The 18th International Symposium on Econometric Theory and Applications

Academia Sinica, Taipei, Taiwan

All times below are in GMT+8

 
May 28, 2024
 
TimeLocationEvent
 
18:00 to 20:30Courtyard by Marriott Taipei (Nangang), 7F, Sunrise All Day Dining (旭日全日餐廳)
Welcome Reception (Presenters & Invited Guests Only), Courtyard by Marriott Taipei (Nangang), 7F, Sunrise All Day Dining (旭日全日餐廳)
 
 
 
May 29, 2024
 
TimeLocationEvent
 
09:20 to 09:30 Opening Remarks
 
 
09:30 to 10:20Conference Room 1
Keynote 1 (IEAS Lecture), Conference Room 1
 
 
10:20 to 10:40 Coffee Break
 
 
10:40 to 12:00see below Parallel Session 1, Conference Room 1,2,3,4
 
 
12:00 to 13:00 Lunch
 
 
13:00 to 14:00see below Parallel Session 2, Conference Room 1,2,3,4
 
 
14:00 to 14:20 Coffee Break
 
 
14:20 to 15:20see below Parallel Session 3, Conference Room 1,2,3,4
 
 
15:20 to 15:40 Coffee Break
 
 
15:40 to 17:00Conference Room 1
Plenary Session 1, Conference Room 1
 
 
18:30 to 20:00Sheraton Grand Taipei Hotel (1F)
Conference Dinner, Sheraton Grand Taipei Hotel (1F)
 
 
 
May 30, 2024
 
TimeLocationEvent
 
09:30 to 10:20Conference Room 1
Keynote 2 (ET Lecture), Conference Room 1
 
 
10:20 to 10:40 Coffee Break
 
 
10:40 to 12:00Conference Room 1
Plenary Session 2, Conference Room 1
 
 
12:00 to 13:00 Lunch
 
 
13:00 to 14:00see below Parallel Session 4, Conference Room 1,2,3,4
 
 
14:00 to 14:20 Coffee Break
 
 
14:20 to 15:40see below Parallel Session 5, Conference Room 1,2,3,4
 
 
15:40 to 16:00 Coffee Break
 
 
16:00 to 16:50Conference Room 1
Keynote 3 (SETA Lecture), Conference Room 1
 
 
16:50 to 17:00Conference Room 1
Conclusion Remarks, Conference Room 1
 
 

 

Program Notes and Index of Sessions

Keynote 1 (IEAS Lecture)
Location: Conference Room 1
May 29, 2024 09:30 to 10:20
 
Keynote 1 (IEAS Lecture), conference room 1

Parallel Session 1
Locations: click on each session to see location
May 29, 2024 10:40 to 12:00
 
Theoretical Econometrics, conference room 1
Macroeconometrics, conference room 2
Finance, conference room 3
Microeconometrics (I), conference room 4

Parallel Session 2
Locations: click on each session to see location
May 29, 2024 13:00 to 14:00
 
Applied Macroeconometrics (I), conference room 1
Econometric Theory, conference room 2
Forecasting, conference room 3
Bayesian Econometrics, conference room 4

Parallel Session 3
Locations: click on each session to see location
May 29, 2024 14:20 to 15:20
 
Macroeconomics, conference room 1
Time Series Analysis (I), conference room 2
Applied Econometrics, conference room 3
Program Evaluation, conference room 4

Plenary Session 1
Location: Conference Room 1
May 29, 2024 15:40 to 17:00
 
Plenary Session 1, conference room 1

Keynote 2 (ET Lecture)
Location: Conference Room 1
May 30, 2024 09:30 to 10:20
 
Keynote 2 (ET Lecture), conference room 1

Plenary Session 2
Location: Conference Room 1
May 30, 2024 10:40 to 12:00
 
Plenary Session 2, conference room 1

Parallel Session 4
Locations: click on each session to see location
May 30, 2024 13:00 to 14:00
 
Time Series Analysis (II), conference room 1
Treatment Effect Models, conference room 2
Predictions, conference room 3
Applied Macroeconometrics (II), conference room 4

Parallel Session 5
Locations: click on each session to see location
May 30, 2024 14:20 to 15:40
 
Applied Macroeconometrics (III), conference room 1
Microeconometrics (II), conference room 2
Econometric Methods, conference room 3
Empirical Analysis, conference room 4

Keynote 3 (SETA Lecture)
Location: Conference Room 1
May 30, 2024 16:00 to 16:50
 
Keynote 3 (SETA Lecture), conference room 1

Conclusion Remarks
Location: Conference Room 1
May 30, 2024 16:50 to 17:00

 

Summary of All Sessions

Click here for an index of all participants

#Date/TimeTypeTitle/LocationPapers
1May 29, 2024
9:30-10:20
invited Keynote 1 (IEAS Lecture)

    Location: conference room 1

1
2May 29, 2024
10:40-12:00
contributed Theoretical Econometrics

    Location: conference room 1

3
3May 29, 2024
10:40-12:00
contributed Macroeconometrics

    Location: conference room 2

4
4May 29, 2024
10:40-12:00
contributed Finance

    Location: conference room 3

4
5May 29, 2024
10:40-12:00
contributed Microeconometrics (I)

    Location: conference room 4

4
6May 29, 2024
13:00-14:00
contributed Applied Macroeconometrics (I)

    Location: conference room 1

3
7May 29, 2024
13:00-14:00
contributed Econometric Theory

    Location: conference room 2

3
8May 29, 2024
13:00-14:00
contributed Forecasting

    Location: conference room 3

3
9May 29, 2024
13:00-14:00
contributed Bayesian Econometrics

    Location: conference room 4

3
10May 29, 2024
14:20-15:20
contributed Macroeconomics

    Location: conference room 1

3
11May 29, 2024
14:20-15:20
contributed Time Series Analysis (I)

    Location: conference room 2

3
12May 29, 2024
14:20-15:20
contributed Applied Econometrics

    Location: conference room 3

3
13May 29, 2024
14:20-15:20
contributed Program Evaluation

    Location: conference room 4

3
14May 29, 2024
15:40-17:00
invited Plenary Session 1

    Location: conference room 1

2
15May 30, 2024
9:30-10:20
invited Keynote 2 (ET Lecture)

    Location: conference room 1

1
16May 30, 2024
10:40-12:00
invited Plenary Session 2

    Location: conference room 1

2
17May 30, 2024
13:00-14:00
contributed Time Series Analysis (II)

    Location: conference room 1

3
18May 30, 2024
13:00-14:00
contributed Treatment Effect Models

    Location: conference room 2

3
19May 30, 2024
13:00-14:00
contributed Predictions

    Location: conference room 3

3
20May 30, 2024
13:00-14:00
contributed Applied Macroeconometrics (II)

    Location: conference room 4

3
21May 30, 2024
14:20-15:40
contributed Applied Macroeconometrics (III)

    Location: conference room 1

4
22May 30, 2024
14:20-15:40
contributed Microeconometrics (II)

    Location: conference room 2

4
23May 30, 2024
14:20-15:40
contributed Econometric Methods

    Location: conference room 3

4
24May 30, 2024
14:20-15:40
contributed Empirical Analysis

    Location: conference room 4

4
25May 30, 2024
16:00-16:50
invited Keynote 3 (SETA Lecture)

    Location: conference room 1

1
 

25 sessions, 74 papers, and 0 presentations with no associated papers


 

The 18th International Symposium on Econometric Theory and Applications

Detailed List of Sessions

 
Session 1: Keynote 1 (IEAS Lecture)
May 29, 2024 9:30 to 10:20
Location: conference room 1
 
Session Chair: Yu-Chin Hsu, Academia Sinica
Session type: invited
 

Diagnostic Tests for Lack of Identification in GMM Models
   presented by: Stephen Donald, University of Texas at Austin
 
Session 2: Theoretical Econometrics
May 29, 2024 10:40 to 12:00
Location: conference room 1
 
Session Chair: Tong Li, Vanderbilt University
Session type: contributed
 

Robust Caliper Tests
   presented by: Nikolay Kudrin, Queen's University
 

What Do We Get from Two-Way Fixed Effects Regressions? Implications from Numerical Equivalence
   presented by: Shoya Ishimaru, Hitotsubashi University
 

Instrumented Difference-in-Differences with heterogeneous treatment effects
   presented by: Miyaji Sho, The University of Tokyo
 
Session 3: Macroeconometrics
May 29, 2024 10:40 to 12:00
Location: conference room 2
 
Session Chair: Yoosoon Chang, Indiana University
Session type: contributed
 

Systemic Influence in Systematic Break: Granular Time Series Detection
   presented by: So Jin Lee, University of Mannheim
 

Frequency Selection in Macroeconometrics
   presented by: Regis Barnichon, FRB of San Francisco
 

Sovereign Default and Labor Market Dynamics
   presented by: Hewei Shen, University of Oklahoma
 

The Influence of Fiscal and Monetary Policies on the Shape of the Yield Curve
   presented by: Yoosoon Chang, Indiana University
 
Session 4: Finance
May 29, 2024 10:40 to 12:00
Location: conference room 3
 
Session Chair: Bonsoo Koo, Monash University
Session type: contributed
 

Detailed Decomposition on Earnings Management Distribution – the Unconditional Quantile Regression Analyses
   presented by: Mei Hsu, National Taiwan Normal University
 

A Study on Asset Price Bubble Dynamics: Explosive Trend or Quadratic Variation?
   presented by: Simon Kwok, The University of Sydney
 

The Effect of Capital Gains Taxation on Housing Sales: Evidence from Taiwan
   presented by: Shian Chang, National Taiwan University
 

Large-scale Portfolio Selection via Regularization Ensemble
   presented by: Bonsoo Koo, Monash University
 
Session 5: Microeconometrics (I)
May 29, 2024 10:40 to 12:00
Location: conference room 4
 
Session Chair: Ryo Okui, University of Tokyo
Session type: contributed
 

Nonparametric and Semiparametric Estimation of Upward Rank Mobility Curves
   presented by: Tsung-Chih Lai, National Chung Cheng University
 

Robust Inference for GMM with Possibly Nonsmooth Moments
   presented by: Seojeong Lee, Seoul National University
 

Estimating Panel Data Models With Common Factors: A Mundlak Projection Approach
   presented by: Qu Feng, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore
 

Instrumental Variables Estimation for Infinite Order Panel Autoregressive Processes
   presented by: Ryo Okui, University of Tokyo
 
Session 6: Applied Macroeconometrics (I)
May 29, 2024 13:00 to 14:00
Location: conference room 1
 
Session Chair: Shu-Chun Yang, Academia Sinica
Session type: contributed
 

Overbuilding and Underinvestment over Housing Boom-Bust Cycles
   presented by: Xiang Shi, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
 

What Can We Learn about Inflation from a Regime Switching Model?
   presented by: Ruoyun Mao, University of Arkansas
 

Turbulent Business Cycles
   presented by: Ding Dong, The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology
 
Session 7: Econometric Theory
May 29, 2024 13:00 to 14:00
Location: conference room 2
 
Session Chair: Xiaoxia Shi, University of Wisconsin at Madison
Session type: contributed
 

On the Inconsistency of Cluster-Robust Inference and How Subsampling Can Fix It
   presented by: Harold Chiang, University of Wisconsin-Madison
 

Beyond Sparsity: Local Projections Inference with High-Dimensional Covariates
[slides]
   presented by: Jooyoung Cha, Vanderbilt University
 

Estimation of Dynamic Factor Models in Time Domain
   presented by: Sangmyung Ha, Indiana University
 
Session 8: Forecasting
May 29, 2024 13:00 to 14:00
Location: conference room 3
 
Session Chair: Robert Lieli, Central European University
Session type: contributed
 

Predictive Regression Models with Functional Predictors: Theory and Application to Forecasting with Economic News
   presented by: Won-Ki Seo, University of Sydney
 

Bregman Model Averaging for Forecast Combination
   presented by: Jiun-Hua Su, Academia Sinica
 

Forecasting with Feedback
   presented by: Robert Lieli, Central European University
 
Session 9: Bayesian Econometrics
May 29, 2024 13:00 to 14:00
Location: conference room 4
 
Session Chair: Denis Tkachenko, National University of Singapore
Session type: contributed
 

Bundle Demand Model for Panel Data with Endogenous Regressors
   presented by: Tao Sun, University of Melbourne
 

Robust Bayesian Method for Refutable Models
   presented by: Moyu Liao, The University of Sydney
 

Feedback in Regime Formation
   presented by: Naoya Nagasaka, Indiana University
 
Session 10: Macroeconomics
May 29, 2024 14:20 to 15:20
Location: conference room 1
 
Session Chair: Donghoon Yoo, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica
Session type: contributed
 

Social Network and Industrial Policy: Japan’s Camphor Monopoly in Colonial Taiwan
   presented by: Yi-Fan Chen, National University of Kaohsiung
 

Consumer Bankruptcy: the Role of Financial Frictions
   presented by: Tsung-Hsien Li, Academia Sinica
 

Overreaction and Macroeconomic Fluctuation of the External Balance
   presented by: Donghoon Yoo, Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica
 
Session 11: Time Series Analysis (I)
May 29, 2024 14:20 to 15:20
Location: conference room 2
 
Session Chair: Tatsushi Oka, Keio University
Session type: contributed
 

Identifying News Shocks from Forecasts
   presented by: Jonathan Adams, University of Florida
 

Inference in Predictive Quantile Regressions
   presented by: Katsumi Shimotsu, University of Tokyo
 

Distributional Vector Autoregression: Eliciting Macro and Financial Dependence
   presented by: Tatsushi Oka, Keio University
 
Session 12: Applied Econometrics
May 29, 2024 14:20 to 15:20
Location: conference room 3
 
Session Chair: Kevin Staub, The University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
 

Social Influence in Household Equity Investment: Evidence from Randomized Military Drafts
   presented by: Chih-Ching Hung, National Taiwan University
 

Selecting the Patients Who Benefit Most: Evidence From Marginal Patients in Health Checks
   presented by: Lin-tung Tsai,
 

Breaking Silence: How Intimate Partner Violence And Reporting Shape Later Life Outcomes
   presented by: Kuan-Ming Chen, National Taiwan University
 
Session 13: Program Evaluation
May 29, 2024 14:20 to 15:20
Location: conference room 4
 
Session Chair: Zhengfei Yu, University of Tsukuba
Session type: contributed
 

Estimation and Inference of Counterfactual Cumulative Distribution Function in a High-dimension Framework: A Distributional Oaxaca–Blinder Decomposition Application
   presented by: Jian Zhang, NanKai University
 

The Effect of Cash Windfalls on Home Ownership and Housing Choice: Evidence from Lottery Winners
   presented by: Hsuan-Hua Huang, Washington University in St. Louis
 

Empirical Likelihood Covariate Adjustment for Regression Discontinuity Designs
   presented by: Zhengfei Yu, University of Tsukuba
 
Session 14: Plenary Session 1
May 29, 2024 15:40 to 17:00
Location: conference room 1
 
Session Chair: Alberto Abadie, MIT
Session type: invited
 

How to Weight in Moments Matching: A New Approach and Applications to Earnings Dynamics
   presented by: Xu Cheng, University of Pennsylvania
 

Donut Regression Discontinuity Designs
   presented by: Christoph Rothe, University of Mannheim
 
Session 15: Keynote 2 (ET Lecture)
May 30, 2024 9:30 to 10:20
Location: conference room 1
 
Session Chair: Serena Ng, Columbia University
Session type: invited
 

Causal Inference Methods for Data-Rich Environments
   presented by: Alberto Abadie, MIT
 
Session 16: Plenary Session 2
May 30, 2024 10:40 to 12:00
Location: conference room 1
 
Session Chair: Stephen Donald, University of Texas at Austin
Session type: invited
 

Tournaments with and without Private Information: A Nonparametric Approach
   presented by: Tong Li, Vanderbilt University
 

Testing Inequalities Linear in Nuisance Parameters
   presented by: Xiaoxia Shi, University of Wisconsin at Madison
 
Session 17: Time Series Analysis (II)
May 30, 2024 13:00 to 14:00
Location: conference room 1
 
Session Chair: Brendan Beare, University of Sydney
Session type: contributed
 

Does the Kyoto Protocol Have A Structural Impact on the Environmental Kuznets Curve? An Application of the Varying Coefficient Model
[slides]
   presented by: Chien-Ho Wang, National Taipei University
 

Estimation of Grouped Time-Varying Network Vector Autoregression Models
   presented by: Degui Li, University of York
 

The general solution to an autoregressive law of motion
   presented by: Brendan Beare, University of Sydney
 
Session 18: Treatment Effect Models
May 30, 2024 13:00 to 14:00
Location: conference room 2
 
Session Chair: Qingliang Fan, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
Session type: contributed
 

Semiparametric Models for Dynamic Treatment Effects and Mediation Analyses with Observational Data
   presented by: Sungwon Lee, Sogang University
 

Panel Instrumental Variable Regression Models with Varying-intensity Repeated Treatments: Theory and the China Syndrome Application
   presented by: Dakyung Seong, University of Sydney
 

Uniform Inference for Nonlinear Endogenous Treatment Effects with High-Dimensional Covariates
   presented by: Qingliang Fan, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
 
Session 19: Predictions
May 30, 2024 13:00 to 14:00
Location: conference room 3
 
Session Chair: Zhentao Shi, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
Session type: contributed
 

Model Averaging Prediction for Possibly Nonstationary Autoregressions
   presented by: Chu-An Liu, Academia Sinica
 

Time-Varying Betas in Foreign Exchange Returns: An IPCA Approach
   presented by: Jui-Chung Yang, National Taiwan University
 

Bring the Noise for Better Economic Predictions
   presented by: Zhentao Shi, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
 
Session 20: Applied Macroeconometrics (II)
May 30, 2024 13:00 to 14:00
Location: conference room 4
 
Session Chair: Natsuki Arai, Gettysburg College
Session type: contributed
 

Targeted Testing of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models
   presented by: Denis Tkachenko, National University of Singapore
 

Capital Account Policy, Firm-Dynamics, and Export-led Growth
   presented by: Woo Jin Choi, University of Seoul
 

Dispersion of FOMC Policymakers' Views: Evidence from the New Individual Economic Projections
   presented by: Natsuki Arai, Gettysburg College
 
Session 21: Applied Macroeconometrics (III)
May 30, 2024 14:20 to 15:40
Location: conference room 1
 
Session Chair: Mototsugu Shintani, University of Tokyo
Session type: contributed
 

Connecting Exchange Rates to Fundamentals Under Indeterminacy
   presented by: Yasuo Hirose, Keio University
 

Forecasting GDP growth using stock returns in Japan: A factor-augmented MIDAS approach
   presented by: Hiroshi Morita, Tokyo Institute of Technology
 

Debt Sustainability in a Stochastic r-g Economy
   presented by: Kazuhiro Teramoto, Hitotsubashi University
 

International Comparison of Climate Change News Index with an Application to Monetary Policy
   presented by: Mototsugu Shintani, University of Tokyo
 
Session 22: Microeconometrics (II)
May 30, 2024 14:20 to 15:40
Location: conference room 2
 
Session Chair: Geert Mesters, Universitat Pompeu Fabra
Session type: contributed
 

Post Empirical Bayes Regression
   presented by: Yu-Chang Chen, National Taiwan University
 

Two Classes of Skew-Elliptical Copulas
   presented by: Ye Lu, University of Sydney
 

A Valid Anderson-Rubin Test under Both Fixed and Diverging Number of Weak Instruments
   presented by: Wenjie Wang, Nanyang Technological University
 

Non-Independent Component Analysis
   presented by: Geert Mesters, Universitat Pompeu Fabra
 
Session 23: Econometric Methods
May 30, 2024 14:20 to 15:40
Location: conference room 3
 
Session Chair: Yuya Sasaki, Vanderbilt University
Session type: contributed
 

Asymptotic Properties of the Synthetic Control Method
   presented by: Wendun Wang, Erasmus University Rotterdam
 

Policy Evaluation with Nonlinear Trended Outcomes: COVID-19 Vaccination Rates in the US
   presented by: Donggyu Sul, University of Texas at Dallas
 

Collaboration in Bipartite Networks
   presented by: Chih-Sheng Hsieh, National Taiwan University
 

Doubly Robust Estimators with Weak Overlap
   presented by: Yuya Sasaki, Vanderbilt University
 
Session 24: Empirical Analysis
May 30, 2024 14:20 to 15:40
Location: conference room 4
 
Session Chair: Tzu-Ting Yang, Academia Sinica
Session type: contributed
 

The Effects of Prenatal Exposure to the Great Chinese Famine on Adult Mortality and Education: A Sibling Fixed Effects Approach
   presented by: Weina Zhou, Dalhousie University
 

Heterogeneity in the Intertemporal Persistence of Health: Evidence from a Monthly Micro Panel
   presented by: Kevin Staub, The University of Melbourne
 

Estimating Preferences for College Programs Using Taiwanese College Admission Data
   presented by: Chi-Chao Hung, National Taiwan University
 

The Effect of Compensation on Turnover: Evidence from Employer-Employee Administrative Data
   presented by: Tzu-Ting Yang, Academia Sinica
 
Session 25: Keynote 3 (SETA Lecture)
May 30, 2024 16:00 to 16:50
Location: conference room 1
 
Session Chair: Chung-Ming Kuan, National Taiwan University
Session type: invited
 

Imputation of Counterfactual Outcomes when the Errors are Predictable
   presented by: Serena Ng, Columbia University
 

25 sessions, 74 papers, and 0 presentations with no associated papers
 
Index of Participants

Legend: C=chair, P=Presenter, D=Discussant
#ParticipantRoles in Conference
1Abadie, AlbertoC14, P15
2Adams, JonathanP11
3Arai, NatsukiP20, C20
4Barnichon, RegisP3
5Beare, BrendanP17, C17
6Cha, JooyoungP7
7Chang, YoosoonP3, C3
8Chang, ShianP4
9Chen, Yi-FanP10
10Chen, Yu-ChangP22
11Chen, Kuan-MingP12
12Cheng, XuP14
13Chiang, HaroldP7
14Choi, Woo JinP20
15Donald, StephenP1, C16
16Dong, DingP6
17Fan, QingliangP18, C18
18Feng, QuP5
19Ha, SangmyungP7
20Hirose, YasuoP21
21Hsieh, Chih-ShengP23
22Hsu, Yu-ChinC1
23Hsu, MeiP4
24Huang, Hsuan-HuaP13
25Hung, Chih-ChingP12
26Hung, Chi-ChaoP24
27Ishimaru, ShoyaP2
28Koo, BonsooP4, C4
29Kuan, Chung-MingC25
30Kudrin, NikolayP2
31Kwok, SimonP4
32Lai, Tsung-ChihP5
33Lee, SeojeongP5
34Lee, So JinP3
35Lee, SungwonP18
36Li, Tsung-HsienP10
37Li, DeguiP17
38Li, TongC2, P16
39Liao, MoyuP9
40Lieli, RobertP8, C8
41Liu, Chu-AnP19
42Lu, YeP22
43Mao, RuoyunP6
44Mesters, GeertP22, C22
45Morita, HiroshiP21
46Nagasaka, NaoyaP9
47Ng, SerenaC15, P25
48Oka, TatsushiP11, C11
49Okui, RyoP5, C5
50Rothe, ChristophP14
51Sasaki, YuyaP23, C23
52Seo, Won-KiP8
53Seong, DakyungP18
54Shen, HeweiP3
55Shi, XiaoxiaC7, P16
56Shi, ZhentaoP19, C19
57Shi, XiangP6
58Shimotsu, KatsumiP11
59Shintani, MototsuguP21, C21
60Sho, MiyajiP2
61Staub, KevinC12, P24
62Su, Jiun-HuaP8
63Sul, DonggyuP23
64Sun, TaoP9
65Teramoto, KazuhiroP21
66Tkachenko, DenisC9, P20
67Tsai, Lin-tungP12
68Wang, WenjieP22
69Wang, WendunP23
70Wang, Chien-HoP17
71Yang, Tzu-TingP24, C24
72Yang, Jui-ChungP19
73Yang, Shu-ChunC6
74Yoo, DonghoonP10, C10
75Yu, ZhengfeiP13, C13
76Zhang, JianP13
77Zhou, WeinaP24

 

This program was last updated on 2024-06-12 21:49:59 EDT