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Spring 1997 John Rust
Economics 551b 37 Hillhouse, Rm. 27

PROBLEM SET 3: SOLUTIONS

Classical Methods (I)

QUESTION 1 Since tex2html_wrap_inline918 is symmetric, positive definite, there exists Cholesky decomposition P such that

eqnarray7

Now we know tex2html_wrap_inline922 vector tex2html_wrap_inline924 , and each element of Z , tex2html_wrap_inline928 for all tex2html_wrap_inline930 . Therefore,

displaymath882

QUESTION 2 Since

displaymath883

log likelihood function for tex2html_wrap_inline932 can be written as

displaymath884

MLE of tex2html_wrap_inline932 , tex2html_wrap_inline936 , satisfies

displaymath885

Therefore

displaymath886

QUESTION 3

eqnarray55

Therefore

displaymath887

QUESTION 4 Define

displaymath888

displaymath889

We know that GLS estimator and its covariance matrix can be written as follows;

eqnarray95

displaymath890

Note this is stacked observation by observation. Now OLS estimators equation by equation can be written with matrices stacked by equation by equation as follows;

displaymath891

where

displaymath892

But since

eqnarray148

displaymath893

Therefore

displaymath894

QUESTION 5

A.

eqnarray323

Therefore

displaymath895

B. Since

displaymath896

log likelihood function for tex2html_wrap_inline932 can be written as

displaymath897

Therefore

displaymath898

QUESTION 6 The conditional posterior for tex2html_wrap_inline932 , tex2html_wrap_inline942 , is proportional to tex2html_wrap_inline944 , and the latter is given by:

eqnarray375

By completing the square,

eqnarray482

eqnarray550

i.e. the conditional density of tex2html_wrap_inline932 given tex2html_wrap_inline948 is tex2html_wrap_inline950 .

2. The conditional posterior for tex2html_wrap_inline952 , tex2html_wrap_inline954 , is prortional to tex2html_wrap_inline956 , which is given by:

eqnarray573

Therefore

eqnarray693

i.e. the density of tex2html_wrap_inline952 given tex2html_wrap_inline960 is tex2html_wrap_inline962 .

QUESTION 7

eqnarray720

QUESTION 8 From Mood-Graybill-Boes(1974,p542), the mean of extreme value distribution with CDF

displaymath899

is tex2html_wrap_inline964 . We know

eqnarray738

First, we derive CDF of tex2html_wrap_inline966 .

eqnarray747

Since this is CDF of extreme value distribution, the extreme value family is max-stable, and the mean of tex2html_wrap_inline966 can be written as

eqnarray785

By Williams-Daly-Zachary Theorem,

eqnarray795





John Rust
Sat Apr 18 16:14:56 CDT 1998