|  | 
| November  7, 2014 | 
|---|
|  | 
| 11:50 to 12:00 | Buses Leave the Hotels for the Campus, In Front of Sofitel and Hyatt | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 12:30 to 13:00 | Registration, Ryder Business Building (RB) | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 13:00 to 14:40 | Session Block #1: (3 concurrent sessions), Ryder Business Building (RB) | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 14:40 to 15:00 | Coffee Break, The Lobby of GL-100 | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 15:00 to 16:40 | Session Block #2: (3 concurrent sessions), Steve and Dorothea Green Library (GL) | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 17:00 to 18:00 | Guillermo Calvo - Plenary Lecture, School of International and Public Affairs: SIPA-125 | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 18:00 to 19:00 | Reception, School of International and Public Affairs: SIPA LOBBY | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 19:15 to 19:20 | Buses Leave the Campus for the Hotels | 
| 
 | 
|---|
|  | 
| November  8, 2014 | 
|---|
|  | 
| 07:25 to 07:30 | Buses Leave the Hotels for the Campus, In Front of Sofitel and Hyatt | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 08:00 to 08:20 | Coffee, Ernest R. Graham Center: GC-280 | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 08:20 to 10:00 | Session Block #3: (4 concurrent sessions), Ernest R. Graham Center (GC) | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 10:00 to 10:20 | Coffee Break, Ernest R. Graham Center: GC-280 | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 10:20 to 12:00 | Session Block #4: (4 concurrent sessions), Ernest R. Graham Center (GC) | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 12:00 to 13:00 | Lunch Break: Boxed lunchs will be available, Ernest R. Graham Center: GC-280 | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 13:00 to 14:40 | Session Block #5: (4 concurrent sessions), Ernest R. Graham Center (GC) | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 14:40 to 15:00 | Coffee Break, Ernest R. Graham Center: GC-280 | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 15:00 to 16:40 | Session Block #6: (4 concurrent sessions), Ernest R. Graham Center (GC) | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 16:40 to 17:00 | Coffee Break, The Lobby of GL-100 | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 17:00 to 18:00 | Timothy J. Kehoe - Plenary Lecture, Steve and Dorothea Green Library: GL-100 | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 18:15 to 18:20 | Buses Leave the Campus for the Hotels | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 19:00 to 21:00 | Conference Dinner, Hotel Sofitel - Monte Carlo Ballroom | 
| 
 | 
|---|
|  | 
| November  9, 2014 | 
|---|
|  | 
| 08:10 to 08:15 | Buses Leave the Hotels for the Campus, In Front of Sofitel and Hyatt | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 08:40 to 09:00 | Coffee, Ernest R. Graham Center: GC-280 | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 09:00 to 10:40 | Session Block #7: (4 concurrent sessions), Ernest R. Graham Center (GC) | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 10:40 to 11:00 | Coffee Break, Ernest R. Graham Center: GC-280 | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 11:00 to 12:40 | Session Block #8: (3 concurrent sessions), Ernest R. Graham Center (GC) | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| 12:55 to 13:00 | Buses Leave the Campus for the Hotels | 
| 
 | 
|---|
| # | Date/Time | Location | Title | Papers | 
|---|
| 1 | November 7, 2014 13:00-14:40
 | RB-120 | Session 1.1 - Banking/Finance | 4 | 
| 2 | November 7, 2014 13:00-14:40
 | RB-130 | Session 1.2 - Empirical Methodology | 3 | 
| 3 | November 7, 2014 13:00-14:40
 | RB-140 | Session 1.3 - International Finance (1) | 4 | 
| 4 | November 7, 2014 15:00-16:40
 | GL-139 | Session 2.1 - Monetary Policy (1) | 4 | 
| 5 | November 7, 2014 15:00-16:40
 | GL-166 | Session 2.2 - Mortgage/Assets | 4 | 
| 6 | November 7, 2014 15:00-16:40
 | GL-266 | Session 2.3 - International Trade (1) | 4 | 
| 7 | November 8, 2014 8:20-10:00
 | GC-283A | Session 3.1 - Taxation | 4 | 
| 8 | November 8, 2014 8:20-10:00
 | GC-285 | Session 3.2 - Productivity | 3 | 
| 9 | November 8, 2014 8:20-10:00
 | GC-287A | Session 3.3 - Monetary Policy (2) | 4 | 
| 10 | November 8, 2014 8:20-10:00
 | GC-287B | Session 3.4 - Macroeconomic Theory | 4 | 
| 11 | November 8, 2014 10:20-12:00
 | GC-283A | Session 4.1 - Labor Economics (1) | 4 | 
| 12 | November 8, 2014 10:20-12:00
 | GC-285 | Session 4.2 - International Finance (2) | 4 | 
| 13 | November 8, 2014 10:20-12:00
 | GC-287A | Session 4.3 - Fiscal Policy | 4 | 
| 14 | November 8, 2014 10:20-12:00
 | GC-287B | Session 4.4 - Financial Frictions | 4 | 
| 15 | November 8, 2014 13:00-14:40
 | GC-283A | Session 5.1 - Business Cycles (1) | 4 | 
| 16 | November 8, 2014 13:00-14:40
 | GC-285 | Session 5.2 - Debt/Inequality | 4 | 
| 17 | November 8, 2014 13:00-14:40
 | GC-287A | Session 5.3 - Development/Growth (1) | 4 | 
| 18 | November 8, 2014 13:00-14:40
 | GC-287B | Session 5.4 - Macroprudential Policy | 4 | 
| 19 | November 8, 2014 15:00-16:40
 | GC-283A | Session 6.1 - Monetary and Fiscal Policy | 4 | 
| 20 | November 8, 2014 15:00-16:40
 | GC-285 | Session 6.2 - Prices | 4 | 
| 21 | November 8, 2014 15:00-16:40
 | GC-287A | Session 6.3 - International Trade (2) | 4 | 
| 22 | November 8, 2014 15:00-16:40
 | GC-287B | Session 6.4 - Business Cycles (2) | 4 | 
| 23 | November 9, 2014 9:00-10:40
 | GC-283A | Session 7.1 - Business Cycles (3) | 4 | 
| 24 | November 9, 2014 9:00-10:40
 | GC-285 | Session 7.2 - Development/Growth (2) | 4 | 
| 25 | November 9, 2014 9:00-10:40
 | GC-287A | Session 7.3 - Housing | 3 | 
| 26 | November 9, 2014 9:00-10:40
 | GC-287B | Session 7.4 - Labor Economics (2) | 4 | 
| 27 | November 9, 2014 11:00-12:40
 | GC-283A | Session 8.1 - Monetary Policy (3) | 4 | 
| 28 | November 9, 2014 11:00-12:40
 | GC-285 | Session 8.2 - Development/Growth (3) | 4 | 
| 29 | November 9, 2014 11:00-12:40
 | GC-287A | Session 8.3 - Business Cycle (4) | 4 | 
 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 1: Session 1.1 - Banking/Finance November 7, 2014 13:00 to 14:40
 RB-120
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Chadwick Curtis, University of Richmond | 
|  | 
| A comparison of the internal and external determinants of global bank loans: Evidence from bilateral cross-country data | 
| Presented by: Uluc Aysun, University of Central Florida | 
|  | 
| Banking Competition, Capital Accumulation, and Monetary Policy | 
| Presented by: Edgar Ghossoub, University of Texas at San Antonio | 
|  | 
| Bank regulation under fire sale externalities | 
| Presented by: Gazi Kara, Federal Reserve Board | 
|  | 
| The Macroeconomic Determinants of Firm-Level Cash Holding | 
| Presented by: Chadwick Curtis, University of Richmond | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 2: Session 1.2 - Empirical Methodology November 7, 2014 13:00 to 14:40
 RB-130
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Maral Kichian, University of Ottawa | 
|  | 
| Testing for Structural Breaks with Local Smoothers: A Simulation Study | 
| Presented by: Serda Ozturk, Istanbul Bilgi University | 
|  | 
| Efficient simulation of DSGE models with occasionally binding constraints | 
| Presented by: Tom Holden, University of Surrey | 
|  | 
| Oil Price Forecasts for Macroeconomic Projections: Experts Outlooks, Models, or Both? | 
| Presented by: Maral Kichian, University of Ottawa | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 3: Session 1.3 - International Finance (1) November 7, 2014 13:00 to 14:40
 RB-140
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Takayuki Tsuruga, Kyoto Unviersity | 
|  | 
| Impact of Foreign Official Purchases of U.S Treasuries on the Yield Curve | 
| Presented by: Erin Wolcott, University of California, San Diego | 
|  | 
| International Transmission Channels of U.S. Quantitative Easing: Evidence from Canada | 
| Presented by: Tatjana Dahlhaus, Bank of Canada | 
|  | 
| Exchange Rate Pass-Through and the Role of Market Shares | 
| Presented by: Michael Malenbaum, CUNY Graduate Center | 
|  | 
| Effects of Commodity Price Shocks on Inflation: A Cross Country Analysis | 
| Presented by: Takayuki Tsuruga, Kyoto Unviersity | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 4: Session 2.1 - Monetary Policy (1) November 7, 2014 15:00 to 16:40
 GL-139
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Bingbing Dong, University of Virginia | 
|  | 
| Indeterminacy and Learning: An Analysis of Monetary Policy in the Great Inflation | 
| Presented by: Christian Matthes, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond | 
|  | 
| A Central Bank's Escape From an Indeterminacy Trap | 
| [slides] | 
| Presented by: Nelson Lind, University of California, San Diego | 
|  | 
| Expectations, Learning, and Forward Guidance | 
| Presented by: Stephen Cole, University of California, Irvine | 
|  | 
| Forward Guidance and Optimal Credible Monetary Policy | 
| Presented by: Bingbing Dong, University of Virginia | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 5: Session 2.2 - Mortgage/Assets November 7, 2014 15:00 to 16:40
 GL-166
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 John Kandrac, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve | 
|  | 
| Determinants of Saving Rate in the US: The Role of Mortgage Payments | 
| Presented by: Cengiz Tunc, Central Bank of Turkey | 
|  | 
| Heterogeneous Households, Mortgage Debts and Housing Demand over the Great Recession | 
| Presented by: Lini Zhang, Central University of Finance and Economics | 
|  | 
| Implications of Security Market Data for Production Technologies | 
| Presented by: Andrew Chen, Federal Reserve Board | 
|  | 
| The Costs of Quantitative Easing: Liquidity and Market Functioning Effects of Federal Reserve MBS Purchases | 
| Presented by: John Kandrac, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 6: Session 2.3 - International Trade (1) November 7, 2014 15:00 to 16:40
 GL-266
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Parul Deswal, Suffolk University | 
|  | 
| International Trade Fluctuations and Monetary Policy | 
| Presented by: Fernando Leibovici, York University | 
|  | 
| Asymmetric Trade Liberalizations and Current Account Dynamics | 
| Presented by: Alessandro Barattieri, ESG UQAM | 
|  | 
| Trade Costs and Markups | 
| Presented by: Alexander McQuoid, Florida International University | 
|  | 
| International trade costs in services | 
| Presented by: Parul Deswal, Suffolk University | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 7: Session 3.1 - Taxation November 8, 2014 8:20 to 10:00
 GC-283A
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Ufuk Demirel, Congressional Budget Office | 
|  | 
| Inflation-Protected Income Taxes and Monetary Dominance | 
| Presented by: Andrew Keinsley, University of Kansas | 
|  | 
| State-Dependent Output and Welfare Effects of Tax Shocks | 
| Presented by: Jonathan Wolff, Miami University of Ohio | 
|  | 
| Collateralized Debt and Sovereign Default | 
| Presented by: Yasin Kursat Onder, Central Bank of Turkey | 
|  | 
| The Short-Term Effects of Tax Changes in the United States: Evidence for State Dependence | 
| Presented by: Ufuk Demirel, Congressional Budget Office | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 8: Session 3.2 - Productivity November 8, 2014 8:20 to 10:00
 GC-285
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Tatsuro Senga, The Ohio State University | 
|  | 
| Misallocation and Recovery Rates | 
| Presented by: Asli Senkal, | 
|  | 
| Allocation of Female Talent and Cross-Country Productivity Differences | 
| Presented by: Munseob Lee, University of Chicago | 
|  | 
| A New Look at Uncertainty Shocks: Imperfect Information and Misallocation | 
| Presented by: Tatsuro Senga, The Ohio State University | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 9: Session 3.3 - Monetary Policy (2) November 8, 2014 8:20 to 10:00
 GC-287A
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Lena Koerber, Bank of England and London School of Economics | 
|  | 
| Does Calvo Meet Rotemberg at the Zero Lower Bound? | 
| Presented by: Phuong Ngo, Cleveland State University | 
|  | 
| Monetary Policy and Skill Heterogeneity | 
| Presented by: Robert Lester, University of Notre Dame | 
|  | 
| Real Fluctuations at the Zero Lower Bound | 
| [slides] | 
| Presented by: Brent Bundick, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City | 
|  | 
| Small and orthodox fiscal multipliers at the zero lower bound | 
| Presented by: Lena Koerber, Bank of England and London School of Economics | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 10: Session 3.4 - Macroeconomic Theory November 8, 2014 8:20 to 10:00
 GC-287B
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Vadym Lepetyuk, Bank of Canada | 
|  | 
| Continuous Markov Equilibria with Quasi-Geometric Discounting | 
| Presented by: Burcu Eyigungor, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia | 
|  | 
| The Macroeconomic Consequences of Asset Bubbles and Crashes | 
| Presented by: Lisi Shi, Uconn | 
|  | 
| Risk Aversion and the Financial Accelerator | 
| Presented by: Giacomo Candian, Boston College | 
|  | 
| A Reinforcement Learning Approach to Solving Incomplete Market Models with Aggregate Uncertainty | 
| Presented by: Vadym Lepetyuk, Bank of Canada | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 11: Session 4.1 - Labor Economics (1) November 8, 2014 10:20 to 12:00
 GC-283A
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 David Arseneau, Federal Reserve Board | 
|  | 
| Wage dynamics and labor market transitions: a reassessment through total income and usual wages. | 
| Presented by: Maria Canon, Federal Reserve Bank of Saint Louis | 
|  | 
| Unemployment Benefits and Matching Efficiency in an Estimated DSGE Model with Labor Market Search Frictions | 
| Presented by: Ji Zhang, Tsinghua University | 
|  | 
| Unemployment and Inventories | 
| Presented by: Jan Duras, Penn State University | 
|  | 
| The Welfare Costs of Skill-Mismatch Employment | 
| Presented by: David Arseneau, Federal Reserve Board | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 12: Session 4.2 - International Finance (2) November 8, 2014 10:20 to 12:00
 GC-285
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Juan Sanchez, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | 
|  | 
| Motivations for capital controls and their effectiveness | 
| Presented by: Gurnain Pasricha, Bank of Canada | 
|  | 
| The Macroeconomic Effects of Debt- and Equity Based Capital Inflows | 
| Presented by: Scott Davis, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas | 
|  | 
| Ride the Wild Surf: An investigation of the drivers of surges in capital inflows | 
| Presented by: Megumi Kubota, World Bank | 
|  | 
| Evaluating the World Capital Allocation | 
| Presented by: Juan Sanchez, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 13: Session 4.3 - Fiscal Policy November 8, 2014 10:20 to 12:00
 GC-287A
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Mikhail Dmitriev, Florida State University | 
|  | 
| A Narrative Approach to a Fiscal DSGE Model | 
| Presented by: Thorsten Drautzburg, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia | 
|  | 
| Fiscal Multipliers at the Zero Lower Bound: The Role of Policy Inertia | 
| Presented by: Taisuke Nakata, Federal Reserve Board | 
|  | 
| Accounting for Japanese Fiscal Multipliers: State-dependent Pricing meets the Zero Lower Bound? | 
| Presented by: Nam Vu, Vanderbilt Unviversity | 
|  | 
| The Optimal Design of a Fiscal Union | 
| Presented by: Mikhail Dmitriev, Florida State University | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 14: Session 4.4 - Financial Frictions November 8, 2014 10:20 to 12:00
 GC-287B
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Manuel Macera, Colorado State University | 
|  | 
| Costly Financial Intermediation and Excess Consumption Volatility | 
| Presented by: Ayse Sapci, Colgate University | 
|  | 
| Financial Volatility and its Economic Effects | 
| Presented by: Thiago Teixeira Ferreira, Federal Reserve Board | 
|  | 
| Financial Markets, Industry Dynamics, and Growth | 
| Presented by: Pietro Peretto, Duke University | 
|  | 
| Credit Crises and Private Liquidity: The Role of Household Debt | 
| Presented by: Manuel Macera, Colorado State University | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 15: Session 5.1 - Business Cycles (1) November 8, 2014 13:00 to 14:40
 GC-283A
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Mario Crucini, Vanderbilt University | 
|  | 
| International Spillovers of Large-Scale Asset Purchases | 
| Presented by: Serdar Kabaca, Bank of Canada | 
|  | 
| Understanding the cross country effects of US technology shocks | 
| Presented by: Thuy Lan Nguyen, Columbia University | 
|  | 
| What do inventories tell us about news-driven business cycles? | 
| Presented by: Hyunseung Oh, Vanderbilt University | 
|  | 
| Trends and Cycles in Small Open Economies: Making the Case for A General Equilibrium Approach | 
| Presented by: Mario Crucini, Vanderbilt University | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 16: Session 5.2 - Debt/Inequality November 8, 2014 13:00 to 14:40
 GC-285
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Zeynep Kabukcuoglu, University of Pittsburgh | 
|  | 
| Need for the Right Speed: Public Debt Deleveraging and the Timing of Austerity | 
| Presented by: Federica Romei, European University Institute | 
|  | 
| Doves for the Rich, Hawks for the Poor? Distributional Consequences of Monetary Policy | 
| Presented by: Nils Gornemann, Board of Governors | 
|  | 
| Current Account Norms in Natural Resource Rich and Capital Scarce Economies | 
| Presented by: Bin Li, International Monetary Fund | 
|  | 
| Income Inequality and Sovereign Debt Default | 
| Presented by: Zeynep Kabukcuoglu, University of Pittsburgh | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 17: Session 5.3 - Development/Growth (1) November 8, 2014 13:00 to 14:40
 GC-287A
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Alexander Monge-Naranjo, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | 
|  | 
| Research Policy and U.S. Economic Growth | 
| Presented by: Richard M. H. Suen, University of Connecticut | 
|  | 
| Getting Help From Abroad: The Macroeconomics of Foreign Direct Investment in Infrastructure in Low-Income Countries | 
| Presented by: Yin Germaschewski, Howard University | 
|  | 
| Population Aging, Migration Spillovers, and the Decline in Interstate Migration | 
| Presented by: Serena Rhee, University of Hawaii at Manoa | 
|  | 
| Education Policies and Structural Transformation | 
| [slides] | 
| Presented by: Alexander Monge-Naranjo, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 18: Session 5.4 - Macroprudential Policy November 8, 2014 13:00 to 14:40
 GC-287B
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Bill Dupor, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | 
|  | 
| Addressing Household Indebtedness: Monetary, Fiscal or Macroprudential Policy? | 
| Presented by: Sami Alpanda, Bank of Canada | 
|  | 
| Evaluating Macroprudential Policy in a DSGE Framework with Financial Frictions | 
| Presented by: Sherry Yu, New College of Florida | 
|  | 
| Regulations on timing of sovereign credit ratings | 
| Presented by: Laura Desplans, University of Rochester | 
|  | 
| The 2009 Recovery Act: Stimulus at the Extensive and Intensive Labor Margins | 
| Presented by: Bill Dupor, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 19: Session 6.1 - Monetary and Fiscal Policy November 8, 2014 15:00 to 16:40
 GC-283A
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Daria Finocchiaro, Sveriges Riksbank | 
|  | 
| Inflation, Debt, and Default | 
| Presented by: Sewon Hur, University of Pittsburgh | 
|  | 
| Cross-region transfers in a monetary union | 
| Presented by: Steven Pennings, World Bank | 
|  | 
| Limited Asset Market Participation and State-Dependent Effects of Monetary Policy and Government Spending Shocks | 
| Presented by: Hikaru Saijo, University of California, Santa Cruz | 
|  | 
| Tax Benefi
ts of Debt-Financing and the Optimal Rate of Inflation | 
| Presented by: Daria Finocchiaro, Sveriges Riksbank | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 20: Session 6.2 - Prices November 8, 2014 15:00 to 16:40
 GC-285
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Craig Benedict, Vanderbilt University | 
|  | 
| Shopping Behavior and Cost of Living during the Great Recession | 
| Presented by: David Argente, University of Chicago | 
|  | 
| State Dependency in Price and Wage Setting | 
| Presented by: Shuhei Takahashi, Kyoto University | 
|  | 
| Price Search, Consumption Inequality, and Expenditure Inequality over the Life Cycle | 
| Presented by: Yavuz Arslan, The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey | 
|  | 
| On What State Do Prices Depend: Answers from Ecuador | 
| [slides] | 
| Presented by: Craig Benedict, Vanderbilt University | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 21: Session 6.3 - International Trade (2) November 8, 2014 15:00 to 16:40
 GC-287A
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Illenin Kondo, Federal Reserve Board | 
|  | 
| Income Distribution, Quality Sorting and Trade | 
| Presented by: Alvaro Garcia Marin, UCLA | 
|  | 
| Competition and the welfare gains from transportation infrastructure: Evidence from the Golden Quadrilateral of India | 
| Presented by: Jose Asturias, Georgetown University | 
|  | 
| Quality and the Great Trade Collapse | 
| Presented by: Luciana Juvenal, International Monetary Fund | 
|  | 
| Trade Reforms, Foreign Competition, and Labor Market Adjustments in the U.S. | 
| Presented by: Illenin Kondo, Federal Reserve Board | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 22: Session 6.4 - Business Cycles (2) November 8, 2014 15:00 to 16:40
 GC-287B
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Wataru Miyamoto, Bank of Canada | 
|  | 
| Firm and Job Creation Policies During Recessions in Emerging Economies | 
| Presented by: Alan Finkelstein Shapiro, Universidad de los Andes, Colombia | 
|  | 
| Kiss Me Deadly: From Finnish Great Depression to Great Recession | 
| Presented by: Adam Gulan, Bank of Finland | 
|  | 
| Costly Labor Adjustment and Sectoral Comovement over the Business Cycle | 
| Presented by: Shunqin Chen, The George Washington University | 
|  | 
| News shocks in Business Cycles: evidence from forecast data | 
| Presented by: Wataru Miyamoto, Bank of Canada | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 23: Session 7.1 - Business Cycles (3) November 9, 2014 9:00 to 10:40
 GC-283A
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Steffen Ahrens, Technische Universität Berlin | 
|  | 
| The propagation of industrial business cycles | 
| Presented by: Danilo Leiva-Leon, Bank of Canada | 
|  | 
| Heterogeneity and redistribution in financial crises | 
| Presented by: Daichi Shirai, The Canon Institute for Global Studies | 
|  | 
| Employment Duration over the Business Cycles: Quits vs. Firings | 
| Presented by: Ismail Baydur, ADA University | 
|  | 
| Layoff Taxes, Unemployment Insurance, and Business Cylce Fluctuations | 
| Presented by: Steffen Ahrens, Technische Universität Berlin | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 24: Session 7.2 - Development/Growth (2) November 9, 2014 9:00 to 10:40
 GC-285
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Junmin Liao, Washington University in St. Louis | 
|  | 
| The European Union and Economic Growth: The average treatment effect of adopting the euro | 
| Presented by: Huseyin Aytug, Central Bank of Turkey | 
|  | 
| Commodity Prices and Growth | 
| Presented by: Domenico Ferraro, Arizona State University | 
|  | 
| Unemployment and Development: Harris-Todaro Meets Mortensen Pissarides | 
| Presented by: David Wiczer, FRB St. Louis | 
|  | 
| The Rise of the Service Sector: Expansion of Distribution and Personal Services | 
| Presented by: Junmin Liao, Washington University in St. Louis | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 25: Session 7.3 - Housing November 9, 2014 9:00 to 10:40
 GC-287A
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Andrew Smith, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City | 
|  | 
| The Great Housing Boom of China | 
| Presented by: Kaiji Chen, Emory University | 
|  | 
| Joint Dynamics of House Prices and Foreclosures | 
| Presented by: Yavuz Arslan, The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey | 
|  | 
| House Prices, Heterogeneous Banks and Unconventional Monetary Policy Options | 
| Presented by: Andrew Smith, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City | 
|  | 
|---|
| Session 26: Session 7.4 - Labor Economics (2) November 9, 2014 9:00 to 10:40
 GC-287B
 | 
|---|
|  | 
|---|
| Session Chair: 
 Selva Baziki, Uppsala University | 
|  | 
| Why do Europeans steal more than Americans? | 
| Presented by: Marek Kapicka, University of California Santa Barbara | 
|  | 
| Incentivizing the Disabled: Optimal Employment and Social Insurance Policies | 
| Presented by: Soojin Kim, Purdue University | 
|  | 
| Health Care Reform or Labor Market Reform? A Quantitative Analysis of the Affordable Care Act | 
| Presented by: Didem Tuzemen, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City | 
|  | 
| Import Competition and Technological Changes: Mobility of Workers and Firms | 
| Presented by: Selva Baziki, Uppsala University | 
|  | 
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| Session 27: Session 8.1 - Monetary Policy (3) November 9, 2014 11:00 to 12:40
 GC-283A
 | 
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| Session Chair: 
 Christian Friedrich, Bank of Canada | 
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| The Systematic Component of Monetary Policy in SVARs: An Agnostic Identification Procedure | 
| Presented by: Jonas Arias, Federal Reserve Board | 
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| Post-Crisis Slow Recovery and Monetary Policy | 
| Presented by: Daisuke Ikeda, Bank of Japan | 
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| Optimal Monetary Policy in Open Economies with Incomplete Markets | 
| [slides] | 
| Presented by: Matthew Hoelle, Purdue University | 
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| Global Inflation Dynamics in the Post-Crisis Period: What Explains the Twin Puzzle? | 
| Presented by: Christian Friedrich, Bank of Canada | 
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| Session 28: Session 8.2 - Development/Growth (3) November 9, 2014 11:00 to 12:40
 GC-285
 | 
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| Session Chair: 
 Mihaela Pintea, Florida International University | 
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| Imitation, Innovation, and Growth | 
| Presented by: Tracy Collins, New College of Florida | 
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| Chinese Roads in India: The Effect of Transport Infrastructure on Economic Development | 
| Presented by: Simon Alder, University of North Carolina at Chapel H | 
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| Is Informality a Barrier to Convergence? | 
| Presented by: Nebahat Ferda Erturk, Bogazici University | 
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| The Role of Productivity, Transportation Costs, and Barriers to Intersectoral Mobility in Structural Transformation | 
| Presented by: Mihaela Pintea, Florida International University | 
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| Session 29: Session 8.3 - Business Cycle (4) November 9, 2014 11:00 to 12:40
 GC-287A
 | 
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| Session Chair: 
 Diego Vilan, University of Southern California | 
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| Financial Market Integration and Spillover Effects | 
| Presented by: Kyunghun Kim, University of California, Davis | 
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| Remittances, Entrepreneurship and Employment Dynamics over the Business Cycle | 
| Presented by: Alan Finkelstein Shapiro, Universidad de los Andes, Colombia | 
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| Dispersed Beliefs, Frictional Acquisition of Used Capital, and Investment Dynamics: Evidence and Theory | 
| Presented by: Dun Jia, University of Maryland - College Park | 
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| Demand Shocks and Endogenous Uncertainty | 
| Presented by: Diego Vilan, University of Southern California |