| Date/Time | Title/Location | Papers |
|---|
December 12, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Climate Change and Technology Adoption Location: SV201 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Growth and Misallocation Location: SV203 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Labor, Risk, Markups Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Inflation Expectations Location: SV105 | 2 |
December 12, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Gender and Fertility Location: SV101 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Firm Growth and Credit Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Landlords and rental markets Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Trade and Migraiton Location: SV201 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Monetary Policy 1 Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Micro Facts on Inflation Location: SV105 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Capital Flows Location: SV101 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Theory 1 Location: SV203 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Family Dynamics Location: SV102 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Occupational Choice Location: SV201 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
15:40-17:10 | New Keynesian Macro Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Theory 2 Location: SV203 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Labor Market Power Location: SV105 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Information Frictions Location: SV101 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Trade Wars and Tax Havens Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Inflation and Jobs Location: SV203 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Geography and Innovation Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Financial Frictions Location: SV201 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Credit Markets Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Tax Design Location: SV105 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Public Finance and Uncertainty Location: SV101 | 3 |
December 12, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Industrial Organization Location: SV102 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Household Heterogeneity & Aggregate Fluctuations Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Trade and Reallocation Location: SV203 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Forecasting and Learning Location: SV102 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Monetary Policy 2 Location: SV201 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
10:00-11:30 | PassThrough and Market Power Location: SV101 | 2 |
December 13, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Business Cycles Location: SV105 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Production Networks Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Bubbles and Sentiments Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Banking and Industry Dynamics Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Macrofinance Location: SV203 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Trade Barriers Location: SV105 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Distributional Consequences of Inflation Location: SV201 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Housing and Real Estate Location: SV101 | 2 |
December 13, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Health Location: SV102 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Information Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Taxation, Innovation, and the Welfare State Location: SV102 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Trade Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Finance 1 Location: SV203 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Macro Development Location: SV105 | 2 |
December 13, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Demographic Consequences Location: SV201 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Political Economy in Spatial Markets Location: SV101 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Climate Change and Adaptation Location: SV102 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Shocks and Optimal Policy Location: SV101 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Near Rationality and Overconfidence Location: SV201 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
17:30-19:00 | International Shocks Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Empirical Banking Location: SV105 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Sovereign Debt Location: SV203 | 3 |
December 13, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Spatial Inequality and Place Based Policies Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Housing Location: SV201 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Macro Labor Location: SV203 | 2 |
December 14, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Shopping and Inflation Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Economic Dynamics and RCT Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Finance 2 Location: SV105 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Industrial Revolution and Economic Growth Location: SV101 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
10:00-11:30 | Climate Change and Factor Reallocation Location: SV102 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Markups and Misallocation Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Consumption Insurance Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Government and Corporate Debt Location: SV201 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Agriculture, Commodities, and Structural Transformation Location: SV102 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Inflation Episodes Location: SV203 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Firm Dynamics Location: SV105 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
11:50-13:20 | Labor Markets and Growth Location: SV101 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Multinational Production and Trade Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Sovereign Debt and Dollarization Location: SV201 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Optimal Policy Design Location: SV102 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Firms and Entrepreneurship Location: SV203 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Business Cycles, Capital flows, and Labor Market Dynamics Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
15:40-17:10 | Macro Implications of Artificial Intelligence Location: SV105 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Climate Policy Location: SV202 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Earnings Risk Location: SV102 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Global Credit Cycle Location: SV101 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Consumption and Price Setting Location: SV203 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Migration and Human Capital Location: SV104 | 3 |
December 14, 2024
17:30-19:00 | Nonlinearities and Phillips Curves Location: SV201 | 3 |
| |
|---|
Session: Climate Change and Technology Adoption
December 12, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Florencia Airaudo, Federal Reserve Board |
| |
| {Mitigating Climate Change at the Firm Level: Mind the Laggards |
| presented by: German Villegas Bauer, IMF |
| |
| Spillovers and the Direction of Innovation: An Application to the Clean Energy Transition |
| presented by: Eric Donald, University of Pittsburgh |
| |
| THE GREEN METAMORPHOSIS OF A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY |
| presented by: Florencia Airaudo, Federal Reserve Board |
| |
|---|
Session: Growth and Misallocation
December 12, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Roberto Fattal Jaef, The World Bank |
| |
| The Micro and Macro Productivity of Nations |
| presented by: Diego Restuccia, University of Toronto |
| |
| Big Push in Distorted Economies |
| presented by: Nicholas Trachter, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond |
| |
| Constrained Efficiency and the Welfare Effects of Misallocation |
| presented by: Roberto Fattal Jaef, The World Bank |
| |
|---|
Session: Labor, Risk, Markups
December 12, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Miguel Santana, Northwestern University |
| |
| Markups: A Search-Theoretic Perspective |
| presented by: Guido Menzio, New York University |
| |
| Idiosyncratic Labor Risk and Aggregate Risk Sharing with Financial Frictions |
| presented by: Priit Jeenas, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, CREI, BSE |
| |
| A Theory of Downward Wage Rigidity |
| presented by: Miguel Santana, Northwestern University |
| |
|---|
Session: Inflation Expectations
December 12, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV105 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| |
| Inflation Uncertainty from Firms’ Perspective, Overconfidence and Credibility of Monetary Policy |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Fernando Borraz, dECON - FCS - UdelaR |
| |
| Inflated Concerns: Exposure to Past Inflationary Episodes and Preferences for Price Stability |
| presented by: Nicolas Magud, International Monetary Fund |
| |
|---|
Session: Gender and Fertility
December 12, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV101 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Benjamin Villena-Roldan, Universidad Andrés Bello |
| |
| The Effect of Cognitive Skills on Fertility Timing |
| presented by: Agustin Diaz, Central Bank of Chile |
| |
| Household Search, Wages and Commuting Time |
| presented by: Mauricio Tejada, Universidad Diego Portales |
| |
| What SHe/He Wants in a Job |
| presented by: Benjamin Villena-Roldan, Universidad Andrés Bello |
| |
|---|
Session: Firm Growth and Credit
December 12, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Andrea Prestipino, Federal Reserve Board |
| |
| Credit and Firm Growth |
| presented by: Andrea Sy, CEMFI |
| |
| Low Interest Rates, Debt Heterogeneity, and Firm Dynamics |
| presented by: Dongchen Zhao, University of Cincinnati |
| |
| The Macroeconomic Implications of Firms' Debt Maturity |
| presented by: Andrea Prestipino, Federal Reserve Board |
| |
|---|
Session: Landlords and rental markets
December 12, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Igor Livshits, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| |
| Single-Family REITs and Local Housing Markets |
| presented by: Edison Yu, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| |
| Individual Landlords in the Mortgage Market |
| presented by: Jagdish Tripathy, Bank of England |
| |
| Implications of Eviction Enforcement for Household Formation and Home-Ownership |
| presented by: Igor Livshits, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia |
| |
|---|
Session: Trade and Migraiton
December 12, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Fernando Parro, University of Rochester |
| |
| The Political Economy of Migration Restrictions under Apartheid |
| presented by: Tomas Domínguez-Iino, |
| |
| "Firm Heterogeneity and the Impact of Immigration: Evidence from German Establishments" |
| presented by: Agostina Brinatti, University of Michigan |
| |
| Mechanics of Spatial Growth, |
| presented by: Fernando Parro, University of Rochester |
| |
|---|
Session: Monetary Policy 1
December 12, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Alessandro Dovis, University of Pennsylvania |
| |
| Policy Rules and Large Crises in Emerging Markets |
| presented by: Juan Sanchez, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| |
| How Should Monetary Policy Respond to Housing Inflation? |
| presented by: Javier Bianchi, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis |
| |
| Accounting for Credibility: Monetary-Fiscal Interactions and the Credibility of Central Bank Mandates |
| presented by: Alessandro Dovis, University of Pennsylvania |
| |
|---|
Session: Micro Facts on Inflation
December 12, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV105 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Santiago Alvarez-Blaser, University of Basel and Harvard Business School |
| |
| Firm-to-firm Price Rigidity within a Network |
| presented by: Javier Turen, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chil |
| |
| Monthly Heterogeneous Markup Cyclicality and Inflation Dynamics |
| presented by: Antonio Martner, UCLA |
| |
| Inflation and Price Dispersion: New Cross-Sectoral and International Evidence |
| presented by: Santiago Alvarez-Blaser, University of Basel and Harvard Business School |
| |
|---|
Session: Capital Flows
December 12, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV101 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Ina Simonovska, UC Davis |
| |
| Golden Fetters or Credit Boom Gone Bust? A Reassessment of Capital Flows in the Interwar Period |
| presented by: Lukas Diebold, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid |
| |
| U.S. Liquid Government Liabilities and Emerging Market Capital Flows |
| presented by: Annie Soyean Lee, Johns Hopkins University |
| |
| The Risky Capital of Emerging Markets |
| presented by: Ina Simonovska, UC Davis |
| |
|---|
Session: Theory 1
December 12, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Juan Xandri, Universidad de Los Andes, Chile |
| |
| Shaping Institutions |
| presented by: William Fuchs, University of Texas at Austin |
| |
| Quasi-Hyperbolic Discounting with Random Gratification |
| presented by: Facundo Piguillem, EIEF |
| |
| Targeted Search over Poison Point Processes (and other applications) |
| presented by: Juan Xandri, Universidad de Los Andes, Chile |
| |
|---|
Session: Family Dynamics
December 12, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV102 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis |
| |
| From Preschool to College: The Impact of Education Policies Over the Lifecycle |
| presented by: Angela Zheng, McMaster University |
| |
| Children and Optimal Taxation of Families over the Life Cycle |
| presented by: Sahber Ahmadi-Renani, Tehran Institute for Advanced Studies (TeIAS), Khatam University |
| |
| Marriage Market Sorting in the U.S. |
| presented by: Paulina Restrepo-Echavarria, Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis |
| |
|---|
Session: Occupational Choice
December 12, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Jose V. Rodriguez Mora, CUNEF Universidad |
| |
| Career Choice of Entrepreneurs, Inventors and Economic Growth |
| presented by: Harun Alp, Federal Reserve Board |
| |
| Occupation Polarization and Inequality |
| presented by: Gueorgui Kambourov, University of Toronto |
| |
| Intergenerational Mobility and Occupational Choice |
| presented by: Jose V. Rodriguez Mora, CUNEF Universidad |
| |
|---|
Session: New Keynesian Macro
December 12, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Paula Donaldson, UCSD |
| |
| Labor Capacity in the New Keynesian Model |
| presented by: Akira Ishide, UCLA |
| |
| Quantifying Fiscal Policy’s Role in U.S. Inflation |
| presented by: Carlos Zarazaga, Southern Methodist University |
| |
| Why Are Some Recoveries Weak and Others Strong? |
| presented by: Paula Donaldson, UCSD |
| |
|---|
Session: Theory 2
December 12, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Juan Dubra, Universidad de Montevideo |
| |
| Efficient Bullshit in Search Markets |
| presented by: Pablo Kurlat, University of Southern California |
| |
| Automated Exchange Economies |
| presented by: Ariel Zetlin-Jones, Carnegie Mellon University |
| |
| Incentives, Burnout, and Turnover: Dynamic Compensation Design with Effort Cost Spillover |
| presented by: Juan Dubra, Universidad de Montevideo |
| |
|---|
Session: Labor Market Power
December 12, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV105 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Agustin Gutierrez, University of Wisconsin - madison |
| |
| Collective Bargaining Networks, Rent-Sharing, and the Propagation of Shocks |
| presented by: Santiago Hermo, Monash University |
| |
| Endogenous Oligopsony |
| presented by: Luca Lorenzini, UCLA Anderson |
| |
| Labor and Product Market Power: Labor Market Policies in Frictional Markets |
| presented by: Agustin Gutierrez, University of Wisconsin - madison |
| |
|---|
Session: Information Frictions
December 12, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV101 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Eugenio Rojas, University of Florida |
| |
| The Expectations of Others |
| presented by: Mathieu Pedemonte, IADB |
| |
| Expectations and Frictions: Lessons from a Quantitative Model with Dispersed Information |
| presented by: Rafael Gonçalves, Princeton University |
| |
| Incomplete Information and Investment Inaction |
| presented by: Eugenio Rojas, University of Florida |
| |
|---|
Session: Trade Wars and Tax Havens
December 12, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Carter Mix, Federal Reserve Board of Governors |
| |
| International Trade and Macroeconomic Dynamics with Sanctions |
| presented by: Fabio Ghironi, |
| |
| Aggregate Labor Share and Tax Havens: things are not always what they seem |
| presented by: Margarita Lopez Forero, Paris Saclay University - Evry University |
| |
| Trade Wars and Rumors of Trade Wars |
| presented by: Carter Mix, Federal Reserve Board of Governors |
| |
|---|
Session: Inflation and Jobs
December 12, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Lukas Mann, Princeton University |
| |
| Linear-Quadratic Mean Field Game of drift control |
| presented by: Fernando Alvarez, University of Chicago |
| |
| A Theory of How Workers Keep Up With Inflation |
| presented by: Andres Drenik, University of Texas at Austin |
| |
| Job Amenity Shocks and Labor Reallocation |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Lukas Mann, Princeton University |
| |
|---|
Session: Geography and Innovation
December 12, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Jeremy Pearce, FRB New York |
| |
| The Geography of Innovative Firms |
| presented by: Marta Prato, Bocconi University |
| |
| High-Speed Railways and the Geography of Innovation: Evidence from France |
| presented by: Fernando Stipanicic, University of Oslo |
| |
| The Mechanics of Innovation and Endogenous Growth: Theory and Evidence from US Historical Patents |
| presented by: Jeremy Pearce, FRB New York |
| |
|---|
Session: Financial Frictions
December 12, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Gonzalo Basante Pereira, University of New Hampshire |
| |
| Financially Constrained Carbon Management |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Maria Bustamante, University of Maryland |
| |
| Fire Sales and Liquidity Requirements |
| presented by: Yuteng Cheng, Bank of Canada |
| |
| Financial Frictions Over the Early Life Cycle of Firms: A Cross-Country Perspective |
| presented by: Gonzalo Basante Pereira, University of New Hampshire |
| |
|---|
Session: Credit Markets
December 12, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Martin Kornejew, Bocconi University |
| |
| Precautionary Debt Capacity |
| presented by: Deniz Aydin, Washington University in St. Louis |
| |
| Financing Private Credit |
| presented by: Nina Boyarchenko, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| |
| Market Creditor Protection, Finance and Investment |
| presented by: Martin Kornejew, Bocconi University |
| |
|---|
Session: Tax Design
December 12, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV105 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Marcelo Veracierto, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago |
| |
| Tax Design with Labor Market Frictions |
| presented by: Hakki Yazici, Bristol University |
| |
| Optimal Fiscal Policy under Preference Heterogeneity |
| presented by: Marek Kapicka, CERGE-EI (Charles University - Prague) |
| |
| Aggregate Dynamics and Optimal Taxation under Persistent Private Information |
| presented by: Marcelo Veracierto, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago |
| |
|---|
Session: Public Finance and Uncertainty
December 12, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV101 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Ignacio Gonzalez, American University |
| |
| Income tax fluctuations and uncertainty in France |
| presented by: Selma MALMBERG, Le Mans University & CEPREMAP |
| |
| Tax Revolts and Sovereign Defaults |
| presented by: Fernando Arce Munoz, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago |
| |
| Assets Prices, Market Power, and Optimal Corporate Tax Policy |
| presented by: Ignacio Gonzalez, American University |
| |
|---|
Session: Industrial Organization
December 12, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV102 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Harry Paarsch, University of Central Florida |
| |
| INDUSTRIAL POLICY IN THE GLOBAL SEMICONDUCTOR SECTOR |
| presented by: Jeff Thurk, University of Georgia |
| |
| Demand Estimation with Text and Image Data |
| presented by: ILYA MOROZOV, Northwestern University |
| |
| Explaining Early Bidding in Informationally-Restricted Ascending-Bid Auctions |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Harry Paarsch, University of Central Florida |
| |
|---|
Session: Household Heterogeneity & Aggregate Fluctuations
December 13, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Juan Castellanos, European University Institute |
| |
| The aggregate and distributional implications of credit shocks on housing and rental markets |
| presented by: Juan Castellanos, European University Institute |
| |
| Shopping Frictions with Household Heterogeneity: Theory & Empirics |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Krzysztof Pytka, University of Mannheim |
| |
| The Earned Income Tax Credit and the Tax-benefit Link of Public Pensions |
| presented by: Dongmin Chun, Bank of Korea |
| |
|---|
Session: Trade and Reallocation
December 13, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Erhan Artuc, World Bank |
| |
| Trade, Labor Reallocation Across Firms and Wage Inequality |
| presented by: Mariano Somale, Federal Reserve Board |
| |
| Heterogeneous Agents Dynamic Spatial General Equilibrium |
| presented by: Maximiliano Dvorkin, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| |
| Crops, Conflict and Climate Change |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Erhan Artuc, World Bank |
| |
|---|
Session: Forecasting and Learning
December 13, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV102 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Carlos Montes-Galdon, European Central Bank |
| |
| Combining Combined Forecasts: a Network Approach |
| presented by: Marcos Ross Fernandes, University of São Paulo |
| |
| Neural Network Learning for Nonlinear Economies |
| presented by: Martin Ellison, University of Oxford |
| |
| Conditional density forecasting: a tempered importance sampling approach |
| presented by: Carlos Montes-Galdon, European Central Bank |
| |
|---|
Session: Monetary Policy 2
December 13, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Miguel Acosta-Henao, Central Bank of Chile |
| |
| Navigating by Falling Stars: Monetary Policy with Fiscally Driven Natural Rates |
| presented by: Rodolfo Campos, Banco de España |
| |
| Sectoral Phillips Curves: The Role of Expectations and Production Networks in Price Setting |
| presented by: Cristina Griffa, University of Chile |
| |
| Heterogeneous UIPDs Across Firms: Spillovers from U.S. Monetary Policy Shocks |
| presented by: Miguel Acosta-Henao, Central Bank of Chile |
| |
|---|
Session: PassThrough and Market Power
December 13, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV101 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Ivan Yotzov, Bank of England |
| |
| Investment-Goods Market Power and Capital Accumulation |
| presented by: Fabio Bertolotti, Bank of Italy |
| |
| Intertemporal pass-through |
| presented by: Ivan Yotzov, Bank of England |
| |
|---|
Session: Business Cycles
December 13, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV105 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Hernan Seoane, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid |
| |
| Knightian Uncertainty and Business Cycles: The Role of Household Heterogeneity |
| presented by: Edouard Djeutem, Bank of Canada |
| |
| K Wasn't Built in a Day: Investment with Endogenous Time to Build |
| presented by: Adriano Fernandes, International Monetary Fund |
| |
| Expropriation Risk Over the Business Cycle |
| presented by: Hernan Seoane, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid |
| |
|---|
Session: Production Networks
December 13, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Yasutaka Koike-Mori, UCLA |
| |
| Optimal Monetary and Fiscal Policies in Disaggregated Economies |
| presented by: Ernesto Pasten, Banco Central de Chile |
| |
| Welfare Cost of Inflation in Production Networks |
| presented by: Hassan Afrouzi, Columbia University |
| |
| Aggregating Distortions in Networks with Multi-Product Firms |
| presented by: Yasutaka Koike-Mori, UCLA |
| |
|---|
Session: Bubbles and Sentiments
December 13, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Fernando Mendo, PUC Rio de Janeiro |
| |
| Debt, Inflation, And Government Reputation |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Alberto Ramirez de Aguilar, University of Pennsylvania |
| |
| A Model of Charles Ponzi |
| presented by: Gadi Barlevy, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago |
| |
| Rational Sentiments and Financial Friction |
| presented by: Fernando Mendo, PUC Rio de Janeiro |
| |
|---|
Session: Banking and Industry Dynamics
December 13, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Aubhik Khan, Ohio State University |
| |
| Geographical Diversification in Banking: A Structural Evaluation |
| presented by: Juan Morelli, Federal Reserve Board |
| |
| A Quantitative Model of Banking Industry Dynamics |
| presented by: Pablo D'Erasmo, FRB Philadelphia |
| |
| Default Risk and Borrowing Limits Across Firms and Over Time |
| presented by: Aubhik Khan, Ohio State University |
| |
|---|
Session: Macrofinance
December 13, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Victoria Vanasco, Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacio |
| |
| Liquidity and Investment in General Equilibrium |
| presented by: Julian Kozlowski, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| |
| Frost and Fire: a Tale of Two Crises |
| presented by: Alberto Martin, CREI, UPF and BSE |
| |
| Asset specificity and borrowing capacity |
| presented by: Victoria Vanasco, Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacio |
| |
|---|
Session: Trade Barriers
December 13, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV105 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Ryan Monarch, Syracuse University |
| |
| The Consequences of Non-Tariff Trade Barriers: Theory and Evidence from Import Licenses in Argentina |
| presented by: Leticia Juarez, University of Michigan/ Inter-American Development Bank(RES) |
| |
| Cross-Border Product Adoption: Individual Imports, Migrant Networks, and Domestic Retailers |
| presented by: Diana Van Patten, Yale University |
| |
| Supply Chains and Trade Facilitation |
| presented by: Ryan Monarch, Syracuse University |
| |
|---|
Session: Distributional Consequences of Inflation
December 13, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Conor Walsh, Columbia University |
| |
| Bank-Dependent Households and The Unequal Costs of Inflation |
| presented by: Fernando Cirelli, |
| |
| Households' Subjective Expectations: Disagreement, Common Drivers and Reaction to Monetary Policy |
| presented by: Clodomiro Ferreira, Bank of Spain |
| |
| Are Inflationary Shocks Regressive? |
| presented by: Conor Walsh, Columbia University |
| |
|---|
Session: Housing and Real Estate
December 13, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV101 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Felipe Iachan, FGV |
| |
| Zoning Out Opportunities: Exploring the Child Development Impact of Zoning Laws |
| presented by: Diego Daruich, USC Marshall |
| |
| A dynamic spatial theory of residential real estate returns |
| presented by: Felipe Iachan, FGV |
| |
|---|
Session: Health
December 13, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV102 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Pauline Mourot, Boston University |
| |
| Estimating Moral Hazard in Healthcare Utilization from a Large Scale Policy Experiment: Universal Healthcare, Not Universal Benefit |
| presented by: Prasanthi Ramakrishnan, Southern Methodist University |
| |
| Health and Business Cycles in General Equilibrium |
| presented by: Alexey Khazanov, Hebrew University of Jerusalem |
| |
| Should Top Surgeons Practice at Top Hospitals? Sorting and Complementarities in Healthcare |
| presented by: Pauline Mourot, Boston University |
| |
|---|
Session: Information
December 13, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Guillermo Ordonez, University of Pennsylvania |
| |
| The Macroeconomics of Data |
| presented by: Alexandre Kohlhas, University of Oxford |
| |
| The Forward Signaling Channel of Inflation |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Ryan Chahrour, Cornell University |
| |
| From Tweets to Runs: Social Media and Financial Stability |
| presented by: Guillermo Ordonez, University of Pennsylvania |
| |
|---|
Session: Taxation, Innovation, and the Welfare State
December 13, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV102 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Maren Vairo, Northwestern University |
| |
| The Evolution of the Welfare State |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Diego Huerta, University of Chile |
| |
| Research or Development in Innovation Races |
| presented by: Francisco Poggi, University of Mannheim |
| |
| Robustly Optimal Income Taxation |
| presented by: Maren Vairo, Northwestern University |
| |
|---|
Session: Trade
December 13, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
David Perez-Reyna, Universidad de los Andes |
| |
| The Carbon Footprint of Multinational Production |
| presented by: Ezequiel Garcia-Lembergman, Pontifical Catholic University of Chile |
| |
| Fighting Income Inequality with International Trade |
| presented by: Roman Merga, International Monetary Fund |
| |
| Financial development, trade and misallocation |
| presented by: David Perez-Reyna, Universidad de los Andes |
| |
|---|
Session: Finance 1
December 13, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Jan Eeckhout, UPF Barcelona |
| |
| There is no excess volatility puzzle |
| presented by: Andrew Atkeson, UCLA |
| |
| A model of household debt maturity with macroprudential constraints |
| presented by: Joao Cocco, London Business School |
| |
| The Value and Profits of Firms |
| presented by: Jan Eeckhout, UPF Barcelona |
| |
|---|
Session: Macro Development
December 13, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV105 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Daniela Vidart, University of Connecticut |
| |
| Nutrition Demand, Subsistence Farming, and Agricultural Productivity |
| presented by: Stepan Gordeev, Texas Christian University |
| |
| Who Pays for Training? Theory and Evidence on Firm-Level Differences in Training Investments |
| presented by: Daniela Vidart, University of Connecticut |
| |
|---|
Session: Demographic Consequences
December 13, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Elisa Belfiori, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella |
| |
| Demographic Transition, Aggregate Productivity Growth Slowdown, and Structural Change |
| presented by: Vahagn Jerbashian, University of Barcelona |
| |
| Demographic Transitions and Fiscal Imbalances in Latin America |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Manuel Macera, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella |
| |
| Optimal Climate Policy with Demographic Transitions |
| presented by: Elisa Belfiori, Universidad Torcuato Di Tella |
| |
|---|
Session: Political Economy in Spatial Markets
December 13, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV101 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Felipe Carozzi, London School of Economics |
| |
| Transport Infrastructure Improvements and Spatial Sorting: Evidence from Buenos Aires |
| presented by: Pablo Warnes, Aalto University |
| |
| The Political Economy of Congestion Pricing |
| presented by: Olivia Bordeu, Princeton University |
| |
| Voter Preferences for Neighborhood Change and Political Planning Cycles |
| presented by: Felipe Carozzi, London School of Economics |
| |
|---|
Session: Climate Change and Adaptation
December 13, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV102 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Rafael Araujo, Sao Paulo School of Economics FGV EESP |
| |
| Valuing Technology Complementarities: Rooftop Solar and Energy Storage |
| presented by: Andres Gonzalez-Lira, Pontifica Universidad Catolica de Chile |
| |
| The Dynamic Efficiency of Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from the Wind Industry |
| presented by: Luming Chen, Stanford University |
| |
| When clouds go dry: an integrated model of deforestation, rainfall, and agriculture |
| presented by: Rafael Araujo, Sao Paulo School of Economics FGV EESP |
| |
|---|
Session: Shocks and Optimal Policy
December 13, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV101 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Carlos Bolivar, University of Minnesota |
| |
| Attention to Inflation |
| presented by: Chang Liu, National University of Singapore |
| |
| Large Shocks, Networks and State-Dependent Pricing |
| presented by: Mishel Ghassibe, Centre de Recerca en Economia Internacio |
| |
| Debt Sustainability, Confidence Risk and International Reserves ∗ |
| presented by: Carlos Bolivar, University of Minnesota |
| |
|---|
Session: Near Rationality and Overconfidence
December 13, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Matthew White, Econ-ARK |
| |
| Sticky Inflation: Monetary Policy when Debt Drags Inflation Expectations |
| presented by: Saki Bigio, UCLA |
| |
| Quick Fixing and Near-Rationality in Household Consumption and Savings Behavior |
| presented by: Joel Flynn, Yale University |
| |
| Even Self-Aware Consumers Are Overconfident |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Matthew White, Econ-ARK |
| |
|---|
Session: International Shocks
December 13, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Juan Herreno, University of California, San Diego |
| |
| Trade War and Peace: U.S.-China Trade and Tariff Risk from 2015–2050 |
| presented by: George Alessandria, University of Rochester |
| |
| International Comparisons of Real Income by Matching Households Across Countries |
| presented by: Javier Cravino, University of Michigan |
| |
| The Causal Effects of Future Expected Depreciations |
| presented by: Juan Herreno, University of California, San Diego |
| |
|---|
Session: Empirical Banking
December 13, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV105 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Lucciano Villacorta, Central Bank of Chile |
| |
| Why Does the Yield Curve Predict GDP Growth? The Role of Banks |
| presented by: Min Wei, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve |
| |
| Liquidity Regulation: The last taxi at the station? |
| presented by: Humberto Martínez, Universidad de Chile |
| |
| (Unobserved) Heterogeneity in the bank lending channel: Accounting for bank-firm interactions and specialization |
| presented by: Lucciano Villacorta, Central Bank of Chile |
| |
|---|
Session: Sovereign Debt
December 13, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Ramon Marimon, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, BSE, EUI |
| |
| The Roots of Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises |
| presented by: Gaston Chaumont, University of Rochester |
| |
| Risk Aversion in Sovereign Debt and Default |
| presented by: Francisco Roldan, International Monetary Fund |
| |
| Fiscal and Currency Unions with Default and Exit |
| presented by: Ramon Marimon, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, BSE, EUI |
| |
|---|
Session: Spatial Inequality and Place Based Policies
December 13, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Sebastian Fleitas, KU Leuven |
| |
| College Tuition and Wage Inequality across US States |
| presented by: Sang Min Lee, University of South Carolina |
| |
| Replacing Labor with Capital: Evidence from Aggregate Mobility Shocks |
| presented by: Roberto Pinheiro, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland |
| |
| Difference-in-Differences in Equilibrium: Evidence from Place-Based Policies |
| presented by: Sebastian Fleitas, KU Leuven |
| |
|---|
Session: Housing
December 14, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Boaz Abramson, Columbia Business School |
| |
| Inframarginal Borrowers and the Mortgage Payment Channel of Monetary Policy |
| presented by: Daniel Ringo, Federal Reserve Board |
| |
| Mortgage Rates and Rents: Evidence from Local Mortgage Lock-In Effects |
| presented by: Marco Giacoletti, University of Southern California |
| |
| Monetary Policy and Rents |
| presented by: Boaz Abramson, Columbia Business School |
| |
|---|
Session: Macro Labor
December 14, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Victoria Gregory, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| |
| Efficiency in Job-Ladder Models |
| presented by: Masao Fukui, Boston University |
| |
| Time Averaging Meets Labor Supplies of Heckman, Lochner, and Taber |
| presented by: Victoria Gregory, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| |
|---|
Session: Shopping and Inflation
December 14, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Francisca Sara-Zaror, Federal Reserve Board |
| |
| Firm Financial Conditions and the Transmission of Monetary Policy |
| presented by: Daniel Ostry, Bank of England |
| |
| Business Cycles when Consumers Learn by Shopping |
| presented by: Ángelo Gutiérrez-Daza, Banco de México |
| |
| Online Shopping Access and Retail Pricing Behavior |
| presented by: Francisca Sara-Zaror, Federal Reserve Board |
| |
|---|
Session: Economic Dynamics and RCT
December 14, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Juan Pantano, University of Hong Kong and University of Arizona |
| |
| Parental Beliefs, Social Learning, and Intergenerational Mobility |
| presented by: Nisha Chikhale, University of Delaware |
| |
| Dynamic Moral Hazard in Nonlinear Health Insurance Contracts |
| presented by: Cecilia Diaz Campo, Olin |
| |
| Model-Aided Identification of Policy Effects using RCTs |
| presented by: Juan Pantano, University of Hong Kong and University of Arizona |
| |
|---|
Session: Finance 2
December 14, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV105 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Soyoung Lee, Bank of Canada |
| |
| Purchase Obligations and Hedging |
| presented by: Alvaro Boitier, Babson College |
| |
| Macroprudential Policy with Firm Heterogeneity |
| presented by: Emilio Zaratiegui, Columbia University |
| |
| Persistent Debt and Fluctuations in Uncertainty |
| presented by: Soyoung Lee, Bank of Canada |
| |
|---|
Session: Industrial Revolution and Economic Growth
December 14, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV101 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Nick Pretnar, University of California, Santa Barbara |
| |
| Late Industrialization, the Bourgeoisie, and the Closing Window of Democratic Opportunity |
| presented by: Luis Felipe Saenz, University of South Carolina |
| |
| Population Growth, Ideas, and the Speed of History |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Kevin Kuruc, University of Texas at Austin |
| |
| Coffee, Tea, and the Industrial Revolution |
| presented by: Nick Pretnar, University of California, Santa Barbara |
| |
|---|
Session: Climate Change and Factor Reallocation
December 14, 2024 10:00 to 11:30
Location: SV102 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Paula Bustos, Universitat Pompeu Fabra |
| |
| The (Mis)Allocation Channel of Climate Change: Evidence from Global Firm-level Microdata |
| presented by: Zebang Xu, Cornell University |
| |
| Climate Policies, Labor Markets, and Macroeconomic Outcomes in Emerging Economies |
| presented by: Victoria Nuguer, ITAM |
| |
| The Effects of Climate Change on Labor and Capital Reallocation |
| presented by: Paula Bustos, Universitat Pompeu Fabra |
| |
|---|
Session: Markups and Misallocation
December 14, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Ariel Burstein, UCLA |
| |
| Quantifying the Allocative Efficiency of Capital: The Role of Capital Utilization |
| presented by: Eugene Tan, University of Toronto |
| |
| Markups, Firm Scale, and Distorted Economic Growth |
| presented by: Jean-Félix Brouillette, HEC Montréal |
| |
| Input Price Dispersion Across Buyers and Misallocation |
| presented by: Ariel Burstein, UCLA |
| |
|---|
Session: Consumption Insurance
December 14, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Jose Mustre-del-Rio, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| |
| The Safe Non-hand-to-Mouth |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Ettore Savoia, SVERIGES RIKSBANK |
| |
| Insurance Inside and Outside the Firm |
| presented by: Martin Souchier, The Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania |
| |
| Should I Stay or Should I Go? |
| presented by: Jose Mustre-del-Rio, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City |
| |
|---|
Session: Government and Corporate Debt
December 14, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Jonathan Payne, Princeton University |
| |
| The Effects of Treasury Debt on Bank Lending and the Economy |
| presented by: Jason Choi, University of Toronto |
| |
| Admissible Surplus Dynamics and the Government Debt Puzzle |
| presented by: Elena Perazzi, EPFL |
| |
| US Corporate Bond Yields, Convenience Yields, and Inflation Risk: 1860-2022 |
| presented by: Jonathan Payne, Princeton University |
| |
|---|
Session: Agriculture, Commodities, and Structural Transformation
December 14, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV102 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Sebastian Sotelo, The University of Michigan, Ann Arbor |
| |
| The Origins of Structural Transformation |
| presented by: Mayara Felix, Yale University |
| |
| Embrapa and the Transformation of Brazilian Agriculture |
| presented by: Karthik Sastry, Princeton University |
| |
| Commodity-Led Industrialization? The Case of Brazil before WWI |
| presented by: Sebastian Sotelo, The University of Michigan, Ann Arbor |
| |
|---|
Session: Inflation Episodes
December 14, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Sewon Hur, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| |
| Levels vs Slopes: What Drove the High Inflation in the US in the '70s |
| presented by: Juan Pablo Nicolini, Minneapolis Fed |
| |
| Was the 2021-22 Inflation Surge Avoidable? |
| presented by: Fernando Martin, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| |
| The Postpandemic U.S. Immigration Surge: New Facts and Inflationary Implications |
| presented by: Sewon Hur, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas |
| |
|---|
Session: Firm Dynamics
December 14, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV105 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Anuraag Aekka, World Bank |
| |
| Innovation, Technology Standardization and the Value of the Firm |
| presented by: Riccardo Zago, Banque de France/College de France |
| |
| Capital Reallocation and Private Firm Dynamics |
| presented by: Paolo Martellini, NYU - Stern School of Business |
| |
| Endogenous Production Networks and Firm Dynamics |
| presented by: Anuraag Aekka, World Bank |
| |
|---|
Session: Labor Markets and Growth
December 14, 2024 11:50 to 13:20
Location: SV101 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Santiago Franco, Boston University |
| |
| Outsourcing, Labor Regulations and Profit-Sharing: Evidence from Mexico |
| presented by: Agustina Colonna, University of Zurich |
| |
| Rural-Urban Migration and Structural Change: A Reinterpretation |
| presented by: Tomás Budí-Ors, CEMFI |
| |
| (In)formal Growth: Wage Dynamics in Developing Economies |
| presented by: Santiago Franco, Boston University |
| |
|---|
Session: Multinational Production and Trade
December 14, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Fernando Leibovici, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| |
| International Trade Finance and Learning Dynamics |
| presented by: David Kohn, Central Bank of Chile and Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile |
| |
| Multinational Production and Trade Policy |
| presented by: Felix Tintelnot, Duke University |
| |
| Navigating the Waves of Global Shipping: Drivers and Aggregate Implications |
| presented by: Fernando Leibovici, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis |
| |
|---|
Session: Sovereign Debt and Dollarization
December 14, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Stelios Fourakis, Johns Hopkins University |
| |
| A Welfare Analysis of Dollarization |
| presented by: Juan Sebastian Lopez Almirante, Princeton University |
| |
| The Ultralong Sovereign Default Risk |
| presented by: Radek Paluszynski, University of Houston |
| |
| Sovereign Debt Auctions with Strategic Interactions |
| presented by: Stelios Fourakis, Johns Hopkins University |
| |
|---|
Session: Optimal Policy Design
December 14, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV102 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Hirofumi Takikawa, Goethe University Frankfurt |
| |
| Public Finance and the Balance Sheet of the Private Sector |
| presented by: Ernst-Ludwig von Thadden, Universität Mannheim |
| |
| Reputation and the Credibility of Inflation Plans |
| presented by: Rumen Kostadinov, McMaster University |
| |
| Optimal Income Taxation and Formalization of the Informal Economy |
| presented by: Hirofumi Takikawa, Goethe University Frankfurt |
| |
|---|
Session: Firms and Entrepreneurship
December 14, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Sebastian Dyrda, University of Toronto |
| |
| On the Nature of Entrepreneurship |
| presented by: Ellen McGrattan, University of Minnesota |
| |
| Skilled Immigration Frictions as a Barrier for Young Firms |
| presented by: Mishita Mehra, |
| |
| From Risk to Wealth: Entrepreneurial Portfolios and Their Economic Consequences |
| presented by: Sebastian Dyrda, University of Toronto |
| |
|---|
Session: Business Cycles, Capital flows, and Labor Market Dynamics
December 14, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Cesar Sosa-Padilla, University of Notre Dame |
| |
| Sovereign Default and Labor Market Dynamics |
| presented by: Hewei Shen, University of Oklahoma |
| |
| Concentrated Risk: Misallocation and Granular Business Cycles |
| presented by: Tomer Ifergane, Ben Gurion University of the Negev |
| |
| The Political Economy of Macroprudential Policies and Capital Flows |
| presented by: Cesar Sosa-Padilla, University of Notre Dame |
| |
|---|
Session: Macro Implications of Artificial Intelligence
December 14, 2024 15:40 to 17:10
Location: SV105 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Danial Lashkari, FRB NY |
| |
| Scenarios for the Transition to AGI |
| presented by: Donghyun Suh, Bank of Korea |
| |
| The macroeconomic implications of the Gen-AI economy |
| presented by: Pablo Guerron, Boston College |
| |
| A Quantitative Task-Based Theory of Automation: Application to AI Scaling Laws |
| presented by: Danial Lashkari, FRB NY |
| |
|---|
Session: Climate Policy
December 14, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV202 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Daniel Carroll, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland |
| |
| Optimal Climate Policy with Incomplete Markets |
| presented by: Marcelo Pedroni, University of Amsterdam |
| |
| How to Finance the Green Transition? The Political Economy of Green Investment Tax Credits |
| presented by: Michael Barczay, European University Institute and Study Center Gerzensee |
| |
| Unequal Climate Policy in an Unequal World |
| presented by: Daniel Carroll, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland |
| |
|---|
Session: Earnings Risk
December 14, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV102 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Philipp Gruebener, Washington University in St. Louis |
| |
| Business cycle asymmetry of earnings pass-through |
| presented by: Gualtiero Azzalini, Stockholm School of Economics |
| |
| The Job Ladder, Unemployment Risk, and Incomplete Markets |
| presented by: Piotr Denderski, University of Leicester |
| |
| Firm Dynamics and Earnings Risk |
| presented by: Philipp Gruebener, Washington University in St. Louis |
| |
|---|
Session: Global Credit Cycle
December 14, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV101 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Leonardo Elias, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| |
| Capital Flows to Emerging Markets: Disentangling Quantities from Prices |
| presented by: Alejandro Vicondoa, Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile |
| |
| Sovereign Default Risk, Monetary Policy and Global Financial Conditions |
| presented by: Leonardo Barreto, University of Minnesota |
| |
| The Global Credit Cycle |
| presented by: Leonardo Elias, Federal Reserve Bank of New York |
| |
|---|
Session: Consumption and Price Setting
December 14, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV203 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Mike Waugh, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis |
| |
| Price Setting During a Currency Changeover |
| presented by: David Argente, Yale University |
| |
| Household Expenditures and Retail Price Dynamics |
| presented by: Lukas Nord, University of Pennsylvania |
| |
| Pricing Inequality |
| presented by: Mike Waugh, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis |
| |
|---|
Session: Migration and Human Capital
December 14, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV104 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
Miguel Zerecero, University of California Irvine |
| |
| The IT Boom and Other Unintended Consequences of Chasing the American Dream |
| presented by: Nicolas Morales, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond |
| |
| Spatial Sorting of Workers and Immigration |
| presented by: Julian Neira, University of Exeter |
| |
| The Birthplace Premium |
| presented by: Miguel Zerecero, University of California Irvine |
| |
|---|
Session: Nonlinearities and Phillips Curves
December 14, 2024 17:30 to 19:00
Location: SV201 |
|---|
| |
|---|
| Session Chair:
José-Elías Gallegos, Banco de España |
| |
| Strike while the Iron is Hot: Optimal Monetary Policy with a Nonlinear Phillips Curve |
| [slides] |
| presented by: Peter Karadi, European Central Bank |
| |
| Upwardly Mobile: The Response of Young vs. Old Firms to Monetary Policy |
| presented by: Joshua Weiss, IIES, Stockholm University |
| |
| Inflation Persistence, Noisy Information, and the Phillips Curve |
| presented by: José-Elías Gallegos, Banco de España |