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Econ 551b Econometrics II
Suggested Solution to Problem Set 2

Prof. John Rust, Hiu Man Chan

Spring, 1999

Question 1

By Jordan decomposition:

displaymath309

where D is a diagonal matrix with eigenvalues on the diagonal:

displaymath310

and X is orthogonal. Since tex2html_wrap_inline323 is positive definite, all the eigenvalues are positive. Therefore we can define

eqnarray13

We can then have the following decomposition:

eqnarray39

Now we know tex2html_wrap_inline325 vector tex2html_wrap_inline327 , and each element of Z , tex2html_wrap_inline331 for all tex2html_wrap_inline333 . Therefore,

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Question 2

Given vectors tex2html_wrap_inline335 , tex2html_wrap_inline337 , tex2html_wrap_inline339 ,..., we can obtain orthogonal vectors tex2html_wrap_inline341 , tex2html_wrap_inline343 , tex2html_wrap_inline345 ,... through the following method:

eqnarray65

Given 1, x, tex2html_wrap_inline351 , tex2html_wrap_inline353 ,..., note that

eqnarray79

Plugging into the formula, we can obtain the first four orthogonal vectors (the Legendre Polynomials):

eqnarray131

Each of these is then normalized to give the final result:

eqnarray141

Question 3

OLS estimates are obtained from the normal equations:

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Solving the above system gives:

eqnarray183

where

displaymath313

Estimates from stepwise regression are given by:

eqnarray208

Therefore

eqnarray224

Stepwise regression can be useful when we care only about the predicted value of the dependent variable, but not the coefficients of the independent variables. Since the predicted value can be obtained by a series of estimations with a smaller number of independent variables, it is computationally less demanding.

Question 4

The solution can be found in Section 1.6 of Brockwell and Davis.





econ551
Sun Feb 21 01:54:25 EST 1999