SCE - Computing in Economics and Finance 2010

Summary of All Sessions

Click here for an index of all participants

#Date/TimeLocationTitlePapers
1July 15, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG21 A3: Banking and Systemic Risk4
2July 15, 2010
9:20-11:00
Great Hall A1: Agent-Based Models of Financial Markets I4
3July 15, 2010
9:20-11:00
A130 A2: Monetary Credibility and Transparency4
4July 15, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG22 A4: International Economics I2
5July 15, 2010
9:20-11:00
A225 A5: Computational Methods and Applications4
6July 15, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG11 A7: Asset Pricing, Risk Premium and Portfolio Decisions4
7July 15, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG10 A9: Finance I4
8July 15, 2010
9:20-11:00
A227 A6: Macroeconomics I4
9July 15, 2010
9:20-11:00
A226 A8: Agent-Based Computational Economics I4
10July 15, 2010
11:25-12:30
Great Hall Plenary I - Stewart Hodges1
11July 15, 2010
12:30-13:50
The Pool Poster Session I - Macroeconomics4
12July 15, 2010
12:30-13:50
The Pool Poster Session I - Macroeconomics4
13July 15, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG22 B4: Agent-Based Models of Networks4
14July 15, 2010
14:00-15:40
A225 B5: Computational Methods in Finance4
15July 15, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG21 B3: Dynamic Choice Models4
16July 15, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG11 B7: Labour Economics I4
17July 15, 2010
14:00-15:40
Great Hall B1: Business Cycles and Fluctuations I4
18July 15, 2010
14:00-15:40
A227 B6: Monetary Policy I3
19July 15, 2010
14:00-15:40
A130 B2: Wage and Price Rigidity4
20July 15, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG10 B9: Business Cycles and Fluctuations II4
21July 15, 2010
14:00-15:40
A226 B8: Econometric Theory I4
22July 15, 2010
16:20-18:00
AG21 C3: Agent-Based Computational Economics II3
23July 15, 2010
16:20-18:00
AG10 C9: Finance II4
24July 15, 2010
16:20-18:00
Great Hall C1: Vector Autoregression Models4
25July 15, 2010
16:20-18:00
A227 C6: Financial Crisis I3
26July 15, 2010
16:20-18:00
AG11 C7: Fiscal Policy I3
27July 15, 2010
16:20-18:00
A225 C5: Macroeconomics II4
28July 15, 2010
16:20-18:00
AG22 C4: DSGE Models4
29July 15, 2010
16:20-18:00
A226 C8: The Fate of Adaptive Systems3
30July 15, 2010
16:20-18:00
A130 C2: Macroeconometrics I4
31July 16, 2010
9:20-11:00
A130 D2: Agent-Based Computational Economics III4
32July 16, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG11 D7: Nonlinearity and Nonstationarity in Equity Markets4
33July 16, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG22 D4: Monetary and Fiscal Policy 3
34July 16, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG10 D9: Robust Design in Macro Policymaking4
35July 16, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG21 D3: New Keynesian Economics3
36July 16, 2010
9:20-11:00
Great Hall D1: Growth and Income Distribution4
37July 16, 2010
9:20-11:00
A225 D5: Computational Methods for Heterogeneous Agent Models4
38July 16, 2010
9:20-11:00
A227 D6: Learning in Financial Markets4
39July 16, 2010
9:20-11:00
A226 D8: Econometric Theory II4
40July 16, 2010
11:25-12:30
Great Hall Plenary II - Shu-Heng Chen0
41July 16, 2010
12:30-13:50
The Pool Poster Session II - Microeconomics and Health3
42July 16, 2010
12:30-13:50
The Pool Poster Session II - Microeconomics and Health4
43July 16, 2010
14:00-15:40
A225 E5: Agent-Based Models of Industrial Organisation I3
44July 16, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG10 E9: Models of General Equilibrium 4
45July 16, 2010
14:00-15:40
A226 E8: Modeling the Real Economy4
46July 16, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG11 E7: Monetary Policy II4
47July 16, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG21 E3: Open Economy and Debt Sustainability4
48July 16, 2010
14:00-15:40
A130 E2: Forecasting4
49July 16, 2010
14:00-15:40
Great Hall E1: Bank of Canada Session on Applied Monetary Policy3
50July 16, 2010
14:00-15:40
A227 E6: Finance III3
51July 16, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG22 E4: Econometric Theory III4
52July 16, 2010
16:20-18:00
AG21 F3: Trading Strategies in Financial Markets4
53July 16, 2010
16:20-18:00
AG22 F4: Agent-Based Computational Economics IV3
54July 16, 2010
16:20-18:00
AG11 F7: Financial Crisis II4
55July 16, 2010
16:20-18:00
A130 F2: Topics in Macroeconomic Control4
56July 16, 2010
16:20-18:00
Great Hall F1: Macroeconomics and Income Distribution4
57July 16, 2010
16:20-18:00
A225 F5: Shocks and Spillover Effects4
58July 16, 2010
16:20-18:00
A226 F8: Real-Time and High-Frequency Data4
59July 16, 2010
16:20-18:00
A227 F6: Fiscal Policy II4
60July 16, 2010
16:20-18:00
AG10 F9: Industry Structure4
61July 16, 2010
19:00-21:00
The Royal Society Conference Gala Dinner1
62July 17, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG21 G3: Experiments and Game Theory I4
63July 17, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG22 G4: International Economics II4
64July 17, 2010
9:20-11:00
Great Hall G1: Monetary Policy III3
65July 17, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG11 G7: Financial Crisis III4
66July 17, 2010
9:20-11:00
A227 G6: Business Cycles and Fluctuations III3
67July 17, 2010
9:20-11:00
A130 G2: Risk Management4
68July 17, 2010
9:20-11:00
A225 G5: Agent-Based Models of Industrial Organisation II4
69July 17, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG10 G9: Expectations Imperfections and Dynamics3
70July 17, 2010
9:20-11:00
AG06 G10: Labour Economics II4
71July 17, 2010
9:20-11:00
A226 G8: Econometric Theory IV4
72July 17, 2010
11:25-12:30
Great Hall Plenary III - Ellen McGrattan0
73July 17, 2010
12:30-13:50
The Pool Poster Session III - Finance and Spatial Models4
74July 17, 2010
12:30-13:50
The Pool Poster Session III - Finance and Spatial Models3
75July 17, 2010
14:00-15:40
Great Hall H1: Pricing of Derivative Securities4
76July 17, 2010
14:00-15:40
A227 H6: Bayesian Methods3
77July 17, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG10 H9: Issues in Globalization4
78July 17, 2010
14:00-15:40
A226 H8: Heterogeneous Agents3
79July 17, 2010
14:00-15:40
A225 H5: Housing, Asset prices and Monetary Policy2
80July 17, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG21 H3: Macroeconomics III4
81July 17, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG06 H10: Policy Implications of Financial Frictions3
82July 17, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG11 H7: Fiscal Policy III3
83July 17, 2010
14:00-15:40
AG22 H4: Finance IV4
84July 17, 2010
14:00-15:40
A130 H2: Macroeconometrics II4
85July 17, 2010
16:20-18:00
AG11 I6: Experiments and Game Theory II4
86July 17, 2010
16:20-18:00
A225 I4: Agent-Based Models of Financial Markets II4
87July 17, 2010
16:20-18:00
AG10 I8: Bounded Rationality in Economics and Finance4
88July 17, 2010
16:20-18:00
AG22 I3: International Economics III4
89July 17, 2010
16:20-18:00
Great Hall I1: Empirical Tests of Monetary Policy 4
90July 17, 2010
16:20-18:00
A227 I5: Macroeconomics IV4
91July 17, 2010
16:20-18:00
A226 I7: Statistical Methods4
92July 17, 2010
16:20-18:00
A130 I2: Dynamic Estimation4
 

92 sessions, 330 papers


 

SCE - Computing in Economics and Finance 2010

Complete List of All Sessions


Session 1: A3: Banking and Systemic Risk

Session Chair: Daniel Ladley, University of Leicester
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG21
 

Interbank overnight interest rates - gains from systemic importance
By Casper Christophersen; Norges Bank
Farooq Akram; Norges Bank
   Presented by: Casper Christophersen, Norges Bank
 

The Overnight Interbank Market. Simple Statistics and Facts Before and During the Credit Crisis.
By Mauro Politi; Ecole Centrale Paris & Marburg University
Giulia Iori; City University London
Guido Germano; Marburg University
Gianpaolo Gabbi; University of Siena
   Presented by: Guido Germano, Philipps-University Marburg
 

Macroeconomic Factors and Bank Risk
By Claudia M. Buch; University of Tuebingen, CESifo, IAW
Sandra Eickmeier; Deutsche Bundesbank
Esteban Prieto; University of Tuebingen
   Presented by: Esteban Prieto, University of Tuebingen
 

An Economic Model of Contagion in Interbank Lending Networks
By Daniel Ladley; University of Leicester
   Presented by: Daniel Ladley, University of Leicester

Session 2: A1: Agent-Based Models of Financial Markets I

Session Chair: Youwei Li, Queen's University Belfast
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: Great Hall
 

How Does Overconfidence Affect Asset Pricing, Volatility, and Volume?
By Chia-Hsuan Yeh; Yuan Ze University
Chun-Yi Yang; Tinbergen Institute
   Presented by: Chia-Hsuan Yeh, Yuan Ze University
 

What Makes the Market in a Market without Market-makers?
By Austin Gerig; University of Technology, Sydney
Kristoffer J Glover; University of Technology, Sydney
   Presented by: Kristoffer Glover, University of Technology, Sydney
 

Market Maker, Stability and Power-law Behaviour
By Youwei Li; Queen's University Belfast
Xue-Zhong He; University of Technology, Sydney
   Presented by: Youwei Li, Queen's University Belfast
 

Mass Psychology in Action: Identification of Social Interaction Effects in the German Stock Market
By Thomas Lux; University of Kiel & Kiel Institute for the World Economy
   Presented by: Thomas Lux, University of Kiel

Session 3: A2: Monetary Credibility and Transparency

Session Chair: Giuseppe Ferrero, Bank of Italy
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A130
 

The Non-Transparency of Timeless Rules
[slides]
By Martin Ellison; Oxford University
Joseph Pearlman; London Metropolitan University
Brian Henry; National Institute of Economic and Social Research
   Presented by: Joseph Pearlman, London Metropolitan University
 

How clarity about the inflation objective anchors inflation expectations
By Anna Lipinska; Bank of England
Anthony Yates; Bank of England
   Presented by: Anna Lipinska, Bank of England
 

Credibility of Central Bank Communication and Monetary Policy Transitions
By Richhild Moessner; Bank for International Settlements
   Presented by: Richhild Moessner, Bank for International Settlements
 

Publishing the Central Bank’s Interest Rate Projections and Learning
[slides]
By Giuseppe Ferrero; Bank of Italy
Alessandro Secchi; Bank of Italy
   Presented by: Giuseppe Ferrero, Bank of Italy

Session 4: A4: International Economics I

Session Chair: Alexandre Dmitriev, University of New South Wales
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG22
 

Time-separability of Preferences and International Business Cycles with Incomplete Markets
By Alexandre Dmitriev; University of New South Wales
   Presented by: Alexandre Dmitriev, University of New South Wales
 

On the Measurement of Technological Progress Across Countries
By Jakub Growiec; Warsaw School of Economics & National Bank of Poland
   Presented by: Jakub Growiec, Warsaw School of Economics & National Bank of Poland

Session 5: A5: Computational Methods and Applications

Session Chair: Elmar Mertens, Federal Reserve Board
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A225
 

Homotopy Methods for Reliable Projection Method Computations with Dynamic Stochastic Models
[slides]
By Gary S. Anderson; Federal Reserve Board
   Presented by: Gary Anderson, Board of Governors, Federal Reserve
 

Excessively Volatile Stock Markets: Computation and Policy Analysis
By Thomas M. Mertens; NYU Stern School of Business
   Presented by: Thomas Mertens, New York University
 

Computing Optimal Sustainable Monetary Policy
By Takeki Sunakawa; The Ohio State University and Bank of Japan
   Presented by: Takeki Sunakawa, Ohio State University and Bank of Japan
 

Discreet Commitments and Discretion of Policymakers with Private Information
By Elmar Mertens; Federal Reserve Board
   Presented by: Elmar Mertens, Federal Reserve Board

Session 6: A7: Asset Pricing, Risk Premium and Portfolio Decisions

Session Chair: Pawel Zabczyk, Bank of England
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG11
 

Asset Pricing with Concentrated Ownership of Capital
By Kevin J. Lansing; Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
   Presented by: Kevin Lansing, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
 

From the IPO to the First Trade: Is Underpricing Related to the Trading Mechanism?
By Moez Bennouri - Rouen Business School
Sonia Falconieri - Cass Business School
Daniel Weaver - Rutgers Business School
   Presented by: Sonia Falconieri, Cass Business School
 

Bank Lending, Housing Collateral and Stabilisation Policy
By Jagjit S. Chadha; University of Kent
Germana Corrado; University of Rome Tor Vergata
Luisa Corrado; University of Cambridge
   Presented by: Luisa Corrado, University of Cambridge and University
 

An Efficient Method of Computing High Order Perturbation Approximations to the Yield Curve
By Martin Andreasen; Bank of England
Pawel Zabczyk; Bank of England
   Presented by: Pawel Zabczyk, Bank of England

Session 7: A9: Finance I

Session Chair: Charles Bos, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG10
 

On Endogenous Option Prices in a Dynamic CAPM
By Jan Wenzelburger; Keele University
   Presented by: Jan Wenzelburger, Keele University
 

A Comparative Analysis of Neurofuzzy, ANN and ARIMA Models for Brazilian Stock Index Forecasting
By Rodrigo Lanna F. da Silveira; State University of Campinas
Lilian Maluf de Lima; State University of Campinas
Ivette R. Luna Huamaní; State University of Campinas
Rosangela Ballini; University of Campinas
   Presented by: Rosangela Ballini, University of Campinas
 

On Hurst Exponent Estimation Under Heavy-tailed Distributions
By Jozef Barunik; Charles University, Prague and Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
Ladislav Kristoufek; Charles University, Prague and Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
   Presented by: Ladislav Kristoufek, Charles University
 

Dynamic Correlations and Minimum Variance Portfolio Construction
By Charles S. Bos; Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Phillip Gould; Alliance Bernstein
   Presented by: Charles Bos, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

Session 8: A6: Macroeconomics I

Session Chair: Christophe Cahn, Paris School of Economics and Banque de France
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A227
 

Governmental Debt, Risk Sharing, and Tax Stabilization in an Overlapping Generations Economy
By Marten Hillebrand; Karlsruhe Institute of Technology
   Presented by: Marten Hillebrand, University of Karlsruhe
 

Macroeconomic Implications of Downward Wage Rigidities
By Mirko Abbritto; Graduate Institute and Universidad de Navarra
Stephan Fahr; European Central Bank
   Presented by: Stephan Fahr, European Central Bank
 

Oblivious Equilibrium in Dynamic Discrete Games
By Joao Macieira; Virginia Tech
   Presented by: Joao Macieira, Virginia Tech
 

Competition, Innovation, and Aggregate Fluctuations
By Christophe Cahn; Paris School of Economics and Banque de France
   Presented by: Christophe Cahn, Paris School of Economics and Banque de France

Session 9: A8: Agent-Based Computational Economics I

Session Chair: Myong-Hun Chang, Cleveland State University
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A226
 

Are the Fastest Learners the Most Successful Individuals?
By Raul Jimenez; Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Haydee Lugo; Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Maxi San Miguel; Instituto de Fisica Interdisciplinar y Sistemas Complejos (CSIC-UIB)
   Presented by: Haydee Lugo, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
 

Agent-based Modeling and the Extensive Form
By Christopher S. Ruebeck; Lafayette College
   Presented by: Christopher Ruebeck, Lafayette College
 

Categorization and Decision-Making
By Vessela Daskalova, Queen Mary, University of London
   Presented by: Vessela Daskalova, Queen Mary, University of London
 

Entry, Exit, and the Endogenous Market Structure in Technologically Turbulent Industries
By Myong-Hun Chang; Cleveland State University
   Presented by: Myong-Hun Chang, Cleveland State University

Session 10: Plenary I - Stewart Hodges

Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 11:25 - 12:30
Location: Great Hall
 

Recent Developments in Financial Engineering Computation
[slides]
By Stewart Hodges; Cass Business School, City University London
   Presented by: Stewart Hodges, City University London

Session 11: Poster Session I - Macroeconomics

Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 12:30 - 13:50
Location: The Pool
 

Economic Cycles and Their Synchronization in Macroeconomic Indicators from Italy, The Netherlands and the UK
By Lisa Sella; Collegio Carlo Alberto
Gianna Vivaldo; University of Turin & IFSI - INAF
Michael Ghil; Ecole Normale Supérieure and University of California, Los Angeles
Andreas Groth; Ecole Normale Supérieure
   Presented by: Lisa Sella, LABORatorio Revelli
 

MPC Voting, Forecasting and Inflation
By Wojciech Charemza; University of Leicester
Daniel Ladley; University of Leicester
   Presented by: Wojciech Charemza, University of Leicester
 

On the Dynamics of the Kiyotaki-Wright Model
By Federico Bonetto; Georgia Institute of Technology
Maurizio Iacopetta; Georgia Institute of Technology
   Presented by: Maurizio Iacopetta, Georgia Institute of Technology
 

Finding Independent Factors in Large Macroeconomic Data Sets
By George Monokroussos; SUNY Albany
   Presented by: George Monokroussos, University at Albany, SUNY

Session 12: Poster Session I - Macroeconomics

Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 12:30 - 13:50
Location: The Pool
 

New Keynesian Model Features that can Reproduce Lead, Lag and Persistence Patterns
By Steve Cassou; Kansas State University
Jesus Vazquez; The University of the Basque Country
   Presented by: Jesús Vázquez, Universidad del País Vasco
 

Have the Monetary Authorities of Taiwan Been Conducting Monetary Policy with Tied Hands?
By Tai-kuang Ho; National Tsing Hua University
Kuo-chun Yeh; National Chung Cheng University
   Presented by: Tai-kuang Ho, National Tsing Hua University
 

Measuring Oil-Price Shocks Using Market-Based Information
By Tao Wu; Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Michele Cavallo; Federal Reserve Board
   Presented by: Tao Wu, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
 

Sovereign Risk and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in an Emerging Market Economy
By Markus Kirchner; University of Amsterdam
Malte Rieth; University of Dortmund
   Presented by: Markus Kirchner, University of Amsterdam and Tinbergen Institute

Session 13: B4: Agent-Based Models of Networks

Session Chair: Efe Postalci, Izmir University of Economics
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG22
 

Agent-based simulation of lock-in dynamics in consumer networks
By Michael J. Garlick; Aston University
Maria Chli; Aston University
   Presented by: Maria Chli, Imperial College London
 

Network Evolution Based on Centrality: Coexistence of Hierarchies and Random Networks
By Claudio J. Tessone; ETH Zürich
Matteo Marsili; International Centre for Theoretical Physics
Michael König; ETH Zürich
   Presented by: Claudio Tessone, ETH Zürich
 

Confirmatory Bias, Information Flows and Financial Prices
By Mark P Bowden; Swinburne University of Technology
   Presented by: Mark Bowden, Swinburne University of Technology
 

Self-organization in Networks with Altruistic Agents
By Efe Postalci; Izmir University of Economics
   Presented by: Efe Postalci, Izmir University of Economics

Session 14: B5: Computational Methods in Finance

Session Chair: Jozef Barunik, Czech Academy of Sciences
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A225
 

An Evolutionary Algorithm for the Estimation of Threshold Vector Error Correction Models
By Makram El-Shagi; Halle Institute for Economic Research
   Presented by: Makram El-Shagi, Halle Institute for Economic Research
 

New Prospects On Vines
By D. Guégan; Université Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne
P.A. Maugis; Université Paris 1 Panthéon Sorbonne
   Presented by: Pierre-André Maugis, Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne
 

Stock Price Forecasting Using Exogenous Time Series and Combined Neural Networks
By Manoel Amorim Neto; Facilit Tecnology
Victor Outtes; Facilit Tecnology
Gustavo Tavares; Facilit Tecnology
Lenildo Aragão Junior; Facilit Tecnology
George Cavalcanti; Center of Informatics - UFPE
Tsang In Ren; Center of Informatics - UFPE
   Presented by: Manoel Amorim Neto, Facilit Tecnologia
 

Monte Carlo Based Tail Exponent Estimator
By Jozef Barunik; Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
Lukas Vacha; Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
Miloslav Vosvrda; Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic
   Presented by: Jozef Barunik, Czech Academy of Sciences

Session 15: B3: Dynamic Choice Models

Session Chair: Chao Wei, George Washington University
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG21
 

Random State Verification in Dynamic Mirrleesian Economies
By Roc Armenter; FRB Philadelphia
Thomas Mertens; NYU Stern
   Presented by: Roc Armenter, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
 

Evolution and Market Behavior with Endogenous Investment Rules
By Giulio Bottazzi; Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna
Pietro Dindo; Scuola Superiore Sant'Anna
   Presented by: Pietro Dindo, Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies
 

Optimal Voting Rules for Two Member Tenure Committees
By Colin Rowat; University of Birmingham
Ian Ayres; Yale Law School
Nasser Zakariya; Harvard FAS
   Presented by: Colin Rowat, University of Birmingham
 

To Scrap or Not to Scrap: A Dynamic Discrete Choice Model of Vehicle Scrappage
[slides]
By Shanjun Li; Resources for the Future
Chao Wei; George Washington University
   Presented by: Chao Wei, George Washington University

Session 16: B7: Labour Economics I

Session Chair: Pedro Silos, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG11
 

A Dynamic Model of Education Level Choice: Application to Brazilian States
By Wilfredo L. Maldonado; Catholic University of Brasilia
Isabel M. F. Marques; Catholic University of Brasilia
   Presented by: Wilfredo Fernando Maldonado, Catholic University of Brasilia
 

Unemployment Insurance, Human Capital and Financial Markets
By Antonio Mele; University of Oxford and Nuffield College
   Presented by: Antonio Mele, University of Oxford and Nuffield College
 

Endogenous On-the-job Search and Frictional Wage Dispersion
By Matthias S. Hertweck; University of Basel & IfW
   Presented by: Matthias Hertweck, University of Basel
 

Fixed-Term and Permanent Employment Contracts: Theory and Evidence
By Shutao Cao; Bank of Canada
Enchuan Shao; Bank of Canada
Pedro Silos; Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
   Presented by: Pedro Silos, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta

Session 17: B1: Business Cycles and Fluctuations I

Session Chair: Tomoya Suzuki, Kansai University
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: Great Hall
 

Investment-specific Technology Shocks and Consumption
By Francesco Furlanetto; Norges Bank
Martin Seneca; Central Bank of Iceland
   Presented by: Francesco Furlanetto, Norges Bank
 

Real Causes of the Global Economic Crisis
By Mathias Hoffmann; Deutsche Bundesbank
Michael Krause; Deutsche Bundesbank
Thomas Laubach; Goethe University, Frankfurt
   Presented by: Michael Krause, Deutsche Bundesbank
 

Pigou Cycles in Closed and Open Economies with Matching Frictions
[slides]
By Wouter J. den Haan; University of Amsterdam and CEPR
Matija Lozej; University of Amsterdam
   Presented by: Matija Lozej, University of Amsterdam
 

Age, Wage, and Suicide: A Finite Horizon Model of Suicide under the Risk of Income Fluctuations
By Tomoya Suzuki; Kansai University
   Presented by: Tomoya Suzuki, Kansai University

Session 18: B6: Monetary Policy I

Session Chair: Mike Mariathasan, European University Institute
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A227
 

Optimal Monetary Policy with Durable Consumption Goods and Factor Demand Linkages
By Ivan Petrella; Catholic University of Leuven
Emiliano Santoro; University of Copenhagen
   Presented by: Ivan Petrella, Faculty of Business & Economics
 

Periods of High Inflation and Real Effects: Some Empirical Evidence
By Wojciech Charemza; University of Leicester
Svetlana Makarova; University College London
Imran Shah; University of Leicester
   Presented by: imran shah, university of leicester
 

Subjective Beliefs & Robustness in Monetary Policy Committees
By Mike Mariathasan; European University Institute
   Presented by: Mike Mariathasan, European University Institute

Session 19: B2: Wage and Price Rigidity

Session Chair: Tony Yates, Bank of England
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A130
 

Wage Rigidities in an Estimated DSGE Model of the UK Labour Market
By Renato Faccini; Bank of England
Stephen Millard; Bank of England
Francesco Zanetti; Bank of England
   Presented by: Francesco Zanetti, Boston College
 

Price Rigidity in Europe and the US: A Comparative Analysis Using Scanner Data
By Benjamin Verhelst; Ghent University
Dirk Van den Poel; Ghent University
   Presented by: Benjamin Verhelst, Ghent University
 

Precautionary Price Stickiness
By James Costain; Bank of Spain
Anton Nakov; Bank of Spain
   Presented by: James Costain, Bank of Spain
 

Self Confirming Inflation Persistence
By Rhys Bidder; New York University
Kalin Nikolov; Bank of England
Tony Yates; Bank of England
   Presented by: Tony Yates, Bank of England

Session 20: B9: Business Cycles and Fluctuations II

Session Chair: Christian Jensen, Moore School of Business, University of South Carolina
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG10
 

A Solution Method for Linear Rational Expectation Models under Imperfect Information
[slides]
By Katsuyuki Shibayama; University of Kent at Canterbury
   Presented by: Katsuyuki Shibayama, University of Kent at Canterbury
 

Shocking Stuff: Technology, Hours and Factor Substitution
By Cristiano Cantore; University of Surrey
Miguel Leon-Ledesma; University of Kent
Peter McAdam; ECB
Alpo Willman; ECB
   Presented by: Cristiano Cantore, University of Surrey
 

The Role of Public Works in the Political Business Cycle in Japan and the New Stability Condition for the Government Bond Market
[slides]
By Naoyuki Yoshino; Keio University
Tetsuro Mizoguchi; Keio University
   Presented by: Naoyuki Yoshino, Kieo University
 

Price-Setting with Unobservable Elasticities of Demand: The Business-Cycle Effects of Heterogeneous Expectations
By Christian Jensen; University of South Carolina
   Presented by: Christian Jensen, Moore School of Business, University of South Carolina

Session 21: B8: Econometric Theory I

Session Chair: Pamela Dent, University of Portsmouth
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A226
 

Learning About Identification
By In-Koo Cho; University of Illinois
Kenneth Kasa; Simon Fraser University
   Presented by: In-Koo Cho, University of Illinois
 

A Robust Criterion for Determining the Number of Factors in Approximate Factor Models
By Lucia Alessi; European Central Bank
Matteo Barigozzi; ECARES, Université Libre de Bruxelles
Marco Capasso; Utrecht University
   Presented by: Lucia Alessi, European Central Bank
 

Autocorrelation-Corrected Standard Errors using Moment Ratio Estimates of the Autoregressive/Unit Root Parameter
[slides]
By J. Huston McCulloch; Ohio State University
   Presented by: J. Huston McCulloch, Ohio State University
 

Forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) using Fractionally Integrated Models of Conditional Volatility
By Stavros Degiannakis; University of Portsmouth
Christos Floros; University of Portsmouth
Pamela Dent; University of Portsmouth
   Presented by: Pamela Dent, University of Portsmouth

Session 22: C3: Agent-Based Computational Economics II

Session Chair: Giorgio Fagiolo, Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: AG21
 

Financial Fragility and Distress Propagation in a Network of Regions
By Stefania Vitali; ETHZ
Stefano Battiston; ETHZ
Mauro Gallegati; Università Politecnica delle Marche
   Presented by: Stefania Vitali, ETH Zurich
 

On the Effectiveness of Innovation Policies in the Presence of Physical and Human Capital Gaps: An Agent-based Analysis
By Herbert Dawid; Bielefeld University
Simon Gemkow; Bielefeld University
Philipp Harting; Bielefeld University
Michael Neugart; Free University of Bozen/Bolzano
   Presented by: Philipp Harting, Bielefeld University
 

Nonparametric Spatiotemporal Shock Model. Theoretical Results and an Application to the Study of Firms' Defaults.
By Pasquale Cirillo; IMSV, University of Bern
Juerg Huesler; IMSV, University of Bern
Mauro Gallegati; Università Politecnica delle Marche
   Presented by: Pasquale Cirillo, University of Bern

Session 23: C9: Finance II

Session Chair: Laurent Calvet, HEC Paris
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: AG10
 

Value-at-Risk Prediction Under Long Range Dependence
By Pilar Grau-Carles; Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
Luis Miguel Doncel; Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
Francisco Javier Otamendi; Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
Jorge Sainz; Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
   Presented by: Pilar Grau-Carles, Rey Juan Carlos University
 

The Information Content of High-Frequency Data for Estimating Equity Return Models and Forecasting Risk
By Dobrislav Dobrev; Federal Reserve Board
Pawel Szerszen; Federal Reserve Board
   Presented by: Pawel Szerszen, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
 

Testing Linearity in Term Structures
By Chiara Peroni; CRP Henri Tudor, Statec, Observatoire de la Competivite
   Presented by: Chiara Peroni, CRP Henri Tudor, Statec
 

A Multifrequency Theory of the Interest Rate Term Structure
By Laurent E. Calvet; HEC Paris
Adlai J. Fisher; University of British Columbia
Liuren Wu; Baruch College
   Presented by: Laurent Calvet, HEC Paris

Session 24: C1: Vector Autoregression Models

Session Chair: Alina Barnett, Bank of England
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: Great Hall
 

Need Singapore Fear Floating? A DSGE-VAR Approach
By Hwee Kwan CHOW; Singapore Management University
Paul D. McNelis; Fordham University
   Presented by: Hwee Kwan Chow, Singapore Management University
 

Technology Shocks and Hours Worked: New Evidence from a Structural Factor Model
By Tatjana Dahlhaus; Universtitat Autònoma de Barcelona
   Presented by: Tatjana Dahlhaus, Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona
 

The Analytics of Fiscal Multipliers in Structural Vector Autoregressions
By Dario Caldara; Institute for International Economic Studies
Christophe Kamps; European Central Bank
   Presented by: Dario Caldara, IIES
 

Time-Varying Inflation Expectations and Economic Fluctuations in the United Kingdom: A Structural VAR Analysis
By Alina Barnett; Bank of England
Jan Groen; Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Haroon Mumtaz; Bank of England
   Presented by: Alina Barnett, Bank of England

Session 25: C6: Financial Crisis I

Session Chair: Krzysztof Makarski, National Bank of Poland
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A227
 

Liquidity Matters: Money Non-Redundancy in the Euro Area Business Cycle
[slides]
By Antonio Conti; Università degli Studi di Roma "La Sapienza" and ECARES, Université Libre de Bruxelles
   Presented by: Antonio Conti, Università degli studi di Roma
 

Aggregate Liquidity, Financial Constraints, and Corporate Investment
By Ander Perez; Universitat Pompeu Fabra
   Presented by: Ander Perez, Universitat Pompeu Fabra
 

Credit Crunch in a Small Open Economy
By Michal Brzoza-Brzezina; National Bank of Poland and Warsaw School of Economics
Krzysztof Makarski; National Bank of Poland and Warsaw School of Economics
   Presented by: Krzysztof Makarski, National Bank of Poland

Session 26: C7: Fiscal Policy I

Session Chair: Martin Kliem, Deutsche Bundesbank
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: AG11
 

Optimal Fiscal Rules When Unemployment Matters
By Stéphane Moyen; Deutsche Bundesbank
Nikolai Stähler; Deutsche Bundesbank
   Presented by: Stéphane Moyen, Deutsche Bundesbank
 

Fiscal Calculus in a New Keynesian Model with Matching Frictions
By Alessia Campolmi; Central European University and Magyar Nemzeti Bank
Ester Faia; Goethe University Frankfurt, Kiel IfW and CEPREMAP
Roland C. Winkler; Goethe University Frankfurt
   Presented by: Roland Winkler, Goethe University Frankfurt
 

Implementable Fiscal Policy Rules
By Martin Kliem; Deutsche Bundesbank
Alexander Kriwoluzky; Universiteit van Amsterdam
   Presented by: Martin Kliem, Deutsche Bundesbank

Session 27: C5: Macroeconomics II

Session Chair: Matteo Barigozzi, Université Libre de Bruxelles
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A225
 

Optimal Management with Potential Regime Shifts
By Stephen Polasky; University of Minnesota, Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics
Aart de Zeeuw; Tilburg University, Beijer Institute of Ecological Economics
Florian Wagener; University of Amsterdam, Tinbergen Institute
   Presented by: Florian Wagener, UvA
 

Approximation Around the Stochastic Steady State
By Michel Juillard; Banque de France and CEPREMAP
   Presented by: Michel Juillard, Banque de France
 

Can Lower Order Perturbation Methods accurately describe Wealth Dynamics?
By Tarik Ocaktan; Paris School of Economics
   Presented by: Tarik Ocaktan, Paris School of Economics
 

Time Varying Money Demand for the Euro Area
By Matteo Barigozzi; ECARES, Université Libre de Bruxelles and Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa
Antonio Conti; Università Degli Studi di Roma La Sapienza and ECARES, Université Libre de Bruxelles
   Presented by: Matteo Barigozzi, Université Libre de Bruxelles

Session 28: C4: DSGE Models

Session Chair: Michael Reiter, IHS
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: AG22
 

News Shocks and Asset Price Volatility in a DSGE Model
By Akito Matsumoto; International Monetary Fund
Pietro Cova; Bank of Italy
Massimiliano Pisani; Bank of Italy
Alessandro Rebucci; Iter-American Development Bank
   Presented by: Pietro Cova, Bank of Italy
 

Asset Prices, News Shocks and Current Account Fluctuations
By Marcel Fratzscher; European Central Bank
Roland Straub; European Central Bank
   Presented by: Roland Straub, European Central Bank
 

Home Equity Withdrawal in Retirement
By Makoto Nakajima; Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Irina A. Telyukova; University of California, San Diego
   Presented by: Makoto Nakajima,
 

Nonlinear Approximate Aggregation in Heterogeneous Agent Models
By Michael Reiter; Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna
   Presented by: Michael Reiter, IHS

Session 29: C8: The Fate of Adaptive Systems

Session Chair: Chetan Dave, New York University
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A226
 

Multi-Country Euro area Model with Boundedly Estimated Rationality - Learning expectations
By Alistair Dieppe; European Central Bank
Alberto González Pandiella; European Central Bank
Stephen Hall; National Institute of Economic and Social Research and University of Leicester
Alpo Willman; European Central Bank
   Presented by: Alistair Dieppe, European Central Bank
 

Beliefs Shock and the Macroeconomy
By Jacek Suda; Banque de France - Paris School of Economics
   Presented by: Jacek Suda, Banque de France - Paris School of Economics
 

On the Stability of Least Squares Learning
By Chetan Dave; University of Texas at Dallas
James Feigenbaum; Utah State University
   Presented by: Chetan Dave, New York University

Session 30: C2: Macroeconometrics I

Session Chair: Steffan Ball, Federal Reserve Board
Date: July 15, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A130
 

The Analytics of the Sign Restriction Approach to Shock Identification: a Framework for Understanding the Empirical Macro Puzzles
By Dario Caldara; IIES, Stockholm University
Christophe Kamps; European Central Bank
   Presented by: Christophe Kamps, public
 

Identification through Heterogeneity: An Application to Bank Runs
By Ferre De Graeve; Sveriges Riksbank
Alexei Karas; Roosevelt Academy
   Presented by: Ferre De Graeve, Sveriges Riksbank
 

Estimating a Medium--scale DSGE Model with Expectations Based on Small Forecasting Models
By Sergey Slobodyan; CERGE-EI
Raf Wouters; NBB
   Presented by: Sergey Slobodyan, CERGE-EI
 

Household Consumption, Portfolio Choice and Expected Stock Market Returns
By Steffan Ball; Federal Reserve Board
Sule Alan; Cambridge University
   Presented by: Steffan Ball, Federal Reserve Board

Session 31: D2: Agent-Based Computational Economics III

Session Chair: Herbert Dawid, University of Bielefeld
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A130
 

Using Indirect Inference for Structural Estimation of Agent-based Models: An Application To a Model of Innovation Diffusion
By Sebastiano A. Delre; Bocconi University
Matteo Richiardi; University of Turin
Lisa Sella; University of Turin
   Presented by: Matteo Richiardi, University of Turin
 

Financially Driven Growth and Fluctuations: Does Heterogeneity Matter?
By Tiziana Assenza; Catholic University of Milan and CeNDEF, University of Amsterdam
Domenico Delli Gatti; Catholic University of Milan
   Presented by: Domenico Delli Gatti, Universita Cattolica
 

Rule-based Modeling of Labor Market Dynamics
By Katja Hillmann; Hamburg University
Clemens Kuehn; Humboldt University Berlin
   Presented by: Katja Hillmann, Hamburg University
 

Labor Market Integration Policies and the Convergence of Regions
By Herbert Dawid; Bielefeld University
Simon Gemkow; Bielefeld University
Philipp Harting; Bielefeld University
Michael Neugart; Free University Bolzano
   Presented by: Herbert Dawid, University of Bielefeld

Session 32: D7: Nonlinearity and Nonstationarity in Equity Markets

Session Chair: Andreia Dionisio, University of Evora
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG11
 

Identifying Asymmetric Comovements of International Equity Markets
By Fuchun Li; Bank of Canada
   Presented by: Fuchun LI, Bank of Canada
 

Testing for Periodically Collapsing Bubbles: A Generalized SUP ADF Test
By ShuPing Shi, The Australian National University
   Presented by: shuping shi, The Australian National University
 

Testing Stock Market Convergence: A Non-Linear Factor Approach
By Guglielmo-Maria Caporale; Brunel University
Burcu Erdogan; DIW Berlin
Vladimir Kuzin; DIW Berlin
   Presented by: Vladimir Kuzin, DIW Berlin
 

Mutual Information as a Nonlinear Tool for Analyzing Stock Market Globalization
By Rui Menezes; ISCTE, UNIDE
Andreia Dionísio; Universidade Evora, CEFAGE-UE
Diana Mendes; ISCTE, UNIDE
   Presented by: Andreia Dionisio, University of Evora

Session 33: D4: Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Session Chair: Aurélien Eyquem, Ecole Normale Supérieure Lettres Sciences Humaines
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG22
 

Commitment vs. Discretion: An Empirical Investigation of the Monetary and Fiscal Policy Regime in the UK
By Tatiana Kirsanova; University of Exeter
Stephanus le Roux; DWP
   Presented by: Stephanus le Roux, Department for Work and Pensions
 

Optimal Macroeconomic Policies in a Financial and Economic Crisis: A Case Study for Slovenia
[slides]
By Reinhard Neck; Klagenfurt University
Klaus Weyerstrass; Institute for Advanced Studies, Vienna
Dmitri Blueschke; Klagenfurt University
Viktoria Blueschke-Nikolaeva; Klagenfurt University
   Presented by: Reinhard Neck, Klagenfurt University
 

Ramsey Policies in a Small Open Economy with Sticky Prices and Capital
By Stephane Auray; Universite Lille Nord de France
Beatriz de Blas; Universidad Autonoma de Madrid
Aurelien Eyquem; Universite de Lyon
   Presented by: Aurélien Eyquem, Ecole Normale Supérieure Lettres Sciences Humaines

Session 34: D9: Robust Design in Macro Policymaking

Session Chair: Kenneth Kasa, Simon Fraser University
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG10
 

Robust Monetary Policy in a New Keynesian Model with Loan Rate Fluctuations
By Rafael Gerke; Deutsche Bundesbank
Felix Hammermann; Deutsche Bundesbank
   Presented by: Felix Hammermann, Deutsche Bundesbank
 

Expectations Traps and Coordination Failures: Selecting Among Multiple Discretionary Equilibria
By Richard Dennis; Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
Tatiana Kirsanova; University of Exeter
   Presented by: Richard Dennis, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco
 

Robustifying Optimal Monetary Policy
By Øistein Røisland; Norges Bank
Tommy Sveen; Norges Bank
   Presented by: Tommy Sveen, Norges bank
 

Dynamic Contracts, Enforcement Constraints, and Robust Control
By Kenneth Kasa; Simon Fraser University
Bart Taub; University of Illinois
   Presented by: Kenneth Kasa, Simon Fraser University

Session 35: D3: New Keynesian Economics

Session Chair: Gianluca Femminis, Università Cattolica, Milano
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG21
 

Some Observations in the High-Frequency Versions of a Standard New-Keynesian Model
[slides]
By Reiner Franke; University of Kiel
Stephen Sacht; University of Kiel
   Presented by: Stephen Sacht, University of Kiel
 

Internationalized Production in a Small Open Economy
By Auelien Eyquem; Université de Lyon and GREDI
Gunes Kamber; The Reserve Bank of New Zealand
   Presented by: Günes Kamber, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
 

Costly Information Provision and Welfare with Price-setting Complementarities
By Gianluca Femminis; Università Cattolica - Milano
Luca Colombo; Università Cattolica - Milano
   Presented by: Gianluca Femminis, Università Cattolica, Milano

Session 36: D1: Growth and Income Distribution

Session Chair: Stephen Turnovsky, University of Washington
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: Great Hall
 

Growth and Inequality: Dependence on the Time Path of Productivity Increases (and Other Structural Changes)
By Manoj Atolia; Florida State University
Santanu Chatterjee; University of Georgia
Stephen Turnovsky; University of Washington
   Presented by: Manoj Atolia, Florida State University
 

Social Structure and Human Capital Dynamics
By Tiago Cavalcanti; University of Cambridge
Chryssi Giannitsarou; University of Cambridge
   Presented by: Chryssi Giannitsarou, University of Cambridge
 

Demography and Growth: A Unified Treatment of Overlapping Generations
By Neil Bruce; University of Washington
Stephen Turnovsky; University of Washington
   Presented by: Stephen Turnovsky, University of Washington
 

On the Redistributive Effects of Inflation
By Charles Gottlieb; European University Institute
   Presented by: Charles Gottlieb, European University Institute

Session 37: D5: Computational Methods for Heterogeneous Agent Models

Session Chair: Michel Juillard, Banque de France
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A225
 

Sparse-grid Galerkin Methods for Solving Medium-scale Dynamic Equilibrium Models
By Paul Pichler; University of Vienna
   Presented by: Paul Pichler, University of Vienna
 

Low-Order Perturbation Analysis of a Multi-Country Complete Markets Model
[slides]
By Robert Kollmann; University of Brussels
Jinill Kim; Federal Reserve Board
Sunghyun H. Kim; Suffolk University
   Presented by: Jinill Kim, Federal Reserve Board
 

Solving the Multi-Country Real Business Cycle Model with a Smolyak-Collocation Method
By Benjamin A. Malin; Federal Reserve Board
Dirk Krueger; University of Pennsylvania
Felix Kubler; University of Zurich
   Presented by: Ben Malin, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
 

Solving the Multi-Country Real Business Cycle Model Using Ergodic Set Methods
By Serguei Maliar; University of Alicante and Hoover Institution at Stanford University;
Lilia Maliar; University of Alicante and Hoover Institution at Stanford University;
Kenneth Judd; Hoover Institution at Stanford University
   Presented by: Serguei Maliar, Stanford University

Session 38: D6: Learning in Financial Markets

Session Chair: Jagjit Chadha, University of Kent at Canterbury
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A227
 

Learning about Constant Versus Decreasing Gain in a Simple Model of Exchange Rate
By Olena Kostyshyna; Portland State University
   Presented by: Olena Kostyshyna, Portland State University
 

On the Efficient Estimation of Learning Models
By Laurent Calvet; HEC Paris
Veronika Czellar; HEC Paris
   Presented by: Veronika Czellar, HEC Paris
 

Financial Ratings with Scarce Information: A Neural Network Approach
By Greta Falavigna; Ceris-CNR
   Presented by: Greta Falavigna, CNR
 

Expecting to Learn: Financial Markets and History Dependence
By Jagjit S. Chadha; University of Kent and CIMF Cambridge
Alexander Mihailov; University of Reading
   Presented by: Jagjit Chadha, University of Kent at Canterbury

Session 39: D8: Econometric Theory II

Session Chair: Andres Gonzalez Gomez, Banco de la Republica
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A226
 

Econometric Model Selection With More Variables Than Observations
By Jurgen A Doornik;
University of Oxford
   Presented by: Jurgen Doornik, University of Oxford
 

Empirical Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Path-Forecasts
By Òscar Jordà; University of California, Davis
Malte Knüppel; Deutsche Bundesbank
Massimiliano Marcellino; European University Institute
   Presented by: Malte Knüppel, Deutsche Bundesbank
 

Non-Parametric Volatility Forecasting with Gaussian Processes
By Nicolas Chapados; University of Montreal
Christian Dorion; McGill University
   Presented by: Nicolas Chapados, University of Montreal
 

Forecasting Inflation with Gradual Regime Shifts and Exogenous Information
By Andrés González; Banco de la República
Kirstin Hubrich; European Central Bank
Timo Teräsvirta; CREATES, Aarhus University
   Presented by: Andres Gonzalez Gomez, Banco de la Republica

Session 40: Plenary II - Shu-Heng Chen

Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 11:25 - 12:30
Location: Great Hall

Session 41: Poster Session II - Microeconomics and Health

Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 12:30 - 13:50
Location: The Pool
 

Demographic Change and Pension Reform in Spain: An Assessment in a Two-earner, OLG Model
By Alfonso R. Sanchez; Universidad Pablo Olavide de Sevilla
Virginia Sanchez Marcos; Universidad de Cantabria
   Presented by: Alfonso Sanchez-Martin, Universidad Pablo Olavide de Sevilla
 

The Role of Uncertainty on U.S. Obesity: An Application of Control Theory
By Fidel Gonzalez; Sam Houston State University
Pedro Gomis; Australian National University
   Presented by: Fidel Gonzalez, Sam Houston State University
 

Household Portfolio Choices, Health Status and National Health Care Systems A Cross-country Analysis Based on SHARE
By Vincenzo Atella; University of Roma Tor Vergata, CEIS, CHP-PCOR Stanford University and CHILD
Marianna Brunetti; Univ Rome Tor Vergata, CeFin and CHILD
Nicole Maestas; RAND Corporation, Santa Monica
   Presented by: Marianna Brunetti, University of Rome Tor Vergata

Session 42: Poster Session II - Microeconomics and Health

Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 12:30 - 13:50
Location: The Pool
 

A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Strategic Clustering by Retailers
By Yi Deng; University of South Florida
Gabriel Picone; University of South Florida
   Presented by: Yi Deng, University of South Florida
 

Barrow's "Do-it-yourself Lottery" in Agent-based Computational Economics: a Simple Study
By Takashi Yamada; Tokyo Institute of Technology
Takao Terano; Tokyo Institute of Technology
   Presented by: Takashi Yamada, Tokyo Institute of Technology
 

Extracting the Trading Rules in Housing Market Using Nash Genetic Programming Approach
By Maryam Esmaeili; University of Lugano
   Presented by: Maryam Esmaeili, University of Lugano
 

A study on firms’ competition by cost of service and unit price using simplified agent-based model
By Masatora Daito; Okayama Shoka University
Noriyuki Tanida; Kansai University
   Presented by: Masatora Daito, Okayama Shoka University

Session 43: E5: Agent-Based Models of Industrial Organisation I

Session Chair: Roberto Gabriele, Università di Trento
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A225
 

The ACEGES Laboratory: An ACE Model for the Availability of Global Conventional Oil Supply
By Vlasios Voudouris; London Metropolitan University
   Presented by: vlasios voudouris, london metropolitan university
 

Volatility in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry - A Simulation Based Study
By Abhijit Sengupta; Unilever R&D
Stephen E. Glavin; UCL
   Presented by: Abhijit Sengupta, Unilever
 

Organizational Capabilities and Industry Dynamics: A Computational Model
By Marco Corsino; University of Trento
Roberto Gabriele; University of Trento
Enrico Zaninotto; University of Trento
   Presented by: Roberto Gabriele, Università di Trento

Session 44: E9: Models of General Equilibrium

Session Chair: James Feigenbaum, Utah State University
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG10
 

The Non-neutrality of Severance Payments with Incomplete Markets
By Marco Cozzi; Queen’s University
Giulio Fella; Queen Mary
Gianluca Violante; NYU
   Presented by: Marco Cozzi, Queen's University
 

Second Order Sensitivity in Applied General Equilibrium
By Florian Landis; ETH Zürich
   Presented by: Florian Landis, ETH Zürich
 

Computing Equilibria in Dynamic Models with Occasionally Binding Constraints
By Johannes Brumm; University of Mannheim
Michael Grill; University of Mannheim
   Presented by: Johannes Brumm, University of Mannheim
 

Is It Really Good to Annuitize?
By James Feigenbaum; Utah State University
Emin Gahramanov; Deakin University
   Presented by: James Feigenbaum, Utah State University

Session 45: E8: Modeling the Real Economy

Session Chair: Luis Puch, FEDEA and Univ. Complutense
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A226
 

Oilgopoly: A General Equilibrium Model of the Oil-macroeconomy Nexus
By Anton Nakov; Banco de España
Galo Nuño; Banco de España
   Presented by: Anton Nakov, Banco de España
 

Capital-Goods Imports, Investment-Specific Productivity, and U.S. Growth
By Michele Cavallo; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Anthony Landry; Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
   Presented by: Anthony Landry, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
 

Global Oil Shocks and the Euro Area: an Empirical Model-Based Analysis
By Lorenzo Forni; Bank of Italy
Andrea Gerali; Bank of Italy
Massimiliano Pisani; Bank of Italy
   Presented by: Andrea Gerali, Bank of Italy
 

Vintage Capital and the Declining Energy Intensity in the US Economy
By Raouf Boucekkine; CORE and IRES, Louvain
Antonia Diaz; Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Luis A. Puch; Universidad Complutense and FEDEA
   Presented by: Luis Puch, FEDEA and Univ. Complutense

Session 46: E7: Monetary Policy II

Session Chair: Jean Barthelemy, Banque de France
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG11
 

Extending the New Keynesian Monetary Model with Data Revision Processes: Real-Time and Revised Data
By Ramón María-Dolores; Universidad de Murcia
Jesús Vázquez; Universidad del Pais Vasco
Juan Miguel Londoño; Tilburg University
   Presented by: Ramón María-Dolores, Dept. of Economics Analysis
 

Reference-dependent Preferences and the Transmission of Monetary Policy
By Edoardo Gaffeo; University of Trento
Ivan Petrella; Catholic University of Leuven
Damjan Pfajfar; University of Tilburg
Emiliano Santoro; University of Copenhagen
   Presented by: Emiliano Santoro, University of Copenhagen
 

Borrowing Constraints and Monetary Policy: The Inflation Tax-Net Worth Channel
By Tiziana Assenza; Catholic University of Milan and CeNDEF, University of Amsterdam
Domenico Delli Gatti; Catholic University of Milan
   Presented by: Tiziana Assenza, Catholic University of Milan
 

A Discrete Monetary Policy Framework: an Application to the Japanese Case
By Magali Marx; Banque de France
Jean Barthelemy; Banque de France
   Presented by: Jean Barthelemy, Banque de France

Session 47: E3: Open Economy and Debt Sustainability

Session Chair: David Goldbaum, University of Technology Sydney
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG21
 

Debt Relief and Incentive-Compatible Conditionality
By Almuth Scholl; University of Konstanz
   Presented by: Almuth Scholl, University of Konstanz
 

Default and the Maturity Structure in Sovereign Bonds
By Cristina Arellano; Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Ananth Ramanarayanan; Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
   Presented by: Ananth Ramanarayanan, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
 

Technology Shocks Under Varying Degrees of Financial Openness
By S. Meral Cakici; University of Bonn
   Presented by: S. Meral Cakici, University of Bonn
 

Learning and Adaptation’s Impact on Emergent Market Efficiency
By David Goldbaum; University of Technology Sydney
Valentyn Panchenko; University of New South Wales
   Presented by: David Goldbaum, University of Technology Sydney

Session 48: E2: Forecasting

Session Chair: Dominique GUEGAN, PSE, CES, University Paris1
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A130
 

Forecasting with DSGE Models
[slides]
By Kai Christoffel; European Central Bank
Günter Coenen; European Central Bank
Anders Warne; European Central Bank
   Presented by: Anders Warne, Directorate General Research
 

The Diversity of Forecasts from Macroeconomic Models of the U.S. Economy
By Volker Wieland; Goethe University Frankfurt
Maik H. Wolters; Goethe University Frankfurt
   Presented by: Maik Wolters, Goethe University Frankfurt
 

Optimal Forecasting of Noncausal Autoregressive Time Series
By Markku Lanne; University of Helsinki and HECER
Jani Luoto; University of Helsinki and HECER
Pentti Saikkonen; University of Helsinki and HECER
   Presented by: Markku Lanne, University of Helsinki
 

The Multivariate K-nearest Neighbor Model for Dependent Variables: One-sided Estimation and Forecasting
By Dominique Guégan; Paris School of Economics, CES-MSE, Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne
Patrick Rakotomarolahy; CES-MSE, Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne
   Presented by: Patrick Rakotomarolahy, Universty Paris 1

Session 49: E1: Bank of Canada Session on Applied Monetary Policy

Session Chair: Robert Tetlow, Federal Reserve Board
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: Great Hall
 

Optimal Monetary Policy and Price-Level Stationarity in the Canonical New Keynesian Model
By Robert Amano; Bank of Canada
Steve Ambler; Universite du Quebec a Montreal
Malik Shukayev; Bank of Canada
   Presented by: Steven Ambler, UQAM
 

The Great Escape? A Quantitative Evaluation of the Fed's Non-Standard Policies
By Eggertsson, Gauti; Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Del Negro, Marco; Federal Reserve Bank of New York
   Presented by: Marco Del Negro, FRBNY
 

Imperfect Credibility and the Zero Lower Bound on the Nominal Interest Rate
By Martin Bodenstein; Federal Reserve Board
James Hebden; Federal Reserve Board
Ricardo Nunes; Federal Reserve Board
   Presented by: Martin Bodenstein, Federal Reserve Board

Session 50: E6: Finance III

Session Chair: Marianna Lyra, Justus-Liebig University Giessen
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A227
 

Option Pricing for GARCH-type Models with Generalized Hyperbolic Innovations
By Christophe Chorro, Université Paris 1
Dominique Guégan, Université Paris 1
Florian Ielpo, Université Paris 1
   Presented by: Florian Ielpo, Pictet & Cie
 

An Empirical Investigation of Static and Time-varying Long-range Dependence in Futures Returns
By Jian Dollery; University of Bradford
Jerry Coakley; University of Essex
Neil Kellard; University of Essex
   Presented by: Jian Dollery, University of Bradford
 

Threshold Accepting for Credit Risk Assessment and Validation
By Marianna Lyra; University of Giessen
Akwum Onwunta; Deutsche Bank AG
Peter Winker; University of Giessen
   Presented by: Marianna Lyra, Justus-Liebig University Giessen

Session 51: E4: Econometric Theory III

Session Chair: Joaquim Ramalho, Universidade de Evora
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG22
 

Spurious Long-horizon Regression in Econometrics
By Antonio E. Noriega; Bank of Mexico
Daniel Ventosa-Santualària; University of Guanajuato
   Presented by: Antonio Noriega, Banco de Mexico
 

Using Subspace Cointegration Analysis for Structural Estimation
By Thomas Haertel; University of Hamburg
   Presented by: Thomas Haertel, University of Hamburg
 

Specification Issues in Mixed-Frequency Time Series Modelling
By Klaus Wohlrabe; Ifo Institute for Economic Research
Stefan Mittnik; University of Munich
   Presented by: Klaus Wohlrabe, Ifo Institute for Economic Research
 

Alternative versions of the RESET test for binary response index models: a comparative study
By Esmeralda Ramalho; Universidade de Evora
Joaquim Ramalho; Universidade de Evora
   Presented by: Joaquim Ramalho, Universidade de Evora

Session 52: F3: Trading Strategies in Financial Markets

Session Chair: Magdalena Sokalska, Queens College
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: AG21
 

Dynamics of Moving Average Rules in a Continuous-time Financial Market Model
By Xue-Zhong (Tony) He; University of Technology, Sydney
Min Zheng; University of Technology, Sydney
   Presented by: Xue-Zhong He, University of Technology Sydney
 

Evolution and Convergence of Strategic Behavior in Continuous Double Auctions
By Fano Shira; Ca' Foscari University
LiCalzi Marco; Ca' Foscari University
Pellizzari Paolo; Ca' Foscari University
   Presented by: Paolo Pellizzari, Ca' Foscari University
 

Efficiency of Continuous Double Auctions under Individual Evolutionary Learning with Full or Limited Information
By Mikhail Anufriev; University of Amsterdam
Jasmina Arifovic; Simon Fraser University
Valentyn Panchenko; University of New South Wales
   Presented by: Mikhail Anufriev, University of Amsterdam
 

Performance of Limit Order Submission Strategies
By Magdalena E Sokalska; City University of New York, Queens College
   Presented by: Magdalena Sokalska, Queens College

Session 53: F4: Agent-Based Computational Economics IV

Session Chair: Murat Yildizoglu, Université Paul Cézanne
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: AG22
 

An Economic Model of Party Formation and Competition
By Daniel Ladley; University of Leicester
James Rockey; University of Leicester
   Presented by: James Rockey, University of Leicester
 

The Role of Technical Change, Finance, and Public Policies in an Evolutionary Model of Endogenous Growth and Fluctuations
By Giovanni Dosi; Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies
Giorgio Fagiolo; Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies
Mauro Napoletano; Observatoire Français des Conjonctures Economiques
Andrea Roventini; University of Verona
   Presented by: mauro napoletano, OFCE
 

Can they Beat the Cournot Equilibrium? Learning with Memory and Convergence to Equilibria in a Cournot Oligopoly
By Thomas Vallée; LEMNA, IEMN - IAE; Université de Nantes
Murat Yildizoglu; GREQAM (UMR CNRS 6579); Aix Marseille University
   Presented by: Murat Yildizoglu, Université Paul Cézanne

Session 54: F7: Financial Crisis II

Session Chair: Jørn Halvorsen, Norwegian School of Management (BI)
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: AG11
 

Is Speculation Destabilizing?
By Celso Brunetti; Johns Hopkins University
Bahattin Büyükşahin; CFTC
Jeffrey H. Harris; University of Delaware
   Presented by: Celso Brunetti, Johns Hopkins University
 

Understanding Liquidity Shortages During Severe Economic Downturns
By Manoj Atolia; Florida State University
Tor Einarsson; University of Iceland
Milton Marquis; Florida State University
   Presented by: Tor Einarsson, University of Iceland
 

Dynamic Effects of Trade and Financial Openness on Financial Development and Financial Instability
By Yu-Bo Suen*; Aletheia University
Shu-Chin Lin; Tamkang University
Dong-Hyeon Kim; Providence University
   Presented by: Yu-Bo Suen, Aletheia University
 

Are Bank Lending Shocks Important for Economic Fluctuations?
By Jørn Inge Halvorsen; Norwegian School of Managment
Dag Henning Jacobsen; Norges Bank
   Presented by: Jørn Halvorsen, Norwegian School of Management (BI)

Session 55: F2: Topics in Macroeconomic Control

Session Chair: David Kendrick, University of Texas
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A130
 

Robust Optimisation and its Guarantees
[slides]
By B. Rustem; Imperial College London
R. Fonseca; Imperial College London
D. Kuhn; Imperial College London
P. Vayanos; Imperial College London
W. Wiesemann; Imperial College London
S. Zymler; Imperial College London
   Presented by: Berc Rustem, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine
 

A New Comparative Approach to Macroeconomic Modeling and Policy Analysis
By Volker Wieland; Goethe University Frankfurt
Tobias Cwik; Goethe University Frankfurt
Gernot Mueller; University of Bonn
Sebastian Schmidt; Goethe University Frankfurt
Maik Wolters; Goethe University Frankfurt
   Presented by: Sebastian Schmidt, Goethe University Frankfurt
 

The Advantage of Flexible Targeting Rules
By Andrea Ferrero; FRB New York
   Presented by: Andrea Ferrero, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
 

A Taylor Rule for Fiscal Policy?
[slides]
By David A. Kendrick; University of Texas
Hans M. Amman; Utrecht University
   Presented by: David Kendrick, University of Texas

Session 56: F1: Macroeconomics and Income Distribution

Session Chair: Henri Sneessens, Université de Luxembourg
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: Great Hall
 

Cyclical Government Spending, Income Inequality and Welfare in Small Open Economies
By Guay Lim; Melbourne University,
Paul McNelis; Fordham University
   Presented by: Paul McNelis, Fordham University
 

On Inflation, Wealth Inequality and Welfare in Emerging Economies
By Enes Sunel; University of Maryland
   Presented by: Enes Sunel, University of Maryland
 

The Volatility of Labor Income Share in Emerging Markets
By Serdar Kabaca; University of British Columbia
   Presented by: Serdar Kabaca, University of British Columbia
 

Ageing, Pensions and The Labour Market
[slides]
By Henri Sneessens; Université du Luxembourg and IRES, Université Catholique de Louvain
Olivier Pierrard; Banque Centrale du Luxembourg
David de la Croix; CORE and IRES, Université Catholique de Louvain
   Presented by: Henri Sneessens, Université de Luxembourg

Session 57: F5: Shocks and Spillover Effects

Session Chair: Ozer Karagedikli, public
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A225
 

Interest Rate and Trade Channels in the Transmission of Foreign Shocks to Emerging Markets
By Kolver Hernandez; University of Delaware
Asli Leblebicioglu; North Carolina State University
   Presented by: Asli Leblebicioglu, North Carolina State University
 

International Spill-over Effects and Monetary Policy Activism
By Anna Lipinska; Bank of England
Morten Spange; Danmarks Nationalbank
Misa Tanaka; Bank of England
   Presented by: Misa Tanaka, Bank of England
 

Financial Stress and Economic Dynamics: the Transmission of Crises
[slides]
By Kirstin Hubrich; European Central Bank
Robert J. Tetlow; Federal Reserve Board
   Presented by: Robert Tetlow, Federal Reserve Board
 

The Effects of the World and Regional Shocks on a Small Open Economy: A FAVAR Approach
By Ozer Karagedikli; Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Leif-Anders Thorsrud; Norges Bank
   Presented by: Ozer Karagedikli, public

Session 58: F8: Real-Time and High-Frequency Data

Session Chair: Stefano Neri, Bank of Italy
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A226
 

A Real-time Analysis on Japan's Labor Productivity
By Naoko Hara; Bank of Japan
Hibiki Ichiue; Bank of Japan
   Presented by: Naoko Hara, Bank of Japan
 

Nowcasting GDP: Marginal Impacts of Data Releases in Real Time
[slides]
By David H. Small; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
Lucrezia Reichlin; London Business School, CPER
Domenico Giannone; Universite Libre de Bruxelles, CPER
Michele Modugno; European Central Bank
   Presented by: David Small, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserv
 

Has the Fed Reacted Asymmetrically to Stock Prices?
By Søren Hove Ravn; University of Copenhagen
   Presented by: Søren Hove Ravn, University of Copenhagen
 

Imperfect Information, Real Time Data and the Evaluation of Monetary Policy
By Stefano Neri; Banca d'Italia
Tiziano Ropele; Banca d'Italia
   Presented by: Stefano Neri, Bank of Italy

Session 59: F6: Fiscal Policy II

Session Chair: Chung Tran, University of New South Wales
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A227
 

Canada's Retirement System: Prepared for an Aging Population?
By Alexander Ueberfeldt; Bank of Canada
   Presented by: Alexander Ueberfeldt, Bank of Canada
 

Pensions in Spain: A Reform that Backfires
By Javier Díaz-Giménez; IESE
Julián Díaz-Saavedra; Universidad de Granada
   Presented by: Julián Díaz Saavedra, Universidad de Granada
 

Using the Estate Tax to Coordinate Across Generations
By James Feigenbaum; Utah State University
T. Scott Findley; Utah State University
   Presented by: T. Scott Findley, Utah State University
 

Health Care Financing over the Life Cycle, Universal Medical Vouchers and Welfare
By Juergen Jung; Towson University
Chung Tran; University of New South Wales
   Presented by: Chung Tran, University of New South Wales

Session 60: F9: Industry Structure

Session Chair: Vivien Lewis, Ghent University and National Bank of Belgium
Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: AG10
 

News Shocks and Costly Technology Adoption
By Yi-Chan Tsai; The Ohio State University
   Presented by: Yi-Chan Tsai, The Ohio State University
 

Directed Technical Change, Scale Effects and Industrial Structure
By Pedro Mazeda Gil; University of Porto
Oscar Afonso; University of Porto
Paulo Brito; Technical University of Lisbon
   Presented by: Pedro Gil, University of Porto
 

Modeling Institutions, Start-ups and Productivity During Transition
By Zuzana Brixiova; African Development Bank
Balazs Egert; Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development
   Presented by: Zuzana Brixiova, African Development Bank
 

Firm Entry and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism
By Vivien Lewis; Ghent University
Céline Poilly; Université Catholique de Louvain
   Presented by: Vivien Lewis, Ghent University and National Bank of Belgium

Session 61: Conference Gala Dinner

Date: July 16, 2010
Time: 19:00 - 21:00
Location: The Royal Society
 

The Basel Capital Requirement Ratio and Its Impact on Banks All Over the World
[slides]
By Naoyuki Yoshino; Keio University
Tomohiro Hirano; Financial Services Agency, Japan
   Presented by: Naoyuki Yoshino, Kieo University

Session 62: G3: Experiments and Game Theory I

Session Chair: Roger McCain, Drexel University
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG21
 

A Multi-round Strategy Tournament of the Minority Game: A Combined Laboratory and Internet Experiment
By Jona Linde; CREED, University of Amsterdam
Joep Sonnemans; CREED, University of Amsterdam
Jan Tuinstra; CeNDEF, University of Amsterdam
   Presented by: Jan Tuinstra, University of Amsterdam
 

Uncertainty and Disagreement in Forecasting Inflation: Evidence from the Laboratory
By Damjan Pfajfar; University of Tilburg
Blaz Zakelj; Universitat Pompeu Fabra
   Presented by: Damjan Pfajfar, University of Tilburg
 

Choices under Uncertainty: Human Experiments of Two-armed Bandit Problems
By Shu-Heng Chen; National Chengchi University
Chung-Ching Tai; Tunghai University
Ming–Chang Yeh; Tunghai University
   Presented by: Chung-Ching Tai, Tunghai University
 

Solution and Simulation for Coalitional Games
By Roger A. McCain; Drexel University
   Presented by: Roger McCain, Drexel University

Session 63: G4: International Economics II

Session Chair: Christoph Himmels, University of Exeter
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG22
 

Entry in a Monetary Union and Fiscal Policy: A Theoretical Analysis
By Angeliki Theophilopoulou; University of Westminster
   Presented by: Angeliki Theophilopoulou, Birkbeck College, University of London
 

Monetary Policy in Presence of Endogenous Dollarization
By Daniela Hauser; Universitat Autónoma de Barcelona
   Presented by: Daniela Hauser, UAB
 

Welfare and Monetary Policy under a Dollar Standard
By Yu-Ning Hwang; National Chengchi University
Chien-Nan Lai; National Chengchi University
   Presented by: Yu-Ning Hwang, National Chengchi University
 

The Interest-rate Exchange Rate Nexus: Exchange Rate Regimes and Multiple Equilibria
By Christoph Himmels; University of Exeter
Tatiana Kirsanvoa; Univeristy of Exeter
   Presented by: Christoph Himmels, University of Exeter

Session 64: G1: Monetary Policy III

Session Chair: Enrique Martinez-Garcia, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: Great Hall
 

Monetary Policy, Expectations and Uncertainty
By Tsvetomira Tsenova; Bulgarian National Bank
   Presented by: Tsvetomira Tsenova, Bulgarian National Bank
 

Robustness of Policy Rules
By Gino Cateau; Bank of Canada
Hélène Desgagnés; Bank of Canada
Stephen Murchison; Bank of Canada
   Presented by: Stephen Murchison, Bank of Canada
 

The Bounds of Inflation-Targeting
By Enrique Martinez-Garcia; Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Chikako Baba; IMF
   Presented by: Enrique Martinez-Garcia, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

Session 65: G7: Financial Crisis III

Session Chair: Corrado Di Guilmi, University of Technology, Sydney
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG11
 

Financial Shocks and Total Factor Productivity
By Keisuke Otsu; Sophia University
Masashi Saito; Bank of Japan
   Presented by: Keisuke Otsu, Sophia University
 

Heterogeneous Expectations and Financial Instability in a Pure Finance Economy
By Serena Sordi; University of Siena
Alessandro Vercelli; University of Siena
   Presented by: Serena Sordi, University of Siena
 

Debt Deflation Dynamics in a Heterogenous Agent Economy
By Carl Chiarella; University of Technology, Sydney
Corrado Di Guilmi; University of Technology, Sydney
   Presented by: Corrado Di Guilmi, University of Technology, Sydney
 

Capturing Early Warning Signal for Financial Crisis from the Dynamics of Stock Market Networks: Evidence from North American and Asian Stock Markets
By Ram Babu Roy; Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Joka, Kolkata, India, 700104
Uttam K Sarkar; Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Joka, Kolkata, India, 700104
   Presented by: Ram Roy, Indian Institute of Management Calcutta

Session 66: G6: Business Cycles and Fluctuations III

Session Chair: Matthias Paustian, Bank of England
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A227
 

Interaction of Labor and Credit Market Frictions: A Theoretical and Empirical Analysis
[slides]
By Ekkehard Ernst; International Labor Organization
Stefan Mittnik; University of Munich
Willi Semmler; New School for Social Research
   Presented by: Willi Semmler, New School for Social Research
 

Employment Comovements at the Sectoral Level Over the Business Cycle
By Steve Cassou; Kansas State University
Jesús Vázquez; Universidad del País Vasco
   Presented by: Steven Cassou, Kansas State University
 

Credit Risk Transfer and the Macroeconomy
By Ester Faia; Goethe University Frankfurt
   Presented by: Ester Faia, Johann Wolfgang Goethe University

Session 67: G2: Risk Management

Session Chair: Ana-Maria Fuertes, Cass Business School, City University
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A130
 

The Role of Country, Regional and Global Market Risks in the Dynamics of Latin American Yield Spreads
By Alena Audzeyeva; Keele University
Klaus Reiner Schenk-Hoppé; University of Leeds
   Presented by: Alena Audzeyeva, Keele University
 

Dynamic Hedging Strategy for Portfolio Credit Derivatives
By Yang Liu; Cass Business School
John Hatgioannides; Cass Business School
   Presented by: Yang Liu, City University, London
 

Outliers in GARCH Models and the Estimation of Risk Measures
By Helena Veiga; University Carlos III de Madrid
Aurea Grane; University Carlos III de Madrid
   Presented by: Helena Veiga, University Carlos III Madrid
 

CREDIT RATINGS MIGRATION AND BUSINESS CYCLES
By Fei Fei; Cass Business School
Ana-Maria Fuertes; Cass Business School
Elena Kalotychou; Cass Business School
   Presented by: Ana-Maria Fuertes, Cass Business School, City University

Session 68: G5: Agent-Based Models of Industrial Organisation II

Session Chair: Herbert Dawid, University of Bielefeld
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A225
 

Comparing Pricing Rules in Combinatorial Auctions
By Asuncion Mochon; UNED
Yago Saez; Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Jose Luis Gomez-Barroso; UNED
Pedro Isasi; Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
   Presented by: Asuncion Mochon, UNED
 

A Hedonic Approach to Product Innovation in an Agent-Based Macroeconomic Model
By Christophre Georges; Hamilton College
   Presented by: Christophre Georges, Hamilton College
 

Testing Institutional Arrangements via Agent-Based Modeling: A U.S. Electricity Market Application
By Hongyan Li; ABB Inc.
Junjie Sun; Office of the Comptroller of the Currency
Leigh Tesfatsion; Iowa State University
   Presented by: Junjie Sun, Office of the Comptroller of the Currency
 

Are Agent-based Simulations Robust? The Wholesale Electricity Trading Case
By Albert Banal-Estanol; Universitat Pompeu Fabra and City University
Augusto Ruperez-Micola; Universitat Pompeu Fabra
   Presented by: Albert Banal-Estanol, City University and Universitat Pompeu F

Session 69: G9: Expectations Imperfections and Dynamics

Session Chair: Franziska Bremus, DIW Berlin
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG10
 

Sticky Information and Asset Prices in a DSGE Model
By Marco Airaudo; Drexel University
Roberta Cardani; Università di Parma
Kevin Lansing; San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank
   Presented by: Roberta Cardani, Università degli Studi di Parma
 

Rational Exuberance
[slides]
By Gaetano Gaballo; Columbia University
   Presented by: Gaetano Gaballo, Columbia University
 

Unemployment and Portfolio Choice: Does Persistence Matter?
By Vladimir Kuzin; DIW Berlin
Franziska M. Bremus; DIW Berlin
   Presented by: Franziska Bremus, DIW Berlin

Session 70: G10: Labour Economics II

Session Chair: Thomas Lubik, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: AG06
 

On-the-job Search, Inflation Dynamics and Welfare Cost of Inflation
By Yahong Zhang; Bank of Canada
   Presented by: Yahong Zhang, Bank of Canada
 

Intertemporal Labor Supply with Search Frictions
By Josep Pijoan-Mas; CEMFI and CEPR
Claudio Michelacci; CEMFI and CEPR
   Presented by: Josep Pijoan-Mas, CEMFI
 

Trends in US Hours and the Labor Wedge
By Simona E. Cociuba; Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
Alexander Ueberfeldt; Bank of Canada
   Presented by: Simona Cociuba, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
 

Aggregate Hours Adjustment in Frictional Labor Markets
By Thomas Lubik; Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Michael Krause; Deutsche Bundesbank
   Presented by: Thomas Lubik, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond

Session 71: G8: Econometric Theory IV

Session Chair: Valentyn Panchenko, UNSW
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 9:20 - 11:00
Location: A226
 

Simple GMM Estimation of the Semi-Strong GARCH (1,1) Model
By Todd Prono; Commodity Futures Trading Commission
   Presented by: Todd Prono, Commodity Futures Trading Commission
 

Higher Dimensional Multifractal Processes: A GMM Approach
By Ruipeng Liu; Deakin University
Thomas Lux; University of Kiel and
Institute for the World Economy
   Presented by: Ruipeng Liu, Deakin University.
 

Fractional Regression Models for Second Stage DEA Efficiency Analyses
By Esmeralda A. Ramalho; Universidade de Évora and CEFAGE-UE
Joaquim J.S. Ramalho; Universidade de Évora and CEFAGE-UE
Pedro D. Henriques; Universidade de Évora and CEFAGE-UE
   Presented by: Esmeralda Ramalho, Universidade de Evora
 

Partial Likelihood-Based Scoring Rules for Evaluating Density Forecasts in Tails
By Cees Diks; University of Amsterdam
Valentyn Panchenko; University of New South Wales
Dick van Dijk; Erasmus University Rotterdam
   Presented by: Valentyn Panchenko, UNSW

Session 72: Plenary III - Ellen McGrattan

Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 11:25 - 12:30
Location: Great Hall

Session 73: Poster Session III - Finance and Spatial Models

Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 12:30 - 13:50
Location: The Pool
 

Valuation of Fuzzy Vulnerable Options and Risk Management
By Yu-hong Liu; National Cheng Kung University
I-ming Jiang; Yuan Ze University
   Presented by: Yu-hong Liu, National Cheng Kung University
 

Equity Importance Modeling with Financial Network and Betweenness Centrality
[slides]
By Zhao Zhao; Virginia Tech
Guanhong Pei; Virginia Tech
Fei Huang; Virginia Tech
Xiaomo Liu; Virginia Tech
   Presented by: Zhao Zhao, Virginia Tech
 

The Effects of International Financial Integration in a Model with Heterogeneous Firms and Credit Frictions
By Christiane Clemens; University of Hamburg
Maik Heinemann; University of Luneburg
   Presented by: Christiane Clemens, University of Bielefeld
 

Some Generalizations of VRA Algorithms for Financial Time Series Analysis
By Ladislav Lukáš; University of West Bohemia
   Presented by: Ladislav Lukas, University of West Bohemia

Session 74: Poster Session III - Finance and Spatial Models

Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 12:30 - 13:50
Location: The Pool
 

Advanced Estimates of Regional Accounts: A Monte Carlo Experiment to Obtain Unconditioned Unobserved Components
By Riccardo Corradini; ISTAT
Central Direction of National Accounts
Italy
   Presented by: Riccardo Corradini, ISTAT
 

Assessing the Efficiency of Local Government in Italy: Do Spatial Externalities Matter?
By Carlo Andrea Bollino; University of Perugia and LUISS
Gianfranco Di Vaio; University of Perugia and LUISS
Paolo Polinori; University of Perugia
   Presented by: Gianfranco Di Vaio, LUISS
 

Liquidity, Risk and Return: Specifying an Objective Function for the Management of Foreign Reserves
By Yuliya Romanyuk; Bank of Canada
   Presented by: Yuliya Romanyuk, Bank of Canada

Session 75: H1: Pricing of Derivative Securities

Session Chair: Boda Kang, University of Technology, Sydney
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: Great Hall
 

Valuation of Catastrophe Options with Counterparty Risk
By I-ming Jiang; Yuan Ze University
Yu-hong Liu; National Cheng Kung University
   Presented by: I-ming Jiang, Yuan Ze University
 

Pricing the CBOT T-Bonds Futures
By Ramzi Ben Abdallah; University of Quebec at Montreal
Michele Breton; HEC Montreal
Hatem Ben Ameur; HEC Montreal
   Presented by: Ramzi Ben Abdallah, UQAM School of Management
 

The Evaluation of Barrier Option Prices under Stochastic Volatility
By Carl Chiarella; University of Technology, Sydney
Boda Kang; University of Technology, Sydney
Gunter Meyer; Georgia Institute of Technology
   Presented by: Carl Chiarella, University of Technology Sydney
 

The Evaluation of Swing Contracts with Regime Switching
By Carl Chiarella; University of Technology, Sydney
Les Clewlow; Lacima Group
Boda Kang; University of Technology, Sydney
   Presented by: Boda Kang, University of Technology, Sydney

Session 76: H6: Bayesian Methods

Session Chair: Bart Diris, Maastricht University
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A227
 

Indirect Bayesian Estimation Using Nonparametric Simulated Likelihood
By Michael Creel; Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona and Move
Dennis Kristensen; Columbia University and CREATES
   Presented by: Michael Creel, Universitat Autonoma de Barcelona
 

Linear Models with ARMA-GARCH Properties: Estimation and Application
By Gonul Colak; Florida State University
Necati Tekatli; Central Bank of Turkey and Institute for Economic Analysis
   Presented by: Necati Tekatli, Central Bank of Turkey
 

Model Uncertainty for Long-term Investors
By Bart Franciscus Diris; Maastricht University, Netspar
   Presented by: Bart Diris, Maastricht University

Session 77: H9: Issues in Globalization

Session Chair: Janos Varga, European Commission
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG10
 

Trade Integration, Home Market Effect and Comovement
By Luciana Juvenal; Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Paulo Santos Monteiro; University of Warwick
   Presented by: Luciana Juvenal, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis
 

The Structure and Growth of International Trade
By Massimo Riccaboni; University of Trento
Stefano Schiavo; University of Trento
   Presented by: Massimo Riccaboni, DISA
 

Economic growth, environmental degradation and pollution taxes with uncertain lifetimes
By Aditya Goenka (National University of Singapore)
Saqib Jafarey (City University, London)
William Pouliot (University of Liverpool and City University, London)
   Presented by: Saqib Jafarey, City University, London
 

What is the Growth Potential of Green Innovation? A Model-based Assessment of EU Climate Policy Options
By Andrea Conte; European Commission
Ariane Labat; European Commission
Janos Varga; European Commission
Ziga Zarnic; European Commission
   Presented by: Janos Varga, European Commission

Session 78: H8: Heterogeneous Agents

Session Chair: Jasmina Arifovic, Simon Fraser University
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A226
 

Experimenting with Individual Expectations and Aggregate Macro Behavior
By T. Assenza; Catholic University of Milan
P. Heemeijer; De Nederlandsche Bank
C. Hommes; CeNDEF, University of Amsterdam
D. Massaro; CeNDEF, University of Amsterdam
   Presented by: Domenico Massaro, University of Amsterdam
 

Heterogeneous Expectations, Learning and Monetary Policy Rules in A Two-country Model
By Qinwei Wang; University of Cambridge
   Presented by: Qinwei Wang, University of Cambridge
 

Social Learning and Monetary Policy Rules
By Jasmina Arifovic; Simon Fraser University
James Bullard; Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Olena Kostyshyna; Portland State University
   Presented by: Jasmina Arifovic, Simon Fraser University

Session 79: H5: Housing, Asset prices and Monetary Policy

Session Chair: Caterina Mendicino, Bank of Canada
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A225
 

Inflation, Nominal Debt, Housing and Welfare
By Shutao Cao; Bank of Canada
Cesaire Meh; Bank of Canada
Jose-Victor Rios-Rull; University of Minnesota
Yasuo Terajima; Bank of Canada
   Presented by: Yaz Terajima, Bank of Canada
 

Expectation-Driven Cycles in the Housing Market
By Luisa Lambertini; EPFL
Caterina Mendicino; Banco de Portugal
Maria Teresa Unzi; Universidad de Alicante
   Presented by: Caterina Mendicino, Bank of Canada

Session 80: H3: Macroeconomics III

Session Chair: Carlos Montoro, Bank for International Settlements
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG21
 

A Unified Solution to Inventory Puzzles
[slides]
By Louis Maccini; Johns Hopkins Univesity
Bartholomew Moore; Fordham University
Huntley Schaller; Carleton University
   Presented by: Bartholomew Moore, Fordham University
 

Imperfect Asset Substitution in a Small Open Economy Model
By José Dorich; Bank of Canada
Rhys Mendes; Bank of Canada
Yang Zhang; Bank of Canada
   Presented by: José Dorich, Bank of Canada
 

The Fed's Perceived Phillips Curve: Evidence from Individual FOMC Forecasts
By Peter Tillmann; Justus-Liebig-University Giessen
   Presented by: Peter Tillmann, Justus Liebig University Giessen
 

Monetary Policy in the Presence of Informal Labor Markets
[slides]
By Paul Castillo; Banco Central de Reserva del Perú
Carlos Montoro; Banco Central de Reserva del Perú and Bank for International Settlements
   Presented by: Carlos Montoro, Bank for International Settlements

Session 81: H10: Policy Implications of Financial Frictions

Session Chair: Salem Abo-Zaid, University of Maryland
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG06
 

Financial Frictions and Optimal Monetary Policy in an Open Economy
By Marcin Kolasa; National Bank of Poland and Warsaw School of Economics
Giovanni Lombardo; European Central Bank
   Presented by: Marcin Kolasa, National Bank of Poland
 

The Financial Accelerator Under Learning and the Role of Monetary Policy
[slides]
By Rodrigo Caputo; Central Bank of Chile
Juan Pablo Medina; Central Bank of Chile
Claudio Soto; Central Bank of Chile
   Presented by: Rodrigo Caputo, Banco Central de Chile
 

The Optimal Long-Run Inflation Rate in Frictional Credit Markets
By Salem Abo-Zaid; University of Maryland
   Presented by: Salem Abo-Zaid, University of Maryland

Session 82: H7: Fiscal Policy III

Session Chair: William Peterman, University of California - San Diego
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG11
 

Dividend and Capital Gains Taxation under Incomplete Markets
By Alexis Anagnostopoulos; SUNY Stony Brook
Eva Carceles-Poveda; SUNY Stony Brook
Danmo Lin; University of Maryland
   Presented by: Alexis Anagnostopoulos, Stony Brook University
 

Distortionary Taxation, Debt, and Immigration
By Michael Ben-Gad
City University London
   Presented by: Michael Ben-Gad, City University
 

The Effect of Learning-by-doing on Optimal Taxation
By William Peterman; University California - San Diego
   Presented by: William Peterman, University of California - San Diego

Session 83: H4: Finance IV

Session Chair: Chi-Feng Tzeng, Lancaster University
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: AG22
 

Defaultable Hidden Markov HJM Term Structure Class of Models
By Samuel Maina; University of Technology, Sydney
Carl Chiarella; University of Technology, Sydney
   Presented by: Samuel Maina, UTS
 

A Dynamic Copula Approach to the Estimation of Time Varying Asymmetric Tail Dependence: Evidence in the German Market
By Evdoxia Pliota; APT, Sungard
Wing Lon Ng; Centre for Computational Finance and Economic Agents(CCFEA), University of Essex
   Presented by: Evdoxia Pliota, HSBC Holdings plc
 

The Dependence Structure Between the European Emission Allowance Prices and Other Financial Assets and Commodities - A Copula Analysis
By Marc Gronwald; ifo Institute for Economic Research
Janina Ketterer; ifo Institute for Economic Research
Stefan Trück; Macquire University Sydney
   Presented by: Marc Gronwald, ifo Institute for Economic Research
 

Information About Price and Volatility Jumps Inferred from Option Prices
By Stephen J. Taylor; Lancaster University
Chi-Feng Tzeng; Lancaster University
Martin Widdicks; Lancaster University
   Presented by: Chi-Feng Tzeng, Lancaster University

Session 84: H2: Macroeconometrics II

Session Chair: Chiara Scotti, Federal Reserve Board
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 14:00 - 15:40
Location: A130
 

Multiple Testing in Growth Econometrics
By Christoph Hanck; Rijksuniversiteit Groningen
Thomas Deckers; Universität Bonn
   Presented by: Thomas Deckers, Universität Bonn
 

Measuring Output Gap Uncertainty
By Anthony Garratt; Birkbeck College
James Mitchell; NIESR
Shaun P. Vahey; Australian National University
   Presented by: Anthony Garratt, Birkbeck College, University of London
 

An Application of the Choleskized Multivariate Distributions for Constructing Inflation 'Fan Charts'
By Wojciech Charemza; University of Leicester
Piotr Jelonek; University of Leicester
Svetlana Makarova; University College London
   Presented by: Svetlana Makarova, University College London
 

Why Do Certain Macroeconomic News Announcements Have A Big Impact On Asset Prices?
By Thomas J. Gilbert; Foster School of Business
Chiara Scotti; Federal Reserve Board
Georg Strasser; Boston College
Clara Vega; Federal Reserve Board
   Presented by: Chiara Scotti, Federal Reserve Board

Session 85: I6: Experiments and Game Theory II

Session Chair: Nicolaas Vriend, Queen Mary, University of London
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: AG11
 

Born Under a Lucky Star?
By Nobuyuki Hanaki; GREQAM, Universite de la Mediterranee and University of Tsukuba
Alan Kirman; GREQAM
Matteo Marsili; Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics
   Presented by: Nobuyuki Hanaki, GREQAM, Universite de la Mediterranee, U
 

Assessing elicitation task bias in time preference using experiments with artificial subjects
By Oksana Tokarchuk; University of Trento
Roberto Gabriele; University of Trento
   Presented by: Oksana Tokarchuk, University of Trento
 

Applying Network Structure to Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) Macroeconomic Models
By Shu-Heng Chen; National Chengchi University
Yi-Heng Tseng; Yuan Ze University
Chia-Ling Chang; National Chengchi University
   Presented by: Chia-Ling Chang, National Chengchi University
 

Learning To Use Non-equilibrium Focal Points as Coordination Devices
By Nicolaas J. Vriend; Queen Mary, University of London
   Presented by: Nicolaas Vriend, Queen Mary, University of London

Session 86: I4: Agent-Based Models of Financial Markets II

Session Chair: Peter Anselmo, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Tech
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A225
 

Breeding One's Own Subprime Crisis. The Labour Market Effects on Financial System Stability.
By Tomasz Daras; University of Warsaw and National Bank of Poland
Joanna Tyrowicz; University of Warsaw and National Bank of Poland
   Presented by: Tomasz Daras, National Bank of Poland
 

Evaluating the Impact of Extreme Conditions in Financial Markets with a Flexible Agent-Based Market Simulation
By Shih-Fen Cheng; Singapore Management University
Bernard Lee; Singapore Management University
Annie Koh; Singapore Management University
   Presented by: Shih-Fen Cheng, Singapore Management University
 

Double Auction Market Trading Rules and Market Liquidity
By Peter C. Anselmo
New Mexico Institute of Mining and Technology
   Presented by: Peter Anselmo, New Mexico Institute of Mining and Tech
 

Herding Effects in Order Driven Markets: the Rise and Fall of Gurus
By Gabriele Tedeschi; Universita Politecnica delle Marche
Giulia Iori; City University, London
Mauro Gallegati; Universita Politecnica delle Marche
   Presented by: Gabriele Tedeschi, Universita Politecnica delle Marche

Session 87: I8: Bounded Rationality in Economics and Finance

Session Chair: Chuan-hsi Chen, Ministry of Justice, Taiwan
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: AG10
 

The Value of Waiting to Trade
By Alasdair Brown; SOAS, University of London
   Presented by: Alasdair Brown, SOAS, University of London
 

Is Keynesian Uncertainty Compatible with Fuzzy Logic Framework?
By Alexandre Campos Gomes de Souza; Central Bank of Brazil
   Presented by: alexandre gomes de souza, Banco Central do Brasil
 

Decision Making in Economy and Management by Means of Fuzzy Logic with the Support of Classical Methods
By Petr Dostal; Brno University of Technology
   Presented by: Petr Dostál, Brno University of Technology
 

Use Text Mining Method to Support Criminal Case Judgment --- Referential Sentence Generation for Drug Abuse Judgment
[slides]
By Chuan-hsi Chen; National Chengchi University
Jeffery Y. P. Ch; National Chengchi University
   Presented by: Chuan-hsi Chen, Ministry of Justice, Taiwan

Session 88: I3: International Economics III

Session Chair: Yuan Tian, Tokyo Metropolitan University
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: AG22
 

International Portfolio Allocation under Model Uncertainty
By Pierpaolo Benigno; LUISS Guido Carli, NBER, CEPR
Salvatore Nisticò; Università di Roma Tor Vergata, LUISS Guido Carli
   Presented by: Salvatore Nistico, Università di Roma Tor Vergata and LUISS Guido Carli
 

The Effects of Foreign Shocks when Interest Rates are at Zero
By Martin Bodenstein, Federal Reserve Board; Christopher Erceg, Federal Reserve Board; Luca Guerrieri, Federal Reserve Board;
   Presented by: Luca Guerrieri, Federal Reserve Board
 

Financial Frictions, Financial Integration and the International Propagation of Shocks
By Luca Dedola; ECB
Giovanni Lombardo; ECB
   Presented by: Giovanni Lombardo, European Central Bank
 

Investment and Capital Structure Decisions of Foreign Subsidiary with International Debt Shifting and Exchange Rate Uncertainty
By Masaaki Kijima; Tokyo Metropolitan University
Yuan Tian; Tokyo Metropolitan University
   Presented by: Yuan Tian, Tokyo Metropolitan University

Session 89: I1: Empirical Tests of Monetary Policy

Session Chair: Maral Kichian, Bank of Canada
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: Great Hall
 

The Taylor Rule and Interest Rate Uncertainty in the U.S. 1970-2006
By Martin Mandler; University of Giessen
   Presented by: Martin Mandler, University of Giessen
 

Monetary Policy and the Great Inflation: A Multi-Country Time-Varying Analysis Using the Taylor Rule
By Jacek Suda; Banque de France
Anastasia S. Zervou; Texas A&M University
   Presented by: Anastasia Zervou, Texas A&M University
 

Are there Asymmetric Effects at the Country Level? A Structural Factor Analysis of ECB Monetary Policy
By Matteo Barigozzi; ECARES, Université Libre de Bruxelles
Antonio M. Conti; ECARES, Université Libre de Bruxelles and University of Rome "La Sapienza"
Matteo Luciani; University of Rome "La Sapienza"
   Presented by: Matteo Luciani, University of Rome
 

Identification-Robust Estimates of the Equilibrium Real Rate with an Application to Canadian Data
By Maral Kichian; Bank of Canada
   Presented by: Maral Kichian, Bank of Canada

Session 90: I5: Macroeconomics IV

Session Chair: Marco Raberto, Reykjavik University
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A227
 

QR-GARCH-M Model for Risk-Return Tradeoff in U.S. Stock Returns and Business Cycles
By Henri Nyberg; University of Helsinki
   Presented by: Henri Nyberg, University of Helsinki
 

Explaining the Asset Pricing Puzzles in the RBC Framework: the Prospect Theory Approach
By Julia Lendvai; European Commission
Rafal Raciborski; ULB
   Presented by: Julia Lendvai, European Commission
 

Interactions Between the Real Economy and the Stock Market
By Frank Westerhoff; University of Bamberg
   Presented by: Frank Westerhoff, University of Bamberg
 

Credit Markets, Financial Fragility and Macroeconomic Fluctuations in the Agent-based Model and Simulator Eurace
By Marco Raberto; Reykjavik University
Andrea Teglio; Universitat Jaume I
Silvano Cincotti; University of Genoa
   Presented by: Marco Raberto, Reykjavik University

Session 91: I7: Statistical Methods

Session Chair: Keith Knight, University of Toronto
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A226
 

High Dimensional Nonparametric Discrete Choice Model
By Maureen Dinna D. Giron; University of the Philippines
Erniel B. Barrios; University of the Philippines
   Presented by: Maureen Dinna Giron, University of the Philippines
 

Simulation Based Estimation of Threshold Moving Average Models with Contemporaneous Shock Asymmetry
By Huseyin Tastan; Yildiz Technical University
   Presented by: Huseyin Tastan, Yildiz Technical University
 

Evolution of Firm Distributions Through the Lens of Functional Principal Components Analysis
By David Jacho-Chavez; Indiana University
Kim Huynh; Indiana University
Robert Petrunia; Lakehead University
Marcel Voia; Carleton University
   Presented by: Robert Petrunia, Lakehead Universtiy
 

A Diagnostic for Density Homogeneity in Quantile Regression
By Keith Knight; University of Toronto
Chuan Goh; University of Toronto
   Presented by: Keith Knight, University of Toronto
Index of Participants

Legend: C=chair, P=Presenter, D=Disscussant

Session 92: I2: Dynamic Estimation

Session Chair: Tom De Groote, Ghent University
Date: July 17, 2010
Time: 16:20 - 18:00
Location: A130
 

Accuracy of Some Nonparametric Price Indexes Relative to a True Parametric Price Index of an Estimated Cobb-Douglas Marginal Utility Model
By Peter Zadrozny; Bureau of Labor Statistics
   Presented by: Peter Zadrozny, Bureau of Labor Statistics
 

Real Option Pricing in a Fuzzy Stochastic Environment
[slides]
By Chingliang Chang; Finance at Graduate School of Management, Yuan Ze University
I-ming Jiang; Department of Finance, Yuan Ze University
Po-yuan Chen; Tamkang University and Jinwen University of Science and Technology
   Presented by: Ching Chang, Yuan Ze University
 

Least Squares Estimation of Dynamic Panels using Backward Means to Eliminate Individual Effects
[slides]
By Gerdie Everaert; SHERPPA, Ghent University
   Presented by: Gerdie Everaert, Ghent University
 

Common Correlated Effects Estimation of Dynamic Panels with Cross-Sectional Dependence
By Tom De Groote; Ghent University
Gerdie Everaert; Ghent University
   Presented by: Tom De Groote, Ghent University
#ParticipantRoles in Conference
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23Bodenstein, MartinP49
24Bos, CharlesC7, P7
25Bowden, MarkP13
26Bremus, FranziskaC69, P69
27Brixiova, ZuzanaP60
28Brown, AlasdairP87
29Brumm, JohannesP44
30Brunetti, MariannaP41
31Brunetti, CelsoP54
32Cahn, ChristopheC8, P8
33Cakici, S. MeralP47
34Caldara, DarioP24
35Calvet, LaurentC23, P23
36Cantore, CristianoP20
37Caputo, RodrigoP81
38Cardani, RobertaP69
39Cassou, StevenP66
40Chadha, JagjitC38, P38
41Chang, Chia-LingP85
42Chang, Myong-HunC9, P9
43Chang, ChingP92
44Chapados, NicolasP39
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46Chen, Chuan-hsiC87, P87
47Cheng, Shih-FenP86
48Chiarella, CarlP75
49Chli, MariaP13
50Cho, In-KooP21
51Chow, Hwee KwanP24
52Christophersen, CasperP1
53Cirillo, PasqualeP22
54Clemens, ChristianeP73
55Cociuba, SimonaP70
56Conti, AntonioP25
57Corradini, RiccardoP74
58Corrado, LuisaP6
59Costain, JamesP19
60Cova, PietroP28
61Cozzi, MarcoP44
62Creel, MichaelP76
63Czellar, VeronikaP38
64Dahlhaus, TatjanaP24
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66Daras, TomaszP86
67Daskalova, VesselaP9
68Dave, ChetanC29, P29
69Dawid, HerbertC31, P31, C68
70Díaz Saavedra, JuliánP59
71De Graeve, FerreP30
72De Groote, TomC92, P92
73Deckers, ThomasP84
74Del Negro, MarcoP49
75Delli Gatti, DomenicoP31
76Deng, YiP42
77Dennis, RichardP34
78Dent, PamelaC21, P21
79Di Guilmi, CorradoC65, P65
80Di Vaio, GianfrancoP74
81Dieppe, AlistairP29
82Dindo, PietroP15
83Dionisio, AndreiaC32, P32
84Diris, BartC76, P76
85Dmitriev, AlexandreC4, P4
86Dollery, JianP50
87Doornik, JurgenP39
88Dorich, JoséP80
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93Everaert, GerdieP92
94Eyquem, AurélienC33, P33
95Fagiolo, GiorgioC22
96Fahr, StephanP8
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99Falconieri, SoniaP6
100Feigenbaum, JamesC44, P44
101Femminis, GianlucaC35, P35
102Ferrero, AndreaP55
103Ferrero, GiuseppeC3, P3
104Findley, T. ScottP59
105Fuertes, Ana-MariaC67, P67
106Furlanetto, FrancescoP17
107Gaballo, GaetanoP69
108Gabriele, RobertoC43, P43
109Garratt, AnthonyP84
110Georges, ChristophreP68
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112Germano, GuidoP1
113Giannitsarou, ChryssiP36
114Gil, PedroP60
115Giron, Maureen DinnaP91
116Glover, KristofferP2
117Goldbaum, DavidC47, P47
118gomes de souza, alexandreP87
119Gonzalez, FidelP41
120Gonzalez Gomez, AndresC39, P39
121Gottlieb, CharlesP36
122Grau-Carles, PilarP23
123Gronwald, MarcP83
124Growiec, JakubP4
125GUEGAN, DominiqueC48
126Guerrieri, LucaP88
127Haertel, ThomasP51
128Halvorsen, JørnC54, P54
129Hammermann, FelixP34
130Hanaki, NobuyukiP85
131Hara, NaokoP58
132Harting, PhilippP22
133Hauser, DanielaP63
134He, Xue-ZhongP52
135Hertweck, MatthiasP16
136Hillebrand, MartenP8
137Hillmann, KatjaP31
138Himmels, ChristophC63, P63
139Ho, Tai-kuangP12
140Hodges, StewartP10
141Hove Ravn, SørenP58
142Hwang, Yu-NingP63
143Iacopetta, MaurizioP11
144Ielpo, FlorianP50
145Jafarey, SaqibP77
146Jensen, ChristianC20, P20
147Jiang, I-mingP75
148Juillard, MichelP27, C37
149Juvenal, LucianaP77
150Kabaca, SerdarP56
151Kamber, GünesP35
152Kamps, ChristopheP30
153Kang, BodaC75, P75
154Karagedikli, OzerC57, P57
155Kasa, KennethC34, P34
156Kendrick, DavidC55, P55
157Kichian, MaralC89, P89
158Kim, JinillP37
159Kirchner, MarkusP12
160Kliem, MartinC26, P26
161Knüppel, MalteP39
162Knight, KeithC91, P91
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167Kuzin, VladimirP32
168Ladley, DanielC1, P1
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170Landry, AnthonyP45
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172Lansing, KevinP6
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174Leblebicioglu, AsliP57
175Lendvai, JuliaP90
176Lewis, VivienC60, P60
177Li, YouweiC2, P2
178LI, FuchunP32
179Lipinska, AnnaP3
180Liu, YangP67
181Liu, Yu-hongP73
182Liu, RuipengP71
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184Lozej, MatijaP17
185Lubik, ThomasC70, P70
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190Lyra, MariannaC50, P50
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275Sokalska, MagdalenaC52, P52
276Sordi, SerenaP65
277Straub, RolandP28
278Suda, JacekP29
279Suen, Yu-BoP54
280Sun, JunjieP68
281Sunakawa, TakekiP5
282Sunel, EnesP56
283Suzuki, TomoyaC17, P17
284Sveen, TommyP34
285Szerszen, PawelP23
286Tai, Chung-ChingP62
287Tanaka, MisaP57
288Tastan, HuseyinP91
289Tedeschi, GabrieleP86
290Tekatli, NecatiP76
291Terajima, YazP79
292Tessone, ClaudioP13
293Tetlow, RobertC49, P57
294Theophilopoulou, AngelikiP63
295Tian, YuanC88, P88
296Tillmann, PeterP80
297Tokarchuk, OksanaP85
298Tran, ChungC59, P59
299Tsai, Yi-ChanP60
300Tsenova, TsvetomiraP64
301Tuinstra, JanP62
302Turnovsky, StephenC36, P36
303Tzeng, Chi-FengC83, P83
304Ueberfeldt, AlexanderP59
305Varga, JanosC77, P77
306Vázquez, JesúsP12
307Veiga, HelenaP67
308Verhelst, BenjaminP19
309Vitali, StefaniaP22
310voudouris, vlasiosP43
311Vriend, NicolaasC85, P85
312Wagener, FlorianP27
313Wang, QinweiP78
314Warne, AndersP48
315Wei, ChaoC15, P15
316Wenzelburger, JanP7
317Westerhoff, FrankP90
318Winkler, RolandP26
319Wohlrabe, KlausP51
320Wolters, MaikP48
321Wu, TaoP12
322Yamada, TakashiP42
323Yates, TonyC19, P19
324Yeh, Chia-HsuanP2
325Yildizoglu, MuratC53, P53
326Yoshino, NaoyukiP20, P61
327Zabczyk, PawelC6, P6
328Zadrozny, PeterP92
329Zanetti, FrancescoP19
330Zervou, AnastasiaP89
331Zhang, YahongP70
332Zhao, ZhaoP73

 

This program was last updated on 2010-08-25 14:29:31 EDT