2013 North American Winter Meeting of the Econometric Society

Summary of All Sessions

Session
ID code
Date/TimeTypeJELTitlePapers
5January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed E52,E42,E44 Assessing Unconventional Monetary Policy4
9January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed D91 Beliefs Distortions and Welfare3
10January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed J64,E24 Search and Mechanisms4
11January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed G13,Q40 Emerging Issues in Commodity Markets4
12January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed F31,F41,E31 International Trade Pricing4
13January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C12 Robust Inference in Econometrics4
15January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed G30 Incentive Pay and Competition4
16January 5, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed Q43,Q47 Modeling and forecasting oil prices4
17January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed J64 New Evidence from Online Job Search4
21January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed D72 Media and Political Economics4
22January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed E25,E21 Nature of Labor Income Risk4
23January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C51,C72,L13 New Developments in Empirical Modeling of Games4
24January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited E62,E64,H63 Macroeconomic Reforms4
25January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited J64,E24 Labor Markets and the Aggregate Economy4
26January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited D82,D84 Bounded Rationality4
27January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited E32,G32,G33 Credit and Bankruptcy 4
29January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C58,G13 Econometrics of derivatives markets4
30January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed E44,G12 Macroeconomics and asset prices4
31January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited D70 Deception and Persuasion4
32January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited D86 Contract Theory4
33January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited D44 Mechanism Design4
34January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited D40 Product Markets3
35January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited D80 Information Economics4
36January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited D44 Auction Theory3
37January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited F21,F41 Offshoring and Technology Transfer4
38January 5, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed F10,F15 International Trade and Heterogeneous Firms4
40January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed J30,J60,F16,F14 Labor Markets and International Trade4
41January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited D70 Political Economy4
42January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed I21,I24 Advances in the Economics of Education4
43January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed D13;D2;O12 Household, Microenterprise and Agricultural Finance in Developing Countries4
46January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed D1;I12;O12 Pricing of Health Goods in Developing Countries4
47January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed J4 European Labor Markets4
48January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed   Social Choice and Welfare Analysis3
50January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C70,C73,L13 Dynamic Games3
51January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed I11,I12 Health4
52January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed L15,D21,D23,D43 Bounded Rationality, Switching Costs and Competitive Strategies3
53January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed D72,O12 Social Networks, Peer Effects and Politics4
54January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C20,C30 Weakly Identified Models4
55January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C26,C36 Identification in Models with Endogeneity4
56January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C38 Factor Models and Structural VARs4
57January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C12 Testing4
58January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C51 Matching and Network Models4
59January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C50 Structural Models4
60January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C22,C32 Nonstationary Time Series4
61January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
contributed C58 Forecasting/Financial Econometrics4
63January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited F30,F31 International Finance and Currency Risk4
64January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited L26,O30 Real Effects of Entrepreneurship and Innovation4
65January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited D81,C91 Measuring Risk and Time Preferences4
66January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited C22 JBES Invited Paper1
67January 4, 2013
0:00-0:00
invited D02 Networks, Mechanisms, and Big Data: Economics Meets Decision Science2
 

50 sessions, 189 papers, and 0 presentations with no associated papers


 

2013 North American Winter Meeting of the Econometric Society

Complete List of All Sessions

  

  Session ID 5: Assessing Unconventional Monetary Policy

Session Chair: Athanasios Orphanides, Central Bank of Cyprus
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: E52,E42,E44
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. The Macroeconomic Effects of Large-Scale Asset Purchase Programs
By Han Chen; University of Pennsylvania
Vasco Curdia; Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Andrea Ferrero; Federal Reserve Bank of New York
   Presented by: Andrea Ferrero, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
   Discussant:   Frank Smets, European Central Bank
 

2. The Effect of TARP on Bank Risk-Taking
By Lamont Black; Federal Reserve Board of Governors
   Presented by: Lamont Black, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
   Discussant:   Roberto Motto, European Central Bank
 

3. BANK BALANCE SHEETS IN THE FINANCIAL CRISIS
By Domenico Giannone; Université Libre de Bruxelles
Michele Lenza; European Central Bank
Huw Pill; Goldman Sachs
Lucrezia Reichlin; London Business School
   Presented by: Michele Lenza, European Central Bank
   Discussant:   Hakan Kara, Central Bank of Turkey
 

4. The Financial Crisis, Bank Lending, and the Effectiveness of Lending Facilities: The experiences of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank
By Selva Demiralp; Koc University
Jens Eisenschmidt; European Central Bank
   Presented by: Jens Eisenschmidt, European Central Bank
                         Selva Demiralp, Koc University
                         Seth Carpenter, Federal Reserve Board
   Discussant:   Mike Joyce, Bank of England

  Session ID 9: Beliefs Distortions and Welfare

Session Chair: Markus Brunnermeier, Princeton University
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: D91
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Salience and Consumer Choice
By Pedro Bordalo
Nicola Gennaioli; CREI-UPF, Barcelona
ANDREI SHLEIFER; HARVARD UNIVERSITY
   Presented by: ANDREI SHLEIFER, HARVARD UNIVERSITY
   Discussant:   Wei Xiong Xiong, Department of Economics and Bendheim Cen
 

2. Groupthink: Collective Delusions in Organizations and Markets
By Roland Benabou; Princeton University
   Presented by: Roland Benabou, Princeton University
   Discussant:   Alp Simsek, Harvard University
 

3. A Welfare Criterion for Models with Distorted Beliefs
By Markus Brunnermeier; Princeton University
Alp Simsek; Harvard University
Wei Xiong; Princeton University
   Presented by: Wei Xiong Xiong, Department of Economics and Bendheim Cen
   Discussant:   ANDREI SHLEIFER, HARVARD UNIVERSITY

  Session ID 10: Search and Mechanisms

Session Chair: Benoit Julien, Australian School of Business, UNSW
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: J64,E24
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Efficient Cheap Talk in Directed Search: On the Non-essentiality of Commitment in Market Games
By Kyungmin Kim; University of Iowa
Philipp Kircher; LSE
   Presented by: Philipp Kircher, LSE
   Discussant:   Michael Peters, University of British Columbia
 

2. Buiyers, Seller and Middlemen: Variations on Search-Theoretic Themes
By Yuet-Yee Linda Wong; Binghamton University
Randall Wright; U Wisconsin
   Presented by: Randall Wright, U Wisconsin
   Discussant:   Chengsi Wang, University of New South Wales
 

3. Matching by Luck or Search? Empirical Evidence from Executive Labor Market
By Michael Peters; University of British Columbia
Pai XU; University of Hong Kong
   Presented by: Michael Peters, University of British Columbia
   Discussant:   Gabriele Camera, Purdue University
 

4. Directed Search and Moral Hazard
By Benoit Julien; Australian School of Business, UNSW
Guillaume Roger; The University of New South wales
   Presented by: Benoit Julien, Australian School of Business, UNSW
                         Guillaume Roger, The University of New South wales
   Discussant:   Veronica Guerrieri, University of Chicago

  Session ID 11: Emerging Issues in Commodity Markets

Session Chair: Wei Xiong Xiong, Department of Economics and Bendheim Cen
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: G13,Q40
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Investor Flows and the 2008 Boom/Bust in Oil Prices
By Kenneth Singleton; Stanford University
   Presented by: Kenneth Singleton, Stanford University
   Discussant:   Dacheng Xiu, University of Chicago
 

2. Risk Premia in Crude Oil Futures Prices
By James Hamilton; University of California, San Diego
Jing Cynthia Wu; The University of Chicago
   Presented by: Jing Cynthia Wu, The University of Chicago
   Discussant:   Dacheng Xiu, University of Chicago
 

3. The Role of Inventories and Speculative Trading in the Global Market for Crude Oil
By Daniel Murphy; University of Michigan
   Presented by: Daniel Murphy, University of Michigan
   Discussant:   Dacheng Xiu, University of Chicago
 

4. Convective Risk Flows in Commodity Futures Markets
By Ing-Haw Cheng; University of Michigan
Andrei Kirilenko; Commodity Futures Trading Commission
Wei Xiong; Princeton University
   Presented by: Ing-Haw Cheng, University of Michigan
   Discussant:   Dacheng Xiu, University of Chicago

  Session ID 12: International Trade Pricing

Session Chair: Robert J. Vigfusson, Federal Reserve Board
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: F31,F41,E31
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Importers, exporters, and exchange rate disconnect
By Mary Amiti; Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Oleg Itskhoki; Princeton University
Joep Konings; Katholieke Universiteit Leuven
   Presented by: Mary Amiti, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
   Discussant:   Robert J. Vigfusson, Federal Reserve Board
 

2. Exchange Rate Pass Through into Import and Domestic Prices
By Raphael Auer; Swiss National Bank
Raphael Schoenle; Brandeis University
   Presented by: Raphael Schoenle, Brandeis University
   Discussant:   Linda Goldberg, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
 

3. The Hitchhiker's Guide to Missing Import Price Changes and Pass-Through
By Etienne Gagnon; Federal Reserve Board
Benjamin Mandel; Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Robert J. Vigfusson; Federal Reserve Board
   Presented by: Etienne Gagnon, Federal Reserve Board
   Discussant:   Mario Crucini, Vanderbilt University
 

4. The Sensitivity of Producer Prices to Exchange Rates: Insights from Micro Data
By Shutao Cao; Bank of Canada
Wei Dong; Bank of Canada
Ben Tomlin; Bank of Canada
   Presented by: Shutao Cao, Bank of Canada
   Discussant:   Jay Shambaugh, George Washington
 

Discussants:
     1 Mario Crucini, Vanderbilt University
     2 Linda Goldberg, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
     3 Robert J. Vigfusson, Federal Reserve Board

  Session ID 13: Robust Inference in Econometrics

Session Chair: Matias Cattaneo, University of Michigan
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C12
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference with Sporadic Identification Failure
By Donald Andrews; Yale University
Xu Cheng; University of Pennsylvania
   Presented by: Donald Andrews, Yale University
 

2. Inference with Persistent Regressors
By Marcelo Moreira; FGV
Humberto Moreira; FGV
   Presented by: Marcelo Moreira, FGV
 

3. On the Asymptotic Size of Subvector Tests in the Linear Instrumental Variables Model
By Patrik Guggenberger; UCSD
   Presented by: Patrik Guggenberger, UCSD
 

4. Alternative Asymptotics and the Partially Linear Model with Many Regressors
By Matias Cattaneo; University of Michigan
Michael Jansson; University of California, Berkeley
Whitney Newey; MIT
   Presented by: Matias Cattaneo, University of Michigan

  Session ID 15: Incentive Pay and Competition

Session Chair: Jean Tirole, TSE
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: G30
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Rising Through the Ranks: The Evolution of the Market for Corporate Executives, 1936-2003
By Carola Frydman; Boston University
   Presented by: Carola Frydman, Boston University
 

2. Competitive Pay and Work Ethics
By Roland Benabou; Princeton University
Jean Tirole; TSE
   Presented by: Roland Benabou, Princeton University
 

3. THE (IR)RESISTIBLE RISE OF AGENCY RENTS
By Bruno Biais; Toulouse School of Economics (IDEI, CRM, CNRS)
augustin landier; Toulouse School of Economics
   Presented by: augustin landier, Toulouse School of Economics
 

4. Seeking Alpha: Excess Risk Taking and Competition for Managerial Talent
By Viral Acharya; New York University
Marco Pagano; Università di Napoli Federico II
Paolo Volpin; London Business School
   Presented by: Marco Pagano, Università di Napoli Federico II

  Session ID 16: Modeling and forecasting oil prices

Session Chair: Hilde Bjornland, Norwegian Business School
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: Q43,Q47
Date: January 5, 2013
 

1. Real-Time Analysis of Oil Price Risks Using Forecast Scenarios
By Christiane Baumeister; Bank of Canada
Lutz Kilian; University of Michigan
   Presented by: Christiane Baumeister, Bank of Canada
   Discussant:   Knut Are Aastveit, Norges Bank
 

2. Forecasting the Price of Oil
By Ron Alquist; Bank of Canada
Lutz Kilian; University of Michigan
Robert J. Vigfusson; Federal Reserve Board
   Presented by: Robert J. Vigfusson, Federal Reserve Board
   Discussant:   Marcelle Chauvet, University of California
 

3. What drives oil prices? Emerging Asia versus developed economies
By Hilde Bjornland; Norwegian Business School
Knut Are Aastveit; Norges Bank
Leif Thorsrud; BI Norwegian Business School
   Presented by: Hilde Bjornland, Norwegian Business School
   Discussant:   James Hamilton, University of California, San Diego
 

4. The Effect of Oil Price Shocks on the U.S. Stock Market: Do Sign and Size Matter?
By Zeina Alsalman; Wayne State University
Ana Maria Herrera; Wayne State University
   Presented by: Zeina Alsalman, Wayne State University
   Discussant:   Lutz Kilian, University of Michigan

  Session ID 17: New Evidence from Online Job Search

Session Chair: Marianna Kudlyak, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: J64
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Sorting by Skill over the Course of Job Search
JEL codes: J31, J24, E24
By Marianna Kudlyak; Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
Damba Lkhagvasuren; Concordia University
Roman Sysuyev; NECA
   Presented by: Marianna Kudlyak, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond
   Discussant:   Ryan Michaels, University of Rochester
 

2. Gender Discrimination in Job Ads: Theory and Evidence
By Peter Kuhn; University of California, Santa Barbara
Kailing Shen; Xiamen University
   Presented by: Peter Kuhn, University of California, Santa Barbara
   Discussant:   Lisa Kahn, Yale University
 

3. Mismatch Unemployment
By Aysegul Sahin; Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Joseph Song; Columbia University
Giorgio Topa; Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Gianluca Violante; NYU
   Presented by: Giorgio Topa, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
   Discussant:   Shigeru Fujita, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
 

4. What Drives Job Search? Evidence from Google Search Data
By Scott Baker; Stanford
Andrey Fradkin; Stanford University
   Presented by: Scott Baker, Stanford
   Discussant:   camille landais, Stanford University
 

Discussants:
     1 Ryan Michaels, University of Rochester
     2 Lisa Kahn, Yale University
     3 Shigeru Fujita, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
     4 camille landais, Stanford University

  Session ID 21: Media and Political Economics

Session Chairs:
1. Hulya Eraslan, Johns Hopkins University
2. Przemyslaw Jeziorski, Johns Hopkins University
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: D72
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. The Effect of Radio Market Concentration on Local Elections
By Hulya Eraslan; Johns Hopkins University
Przemyslaw Jeziorski; Johns Hopkins University
Gizem Kosar; Johns Hopkins University
   Presented by: Przemyslaw Jeziorski, Johns Hopkins University
   Discussant:   Cesar Martinelli, ITAM-CIE
 

2. Do Newspapers Serve the State? Incumbent Party Influence on the U.S. Press, 1869-1928
By Matthew Gentzkow; University of Chicago
Nathan Petek; Chicago Booth
Jesse Shapiro; University of Chicago GSB
   Presented by: Matthew Gentzkow, University of Chicago
   Discussant:   Przemyslaw Jeziorski, Johns Hopkins University
 

3. Media vs politicians: Who buys whom?
By Alejandro Castañeda; El Colegio de México
Cesar Martinelli; ITAM-CIE
   Presented by: Cesar Martinelli, ITAM-CIE
   Discussant:   David Stromberg, IIES
 

4. The Determinants of Media Bias in China
By Bei Qin; IIES, Stockholm University
David Stromberg; IIES
Yanhui Wu; Department of Finance and Business Econo
   Presented by: David Stromberg, IIES
   Discussant:   Matthew Gentzkow, University of Chicago

  Session ID 22: Nature of Labor Income Risk

Session Chair: Fatih Karahan, University of Pennsylvania
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: E25,E21
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. THE NATURE OF COUNTERCYCLICAL INCOME RISK
By Fatih Guvenen; University of Minnesota
Serdar Ozkan; Federal Reserve Board
Jae Song; Social Security Administration
   Presented by: Serdar Ozkan, Federal Reserve Board
 

2. Reconciling Estimates of Income Processes in Growth Rates and Levels
By Moira Daly; Copenhagen Business School
Dmytro Hryshko; University of Alberta
Iourii Manovskii; University of Pennsylvania
   Presented by: Dmytro Hryshko, University of Alberta
 

3. Rising Inequality: Transitory or Permanent? New Evidence from a Panel of U.S. Tax Returns 1987-2006
By Jason DeBacker; U.S. Department of the Treasury
Bradley Heim; Indiana University
Vasia Panousi; Federal Reserve Board
Ivan Vidangos; Federal Reserve Board
   Presented by: Ivan Vidangos, Federal Reserve Board
 

4. On the Persistence of Income Shocks over the Life Cycle: Evidence, Theory, and Implications
By Fatih Karahan; University of Pennsylvania
Serdar Ozkan; Federal Reserve Board
   Presented by: Fatih Karahan, University of Pennsylvania

  Session ID 23: New Developments in Empirical Modeling of Games

Session Chairs:
1. Whitney Newey, MIT
2. Elie Tamer, Northwestern
3. Steven Berry, Yale University
4. Stefan Hoderlein, Boston College
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C51,C72,L13
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Identification of Potential Games and Demand Models for Bundles
By Jeremy Fox; University of Michigan
Natalia Lazzati; University of Michigan
   Presented by: Jeremy Fox, University of Michigan
   Discussant:   Elie Tamer, Northwestern
 

2. Robust Inference in Ordered Response Games with Incomplete Information: Are Firms Strategic Substitutes?
By Amit Gandhi; University of Wisconsin
Andres Aradillas-Lopez; University of Wisconsin Madison
   Presented by: Amit Gandhi, University of Wisconsin
 

 Discussants:
     1 Peter Reiss, Stanford University
     2 Natalia Lazzati, University of Michigan
 

3. Random Coefficients in Static Games of Complete Information
By fabian dunker; University of Goettingen
Stefan Hoderlein; Boston College
Hiroaki Kaido; Boston University
   Presented by: Stefan Hoderlein, Boston College
 

 Discussants:
     1 Whitney Newey, MIT
     2 Andres Aradillas-Lopez, University of Wisconsin Madison
 

4. Identification and Estimation of Games with Incomplete Information Using Excluded Regressors
By Arthur Lewbel; Boston College
Xun Tang; University of Pennsylvania
   Presented by: Arthur Lewbel, Boston College
 

 Discussants:
     1 Steven Berry, Yale University
     2 Jeremy Fox, University of Michigan

  Session ID 24: Macroeconomic Reforms

Session Chair: Gary Hansen, UCLA
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: E62,E64,H63
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Optimal Income Taxation: Mirrlees Meets Ramsey
By Jonathan Heathcote; Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Hitoshi Tsujiyama; University of Minnesota
   Presented by: Jonathan Heathcote, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
 

2. Debt and the U.S. Economy
By Kaiji Chen; Emory University
Ayse Imrohoroglu; usc
   Presented by: Kaiji Chen, Emory University
 

3. Fiscal Reform and Government Debt in Japan: A Neoclassical Perspective
By Gary Hansen; UCLA
Selahattin Imrohoroglu; University of Southern California
   Presented by: Selahattin Imrohoroglu, University of Southern California
 

4. Health Insurance Reform: The impact of a Medicare Buy-in
By Gary Hansen; UCLA
Minchung Hsu; National Grad Institute Policy Studies
Junsang Lee; Korea Development Institute
   Presented by: Gary Hansen, UCLA

  Session ID 25: Labor Markets and the Aggregate Economy

Session Chair: Iourii Manovskii, University of Pennsylvania
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: J64,E24
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Unions in a Frictional Labor Market
By Per Krusell; Stockholm University
Leena Rudanko; Boston University
   Presented by: Leena Rudanko, Boston University
 

2. Taxation and Labor Supply of Married Women: A Macroeconomic Cross-Country Analysis
By Alexander Bick; Goethe University
Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln; Goethe University Frankfurt /Main
   Presented by: Alexander Bick, Goethe University
 

3. The trend is the cycle: job polarization and jobless recoveries
By Nir Jaimovich; Duke
Henry Siu; University of British Columbia
   Presented by: Henry Siu, University of British Columbia
 

4. Identifying Sorting
By Marcus Hagedorn; University of Cologne
Tzuo Hann Law; University of Pennsylvania
Iourii Manovskii; University of Pennsylvania
   Presented by: Iourii Manovskii, University of Pennsylvania

  Session ID 26: Bounded Rationality

Session Chair: Giacomo Rondina, University of California, San Diego
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: D82,D84
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Inattentive Valuation and Reference-Dependent Choice
By Michael Woodford; Columbia University
   Presented by: Michael Woodford, Columbia University
 

2. DISCRETE ACTIONS IN INFORMATION-CONSTRAINED TRACKING PROBLEMS
By Filip Matejka; CERGE-EI
Christopher Sims; Princeton University
   Presented by: Filip Matejka, CERGE-EI
 

3. Sparse Boundedly Rational Dynamic Programming and Aggregate Fluctuations
By Xavier Gabaix; New York University
   Presented by: Xavier Gabaix, New York University
 

4. Informational Fragility of Dynamic Rational Expectations Equilibria
By Giacomo Rondina; University of California, San Diego
Todd Walker; Indiana University
   Presented by: Giacomo Rondina, University of California, San Diego

  Session ID 27: Credit and Bankruptcy

Session Chair: TengTeng Xu, Bank of Canada
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: E32,G32,G33
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Macroeconomic Effects of Bankruptcy and Foreclosure Policies
By Kurt Mitman; University of Pennsylvania
   Presented by: Kurt Mitman, University of Pennsylvania
 

2. Dynamic Poaching In Credit Card Lending
JEL codes: D1,D8,G2
By Lukasz Drozd; University of Pennsilvania
Ricardo Serrano-Padial; University of Wisconsin - Madison
   Presented by: Ricardo Serrano-Padial, University of Wisconsin - Madison
 

3. Default Risk and Aggregate Fluctuations in an Economy with Production Heterogeneity
By Aubhik Khan; Ohio State University
Tatsuro Senga; The Ohio State University
Julia Thomas; The Ohio State University
   Presented by: Tatsuro Senga, The Ohio State University
 

4. Business Cycle Effects of Credit and Technology Shocks in a DSGE Model with Firm Defaults
By TengTeng Xu; Bank of Canada
Hashem Pesaran; University of Cambridge and USC
   Presented by: TengTeng Xu, Bank of Canada

  Session ID 29: Econometrics of derivatives markets

Session Chair: Eric Renault, Brown University
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C58,G13
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Affine Option Pricing Model in Discrete Time
By Eric Renault; Brown University
   Presented by: Eric Renault, Brown University
   Discussant:   Kris Jacobs, University of Houston
 

2. The Term Structure of Variance Swaps, Risk Premia and the Expectation Hypothesis
By Yacine Ait-Sahalia; Princeton University
Mustafa Karaman; University of Zurich
Loriano Mancini; Swiss Finance Institute at EPFL
   Presented by: Yacine Ait-Sahalia, Princeton University
   Discussant:   Ian Martin, Stanford University
 

3. Parametric Inference and Dynamic State Recovery from Option Panels
By Viktor Todorov; Northwestern University
   Presented by: Viktor Todorov, Northwestern University
   Discussant:   David Bates, University of Iowa
 

4. Testing for Jumps: A Delta-Hedging Perspective
By Jia Li; Duke University
   Presented by: Jia Li, Duke University
   Discussant:   Torben Andersen, Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University
 

Discussant:   Kris Jacobs, University of Houston

  Session ID 30: Macroeconomics and asset prices

Session Chair: Lars Hansen, University of Chicago
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: E44,G12
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Measuring and Pricing Sensitivity to Tail Risk
By Jaroslav Borovicka; Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
Lars Hansen; University of Chicago
Jose Scheinkman; PRINCETON UNIVERSITY
   Presented by: Jaroslav Borovicka, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
 

2. Innovation, Growth and Asset Prices
By Howard Kung; Duke University
Lukas Schmid; Duke University
   Presented by: Lukas Schmid, Duke University
 

3. Wage Rigidity: A Solution to Several Asset Pricing Puzzles
By Xiaoji Lin; The Ohio State University
   Presented by: Xiaoji Lin, The Ohio State University
 

4. Inflation Risk in Corporate Bonds
By Johnny Kang; Harvard Business School
Carolin Pflueger; Harvard Business School
   Presented by: Carolin Pflueger, Harvard Business School

  Session ID 31: Deception and Persuasion

Session Chair: paul heidhues, ESMT
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: D70
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. What Do You Want to Know? Communication with Endogenous Information Acquisition
JEL codes: D82, D83
By Di Pei; Toulouse School of Economics
   Presented by: Di Pei, Toulouse School of Economics
   Discussant:   paul heidhues, ESMT
 

2. Communication with Detectable Deceit
By Wioletta Dziuda; Kellogg School of Management
   Presented by: Wioletta Dziuda, Kellogg School of Management
   Discussant:   Fei Li, University of Pennsylvania
 

3. The Market for Deceptive Products
By paul heidhues; ESMT
Botond Koszegi; University of California
Takeshi Murooka; University of California, Berkeley
   Presented by: paul heidhues, ESMT
   Discussant:   Wioletta Dziuda, Kellogg School of Management
 

4. When to persuade a decision maker
By Fei Li; University of Pennsylvania
   Presented by: Fei Li, University of Pennsylvania
   Discussant:   Di Pei, Toulouse School of Economics

  Session ID 32: Contract Theory

Session Chair: Yuliy Sannikov, Princeton University
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: D86
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Optimal Long-term Contracting with Learning
By Zhiguo He; University of Chicago, Booth School of B
Bin Wei; Federal Reserve Board
Jianfeng Yu; University of Minnesota
   Presented by: Jianfeng Yu, University of Minnesota
   Discussant:   Yuliy Sannikov, Princeton University
 

2. Flexible Renegotation and Persistent Private Information
By Bruno Strulovici; Northwestern University
   Presented by: Bruno Strulovici, Northwestern University
   Discussant:   Jianfeng Yu, University of Minnesota
 

3. Agency Models with Frequent Actions: A Quadratic Approximation Method
By Tomasz Sadzik; New York University
Ennio Stacchetti; New York University
   Presented by: Ennio Stacchetti, New York University
   Discussant:   Bruno Strulovici, Northwestern University
 

4. Moral Hazard and Long-Run Incentives
By Yuliy Sannikov; Princeton University
   Presented by: Yuliy Sannikov, Princeton University
   Discussant:   Ennio Stacchetti, New York University

  Session ID 33: Mechanism Design

Session Chair: Maciej Kotowski, Harvard University
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: D44
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Information Aggregation in Double Auctions with Interdependent Values
By Eiichiro Kazumori; The State University of New York
   Presented by: Eiichiro Kazumori, State University of New York
   Discussant:   Shiran Rachmilevitch, University of Haifa
 

2. Repeated Implementation with Finite Mechanisms and Complexity
By Jihong Lee; Seoul National University
Hamid Sabourian; University of Cambridge
   Presented by: Jihong Lee, Seoul National University
   Discussant:   Hanzhe Zhang, University of Chicago
 

3. On Asymmetric Reserve Prices
By Maciej Kotowski; Harvard University
   Presented by: Maciej Kotowski, Harvard University
   Discussant:   Charles Zheng, University of Western Ontario
 

4. Matching with Contracts in Large Economies
By John Hatfield; Stanford University
Eduardo Azevedo; Harvard University
   Presented by: John Hatfield, Stanford University
   Discussant:   Jihong Lee, Seoul National University

  Session ID 34: Product Markets

Session Chair: Luis Cabral, New York University
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: D40
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Durable Goods Monopoly with Stochastic Costs
By Juan Ortner; Princeton University
   Presented by: Juan Ortner, Princeton University
   Discussant:   Huseyin Yildirim, Duke University
 

2. Payoff Uncertainty, Bargaining Power, and the Strategic Sequencing of Bilateral Negotiations
By Huseyin Yildirim; Duke University
   Presented by: Huseyin Yildirim, Duke University
   Discussant:   Juan Ortner, Princeton University
 

3. A Reputational Theory of Firm Dynamics
By Simon Board; UCLA
Moritz Meyer-ter-Vehn; UCLA
   Presented by: Simon Board, UCLA
   Discussant:   Luis Cabral, New York University

  Session ID 35: Information Economics

Session Chair: Edward Green, Penn State U.
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: D80
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Marriage as a Rat Race: Noisy Pre-Marital Investments with Assortative Matching
By V Bhaskar; University College London
Ed Hopkins; University of Edinburgh
   Presented by: V Bhaskar, University College London
   Discussant:   Rodrigo Novinski, Ibmec Business School
 

2. Aggregation of Information and Beliefs: Asset Pricing Lessons from Prediction Markets
By Marco Ottaviani; Bocconi University
Peter Sorensen; University of Copenhagen
   Presented by: Peter Sorensen, University of Copenhagen
   Discussant:   V Bhaskar, University College London
 

3. Optimal Risk Sharing with Optimistic and Pessimistic Decision Makers
By Aloisio Araujo; IMPA and FGV
JEAN MARC BONNISSEAU; Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne
Alain Chateauneuf; Universite Paris 1
Rodrigo Novinski; Ibmec Business School
   Presented by: Rodrigo Novinski, Ibmec Business School
   Discussant:   Edward Green, Penn State U.
 

4. Events concerning knowledge
By Edward Green; Penn State U.
   Presented by: Edward Green, Penn State U.
   Discussant:   Peter Sorensen, University of Copenhagen

  Session ID 36: Auction Theory

Session Chair: John Hatfield, Stanford University
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: D44
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Bribing in fi rst-price auctions
By Shiran Rachmilevitch; University of Haifa
   Presented by: Shiran Rachmilevitch, University of Haifa
   Discussant:   Maciej Kotowski, Harvard University
 

2. Existence of Monotone Pure Strategy Equilibrium in First-Price Auctions with Resale
By Charles Zheng; University of Western Ontario
   Presented by: Charles Zheng, University of Western Ontario
   Discussant:   Jihong Lee, Seoul National University
 

3. Optimal Auction Design In the Presence of Posted Price Competition
JEL codes: D44, D43
By Hanzhe Zhang; University of Chicago
   Presented by: Hanzhe Zhang, University of Chicago
   Discussant:   Eiichiro Kazumori, State University of New York

  Session ID 37: Offshoring and Technology Transfer

Session Chair: Philippe Bacchetta, University of Lausanne
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: F21,F41
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Offshoring and Directed Technical Change
By Daron Acemoglu; Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Gino Gancia; CREI and UPF
Fabrizio Zilibotti; University of Zurich
   Presented by: Gino Gancia, CREI and UPF
 

2. Offshore Production and Business Cycle Dynamics with Heterogeneous Firms
By Andrei Zlate; Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
   Presented by: Andrei Zlate, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
 

3. Technology Capital Transfer
By Thomas Holmes; University of Minnesota
Ellen McGrattan; Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
Edward Prescott; Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
   Presented by: Ellen McGrattan, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis
 

4. Capital Controls with International Reserve Accumulation: Can this Be Optimal?
By Philippe Bacchetta; University of Lausanne
Kenza Benhima; University of Lausanne (HEC)
Yannick Kalantzis; Banque de France
   Presented by: Philippe Bacchetta, University of Lausanne

  Session ID 38: International Trade and Heterogeneous Firms

Session Chair: Andres Rodriguez-Clare, UC Berkeley
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: F10,F15
Date: January 5, 2013
 

1. Different Trade Models, Different Trade Elasticities?
By Ina Simonovska; University of California, Davis
Michael Waugh; New York University
   Presented by: Ina Simonovska, University of California, Davis
   Discussant:   Andres Rodriguez-Clare, UC Berkeley
 

2. Imported Intermediate Goods and Product Innovation: Evidence from India
By Murat Seker; World Bank
   Presented by: Murat Seker, World Bank
   Discussant:   Miklos Koren, Central European University
 

3. Fixed Costs per Shipment
By Andreas Kropf; Northwestern University
Philip Sauré; Swiss National Bank
   Presented by: Philip Sauré, Swiss National Bank
   Discussant:   Andreas Moxnes, Dartmouth College
 

4. Structural Adjustments in Production and International Trade: Theory and Evidence from China
By Vivian Yue; Federal Reserve Board of Governors
   Presented by: Vivian Yue, Federal Reserve Board of Governors
   Discussant:   Dan Lu, Princeton University/U Rochester

  Session ID 40: Labor Markets and International Trade

Session Chair: Chinhui Juhn, University of Houston
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: J30,J60,F16,F14
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. When the Floodgates Open: Northern Firms' Response to Removal of Trade Quotas on Chinese Goods
JEL codes: F14; L25; L60
By Hale Utar; University of Colorado, Boulder
   Presented by: Hale Utar, University of Colorado, Boulder
   Discussant:   David Hummels, Purdue University
 

2. Trade Adjustment: Worker-Level Evidence
By David Autor; Massachusetts Institute of Technology
David Dorn; CEMFI
Gordon Hanson; University of California, San Diego
Jae Song; Social Security Administration
   Presented by: David Dorn, CEMFI
   Discussant:   Brian Kovak, Carnegie Mellon University
 

3. Endogenous Skill Acquisition and Export Manufacturing in Mexico
By David Atkin; Yale University
   Presented by: David Atkin, Yale University
   Discussant:   Chinhui Juhn, University of Houston
 

4. Comparative advantage, multi-product firms and trade liberalisation : An empirical test
By Catherine Fuss; National Bank of Belgium
Linke Zhu; Shanghai University of Finance and Economics
   Presented by: Linke Zhu, Shanghai University of Finance and Econo
   Discussant:   Guy Michaels, LSE

  Session ID 41: Political Economy

Session Chair: Marcus Berliant, Washington University
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: D70
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Hierarchical Accountability in Government: Theory and Evidence
By Razvan Vlaicu; University of Maryland
Alexander Whalley; University of California, Merced & NBER
   Presented by: Razvan Vlaicu, University of Maryland
   Discussant:   Gabriele Gratton, University of New South Wales
 

2. Pandering, Faith, and Electoral Competition
By Gabriele Gratton; School of Economics
   Presented by: Gabriele Gratton, University of New South Wales
   Discussant:   Levent Celik, CERGE-EI
 

3. When is it Optimal to Delegate: The Theory of Fast-track Authority
By Levent Celik; CERGE-EI
Bilgehan Karabay; University of Auckland
John McLaren; University of Virginia/University of Cambridge
   Presented by: Levent Celik, CERGE-EI
   Discussant:   Marcus Berliant, Washington University
 

4. Local Politics and Economic Geography
By Marcus Berliant; Washington University
Takatoshi Tabuchi; University of Tokyo
   Presented by: Marcus Berliant, Washington University
   Discussant:   Razvan Vlaicu, University of Maryland

  Session ID 42: Advances in the Economics of Education

Session Chair: Julian Betts, UCSD
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: I21,I24
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Anti-Lemons: Competion and Reputation
By W. Bentley MacLeod; Columbia University
Miguel Urquiola; Columbia University
   Presented by: W. Bentley MacLeod, Columbia University
   Discussant:   Daniel Hamermesh, University of Texas at Austin
 

2. Teacher Quality Policy When Supply Matters
By Jesse Rothstein; University of California, Berkeley
   Presented by: Jesse Rothstein, University of California, Berkeley
   Discussant:   Julian Betts, UCSD
 

3. Entry, Sorting and Incentives in the Teacher Market
By Maria Ferreyra; Carnegie Mellon University
Pierre Liang; Carnegie Mellon University
   Presented by: Maria Ferreyra, Carnegie Mellon University
   Discussant:   Karthik Muralidharan, UCSD
 

4. It's Not What You Know, but Who You Know: the Role of Connections in Academic Promotions
By Manuel Bagues; Universidad Carlos III
   Presented by: Manuel Bagues, Universidad Carlos III
   Discussant:   Jesse Rothstein, University of California, Berkeley

  Session ID 43: Household, Microenterprise and Agricultural Finance in Developing Countries

Session Chair: Manuel Hernandez, IFPRI
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: D13;D2;O12
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Group lending with heterogeneous consumer types
By Li Gan; Texas A&M University
Manuel Hernandez; IFPRI
Yanyan Liu; International Food Policy Research Institute
   Presented by: Manuel Hernandez, IFPRI
   Discussant:   Arun Chandrasekhar, MIT
 

2. Diffusion of Microfinance
By Abhijit Banerjee; MIT
Arun Chandrasekhar; MIT
Esther Duflo; Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Matthew Jackson; Stanford University
   Presented by: Matthew Jackson, Stanford University
   Discussant:   Christopher Udry, Yale University
 

3. Interplay among credit, insurance and savings for farmers in developing countries
By Francesca de Nicola; IFPRI
Ruth Vargas Hill; IFPRI
   Presented by: Francesca de Nicola, IFPRI
   Discussant:   Jonathan Robinson, UC Santa Cruz
 

4. Capital Constraints in Agriculture: Evidence from Mali
By Lori Beaman; Northwestern University
Dean Karlan; Yale University
Bram Thuysbaert; KULeuven
Christopher Udry; Yale University
   Presented by: Dean Karlan, Yale University
   Discussant:   Greg Fischer, London School of Economics

  Session ID 46: Pricing of Health Goods in Developing Countries

Session Chair: James Berry, Cornell University
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: D1;I12;O12
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Eliciting and Utilizing Willingness to Pay: Evidence from Field Trials in Northern Ghana
By James Berry; Cornell University
   Presented by: James Berry, Cornell University
   Discussant:   Daniel Keniston, Yale
 

2. Corruption in the Delivery of Targeted Health Subsidies
By Pascaline Dupas; Stanford University
   Presented by: Pascaline Dupas, Stanford University
   Discussant:   Benjamin Olken, MIT
 

3. Externalities from Subsidies? Evidence from marketing of multiple health products in Uganda
By Greg Fischer; London School of Economics
Dean Karlan; Yale University
Margaret McConnell; Harvard University
Pia Raffler; Yale University
   Presented by: Dean Karlan, Yale University
   Discussant:   Pascaline Dupas, Stanford University
 

4. Nonlinear Pricing of Food in Village Economies
By Orazio Attanasio; University College London
Elena Pastorino; Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank and University of Minnesota
   Presented by: Elena Pastorino, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and University of Minnesota
   Discussant:   Aprajit Mahajan, Stanford University

  Session ID 47: European Labor Markets

Session Chair: Till von Wachter, Columbia University
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: J4
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Is there monopsonistic discrimination against immigrants? First evidence from linked employer–employee data
By Elke Jahn; Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Aarhus University and IZA
Boris Hirsch; Friedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-Nuremberg
   Presented by: Elke Jahn, Institute for Employment Research (IAB), Aarhus University and IZA
   Discussant:   Steven Raphael, University of California, Berkeley
 

2. Do anonymous resumes make the battlefield more even? Evidence from a randomized field experiment
By luc behaghel; paris school of economics
Bruno Crépon; CREST
Thomas Le Barbanchon; Crest
   Presented by: luc behaghel, paris school of economics
   Discussant:   Kate Antonovics, University of California, San Diego
 

3. High-School Dropouts and Transitory Labor Market Shocks: The Case of the Spanish Housing Boom
By Ainhoa Aparicio Fenoll; Collegio Carlo Alberto
   Presented by: Ainhoa Aparicio Fenoll, Collegio Carlo Alberto
   Discussant:   Gordon Dahl, UC San Diego
 

4. Private and Public Provision of Counseling to Job-Seekers: Evidence from a Large Controlled Experiment
By Luc Behaghel; Paris School of Economics
Bruno Crépon; CREST
Marc Gurgand; Paris School of Economics
   Presented by: Marc Gurgand, Paris School of Economics
   Discussant:   Till von Wachter, Columbia University

  Session ID 48: Social Choice and Welfare Analysis

Session Chair: Luis Rayo, University of Utah
Session type: contributed
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Redistributive Taxation in a Roy Model
By Casey Rothschild; Wellesley College
Florian Scheuer; Stanford University
   Presented by: Florian Scheuer, Stanford University
   Discussant:   Emmanuel Farhi, Harvard University
 

2. Behavioral Fair Social Choice
By Marc Fleurbaey; Princeton University
Erik Schokkaert; K U Leuven
   Presented by: Marc Fleurbaey, Princeton University
   Discussant:   Luis Rayo, University of Utah
 

3. Endogenous Public Information and Welfare
By Xavier Vives; IESE BUSINESS SCHOOL
   Presented by: Xavier Vives, IESE BUSINESS SCHOOL
   Discussant:   Jennifer La'o, Chicago Booth

  Session ID 50: Dynamic Games

Session Chair: Jidong Zhou, New York University
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C70,C73,L13
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. An Aggregation Method to Solve Dynamic Games
By Carlos Santos; Tilburg University
   Presented by: Carlos Santos, Tilburg University
   Discussant:   Nisvan Erkal, University of Melbourne
 

2. Aggregative Games with Entry
By Simon Anderson; University of Virginia
Nisvan Erkal; University of Melbourne
Daniel Piccinin; Brick Court Chambers
   Presented by: Nisvan Erkal, University of Melbourne
   Discussant:   Jidong Zhou, New York University
 

3. Exploding Offers and Buy-Now Discounts
By Jidong Zhou; Stern School of Business, New York Unive
Mark Armstrong; University of Oxford
   Presented by: Jidong Zhou, New York University
   Discussant:   Carlos Santos, Tilburg University

  Session ID 51: Health

Session Chair: Adriana Lleras-Muney, UCLA
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: I11,I12
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Productivity and Quality in Health Care: Evidence from the Dialysis Industry
By Paul Grieco; Pennsylvania State University
Ryan McDevitt; University of Rochester
   Presented by: Paul Grieco, Pennsylvania State University
   Discussant:   Darius Lakdawalla, University of Southern California
 

2. Access to Treatment and Educational Inequalities in Cancer Survival
By Jon Fiva; Norwegian Business School
   Presented by: Jon Fiva, Norwegian Business School
   Discussant:   Adriana Lleras-Muney, UCLA
 

3. In absolute or relative terms? How framing prices affects the consumer price sensitivity of health plan choice
By Nicolas Ziebarth; Cornell University
Hendrik Schmitz; University of Duisburg-Essen
   Presented by: Nicolas Ziebarth, Cornell University
   Discussant:   Emilia Simeonova, Tufts University
 

4. Small Area Variation in C-Sections: Norms, Spillovers and Market Power
By Janet Currie; Princeton
W. Bentley MacLeod; Columbia University
   Presented by: Janet Currie, Princeton
   Discussant:   Amitabh Chandra,

  Session ID 52: Bounded Rationality, Switching Costs and Competitive Strategies

Session Chair: Emir Kamenica, University of Chicago
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: L15,D21,D23,D43
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Switching Costs and Price Competition
By Luis Cabral; New York University
   Presented by: Luis Cabral, New York University
   Discussant:   Paulo Saumaini, Stanford University
 

2. Consumer Unawareness and Competitive Strategies
By ZHEN LIU; SUNY at Buffalo
Chun Qiu; McGill University
   Presented by: ZHEN LIU, SUNY at Buffalo
   Discussant:   Emir Kamenica, University of Chicago
 

3. The Identification Power of the Markov Assumption in Dynamic Discrete Choice Models
By John Lazarev; Stanford University
   Presented by: John Lazarev, Stanford University
   Discussant:   Jeremy Fox, University of Michigan

  Session ID 53: Social Networks, Peer Effects and Politics

Session Chair: Pedro Vicente, Nova University of Lisbon
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: D72,O12
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Voting, Influence, and Peer Effects: Experimental Evidence from Mozambique
By Marcel Fafchamps; Oxford University
Ana Vaz; University of Oxford
Pedro Vicente; Nova University of Lisbon
   Presented by: Pedro Vicente, Nova University of Lisbon
   Discussant:   Edward Miguel, University of California, Berkeley
 

2. COMMUNITARIANISM, OPPOSITIONAL CULTURES, AND HUMAN CAPITAL CONTAGION: THEORY AND EVIDENCE FROM FORMAL VERSUS KORANIC EDUCATION
By pritha dev; ITAM
   Presented by: pritha dev, ITAM
   Discussant:   Arun Chandrasekhar, MIT
 

3. Determinants of Peer Influence on Political Choices: Evidence from Classroom Random Assignments in College
By Camila Campos; Insper
   Presented by: Camila Campos, Insper
   Discussant:   Lori Beaman, Northwestern University
 

4. Together We Will: Experimental Evidence on Female Voting Behavior in Pakistan
By Xavier Gine; The World Bank
Ghazala Mansuri; World Bank
   Presented by: Xavier Gine, The World Bank
   Discussant:   Steven Durlauf, University of Wisconsin

  Session ID 54: Weakly Identified Models

Session Chair: Zhongjun Qu, Boston University
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C20,C30
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Conditional moment models under weak identification
By Bertille Antoine; Simon Fraser University
Pascal Lavergne; Toulouse School of Economics
   Presented by: Bertille Antoine, Simon Fraser University
 

2. Powerful Procedures with Correct Size for Test Statistics with Limit Distributions that are Discontinuous in Some Parameters
By Adam McCloskey; Brown University
   Presented by: Adam McCloskey, Brown University
 

3. Weak Identification: a Geometric Approach
By Isaiah Andrews; MIT
Anna Mikusheva; Massachusetts Institute of Technology
   Presented by: Anna Mikusheva, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
 

4. Local and Global Parameter Identification in DSGE Models Allowing for Indeterminacy
By Zhongjun Qu; Boston University
   Presented by: Zhongjun Qu, Boston University

  Session ID 55: Identification in Models with Endogeneity

Session Chair: Yingyao Hu, Johns Hopkins University
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C26,C36
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Identification of Average Random Coefficients under Magnitude and Sign Restrictions on Confounding
By Karim Chalak; Boston College
   Presented by: Karim Chalak, Boston College
 

2. Continuous triangular systems without functional form restrictions - Identification and nonparametric Bayesian estimation
By Maximilian Kasy; UCLA
   Presented by: Maximilian Kasy, UCLA
 

3. Simultaneous Equations Models for Discrete Outcomes: Coherence, Completeness, and Identification
JEL codes: C10, C14, C50
By Andrew Chesher; University College London
Adam Rosen; University College London
   Presented by: Adam Rosen, University College London
 

4. Nonparametric Identification Using Instrumental Variables: Sufficient Conditions For Completeness
By Yingyao Hu; Johns Hopkins University
Ji-Liang Shiu; National Chung-Cheng University
   Presented by: Yingyao Hu, Johns Hopkins University

  Session ID 56: Factor Models and Structural VARs

Session Chair: Serena Ng, Columbia University
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C38
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Inference on Impulse Response Functions in Structural VAR Models
By Atsushi Inoue; North Carolina State University
Lutz Kilian; University of Michigan
   Presented by: Lutz Kilian, University of Michigan
 

2. Bootstrapping factor-augmented regression models
By Silvia Goncalves; Université de Montréal
Benoit Perron; Universite de Montreal
   Presented by: Benoit Perron, Universite de Montreal
 

3. Linear Regression for Panel with Unknown Number of Factors as Interactive Fixed Effects
JEL codes: C23, C33
By Hyungsik Roger Moon; University of Southern California
Martin Weidner; University College London
   Presented by: Martin Weidner, University College London
 

4. Factor Augmented Autoregressive Distributed Lag Models
By Serena Ng; Columbia University
Dalibor Stevanovic; Université du Québec à Montréal
   Presented by: Dalibor Stevanovic, Université du Québec à Montréal

  Session ID 57: Testing

Session Chair: Douglas Steigerwald, University of California, Santa Barbara
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C12
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Testing the Number of Components in Finite Mixture Models
By Hiroyuki Kasahara; University of British Columbia
Katsumi Shimotsu
   Presented by: Hiroyuki Kasahara, University of British Columbia
 

2. Credibility of Confidence sets in Nonstandard Econometric Problems
By Ulrich Mueller; Princeton University
Andriy Norets; Princeton University
   Presented by: Andriy Norets, Princeton University
 

3. Asymptotic F Test in GMM Framework with Cross Sectional Dependence
JEL codes: C12, C14, C31
By Yixiao Sun; University of California, San Diego
Min Seong Kim; Ryerson University
   Presented by: Min Seong Kim, Ryerson University
 

4. On Accurate Cluster-Robust Inference
By Douglas Steigerwald; University of California, Santa Barbara
Andrew Carter; UC Santa Barbara
Kevin Schnepel; UCSB
   Presented by: Douglas Steigerwald, University of California, Santa Barbara

  Session ID 58: Matching and Network Models

Session Chair: Senay SOKULLU, University of Bristol
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C51
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Understanding Mate Preferences from Two-Sided Matching Markets: Identi cation, Estimation and Policy Analysis
JEL codes: J12; C21;C25
By Yu-Wei Hsieh; New York University
   Presented by: Yu-Wei Hsieh, New York University
 

2. Identification and Estimation of a Pairwise Regression Model with Mutual Consent and Unobservable Heterogeneity
By Zhentao Shi; Yale University
   Presented by: Zhentao Shi, Yale University
 

3. Identification and Estimation of Network Formation Games
By Shuyang Sheng; University of Southern California
   Presented by: Shuyang Sheng, University of Southern California
 

4. Nonparametric Analysis of Two-Sided Markets
By Senay SOKULLU; University of Bristol
   Presented by: Senay SOKULLU, University of Bristol

  Session ID 59: Structural Models

Session Chair: Victor Aguirregabiria, University of Toronto
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C50
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Interdependent Durations in Joint Retirement
By de Paula Aureo; University College London
Bo Honore; Princeton University
   Presented by: de Paula Aureo, University College London
 

2. Testing for Monotonicity of the Reservation Wage Function
By Daniel Gutknecht; University of Warwick
   Presented by: Daniel Gutknecht, University of Warwick
 

3. Demand Estimation for Differentiated Products: The Many Markets Case
By Amit Gandhi; University of Wisconsin
zhengtong Lu; university of wisconsin madison
Xiaoxia Shi; University of Wisconsin
   Presented by: Xiaoxia Shi, University of Wisconsin
 

4. Testing for Biases Induced by Approximation Error in the Estimation of Dynamic Decision Models
By Victor Aguirregabiria; University of Toronto
   Presented by: Victor Aguirregabiria, University of Toronto

  Session ID 60: Nonstationary Time Series

Session Chair: Jun Yu, Singapore Management University
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C22,C32
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Co-summability: From Linear to Non-linear Co-integration
By Vanessa Berenguer-Rico; University of Oxford
Jesus Gonzalo; U. Carlos III de Madrid
   Presented by: Vanessa Berenguer-Rico, University of Oxford
 

2. Regulated Variance Ratio Unit Root Tests
By Mirza Trokic; McGill University
   Presented by: Mirza Trokic, McGill University
 

3. Limits on the Linear Process of GARCH(1,1) Noises with Applications to Unit Root Tests
By CY (Chor-yiu) SIN; National Tsing Hua University
   Presented by: CY (Chor-yiu) SIN, National Tsing Hua University
 

4. Double Asymptotics for Explosive Continuous Time Models
By Xiaohu Wang; Singapore Management University
Jun Yu; Singapore Management University
   Presented by: Jun Yu, Singapore Management University

  Session ID 61: Forecasting/Financial Econometrics

Session Chair: Allan Timmermann, University of California, San Diego
Session type: contributed
Session JEL code: C58
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Modelling Dependence in High Dimensions with Factor Copulas
By Dong Hwan Oh; Duke University
Andrew Patton; Duke University
   Presented by: Andrew Patton, Duke University
 

2. Inferring the Predictability Induced by a Persistent Regressor in a Predictive Threshold Model
JEL codes: C1
By Jesus Gonzalo; U. Carlos III de Madrid
jean-yves pitarakis; U. Southampton
   Presented by: Jesus Gonzalo, U. Carlos III de Madrid
 

3. Economic theory and forecasting
By Raffaella Giacomini; University College London
Giuseppe Ragusa; LUISS
   Presented by: Raffaella Giacomini, University College London
 

4. Choice of Sample Split in Out-of-Sample Forecast Evaluation
By Allan Timmermann; University of California, San Diego
   Presented by: Allan Timmermann, University of California, San Diego

  Session ID 63: International Finance and Currency Risk

Session Chair: Adrien Verdelhan, MIT Sloan
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: F30,F31
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Conditional Currency Risk Premia
By Michael Weber; UC Berkeley
   Presented by: Michael Weber, UC Berkeley
   Discussant:   Ralph Koijen, University of Chicago
 

2. Pass-Through, Exposure, and the Currency Composition of Debt
By Michael Michaux; University of Southern California
   Presented by: Michael Michaux, University of Southern California
   Discussant:   Veronica Rappoport, Columbia University
 

3. The Share of Systematic Variation in Bilateral Exchange Rates
By Adrien Verdelhan; MIT Sloan
   Presented by: Adrien Verdelhan, MIT Sloan
   Discussant:   Matteo Maggiori, UC Berkeley
 

4. Monetary Policy and the Uncovered Interest Rate Parity Puzzle
By David Backus; New York University, Stern School of Bus
Federico Gavazzoni; Carnegie Mellon University
Christopher Telmer; Carnegie Mellon University
Stanley Zin; NY University, Stern
   Presented by: Christopher Telmer, Carnegie Mellon University

  Session ID 64: Real Effects of Entrepreneurship and Innovation

Session Chair: David Sraer, Princeton University
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: L26,O30
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Technological Innovation, Resource Allocation and Growth
By Leonid Kogan; MIT
Dimitris Papanikolaou; Northwestern University
Amit Seru; University of Chicago
Noah Stoffman; Indiana University
   Presented by: Dimitris Papanikolaou, Northwestern University
   Discussant:   Petra Moser, Stanford University
 

2. Entrepreneurship and Urban Growth: An Empirical Assessment with Historical Mines
By Edward Glaeser; Harvard
Sari Kerr; Wellesley University
William Kerr; Harvard University
   Presented by: William Kerr, Harvard University
   Discussant:   Patrick Kline, University of California - Berkeley
 

3. Should we make it safer to start a business?
By Johan Hombert; HEC Paris
Antoinette Schoar; Massachusetts Institute of Technology
David Sraer; Princeton University
David Thesmar; HEC and CEPR
   Presented by: Antoinette Schoar, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
   Discussant:   Matthew Notowidigdo, University of Chicago
 

4. What Stimulates Growth of Microenterprises?
By Christopher Woodruff; University of Warwick
   Presented by: Christopher Woodruff, University of Warwick
   Discussant:   Shawn Cole, Harvard Business School

  Session ID 65: Measuring Risk and Time Preferences

Session Chair: Shachar Kariv, University of California--Berkeley
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: D81,C91
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Parametric Recoverability of Preferences
By Yoram Halevy; University of British Columbia
Dotan Persitz; Tel Aviv University
Lanny Zrill; University of British Columbia
   Presented by: Yoram Halevy, University of British Columbia
   Discussant:   Shachar Kariv, University of California--Berkeley
 

2. Measuring Time Preferences with Simple Tasks
By James Andreoni; University of California San Diego
Michael Kuhn; UCSD
Charles Sprenger; Stanford University
   Presented by: James Andreoni, University of California San Diego
   Discussant:   Glenn Harrison, Georgia State University
 

3. Substantive and Procedural Rationality in Decisions under Uncertainty
By Syngjoo Choi; University College London
Douglas Gale; New York University
Shachar Kariv; University of California--Berkeley
   Presented by: Shachar Kariv, University of California--Berkeley
   Discussant:   James Andreoni, University of California San Diego
 

4. Recent Developments in Measuring Risk and Time Preferences
By Glenn Harrison; Georgia State University
   Presented by: Glenn Harrison, Georgia State University
   Discussant:   Yoram Halevy, University of British Columbia

  Session ID 66: JBES Invited Paper

Session Chair: Jonathan Wright, Johns Hopkins University
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: C22
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Inference with Inconsistent Long-Run Variance Estimators
By Ulrich Mueller; Princeton University
   Presented by: Ulrich Mueller, Princeton University
 

 Discussants:
     1 Matias Cattaneo, University of Michigan
     2 Yixiao Sun, University of California, San Diego
     3 Nicholas KIEFER, Cornell University
     4 Tim Vogelsang, Michigan State U.
     5 Anna Mikusheva, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
     6 Richard Crump, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
 

Discussants:
     1 Matias Cattaneo, University of Michigan
     2 Yixiao Sun, University of California, San Diego
     3 Anna Mikusheva, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
     4 Richard Crump, Federal Reserve Bank of New York
     5 Nicholas KIEFER, Cornell University
     6 Tim Vogelsang, Michigan State U.

  Session ID 67: Networks, Mechanisms, and Big Data: Economics Meets Decision Science

Session Chair: B. Douglas Bernheim, Stanford University
Session type: invited
Session JEL code: D02
Date: January 4, 2013
 

1. Crowds, Networks and Markets
By Jon Kleinberg
   Presented by: Jon Kleinberg,
   Discussant:   Hal Varian, University of California
 

2. Human Computing
By Luis Von Ahn; Carnegie Mellon University
   Presented by: Luis Von Ahn, Carnegie Mellon University
   Discussant:   Hal Varian, University of California

This program was last updated on 2012-07-06 10:3:24 EDT