level: The Role of Commuters |
| presented by: Sebastian Kripfganz, University of Exeter |
| LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYMENT AND SUBSIDIES FOR PERMANENT EMPLOYMENT |
| presented by: Adele Grompone, Banca d'Italia |
| Session 69: Child Development June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Othello - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Santosh Kumar, Sam Houston State University |
| Session type: contributed |
| The distributional effects of marital status and children: Evidence from large administrative panel data |
| presented by: Jonas Meier, University of Bern |
| The Role of Enrichment Activities on Child Development: A Corner Solution Approach |
| presented by: Gregorio Caetano, University of Georgia |
| Improving Child Health and Cognition: Evidence from a School-Based Nutrition Intervention in India |
| presented by: Santosh Kumar, Sam Houston State University |
| Session 70: Detecting and Predicting Turning Points and Recessions June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Kantara A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Domenico Giannone, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Session Chair: Víctor López-Pérez, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena (UPCT) |
| Session type: contributed |
| Why can't professional macroeconomic forecasters predict recessions? |
| presented by: Víctor López-Pérez, Universidad Politécnica de Cartagena (UPCT) |
| Short-Term Macroeconomic Forecasting and Turning Point Detection after the Great Recession |
| presented by: Catherine Doz, PSE and Université Paris 1 |
| Media and business cycle predictability |
| presented by: Salim Baz, Imperial College Business School |
| A new approach to dating the reference cycle |
| presented by: Maria Dolores Gadea, University of Zaragoza |
| Session 71: Developments in Factor Model and Related Methods June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Kantara B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Graham Elliott, University of California, San Diego |
| Session Chair: Hande Karabiyik, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam |
| Session type: contributed |
| A multilevel factor approach for the analysis of CDS commonality and risk contribution |
| presented by: Carlos Vladimir Rodríguez-Caballero, ITAM & CREATES |
| Generalized Dynamic Factor Models and Volatilities: Consistency, rates, and prediction intervals |
| presented by: Matteo Barigozzi, LSE |
| A Generalized Factor Model with Local Factors |
| presented by: Simon Freyaldenhoven, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| Forecasting Using Cross-Section Average-Augmented Time Series Regressions |
| presented by: Hande Karabiyik, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam |
| Session 72: Discrete Choice Models II June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Ahera A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Vassilis Hajivassiliou, London School of Economics |
| Session type: contributed |
| Estimation, specification and testing in middle- and zero-inflated ordered probit models |
| presented by: Mark Harris, Curtin University |
| Identifying and Estimating Beliefs from Choice Data - An Application to Female Labor Supply |
| presented by: Ulrich Schneider, University of Groningen |
| Identification and Estimation of Continuous Time Dynamic Discrete Choice Games |
| presented by: Jason Blevins, Ohio State University |
| Financing Constraints and a Firms Decision and Ability to Innovate: Novel Approaches to Coherency Conditions in Dynamic LDV Models |
| presented by: Vassilis Hajivassiliou, London School of Economics |
| Session 73: Employment II June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Akamas A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Yuhao LI, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid |
| Session type: contributed |
| End-of-Year Spending and the Long-Run Employment Effects of Training Programs for the Unemployed |
| presented by: Bernd Fitzenberger, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin |
| Consumption patterns of different employment contract regimes: evidence from Italy |
| presented by: Marco Mello, University of Surrey |
| Slaking-off or just tired? Work-shift and workers productivity in the emergency department |
| presented by: Elena Lucchese, University of Bologna |
| The Strategic Behaviour in Work Absence: A Dynamic view |
| presented by: Yuhao LI, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid |
| Session 74: Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Ballroom B & C - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Domenico Giannone, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Session Chair: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Forecasting using mixed-frequency VARs with time-varying parameters |
| presented by: Magnus Reif, ifo Institute |
| A Time Series Model of Interest Rates With the Effective Lower Bound |
| presented by: Elmar Mertens, Deutsche Bundesbank |
| Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions with Time Variation in the Mean |
| presented by: Marta Banbura, European Central Bank |
| Analyzing Cross-Validation for Forecasting with Structural Instability |
| presented by: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session 75: Household Consumption and Finance II June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Danae - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Johannes Wohlfart, Goethe University Frankfurt |
| Session type: contributed |
| Heterogeneity in Household Risksharing Channels |
| presented by: Simone Tedeschi, University of Roma Tre |
| Selective Bargain Hunting. A Concise Test of Rational Consumer Search |
| presented by: Bent Sorensen, University of Houston |
| Consumption Responses to Financial Liberalization: Evidence from Survey Data |
| presented by: Cristina Barcelo, Banco de España |
| Subjective Models of the Macroeconomy: Evidence from Experts and a Representative Sample |
| presented by: Johannes Wohlfart, Goethe University Frankfurt |
| Session 76: Inference in Time Series Subject to Change June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Nefeli - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: Graham Elliott, University of California, San Diego |
| Session Chair: Liudas Giraitis, Queen Mary University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Inference in linear models with structural changes and mixed identification strength |
| presented by: Otilia Boldea, Tilburg University |
| Adaptive information-based methods for determining the co-integration rank in heteroskedastic VAR models |
| presented by: Peter Boswijk, University of Amsterdam |
| Observation-driven long-run equilibria |
| presented by: Katarzyna Lasak, University of Amsterdam and Tinbergen Institute |
| Asymptotic Theory for Time Series with Changing Mean and Variance |
| presented by: Liudas Giraitis, Queen Mary University |
| Session 77: Modern Inference Methods for Panel Data Models June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Ballroom A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Martin Weidner, University College London |
| Session Chair: Hyunseok Jung, University of Arkansas |
| Session type: contributed |
| Empirical likelihood based inference for categorical varying coefficient panel data model with fixed effects |
| presented by: Luis Antonio Arteaga-Molina, Universidad de Cantabria |
| Latent Group Structures with Heterogeneous Distributions: Identification and Estimation |
| presented by: Wendun Wang, Erasmus University Rotterdam |
| LASSO for Stochastic Frontier Models with Many Efficient Firms |
| presented by: Hyunseok Jung, University of Arkansas |
| Session 78: Portfolio Choice June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Meeting Room 1 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University |
| Session Chair: Alessia Paccagnini, University College Dublin |
| Session type: contributed |
| Tactical Target Date Funds |
| presented by: Alex Michaelides, Imperial College |
| Portfolio Choice under Uncertainty |
| presented by: Alessia Paccagnini, University College Dublin |
| Estimating Policy Functions Implicit in Asset Prices |
| presented by: Jeroen Dalderop, University of Notre Dame |
| Individual Investors' Beliefs, Trading Intentions and Endowment Effects |
| presented by: Sarantis Tsiaplias, The University of Melbourne |
| Session 79: Return Predictability June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Akamas B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session Chair: Michalis Stamatogiannis, University of Liveprool |
| Session type: contributed |
| Labor Income Risk and Stock Returns: The Role of Horizon Effects |
| presented by: Rob Sperna Weiland, University of Amsterdam |
| Information flow dependence in return and trading volume across different stocks |
| presented by: Markus Michaelsen, Universität Hamburg |
| Short selling and excess return correlation |
| presented by: Marco Valerio Geraci, University of Cambridge |
| Taking Stock of Long-Horizon Predictability Tests: Are Factor Returns Predictable? |
| presented by: Michalis Stamatogiannis, University of Liveprool |
| Session 80: Topics in Empirical Industrial Organization II June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Clio - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: Andres Aradillas-Lopez, Pennsylvania State University |
| Session Chair: Alon Eizenberg, Hebrew University Jerusalem |
| Session type: contributed |
| The Structure of Multinational Sales under Demand Risk |
| presented by: Francesco Conteduca, Bank of Italy |
| On the effects of ignoring parameter uncertainty in antitrust benchmark comparison |
| presented by: Erik Lindén, Aarhus University |
| Prices, markups and product portfolio |
| presented by: Remi Monin, Insee |
| Session 81: Topics in Empirical Microeconomics III June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Meeting Room 2 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Marinho Bertanha, University of Notre Dame |
| Session type: contributed |
| The impact of policy awareness: Evidence from vehicle registration taxes in Switzerland |
| presented by: Claudio Daminato, ETH Zurich |
| Optimal Property Taxation in Developing Countries: Evidence from Mexico |
| presented by: Manuel Alejandro Estefan Davila, University College London |
| Better Bunching, Nicer Notching |
| presented by: Marinho Bertanha, University of Notre Dame |
| Extension of R&D Tax Credit to innovation expenditures : Evidence from France |
| presented by: Simon Bunel, Insee |
| Session 82: Topics in Exchange Rates June 27, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Ahera B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Barbara Rossi, ICREA-Univ. Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE |
| Session Chair: Dooyeon Cho, Sungkyunkwan University |
| Session type: contributed |
| The Impact of the Renminbi on the International Monetary System: an International Bond Market Approach |
| presented by: Luis Filipe Martins, Instituto Universitario de Lisboa, ISCTE - IUL |
| Global Financial Conditions and Exchange Rate Tail Risks |
| presented by: Andrej Sokol, European Central Bank |
| Global Value Chain Participation and Exchange Rate Pass-through |
| presented by: Makram Khalil, Deutsche Bundesbank |
| The Tail Behavior of Safe Haven Currencies: A Cross-Quantilogram Analysis |
| presented by: Dooyeon Cho, Sungkyunkwan University |
| Session 83: Assessing Fiscal Policy Effects II June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Othello - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Boragan Aruoba, University of Maryland |
| Session Chair: Thomas van Gemert, Maastricht University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Estimating the Impact of the Financial Cycle on Fiscal Policy |
| presented by: Beau Soederhuizen, Netherlands bureau for economic policy analysis |
| Identifying the Effects of Government Spending Shocks Using Real-Time Budget Plans |
| presented by: Kian Ong, University of Nottingham Malaysia |
| An Agnostic Estimation of Government Spending Multipliers |
| presented by: Jan Philipp Fritsche, Humbolt University & German Institute for Economic Research |
| Fiscal Multipliers of Different Government Spending Categories |
| presented by: Thomas van Gemert, Maastricht University |
| Session 84: Challenges and Solutions with Big Data in Time Series June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Ballroom B & C - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Mark Watson, Princeton University |
| Session Chair: Luca Margaritella, Maastricht University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Measuring US aggregate output and output gap using large datasets |
| presented by: Matteo Luciani, Federal Reserve Board, Washington DC |
| Granger Causality Testing in High-Dimensional VARs: a Post-Double-Selection Procedure |
| presented by: Luca Margaritella, Maastricht University |
| Another look into the factor model black box: factors interpretation and structural (in)stability |
| presented by: Thomas Despois, Paris School of Economics and Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne |
| Seasonal Adjustment in High Dimensional Data |
| presented by: Elena Andreou, University of Cyprus |
| Session 85: Econometric Theory June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Ahera B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Dante Amengual, CEMFI |
| Session type: contributed |
| Functional Sequential Treatment Allocation |
| presented by: Bezirgen Veliyev, Aarhus University |
| Aggregating Distributional Treatment Effects: A Bayesian Hierarchical Analysis of the Microcredit Literature |
| presented by: Rachael Meager, |
| Over-Identified Regression Discontinuity Design |
| presented by: Carolina Caetano, University of Georgia |
| Gaussian rank correlation and regression |
| presented by: Dante Amengual, CEMFI |
| Session 86: Education III June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Evropi - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Konstantin Görgen, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology |
| Session type: contributed |
| Effect of Performance Related Pay on turnover-intention of teachers in England |
| presented by: Olubunmi Ajala, University of Leicester |
| On the Design of Grant Assignment Rules |
| presented by: Santiago Pereda-Fernández, Banca d'Italia |
| Selection Bias Among Participants in High School Financial Literacy Programs: Evidence from PISA |
| presented by: Ernesto Villanueva, Banco de España |
| Evaluating Effects of Tuition Fees: Lasso for the Case of Germany |
| presented by: Konstantin Görgen, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology |
| Session 87: Effects of Credit and Financial Conditions on the Macroeconomy June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Meeting Room 2 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Boragan Aruoba, University of Maryland |
| Session Chair: Leonard Salzmann, University of Kiel |
| Session type: contributed |
| Nonlinear credit dynamics, regime switches in the output gap and credit shocks – using the local projection method |
| presented by: Francesco Lucidi, Sapienza University |
| Sovereign Spread Shocks |
| presented by: Susanne Wellmann, University of Tuebingen |
| Credit Supply, Uncertainty and the Macroeconomy Revisited |
| presented by: Leonard Salzmann, University of Kiel |
| Session 88: Human Capital Investments and Skills June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Kantara B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Helmut Farbmacher, Max Planck Society |
| Session type: contributed |
| The returns to schooling unveiled |
| presented by: Hugo Reis, Banco de Portugal |
| Increasing inequality in lifetime earnings: a tale of educational upgrading and changing employment patterns |
| presented by: Matthias Seckler, University of Tübingen |
| Lifecycle Wages and Human Capital Investments: Selection and Missing Data |
| presented by: Thierry Magnac, Toulouse School of Economics |
| Heterogeneous Effects of Poverty on Cognition |
| presented by: Helmut Farbmacher, Max Planck Society |
| Session 89: Inequality June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Akamas B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Charalambos Tsangarides, International Monetary Fund |
| Session type: contributed |
| Robust Correlates of Growth Spells: Do Inequality and Redistribution Matter? |
| presented by: Charalambos Tsangarides, International Monetary Fund |
| Do Robots Increase Wealth Dispersion? |
| presented by: Yigitcan Karabulut, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, and CEPR |
| Unemployment, Inequality, and Institutions, Revisited |
| presented by: Robert Duval-Hernandez, Open University of Cyprus |
| The Winners and Losers From Hyperinflation |
| presented by: Frode Martin Nordvik, BI Norwegian Business School |
| Session 90: Labour mobility June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Kantara A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Davud Rostam-Afschar, Universitaet Hohenheim |
| Session type: contributed |
| Taxation and Job Mobility in Europe |
| presented by: Davud Rostam-Afschar, Universitaet Hohenheim |
| On the effects of return migration on self-employment |
| presented by: Clotilde Mahe, Maastricht University |
| A New Approach to the Estimation of Selective Migration with an Application to Italy |
| presented by: Davide Fiaschi, University of Pisa (VAT code 00286820501) |
| Does the implementation of the Schengen agreement boost cross-border commuting? Evidence from Switzerland |
| presented by: Angela Parenti, University of Pisa |
| Session 91: Risk Assessment Methods and Applications June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Meeting Room 1 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Andrew Patton, |
| Session Chair: Ophélie Couperier, CREST - ENSAE |
| Session type: contributed |
| Operational risk, uncertainty, and the economy: a smooth transition extreme value approach |
| presented by: Julien Hambuckers, HEC Liege -University of Liege |
| FREIGHT RATES IN DOWNSIDE AND UPSIDE MARKETS: PRICING OF OWN AND SPILLOVER RISKS FROM OTHER SHIPPING SEGMENTS |
| presented by: Christos Savva, Cyprus University of Technology |
| Backtesting Expected Shortfall via Multi-Quantile Regression |
| presented by: Ophélie Couperier, CREST - ENSAE |
| Regression Based Expected Shortfall Backtesting |
| presented by: Timo Dimitriadis, University of Konstanz |
| Session 92: Selecting or Combining Models or Forecasts June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Akamas A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Barbara Rossi, ICREA-Univ. Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE |
| Session Chair: Tom Boot, University of Groningen |
| Session type: contributed |
| Selecting models with judgment |
| presented by: Simone Manganelli, European Central Bank |
| Optimal Pooling and Finite Mixture Distribution: a Comparison between Approaches to Density Forecast Combination |
| presented by: Giulia Mantoan, University of Warwick |
| Detecting Crises, Jumps, and Changes in Regime with Saturation Techniques |
| presented by: Neil Ericsson, Federal Reserve Board |
| Confidence regions for averaging estimators |
| presented by: Tom Boot, University of Groningen |
| Session 93: Topics in Empirical Microeconomics III June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Ahera A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Bjoern Brey, University of Nottingham |
| Session type: contributed |
| The Effect of Recent Technological Change on U.S. Immigration Policy: Evidence from Congressional Roll Call Votes |
| presented by: Bjoern Brey, University of Nottingham |
| Dying Light: War and Trade of the Separatist-Controlled Areas of Ukraine |
| presented by: Artem Kochnev, Johannes Kepler Univerisity Linz |
| The Effects of a Stepwise Minimum Legal Drinking Age Legislation on Mortality - Evidence from Germany |
| presented by: Raffael Kamalow, |
| Loan Default Analysis in Europe: Tracking Regional Variations using Big Data |
| presented by: Luca Barbaglia, European Commission Joint Research Centre |
| Session 94: Volatility Models and Applications June 27, 2019 13:15 to 15:00 Ballroom A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Barbara Rossi, ICREA-Univ. Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE |
| Session Chair: Peter Exterkate, University of Sydney |
| Session type: contributed |
| Long Memory, Realized Volatility and HAR Models |
| presented by: Richard Baillie, Michigan State University |
| A regime-switching stochastic volatility model for forecasting electricity prices |
| presented by: Peter Exterkate, University of Sydney |
| Simple estimators and inference for higher-order stochastic volatility models |
| presented by: Md. Nazmul Ahsan, McGill University |
| The Time-Varying Asymmetry of Exchange Rate Returns: A Stochastic Volatility - Stochastic Skewness Model |
| presented by: Martin Iseringhausen, Ghent University |
| Session 95: Advances in Econometrics: Methods and Applications III June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Meeting Room 2 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Jasmin Fliegner, Toulouse School of Economics and TU Berlin |
| Session type: contributed |
| Large Sample Inference for a Class of Estimators Based on Unconfoundedness - a Practical Approach |
| presented by: Jasmin Fliegner, Toulouse School of Economics and TU Berlin |
| Counterfactual Sensitivity and Robustness |
| presented by: Timothy Christensen, New York University |
| Prediction and Congestion in Two-Sided Markets: Economist Versus Machine Matchmakers |
| presented by: Kuan-Ming Chen, University of Chicago |
| Direct and Indirect Effects based on Changes-in-Changes |
| presented by: Martin Huber, University of Fribourg |
| Session 96: Connectedness and Interdependence June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Akamas B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Andrew Patton, |
| Session Chair: Renee Fry-McKibbin, Australian National University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Time-Varying General Dynamic Factor Models and the Measurement of Financial Connectedness |
| presented by: Stefano Soccorsi, Lancaster University Management School |
| Connectedness between G10 Currencies: Searching for the Causal Structure |
| presented by: Reinhold Heinlein, Keele University |
| The coincidence of sectoral slowdowns in the UK: Comparing transmission probabilities and economic linkages |
| presented by: Eva Janssens, University of Amsterdam |
| Measuring Financial Interdependence in Asset Returns With an Application to Euro Zone Equities |
| presented by: Renee Fry-McKibbin, Australian National University |
| Session 97: Effects of Unconventional Monetary Policy June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Kantara B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session Chair: Vlad Skovorodov, Queen Mary University of London |
| Session type: contributed |
| The Impact of QE on Liquidity: Evidence from the UK Corporate Bond Purchase Scheme |
| presented by: David Elliott, Bank of England and Imperial College London |
| The Effect of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Credit Flows |
| presented by: Ana Maria Herrera, University of Kentucky |
| How Effective is Monetary Policy at the Zero Lower Bound? Identification through Industry Heterogeneity |
| presented by: Arsenios Skaperdas, Federal Reserve Board |
| Effects of unconventional monetary policy on disaggregate Euro Area consumer inflation expectations |
| presented by: Vlad Skovorodov, Queen Mary University of London |
| Session 98: Forecasting Applications III June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Akamas A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Domenico Giannone, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Session Chair: Alex Tagliabracci, Bank of Italy |
| Session type: contributed |
| Forecasting realized correlations: a MIDAS approach |
| presented by: Alexander Kostrov, University of St. Gallen |
| Uncertainty and the macroeconomy: A real-time out-of-sample evaluation |
| presented by: Bart Keijsers, University of Amsterdam |
| Forecasting US PCE inflation in real-time |
| presented by: Chad Fulton, Federal Reserve Board |
| The Vulnerability of Euro Area Inflation Forecasts |
| presented by: Alex Tagliabracci, Bank of Italy |
| Session 99: Gender Gaps II June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Meeting Room 1 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Alexander Straub, Leibniz Universität Hannover |
| Session type: contributed |
| Mind the absent gap: Gender-specific competitiveness in non-professional sports |
| presented by: Alexander Straub, Leibniz Universität Hannover |
| Estimating the Conditional Gender Pay Gap: The Role of Omitted Controls |
| presented by: Stephanie Briel, University of Hohenheim |
| Gender Disparities in Debate Speeches and Evaluations - A Text Mining Approach |
| presented by: Huyen Nguyen, Erasmus University Rotterdam |
| Session 100: Machine Learning in Macro/Finance Applications June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Ballroom B & C - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session Chair: Mirco Rubin, University of Bristol |
| Session type: contributed |
| Does model complexity add value to asset allocation? Evidence from machine learning forecasting models |
| presented by: Ekaterini Panopoulou, University of Kent |
| Identifying the Predictive Power of FED Minutes |
| presented by: Luiz Lima, The University of Tennessee |
| On the Directional Predictability of Equity Premium Using Machine Learning Techniques |
| presented by: Spyridon Vrontos, University of Essex |
| Comovement changes between Stocks and Bonds: Evidence from a New Class of Large Dimensional Threshold Group-Factor Models |
| presented by: Mirco Rubin, University of Bristol |
| Session 101: Macroeconomic Analysis of Labor's Share and Inequality June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Kantara A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Boragan Aruoba, University of Maryland |
| Session Chair: Lukas Freund, University of Cambridge |
| Session type: contributed |
| Inequality and Relative Saving Rates at the Top |
| presented by: Philip Vermeulen, European Central Bank |
| Monetary Policy and Wealth Inequality over the Great Recession in the UK. An Empirical Analysis |
| presented by: Angeliki Theophilopoulou, Brunel University |
| The Missing Link: Monetary Policy and The Labor Share |
| presented by: Filippo Ferroni, Chicago FED |
| Workers, Capitalists, and the Government: The Labor Share Response to Fiscal Spending Shocks |
| presented by: Lukas Freund, University of Cambridge |
| Session 102: New Developments in Time Series Testing June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Nefeli - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: Barbara Rossi, ICREA-Univ. Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE |
| Session Chair: Violetta Dalla, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens |
| Session type: contributed |
| Standard Testing Procedures for White Noise and Heteroskedasticity |
| presented by: Violetta Dalla, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens |
| Granger causality testing in mixed-frequency VARs with possibly (co)integrated processes |
| presented by: Alain Hecq, Maastricht University |
| The Asymptotic Validity of "Standard" Fully Modified OLS Estimation and Inference in Cointegrating Polynomial Regressions |
| presented by: Martin Wagner, Technical University Dortmund |
| Sign Tests for Dependent Observations |
| presented by: Rustam Ibragimov, Imperial College London |
| Session 103: Oil Prices June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Ahera B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: James Hamilton, University of California, San Diego |
| Session Chair: Diego Känzig, London Business School |
| Session type: contributed |
| The macroeconomic effects of oil supply shocks: new evidence from OPEC announcements |
| presented by: Diego Känzig, London Business School |
| Do oil price shocks and monetary policy matter in the euro area? |
| presented by: Elena Díaz Aguiluz, Universidad de Navarra |
| The state-dependent relation between crude oil prices and S&P500 expectations and risk preferences |
| presented by: Jonathan Dark, University of Melbourne |
| Session 104: Preference Heterogeneity June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Danae - Semeli |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Tomas Jagelka, Ecole Polytechnique-CREST |
| Session type: contributed |
| Are Economists' Preferences Psychologists' Personality Traits |
| presented by: Tomas Jagelka, Ecole Polytechnique-CREST |
| How well targeted are soda taxes? |
| presented by: Pierre Dubois, University of Toulouse |
| Saving Behavior Across the Wealth Distribution |
| presented by: Gisle Natvik, BI Norwegian Business School |
| Session 105: Retirement June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Othello - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Kadija Charni, CNAM-CEET & Aix-Marseille University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Information on welfare and elderly labour participation decision |
| presented by: Kadija Charni, CNAM-CEET & Aix-Marseille University |
| RISING PENSION AGE IN ITALY: EMPLOYMENT RESPONSE AND PROGRAM SUBSTITUTION |
| presented by: Chiara Ardito, University of Torino |
| Couples' and Singles' Savings After Retirement |
| presented by: Rory McGee, University College London/IFS |
| Session 106: Social Interactions in Social Networks June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Ballroom A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Christopher Parsons, University of Western Australia |
| Session type: contributed |
| Identification of Social Effects with Endogenous Network and Covariates: Theory and Simulations |
| presented by: Paolo Zacchia, IMT Lucca |
| The Role of Social Interactions on Preferences for Redistribution |
| presented by: Kyriakos Petrou, University of Cyprus |
| Social Networks and the Stepping Stone Effect: The Case of Tobacco and Marijuana |
| presented by: Anton Badev, Federal Reserve Board |
| Network Quality and Refugees’ Occupations: Quasi-Experimental Evidence from the Viet Kieu |
| presented by: Christopher Parsons, University of Western Australia |
| Session 107: Topics in Empirical Industrial Organization IV June 27, 2019 15:30 to 17:15 Ahera A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Matteo Gatti, European University Institute |
| Session type: contributed |
| Markups and Firm Entry: Evidence From the 2012 Emilia Earthquake |
| presented by: Matteo Gatti, European University Institute |
| Globalization and the fall of markups |
| presented by: Michal Gradzewicz, National Bank of Poland |
| Are Pro-Worker Judges Detrimental to Firm Survival and Employment? |
| presented by: Bérengère Patault, CREST |
| Do Inventors Patent More in Urban Areas? Evidence From Employer-employee Data |
| presented by: Sabrina Di Addario, Bank of Italy |
| Session 108: Aggregate Productivity and Technological Change June 28, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Ahera B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University |
| Session Chair: Antonio Conti, Bank of Italy |
| Session type: contributed |
| Labour productivity and the wageless recovery |
| presented by: Antonio Conti, Bank of Italy |
| Investment, Vintage Capital and Productivity: Theory and Evidence |
| presented by: Giuseppe Fiori, North Carolina State University |
| The Impact of Technological Change |
| presented by: Maria Bolboaca, University of St. Gallen |
| RENT CREATION AND RENT SHARING: NEW MEASURES AND IMPACTS ON PRODUCITVITY |
| presented by: Gilbert CETTE, Banque de France |
| Session 109: Assessing Bubbles and Other Topics in Time Series Theory June 28, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Meeting Room 1 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Barbara Rossi, ICREA-Univ. Pompeu Fabra, Barcelona GSE |
| Session Chair: Emily Whitehouse, Newcastle University |
| Session type: contributed |
| Consistent Specification Test of the Quantile Autoregression |
| presented by: Anthoulla Phella, University of Surrey |
| Date-stamping multiple bubble regimes |
| presented by: Emily Whitehouse, Newcastle University |
| Bias Assessment and Reduction for the 2SLS Estimator in General Dynamic Simultaneous Equations Models |
| presented by: Dandan Wang, Carlos III University of Madrid |
| Session 110: Economic Growth and Other Long-Run Trends June 28, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Meeting Room 2 - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Boragan Aruoba, University of Maryland |
| Session Chair: GP Doppelhofer, NHH |
| Session type: contributed |
| The Consequences of U.S. Technology Changes for Productivity in Advanced Economies |
| presented by: Svetlana Rujin, RWI - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research |
| Global temperatures and green house gases - A common features approach |
| presented by: FARSHID Vahid, Monash University |
| Talent misallocation in Europe |
| presented by: Almarina Gramozi, University of Cyprus |
| Determinants of long-term economic growth redux: A Measurement Error Model Averaging (MEMA) approach |
| presented by: GP Doppelhofer, NHH |
| Session 111: Empirical Assessments of Banking June 28, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Kantara A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session Chair: Mathias Le, Autorite de controle Prudential et de resolution |
| Session type: contributed |
| Bank Lobbying as a Financial Safety Net: Evidence from the Post-crisis U.S. Banking Sector |
| presented by: Kentaro Asai, The Australian National University |
| Identifying Silent Bank Runs in Real-Time |
| presented by: Edoardo Rainone, Bank of Italy |
| Banking Supervision, Monetary Policy and Risk-Taking: Big Data Evidence from 15 Credit Registers |
| presented by: Miguel Boucinha, European Central Bank |
| Lower bank capital requirement as a policy tool to support credit to SMEs: evidence from a policy experiment |
| presented by: Mathias Le, Autorite de controle Prudential et de resolution |
| Session 112: Forecasting Applications IV June 28, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Othello - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Domenico Giannone, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| Session Chair: Uwe Hassler, Goethe University Frankfurt |
| Session type: contributed |
| Forecasting the Spanish Economy Combining Structural and Reduced-Form Models |
| presented by: Fabio Massimo Piersanti, European Central Bank |
| Regularized semiparametric estimation of high dimensional dynamic conditional covariance matrices |
| presented by: Claudio Morana, University Milano Bicocca |
| Forecasting under Long Memory and Nonstationarity |
| presented by: Uwe Hassler, Goethe University Frankfurt |
| Session 113: International Capital Flows and Cycles June 28, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Akamas B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University |
| Session Chair: Enrico Mallucci, Federal Reserve Board |
| Session type: contributed |
| Global Financial Cycles since 1880 |
| presented by: Galina Potjagailo, Kiel Institute for the World Economy |
| The Global Capital Flows Cycle: Structural Drivers and Transmission Channels |
| presented by: Fabrizio Venditti, European Central Bank |
| Fiscal Limits and Sovereign Credit Spreads |
| presented by: Kevin Pallara, University of Lausanne |
| Sovereign Risk and Mutual Fund Portfolios |
| presented by: Enrico Mallucci, Federal Reserve Board |
| Session 114: Labor Market Dynamics June 28, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Kantara B - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Boragan Aruoba, University of Maryland |
| Session Chair: Johannes Koenig, Freie Universitaet Berlin |
| Session type: contributed |
| Is your Broadband really broad? Internet Speed, Labour Demand and Productivity Outcomes: Evidence from Italian Firms |
| presented by: Emanuela Ciapanna, Bank of Italy |
| Job-to-job flows and wage cyclicality in France and Italy |
| presented by: Clémence Berson, Banque de France |
| Which Factors are behind Germany´s Labour Market Upswing? |
| presented by: Christian Hutter, Institute for Employment Research (IAB) |
| Hours risk, wage risk, and life-cycle labor supply |
| presented by: Johannes Koenig, Freie Universitaet Berlin |
| Session 115: Labor Markets and Education II June 28, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Ahera A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Deepabali Bhattacharjee, Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee |
| Session type: contributed |
| Non-parametric identification of the extent of downward wage rigidities |
| presented by: Paris Nearchou, University of Cyprus |
| Do Information Differentials and Confidence in Medical Institutions Influence Out-of-Pocket Expenditure on Healthcare in India? |
| presented by: Deepabali Bhattacharjee, Indian Institute of Technology, Roorkee |
| Education, Labour Market Experience and Cognitive Skills: Evidence from PIAAC |
| presented by: Marta Martínez-Matute, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid |
| Session 116: Monetary Policy, Financial Crises, and Credit Flows June 28, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Ballroom A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: Francesco Bianchi, Duke University |
| Session Chair: Koray Alper, European Investment Bank |
| Session type: contributed |
| The Effect of Unconventional Monetary Policy on Cross‐Border Bank Loans: Evidence from an Emerging Market |
| presented by: Koray Alper, European Investment Bank |
| Real effects of central bank collateral policy |
| presented by: Louis-Marie Harpedanne de Belleville, Paris School of Economics |
| Does Debt Market Integration Amplify the International Transmission of Business Cycles During Financial Crises? |
| presented by: Jiyoun An, Kyung Hee University |
| Bank-loan supply shocks and alternative financing of non-financial corporations in the euro area |
| presented by: Michael Scharnagl, Deutsche Bundesbank |
| Session 117: Topics in Household Consumption and Investment June 28, 2019 10:15 to 12:00 Akamas A - Landmark |
| Session Organizer: , |
| Session Chair: Frederique Savignac, Banque de France |
| Session type: contributed |
| Investment Losses and Inequality |
| presented by: Maximilian Wenzel, Freie Universität Berlin |
| Monetary policy and investment decision of households: Evidence from the stock market |
| presented by: Chi Hyun Kim, German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) |
| Wealth effect on consumption during the sovereign debt crisis: Households heterogeneity in the Euro area |
| presented by: Frederique Savignac, Banque de France |
| # | Participant | Roles in Conference |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguirre, Edith | P59, C59 |
| 2 | Aguirregabiria, Victor | P30 |
| 3 | Ahsan, Md. Nazmul | P94 |
| 4 | Ajala, Olubunmi | P86 |
| 5 | Ajello, Andrea | P37 |
| 6 | Albanese, Andrea | P19 |
| 7 | Albuquerque, Bruno | P54, C54 |
| 8 | Alessandri, Piergiorgio | P43 |
| 9 | Aliprantis, Dionissi | P8, C8 |
| 10 | Allayioti, Anastasia | P58 |
| 11 | Alper, Koray | P116, C116 |
| 12 | Altavilla, Carlo | P45 |
| 13 | Amengual, Dante | P85, C85 |
| 14 | An, Jiyoun | P116 |
| 15 | Anderson, Heather | P9 |
| 16 | Andreou, Elena | P84 |
| 17 | Aquaro, Michele | P16, C16 |
| 18 | Archakov, Ilya | P9 |
| 19 | Ardito, Chiara | P105 |
| 20 | Aristidou, Andreas | P26 |
| 21 | Aristodemou, Eleni | P64 |
| 22 | Arkhangelsky, Dmitry | P1 |
| 23 | Arteaga-Molina, Luis Antonio | P77 |
| 24 | Asai, Kentaro | P111 |
| 25 | Ashley, Richard | P27, C27 |
| 26 | Badev, Anton | P106 |
| 27 | Bailey, Natalia | P31, C31 |
| 28 | Baillie, Richard | P94 |
| 29 | Banbura, Marta | P74 |
| 30 | Banerjee, Anindya | P66 |
| 31 | Barbaglia, Luca | P93 |
| 32 | barbarino, alessandro | P52 |
| 33 | Barcelo, Cristina | P75 |
| 34 | Barendse, Sander | P6, C6 |
| 35 | Barigozzi, Matteo | P71 |
| 36 | Barron, Manuel | P39 |
| 37 | Baz, Salim | P70 |
| 38 | Berson, Clémence | P114 |
| 39 | Bertanha, Marinho | P81, C81 |
| 40 | Bhattacharjee, Deepabali | P115, C115 |
| 41 | Biewen, Martin | P48 |
| 42 | Blevins, Jason | P72 |
| 43 | Bodilsen, Simon | P63 |
| 44 | Bolboaca, Maria | P108 |
| 45 | Boldea, Otilia | P76 |
| 46 | Boot, Tom | P92, C92 |
| 47 | Boswijk, Peter | P76 |
| 48 | Botosaru, Irene | P24 |
| 49 | Boucinha, Miguel | P111 |
| 50 | Brey, Bjoern | P93, C93 |
| 51 | Briel, Stephanie | P99 |
| 52 | Brugnolini, Luca | P29 |
| 53 | Bun, Maurice | P31 |
| 54 | Bunel, Simon | P81 |
| 55 | Burauel, Patrick | P22, C22 |
| 56 | Caetano, Gregorio | P69 |
| 57 | Caetano, Carolina | P85 |
| 58 | Campaniello, Nadia | P44 |
| 59 | Caruso, Alberto | P3 |
| 60 | Cascaldi-Garcia, Danilo | P61 |
| 61 | CETTE, Gilbert | P108 |
| 62 | Charni, Kadija | P105, C105 |
| 63 | Chaturvedi, Mayuri | P59 |
| 64 | Chauvet, Marcelle | P33 |
| 65 | Chen, Kuan-Ming | P95 |
| 66 | Cho, Dooyeon | P82, C82 |
| 67 | Christensen, Timothy | P95 |
| 68 | Chudik, Alexander | P66 |
| 69 | Ciapanna, Emanuela | P114 |
| 70 | Colombo, Emilio | P58, C58 |
| 71 | Conteduca, Francesco | P80 |
| 72 | Conti, Antonio | P108, C108 |
| 73 | Corsi, Fulvio | P10 |
| 74 | Corvino, Raffaele | P50 |
| 75 | Couperier, Ophélie | P91, C91 |
| 76 | Crudu, Federico | P22 |
| 77 | Cumming, Fergus | P54 |
| 78 | Dalderop, Jeroen | P78 |
| 79 | Dalla, Violetta | P102, C102 |
| 80 | Damette, Olivier | P13 |
| 81 | Daminato, Claudio | P81 |
| 82 | Daniele, Maurizio | P32, C32 |
| 83 | Dark, Jonathan | P103 |
| 84 | Darvas, Zsolt | P20 |
| 85 | Díaz Aguiluz, Elena | P103 |
| 86 | De Lipsis, Vincenzo | P4 |
| 87 | Del Negro, Marco | P3, C3 |
| 88 | Delgado, Miguel | P2, C2 |
| 89 | Demetriadou, Maria | P25 |
| 90 | Dendramis, Yiannis | P14 |
| 91 | Despois, Thomas | P84 |
| 92 | Di Addario, Sabrina | P107 |
| 93 | Diaz, Carlos | P25, C25 |
| 94 | Dijk, Hermien | P49, C49 |
| 95 | Dijkstra, Mark | P57 |
| 96 | Dimitriadis, Timo | P91 |
| 97 | Doppelhofer, GP | P110, C110 |
| 98 | Doz, Catherine | P70 |
| 99 | Dubois, Pierre | P104 |
| 100 | Duguet, Emmanuel | P36 |
| 101 | Duval-Hernandez, Robert | P89 |
| 102 | Eizenberg, Alon | C80 |
| 103 | Elfayoumi, Khalid | P47 |
| 104 | Elliott, David | P97 |
| 105 | Eminidou, Snezana | P54 |
| 106 | Eraslan, Sercan | P65 |
| 107 | Ericsson, Neil | P92 |
| 108 | Escanciano, Juan Carlos | P38, C38 |
| 109 | Estefan Davila, Manuel Alejandro | P81 |
| 110 | Exterkate, Peter | P94, C94 |
| 111 | Eyiah-Donkor, Emmanuel | P58 |
| 112 | Fanelli, Luca | P21, C21 |
| 113 | Fanfani, Bernardo | P53, C53 |
| 114 | Farbmacher, Helmut | P88, C88 |
| 115 | Ferri, Javier | P42, C42 |
| 116 | Ferroni, Filippo | P101 |
| 117 | Fiaschi, Davide | P90 |
| 118 | Fiori, Giuseppe | P108 |
| 119 | Fischer, Christoph | P46, C46 |
| 120 | Fitzenberger, Bernd | P73 |
| 121 | Fliegner, Jasmin | P95, C95 |
| 122 | Freriks, Roel | P60 |
| 123 | Freund, Lukas | P101, C101 |
| 124 | Freyaldenhoven, Simon | P71 |
| 125 | Friedrich, Martin | P19 |
| 126 | Fritsche, Jan Philipp | P83 |
| 127 | Fry-McKibbin, Renee | P96, C96 |
| 128 | Fulton, Chad | P98 |
| 129 | Gabriel, Vasco | P27 |
| 130 | Gadea, Maria Dolores | P70 |
| 131 | Galvao, Ana Beatriz | P25 |
| 132 | Galvez, Julio | P50 |
| 133 | Gamboa-Estrada, Fredy | P46 |
| 134 | Ganics, Gergely | P28 |
| 135 | Gatti, Matteo | P107, C107 |
| 136 | Gazzani, Andrea Giovanni | P61 |
| 137 | Gómez-Loscos, Ana | P33, C33 |
| 138 | Görgen, Konstantin | P86, C86 |
| 139 | Gelain, Paolo | P47, C47 |
| 140 | Geraci, Marco Valerio | P79 |
| 141 | Giannone, Domenico | P11 |
| 142 | Giraitis, Liudas | P76, C76 |
| 143 | Giustinelli, Pamela | P49 |
| 144 | Goh, Chuan | P27 |
| 145 | Goldfayn-Frank, Olga | P18 |
| 146 | Gomez, Karoll | P57 |
| 147 | Gonzalo, Jesus | P21 |
| 148 | González-Astudillo, Manuel | P52 |
| 149 | Gorgi, Paolo | P10 |
| 150 | Gradzewicz, Michal | P107 |
| 151 | Gramozi, Almarina | P110 |
| 152 | Grompone, Adele | P68 |
| 153 | Gulek, Ahmet | P26 |
| 154 | Gunnella, Vanessa | P13 |
| 155 | Ha, Jongrim | P33 |
| 156 | Hajivassiliou, Vassilis | P72, C72 |
| 157 | Haliassos, Michael | P9 |
| 158 | Hambuckers, Julien | P91 |
| 159 | Hansen, Jorge | P55 |
| 160 | Hansen, Peter | P14 |
| 161 | Hansen, Bruce | P41 |
| 162 | Hansen, Niels-Jakob | P45, C45 |
| 163 | Hao, Jasmine | P31 |
| 164 | Harding, Martin | P47 |
| 165 | Harpedanne de Belleville, Louis-Marie | P116 |
| 166 | Harris, Mark | P72 |
| 167 | Hassler, Uwe | P112 |
| 168 | Hassler, Uwe | C112 |
| 169 | Hecq, Alain | P102 |
| 170 | Heinlein, Reinhold | P96 |
| 171 | Herrera, Ana Maria | P97 |
| 172 | Hizmeri, Rodrigo | P35, C35 |
| 173 | Holtemöller, Oliver | P47 |
| 174 | Hoshino, Tadao | P40 |
| 175 | Huber, Martin | P95 |
| 176 | Hull, Peter | P40 |
| 177 | Hutter, Christian | P114 |
| 178 | Ibragimov, Rustam | P102 |
| 179 | Iseringhausen, Martin | P94 |
| 180 | Issler, Joao | P28 |
| 181 | Jagelka, Tomas | P104, C104 |
| 182 | Janssens, Eva | P96 |
| 183 | Jarocinski, Marek | P63, C63 |
| 184 | Johannsen, Benjamin | P55, C55 |
| 185 | Jung, Hyunseok | P77, C77 |
| 186 | Juselius, Mikael | P3 |
| 187 | Kallenos, Theodosis | P9, C9 |
| 188 | Kamalow, Raffael | P93 |
| 189 | Karabiyik, Hande | P71, C71 |
| 190 | Karabulut, Yigitcan | P89 |
| 191 | Kaufmann, Sylvia | P46 |
| 192 | Känzig, Diego | P103, C103 |
| 193 | Keijsers, Bart | P98 |
| 194 | Kellermann, Janosch | P35 |
| 195 | Kerssenfischer, Mark | P45 |
| 196 | Keweloh, Sascha | P7 |
| 197 | Khalil, Makram | P82 |
| 198 | Khan, Shakeeb | P64 |
| 199 | Khan, Shakeeb | C64 |
| 200 | Kheifets, Igor | P63 |
| 201 | Khorunzhina, Natalia | P50 |
| 202 | Kim, Kyoo il | P39 |
| 203 | Kim, Chi Hyun | P117 |
| 204 | Kiss, David | P44, C44 |
| 205 | Knaus, Michael | P56 |
| 206 | Kochnev, Artem | P93 |
| 207 | Kociecki, Andrzej | P15, C15 |
| 208 | Koenig, Johannes | P114, C114 |
| 209 | Kokas, Sotirios | P57, C57 |
| 210 | Kong, Yunmi | P39 |
| 211 | Konstantinidi, Antri | P16 |
| 212 | Koop, Gary | P29, C29 |
| 213 | Kostrov, Alexander | P98 |
| 214 | Kourtellos, Andros | P8 |
| 215 | Koutmeridis, Theodore | P5 |
| 216 | Kripfganz, Sebastian | P68 |
| 217 | Kumar, Santosh | P69, C69 |
| 218 | Kurozumi, Eiji | P12, C12 |
| 219 | Laage, Louise | P24 |
| 220 | Labeaga, Jose M. | P64 |
| 221 | Laffers, Lukas | P40, C40 |
| 222 | Lahiri, Kajal | P25 |
| 223 | Laliotis, Ioannis | P26, C26 |
| 224 | LAPENTA, ELIA | P38 |
| 225 | Lasak, Katarzyna | P76 |
| 226 | Laseen, PER STEFAN | P45 |
| 227 | Lavezzi, Andrea Mario | P5 |
| 228 | López-Pérez, Víctor | P70, C70 |
| 229 | Le, Thanh Nam | P67, C67 |
| 230 | Le, Mathias | P111, C111 |
| 231 | Lechner, Michael | P56 |
| 232 | Leiva-Leon, Danilo | P65, C65 |
| 233 | Lenza, Michele | P37 |
| 234 | Lewis, Kurt | P20 |
| 235 | Lewis, Daniel | P7 |
| 236 | LI, Yuhao | P73, C73 |
| 237 | Li, Hao | P60 |
| 238 | Li, Lisha | P55 |
| 239 | Lima, Luiz | P100 |
| 240 | Lindén, Erik | P80 |
| 241 | Loria, Francesca | P11 |
| 242 | Lucchese, Elena | P73 |
| 243 | Luciani, Matteo | P84 |
| 244 | Lucidi, Francesco | P87 |
| 245 | Lumsdaine, Robin | P17 |
| 246 | M. Magnusson, Leandro | P63 |
| 247 | Maasoumi, Esfandiar | P41 |
| 248 | Machado, Cecilia | P23, C23 |
| 249 | Maes, Sebastiaan | P30 |
| 250 | Magnac, Thierry | P88 |
| 251 | Mahe, Clotilde | P90 |
| 252 | Maida, Agata | P36 |
| 253 | Mallucci, Enrico | P113, C113 |
| 254 | Mamonov, Mikhail | P57 |
| 255 | Manganelli, Simone | P92 |
| 256 | Mantoan, Giulia | P92 |
| 257 | Margaritella, Luca | P84, C84 |
| 258 | Marini, Annalisa | P4 |
| 259 | Martínez-Matute, Marta | P115 |
| 260 | Martins, Luis Filipe | P82 |
| 261 | Masten, Igor | P32 |
| 262 | Mastrobuon, Giovanni | C5 |
| 263 | Mastrobuoni, Giovanni | P5 |
| 264 | Møller, Stig | P20, C20 |
| 265 | McCracken, Michael | P6 |
| 266 | McGee, Rory | P105 |
| 267 | McGinn, Eamon | P67 |
| 268 | Meager, Rachael | P85 |
| 269 | Meier, Jonas | P69 |
| 270 | Mello, Marco | P73 |
| 271 | Mertens, Elmar | P74 |
| 272 | Mesters, Geert | P21 |
| 273 | Meyer-Gohde, Alexander | P15 |
| 274 | Michaelides, Alex | P78 |
| 275 | Michaelsen, Markus | P79 |
| 276 | Miescu, Mirela | P43, C43 |
| 277 | Monin, Remi | P80 |
| 278 | Mookerjee, Sulagna | P8 |
| 279 | Morana, Claudio | P112 |
| 280 | Mouratidis, Kostas | P62, C62 |
| 281 | Mumtaz, Haroon | P61, C61 |
| 282 | Muris, Chris | P24, C24 |
| 283 | Nakanishi, Hayato | P39, C39 |
| 284 | Narita, Futoshi | P20 |
| 285 | Natvik, Gisle | P104 |
| 286 | Nearchou, Paris | P115 |
| 287 | Nedeljkovic, Milan | P32 |
| 288 | Nguyen, Huyen | P99 |
| 289 | Noack, Claudia | P40 |
| 290 | Nordvik, Frode Martin | P89 |
| 291 | Norets, Andriy | P29 |
| 292 | Nyman, Rickard | P43 |
| 293 | Oberfichtner, Michael | P59 |
| 294 | oka, Tatsushi | P30 |
| 295 | Okui, Ryo | P66, C66 |
| 296 | Ong, Kian | P83 |
| 297 | Oparina, Ekaterina | P26 |
| 298 | Ortega, Eva | P33 |
| 299 | Owyang, Michael | P65 |
| 300 | Paccagnini, Alessia | P78, C78 |
| 301 | Pacini, David | P1 |
| 302 | Pallara, Kevin | P113 |
| 303 | Palomino, Francisco | P37, C37 |
| 304 | Panopoulou, Ekaterini | P100 |
| 305 | Papadopoulou, Niki | P51, C51 |
| 306 | Papell, David | P3 |
| 307 | Parenti, Angela | P90 |
| 308 | Park, Sangsoo | P12 |
| 309 | Parra-Cely, Sergio | P44 |
| 310 | Parsons, Christopher | P106, C106 |
| 311 | Patault, Bérengère | P107 |
| 312 | Pauwels, Laurent | P28 |
| 313 | Peneva, Ekaterina | P18 |
| 314 | Pereda-Fernández, Santiago | P86 |
| 315 | Pesaran, M. Hashem | C41, P56, C56 |
| 316 | Petrou, Kyriakos | P106 |
| 317 | Petrova, Katerina | P29 |
| 318 | Pfaffermayr, Michael | P27 |
| 319 | Phella, Anthoulla | P109 |
| 320 | Phillips, Peter | P41 |
| 321 | Piersanti, Fabio Massimo | P112 |
| 322 | Plum, Alexander | P36 |
| 323 | Poirier, Alexandre | P22 |
| 324 | Poli, Francesco | P35 |
| 325 | Poon, Aubrey | P18 |
| 326 | Posso, Christian | P53 |
| 327 | Postepska, Agnieszka | P34 |
| 328 | Poti, Valerio | P6 |
| 329 | Potjagailo, Galina | P113 |
| 330 | Quast, Josefine | P52 |
| 331 | Rahman, Sumaiya | P34, C34 |
| 332 | Rainone, Edoardo | P111 |
| 333 | Ramirez-Rondan, Nelson | P38 |
| 334 | Rancoita, Elena | P51 |
| 335 | Rangaraju, Sandeep Kumar | P32 |
| 336 | Rapti, Chrysanthi | P13, C13 |
| 337 | Reguly, Ágoston | P64 |
| 338 | Reif, Magnus | P74 |
| 339 | Reis, Hugo | P88 |
| 340 | Ricco, Giovanni | P61 |
| 341 | Rodríguez-Caballero, Carlos Vladimir | P71 |
| 342 | Rossi, Barbara | P21 |
| 343 | Rostam-Afschar, Davud | P90, C90 |
| 344 | Roux, Sebastien | P53 |
| 345 | Rubin, Mirco | P100, C100 |
| 346 | Rujin, Svetlana | P110 |
| 347 | Rungcharoenkitkul, Phurichai | P37 |
| 348 | Salzmann, Leonard | P87, C87 |
| 349 | Sanjani, Marzie | P62 |
| 350 | Sant'Anna, Pedro H. C. | P1 |
| 351 | Santangelo, Giulia | P36, C36 |
| 352 | Savignac, Frederique | P117, C117 |
| 353 | Savva, Christos | P91 |
| 354 | Scharnagl, Michael | P116 |
| 355 | Schaumburg, Julia | P10 |
| 356 | Schiele, Valentin | P68, C68 |
| 357 | Schienle, Melanie | P14 |
| 358 | Schlaak, Thore | P7 |
| 359 | Schnaitmann, Julie | P6 |
| 360 | Schneider, Ulrich | P72 |
| 361 | Schuffels, Johannes | P18, C18 |
| 362 | Schweitzer, Mark | P49 |
| 363 | Seckler, Matthias | P88 |
| 364 | See, Sarah Grace | P34 |
| 365 | Segev, Nimrod | P51 |
| 366 | Segnon, Mawuli | P12 |
| 367 | Sekhposyan, Tatevik | P17, C17 |
| 368 | Shirley, Peter | P19, C19 |
| 369 | Shkoza, Livia | P16 |
| 370 | Sinha, Shruti | P67 |
| 371 | Sirchenko, Andrei | P65 |
| 372 | Skaperdas, Arsenios | P97 |
| 373 | Skovorodov, Vlad | P97, C97 |
| 374 | Slichter, David | P53 |
| 375 | Smith, Simon | P66 |
| 376 | So, Inhwan | P43 |
| 377 | Soccorsi, Stefano | P96 |
| 378 | Soederhuizen, Beau | P83 |
| 379 | Sokol, Andrej | P82 |
| 380 | Sokullu, Senay | P38 |
| 381 | Sorensen, Bent | P75 |
| 382 | Spanos, Aris | P41 |
| 383 | Spencer, Peter | P55 |
| 384 | Sperna Weiland, Rob | P79 |
| 385 | Stamatogiannis, Michalis | P79, C79 |
| 386 | Stengos, Thanasis | P2 |
| 387 | Stoja, Evarist | P11 |
| 388 | Straub, Alexander | P99, C99 |
| 389 | Strittmatter, Anthony | P1, C1 |
| 390 | Stylianidou, Niki | P23 |
| 391 | Sufana, Razvan | P2 |
| 392 | Sutherland, Christopher | P17 |
| 393 | Sutradhar, Brajendra C. | P31 |
| 394 | Symeonidis, Lazaros | P58 |
| 395 | Tagliabracci, Alex | P98, C98 |
| 396 | Tauchen, George | P35 |
| 397 | Tedeschi, Simone | P75 |
| 398 | Tennekoon, Vidhura | P2 |
| 399 | Theodoropoulos, Nikolaos | P48 |
| 400 | Theophilopoulou, Angeliki | P101 |
| 401 | Tiezzi, Silvia | P49 |
| 402 | Tran, Duc (Brian) | P4, C4 |
| 403 | Trapin, Luca | P11, C11 |
| 404 | Tryphonides, Andreas | P15 |
| 405 | Tsangarides, Charalambos | P89, C89 |
| 406 | Tsiaplias, Sarantis | P78 |
| 407 | Vahey, Shaun | P28, C28 |
| 408 | Vahid, FARSHID | P110 |
| 409 | Valls Pereira, Pedro | P14, C14 |
| 410 | Van der Veken, Wouter | P4 |
| 411 | van Gemert, Thomas | P83, C83 |
| 412 | Veliyev, Bezirgen | P85 |
| 413 | Venditti, Fabrizio | P113 |
| 414 | Vermeulen, Philip | P101 |
| 415 | Vesal, Mohammad | P48 |
| 416 | Villanueva, Ernesto | P86 |
| 417 | von Schweinitz, Gregor | P62 |
| 418 | Vrontos, Spyridon | P100 |
| 419 | Wagner, Martin | P102 |
| 420 | Wang, Dandan | P109 |
| 421 | Wang, Mu-Chun | P15 |
| 422 | Wang, Jinwen | P23 |
| 423 | Wang, Sophie Xuefei | P23 |
| 424 | Wang, Wendun | P77 |
| 425 | Wellmann, Susanne | P87 |
| 426 | Wenzel, Maximilian | P117 |
| 427 | Whitehouse, Emily | P109, C109 |
| 428 | Wiemann, Thomas | P50, C50 |
| 429 | Wohlfart, Johannes | P75, C75 |
| 430 | Wong, Benjamin | P52, C52 |
| 431 | Wozniak, Tomasz | P7, C7 |
| 432 | Wright, Jonathan | P74, C74 |
| 433 | Yaman, Firat | P67 |
| 434 | Yang, Cynthia | P16 |
| 435 | Zacchia, Paolo | P106 |
| 436 | Zachariadis, Marios | P42 |
| 437 | Zamojski, Marcin | P10, C10 |
| 438 | Zhang, Weilong | P68 |
| 439 | Zhang, Donghai | P17 |
| 440 | Zhang, Lina | P30, C30 |
| 441 | Zhao, Xueyan | P60, C60 |
| 442 | Zhao, Yuejun | P48, C48 |
| 443 | Zhou, Hang | P62 |
This program was last updated on 2019-08-04 13:58:39 EDT