2004 Australasian Meeting of the Econometric Society

Summary of All Sessions

#Date/TimeLocationTypeTitlePapers
17 July
9:00-10:30
Ballroom ABC invited Colin Clark Lecture1
27 July
11:00-12:30
Yarra 2 contributed On Exchange Rates4
37 July
11:00-12:30
Swanston 1 contributed Experimental Economics I4
47 July
11:00-12:30
Tower 1 contributed Health Economics4
57 July
11:00-12:30
Ballroom C contributed Development Theory and Policy4
67 July
11:00-12:30
Flinders contributed Panel Data4
77 July
11:00-12:30
Ballroom A contributed Portfolio Analysis and Hedging4
87 July
11:00-12:30
Ballroom B contributed Problems in Econometric Inference3
97 July
11:00-12:30
Yarra 1 contributed Open Economy Monetary Policy4
107 July
11:00-12:30
Tower 2 contributed Applied Econometrics4
117 July
11:00-12:30
Swanston 2 contributed Search and Screening3
127 July
14:00-15:30
Yarra 2 contributed International Factor Movements4
137 July
14:00-15:30
Ballroom C contributed Drugs, Alcohol and Absenteeism4
147 July
14:00-15:30
Ballroom A contributed Market Microstructure and Thin Trading4
157 July
14:00-15:30
Tower 1 contributed Markov Switching Models2
167 July
14:00-15:30
Ballroom B contributed Aspects of Hypothesis Testing4
177 July
14:00-15:30
Yarra 1 contributed Causality, Cointegration and Vector Autoregressions4
187 July
14:00-15:30
Flinders contributed The Life-Cycle, Wages and Consumption3
197 July
14:00-15:30
Tower 2 contributed Financial Crises and Contagion4
207 July
14:00-15:30
Swanston 1 contributed Information, Organisation, and Contract4
217 July
14:00-15:30
Swanston 2 contributed Product Differentiation, Price Adjustment, and Average-cost Pricing4
227 July
16:00-17:15
Ballroom ABC invited A W Phillips Lecture1
238 July
8:30-9:45
Ballroom ABC invited Presidential Address1
248 July
10:15-11:20
Ballroom C contributed Household Behaviour in Developing Countries3
258 July
10:15-11:20
Tower 1 contributed R&D, Credit Rating and Commodity Futures3
268 July
10:15-11:20
Ballroom B contributed Applied Macroeconomic Modelling2
278 July
10:15-11:20
Ballroom A contributed Forecasting I3
288 July
10:15-11:20
Yarra 1 contributed Fiscal Policy3
298 July
10:15-11:20
Yarra 2 contributed Empirical Time Series3
308 July
10:15-11:20
Flinders contributed Survey Data3
318 July
10:15-11:20
Swanston 1 contributed Bargaining, Delegation, and Business Language3
328 July
10:15-11:20
Swanston 2 contributed Oligopoly3
338 July
10:15-11:20
Tower 2 contributed Policy Design3
348 July
11:30-12:35
Ballroom C contributed Development Macroeconomics3
358 July
11:30-12:35
Flinders contributed Returns to Education3
368 July
11:30-12:35
Ballroom A contributed Filtering and Simulation Methods3
378 July
11:30-12:35
Tower 2 contributed Measurement Error and Finite Sample Inference3
388 July
11:30-12:35
Tower 1 contributed Forecasting II2
398 July
11:30-12:35
Ballroom B contributed Econometric Methods2
408 July
11:30-12:35
Yarra 1 contributed Macroeconometric Models3
418 July
11:30-12:35
Yarra 2 contributed Monetary Policy, Inflation3
428 July
11:30-12:35
Swanston 1 contributed Growth3
438 July
11:30-12:35
Swanston 2 contributed Overconfidence, Loss Aversion, and Mental Accounting3
448 July
13:45-15:15
Swanston 2 invited Special Invited: Experimental Economics2
458 July
13:45-15:15
Ballroom A invited Special Invited: Nonlinear Modelling2
468 July
13:45-15:15
Ballroom B invited Special Invited: Panel Data2
478 July
13:45-15:15
Ballroom C invited Special Invited: Productivity2
488 July
15:45-17:15
Ballroom C contributed Education4
498 July
15:45-17:15
Flinders contributed Political Economy4
508 July
15:45-17:15
Tower 1 contributed Dynamic Stock Market Models4
518 July
15:45-17:15
Ballroom A contributed Volatility Modelling4
528 July
15:45-17:15
Ballroom B contributed Issues In Non-parametric Methods4
538 July
15:45-17:15
Swanston 2 contributed Sharing Rules, Public Goods, and Political Economy4
548 July
15:45-17:15
Yarra 1 contributed Sectoral and International Business Cycles3
558 July
15:45-17:15
Yarra 2 contributed Productivity4
568 July
15:45-17:15
Tower 2 contributed Modelling in Financial Markets4
578 July
15:45-17:15
Swanston 1 contributed Experimental Economics II4
589 July
9:00-10:15
Ballroom ABC invited Jacob Marschak Lecture1
599 July
10:45-12:15
Ballroom C contributed Income and Health4
609 July
10:45-12:15
Flinders contributed Labour Market Outcomes4
619 July
10:45-12:15
Ballroom A contributed Interest Rate Models4
629 July
10:45-12:15
Tower 1 contributed Annuities, Taxation and Banking4
639 July
10:45-12:15
Ballroom B contributed Modelling Long Memory Processes4
649 July
10:45-12:15
Swanston 1 contributed Household Decisions, Labour Productivity, and Housing Affordability4
659 July
10:45-12:15
Yarra 1 contributed Time Series Decompositions4
669 July
10:45-12:15
Yarra 2 contributed Production and Demand4
679 July
10:45-12:15
Swanston 2 contributed Networks4
689 July
10:45-12:15
Tower 2 contributed Spurious Regression and Unit Roots3
699 July
13:45-15:15
Swanston 2 invited Special Invited: Computable General Equilibrium Modelling2
709 July
13:45-15:15
Ballroom A invited Special Invited: Financial Econometrics2
719 July
13:45-15:15
Ballroom B invited Special Invited: Forecasting and Signal Extraction2
729 July
13:45-15:15
Ballroom C invited Special Invited: Microeconometrics2
739 July
15:45-17:00
Ballroom ABC invited E J Hannan Lecture1
 

73 sessions, 231 papers


 

2004 Australasian Meeting of the Econometric Society

Complete List of All Sessions


Session 1: Colin Clark Lecture

Session Chair: Pushkar Maitra, Monash University
Session type: invited
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 9:00 - 10:30
Location: Ballroom ABC
 

Coercion, Contract and the Limits of the Market
By Kaushik Basu
   Presented by: Kaushik Basu, Cornell University

Session 2: On Exchange Rates

Session Chair: Saqib Jafarey, City University, London
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 11:00 - 12:30
Location: Yarra 2
 

Impacts of Real exchange Rate Volatility and Real Exchange Rate Misalignment on China
By Jan P Voon and Li Guangzhong
   Presented by: Jan Voon, Lingnan University
 

Nonlinear Modelling of Purchasing Power Parity in Indonesia
By Titi Kanti Lestari, Jae Kim and Param Silvapulle
   Presented by: Titi Lestari, Monash University
 

Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis in Developing Economies: Some Empirical Evidence from Sri Lanka
By Guneratne B Wickremasinghe
   Presented by: Guneratne Wickremasinghe, Monash University
 

Spillover Effects of Fiscal Policy Under Flexible Exchange Rates
By Ingo Pitterle and Dirk Steffen
   Presented by: Dirk Steffen, University of Frankfurt am Main, Germany

Session 3: Experimental Economics I

Session Chair: Nisvan Erkal, University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 11:00 - 12:30
Location: Swanston 1
 

A Dynamic Analysis of the Evolution of Conventions in a Public Goods Experiment with Intergenerational Advice
By Ananish Chaudhuri, Pushkar Maitra, Sara Graziano
   Presented by: Pushkar Maitra, Monash University
 

Do Informal Sanctions Increase Cooperation in the Long Run?
By Charles Noussair, Steven Tucker
   Presented by: Steven Tucker, University of Canterbury
 

Correlated Emissions Variability in Tradable Permit Markets with Imperfect Enforcement
By Timothy N. Cason and Lata Gangadharan
   Presented by: Lata Gangadharan, University of Melbourne
 

Network Externalities, Demand Inertia, and Dynamic Pricing in an Experimental Oligopoly Market
By Ralph-C Bayer, Mickey Chan
   Presented by: Ralph-C Bayer, Adelaide University

Session 4: Health Economics

Session Chair: Michael Shields, University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 11:00 - 12:30
Location: Tower 1
 

Why worry about awareness in choice problems? Econometric analysis of screening for cervical cancer
By Rochelle Belkar, Denzil G. Fiebig, Marion Haas and Rosalie Viney
   Presented by: Rosalie Viney, University of Technology, Sydney
 

Discerning the Effects of Recent Private Health Insurance Policy Changes in Australia
By Alfons Palangkaraya and Jongsay Yong
   Presented by: Alfons Palangkaraya, University of Melbourne
 

Bayesian Estimation of an Endogenous Bivariate Semiparametric Probit Model for Health Practitioner Utilisation in Australia
By Michael Smith, Remy Cottet and Denzil Fiebig
   Presented by: Michael Smith, University of Sydney
 

Costly Ageing or Costly Deaths? Understanding Health Care Expenditure Using Australian Medicare Payments Data
By David Johnson and Jongsay Yong
   Presented by: Jongsay Yong, University of Melbourne

Session 5: Development Theory and Policy

Session Chair: John Gibson, Williams College
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 11:00 - 12:30
Location: Ballroom C
 

Economic Geography and Wages
By Mary Amiti and Lisa A. Cameron
   Presented by: Lisa Cameron, University of Melbourne
 

Estimate of the willing to pay for ecological panela in Colombia: Approach from the Sustainable Consumption
By Zulma Roa, Gonzalo Rodriguez, Ramon Rosales, Denis Requier-Desjardins
   Presented by: Zulma Roa Díaz, Corporation Kausay
 

Searching for Mr. Right: The duration of remaining single based on evidence from Japan
By Miki Matsui
   Presented by: Miki Matsui, Australian National University
 

Choice of Training Technology in Imperfect Labour Markets
By Gautam Bose
   Presented by: Gautam Bose, University of New South Wales

Session 6: Panel Data

Session Chair: Badi Baltagi, Texas A&M University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 11:00 - 12:30
Location: Flinders
 

Male-Female Wage and Productivity Differentials: A Structural Approach Using Japanese Firm-Level Panel Data
By Daiji Kawaguchi
   Presented by: Daiji Kawaguchi, University of Tsukuba
 

Some New Semiparametric Panel Stochastic Frontier Models
By Gholamreza Hajargasht
   Presented by: Gholamreza Hajargasht, University of Queensland
 

Immigrant Job Search in the UK: Evidence from Panel Data
By Paul Frijters, Michael A. Shields and Stephen Wheatley Price
   Presented by: Stephen Wheatley Price, University of Leicester
 

Spatial Clustering of Housing Construction in the Tokyo Metropolitan Area: An Application of Spatially Clustered Fixed-Effects and Spatially Correlated Random-Effects Models
By Atsushi Yoshida, Tatsuhiro Shichijo
   Presented by: Atsushi Yoshida, University of Tsukuba

Session 7: Portfolio Analysis and Hedging

Session Chair: Ralf Becker, Queensland University of Technology
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 11:00 - 12:30
Location: Ballroom A
 

Discounting The Equity Premium Puzzle
By G.C. Lim, Esfandiar Maasoumi and Vance Martin
   Presented by: Vance Martin, University of Melbourne
 

That Courage is not inconsistent with Caution: Foreign Currency Hedging for Superannuation Funds
By Susan Thorp
   Presented by: Susan Thorp, University of New South Wales
 

Structurally Sound Dynamic Index Futures Hedging
By Paul Kofman and Patrick McGlenchy
   Presented by: Paul Kofman, The University of Melbourne
 

Allowing for basis convergence and long memory in volatility when dynamic hedging the Australian All Ordinaries Index
By Jonathan Dark
   Presented by: Jonathan Dark, Monash University

Session 8: Problems in Econometric Inference

Session Chair: Christopher Skeels, The University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 11:00 - 12:30
Location: Ballroom B
 

Ill-posed Problems and Instruments' Weakness
By Giovanni Forchini and Grant Hillier
   Presented by: Giovanni Forchini, University of York
 

Conditional Inference in Cointegrating Vector Autoregressive Models
By Kees Jan van Garderen and Sophocles Mavroeidis
   Presented by: Kees Jan van Garderen, University of Amsterdam
 

Generalized Reduced Rank Tests using the Singular Value Decomposition
By Frank Kleibergen and Richard Paap
   Presented by: Richard Paap, Erasmus University Rotterdam

Session 9: Open Economy Monetary Policy

Session Chair: K Shields, University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 11:00 - 12:30
Location: Yarra 1
 

External Shocks and Monetary Policy: Does it Pay to Respond to Exchange Rate Deviations?
By Rodrigo Caputo
   Presented by: Rodrigo Caputo, Central Bank of Chile
 

Is there a sufficient risk sharing between Australia and New Zealand?
By David Kim and Jeffrey Sheen
   Presented by: David Kim, University of Sydney
 

Uncertainty and the open economy: a view through two different lenses
By Kirdan Lees
   Presented by: Kirdan Lees, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
 

Two-sided Learning and Optimal Open Economy Monetary Policy
By Timothy Kam
   Presented by: Timothy Kam, Australian National University

Session 10: Applied Econometrics

Session Chair: Bill Griffiths, University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 11:00 - 12:30
Location: Tower 2
 

Estimating and Combining National Income Distributions using Limited Data
By Duangkamon Chotikapanich, William E. Griffiths, D.S. Prasada Rao
   Presented by: Duangkamon Chotikapanich, Monash University
 

Productivity, Factor Accumulation and Social Networks: Theory and Evidence
By R. Quentin Grafton, Tom Kompas, P. Dorian Owen
   Presented by: Dorian Owen, University of Otago
 

Housing Construction Cycles and Interest Rates
By Laura Berger-Thomson and Luci Ellis
   Presented by: Laura Berger-Thomson, Reserve Bank of Australia
 

Modelling Tobacco Consumption with a Zero-Inflated Ordered Probit Model
By Mark Harris and Xueyan Zhao
   Presented by: Mark Harris, Monash University

Session 11: Search and Screening

Session Chair: Jack Stecher, University of Minnesota
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 11:00 - 12:30
Location: Swanston 2
 

Labor Market Frictions, Job Insecurity and the Flexibility of the Employment Relationship
By Niko Matouschek, Paolo Ramezzana (University of Virginia), Fred Robert-Nicoud (University of Geneva)
   Presented by: Niko Matouschek, Kellogg School of Management
 

Search and Endogenous Intermediation: A Model of the Merchant Trader
By Gautam Bose and Abhijit Sengupta
   Presented by: Abhijit Sengupta, University of Sydney and York University
 

Lie Groups of Partial Differential Equations and Their Application to the Multidimensional Screening Problems
By Suren Basov
   Presented by: Suren Basov, The Melbourne University

Session 12: International Factor Movements

Session Chair: Alan Woodland, University of Sydney
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 14:00 - 15:30
Location: Yarra 2
 

Measuring Spillovers from Alternative Forms of Foreign Investment
By Iyer, K., A. N. Rambaldi, K.K. Tang
   Presented by: Krishna Iyer, University of Queensland
 

Temporary Tariffs and Capital Market Restrictions
By Saqib Jafarey, Sajal Lahiri
   Presented by: Saqib Jafarey, City University, London
 

Trade and Migration to New Zealand
By John Bryant, Murat Genc and David Law
   Presented by: David Law, New Zealand Treasury
 

Global Factor Trade with Differentiated Factor Prices and Factor Intensities
By Yun-kwong Kwok
   Presented by: Yun-kwong Kwok, Deakin University

Session 13: Drugs, Alcohol and Absenteeism

Session Chair: Lisa Cameron, University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 14:00 - 15:30
Location: Ballroom C
 

Cannabis, Cocaine and Jobs
By Jan C. van Ours
   Presented by: Jan van Ours, Tilburg University
 

Are There Differential Effects Of Price And Policy On College Students’ Drinking Intensity?
By Jenny Williams
   Presented by: Jenny Williams, University of Melbourne
 

Alcohol Consumption in Australia: An Application of the Ordered Generalised Extreme Value Model
By Mark Harris, Preety Ramful and Xueyan Zhao
   Presented by: Preety Ramful, Monash University
 

Industry Restructuring and Absenteeism. A Micoreconomteric Analysis Using Matched Employer-Employee Data.
By Astrid Grasdal, Kjell G. Salvanes and Kjell Vaage
   Presented by: Kjell Vaage, University of Bergen

Session 14: Market Microstructure and Thin Trading

Session Chair: Param Silvapulle, Monash University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 14:00 - 15:30
Location: Ballroom A
 

A Model for Trade Frequency in the Presence of Announcements
By Lucy D. Gunn and Heather M. Anderson
   Presented by: Lucy Gunn, Monash
 

Duration and Order Type Clusters
By Wing Lon NG
   Presented by: Wing Lon NG, University of Muenster
 

Testing and Modelling Market Microstructure Effects with an Application to the Dow Jones Industrial Average
By Basel Awartani, Valentina Corradi and Walter Distaso
   Presented by: Walter Distaso, University of Exeter
 

Alternative Beta Risk Estimators in Emerging Markets: The Latin American Case.
By Robert Brooks, Robert Faff, Tim Fry and Diana Maldonado
   Presented by: Diana Maldonado, RMIT university

Session 15: Markov Switching Models

Session Chair: Catherine Forbes, Monash University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 14:00 - 15:30
Location: Tower 1
 

Unit Root Tests with Markov-Switching
By Xiao Qin, Tan Gee Kwang, Randolph
   Presented by: Qin Xiao, Nanyang Technological University
 

Beta Risk and Regime Shift in Market Volatility
By Roland G. Shami and Don U.A. Galagedera
   Presented by: Roland Shami, Monash University

Session 16: Aspects of Hypothesis Testing

Session Chair: Murray Smith, University of Sydney
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 14:00 - 15:30
Location: Ballroom B
 

Consistent Nonparametric Tests for Lorenz Dominance
By Garry F. Barrett and Stephen G. Donald
   Presented by: Garry Barrett, University of N S W
 

Testing for Dependence in Non-Gaussian Time Series Data
By Brendan McCabe, Gael Martin and Keith Freeland
   Presented by: Gael Martin, Monash University
 

Tests of Functional Form and Heteroscedasticity
By Z. L. Yang Y. K. Tse
   Presented by: Zhenlin Yang, Singapore Management University
 

Maximal Invariant Likelihood Based Testing of Semi-Linear Models
By Jahar L. Bhowmik and Maxwell L. King
   Presented by: Jahar Bhowmik, Monash University

Session 17: Causality, Cointegration and Vector Autoregressions

Session Chair: Jan Podivinsky, University of Southampton
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 14:00 - 15:30
Location: Yarra 1
 

The Consequences of Systematic Sampling on Granger Causality
By Gulasekaran Rajaguru and Tilak Abeysinghe
   Presented by: Gulasekaran Rajaguru, Bond University
 

Are VAR Models Good Enough?
By George Athanasopoulos and Farshid Vahid
   Presented by: Farshid Vahid, The Australian National University
 

Estimation and Testing for Partially Nonstationary Vector Autoregressive Models with GARCH: WLS versus QMLE
By Chor-yiu SIN
   Presented by: Chor-yiu SIN,
 

Temporal aggregation, causality distortions and a sign rule
By Gulasekaran Rajaguru and Tilak Abeysinghe
   Presented by: Tilak Abeysinghe, National University of Singapore

Session 18: The Life-Cycle, Wages and Consumption

Session Chair: Guyonne Kalb, University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 14:00 - 15:30
Location: Flinders
 

Consumption Patterns around the Time of Retirement: Evidence from the Consumer Expenditure Surveys
By Aydogan Ulker
   Presented by: Aydogan Ulker, Australian National University
 

The Wage Gap between Metropolitan and Non-metropolitan Areas
By Bonggeun Kim
   Presented by: Bonggeun Kim, University of Canterbury
 

The male-female wage gap in France: an analysis using non-parametric methods
By Robert Breunig and Sandrine Rospabe
   Presented by: Robert Breunig, Australian National University

Session 19: Financial Crises and Contagion

Session Chair: Paul Kofman, The University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 14:00 - 15:30
Location: Tower 2
 

Extreme Value Theory and the Incidence of Currency Crises
By Victor Pontines, Ramkishen Rajan, and Reza Siregar
   Presented by: Reza Siregar, University of Adelaide
 

On Synchronisation of Financial Crises
By Mardi Dungey, Jan Jacobs, Lestano
   Presented by: Mardi Dungey, Australian National University
 

Empirical Modelling of Contagion: A Review of Methodologies
By Mardi Dungey, Renee A. Fry, Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo, and Vance L. Martin
   Presented by: Renee Fry, Australian National University
 

Banking Crises: Prediction, Policy Implementation and Responses
By Ahmed M. Khalid and Lina Irawati
   Presented by: Ahmed Khalid, Bond University

Session 20: Information, Organisation, and Contract

Session Chair: Vladimir Petkov, Victoria University of Wellington
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 14:00 - 15:30
Location: Swanston 1
 

The Mushroom Treatment: Information Suppression and Misrepresentation in Organizations
By David C. Croson, Thomas A. Weber
   Presented by: David Croson, MIT Sloan School of Management
 

The Boundaries of the Firms as Information Barriers
By Eric Chou
   Presented by: Eric Chou, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
 

Information Aggregation and Efficiency in Agency Contracts with Endogenous Externality
By Shingo Ishiguro
   Presented by: Shingo Ishiguro, Osaka University
 

Vertical Contracting When Competition for Orders Precedes Procurement
By Joshua S Gans
   Presented by: Joshua Gans, University of Melbourne

Session 21: Product Differentiation, Price Adjustment, and Average-cost Pricing

Session Chair: Hugh Sibly, University of Tasmania
Session type: contributed
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 14:00 - 15:30
Location: Swanston 2
 

The Nature of Equilibria under Noncollusive Product Design and Collusive Pricing
By Kali P. Rath and Gongyun Zhao
   Presented by: Kali Rath, University of Notre Dame
 

The different consumption functions of products and product differentiation
By Waka Cheung, Yew-Kwang Ng
   Presented by: Waka Cheung, Monash University
 

Price Adjustment with Price Conjectures
By Michael Olive
   Presented by: Michael Olive, Macquarie University
 

Average-cost Pricing, Increasing Returns, and Optimal Output in a Model With Home and Market Production
By Yew-Kwang Ng and Dingsheng Zhang
   Presented by: Dingsheng Zhang, Monash University

Session 22: A W Phillips Lecture

Session Chair: Maxwell King, Monash University
Session type: invited
Date: July 7, 2004
Time: 16:00 - 17:15
Location: Ballroom ABC
 

Identification of sensitivity to variation in endogenous variables
By Andrew Chesher
   Presented by: Andrew Chesher, University College London

Session 23: Presidential Address

Session Chair: Peter Bardsley, The University of Melbourne
Session type: invited
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 8:30 - 9:45
Location: Ballroom ABC
 

Dilemmas of An Economic Theorist
By Ariel Rubinstein
   Presented by: Ariel Rubinstein, Tel Aviv University

Session 24: Household Behaviour in Developing Countries

Session Chair: Ranjan Ray, Univ. of Tasmania
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 10:15 - 11:20
Location: Ballroom C
 

Marriage Market, Parents' Bargaining Powers, and Children's Nutrition and Education
By Cheolsung Park
   Presented by: Cheolsung Park, National University of Singapore
 

Private Transfers and the Crowding Out Hypothesis: Semiparametric and Threshold Regression Evidence from Four Developing Countries
By John Gibson, Trinh Le, Susan Olivia, Scott Rozelle
   Presented by: John Gibson, Williams College
 

Derivation of Nutrient Prices from Household level Food Expenditure Data: Methodology and Applications
By Dipankor Coondoo, Geoffrey Lancaster, Amita Majumder and Ranjan Ray
   Presented by: Geoffrey Lancaster, University of Tasmania

Session 25: R&D, Credit Rating and Commodity Futures

Session Chair: Paul Kofman, The University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 10:15 - 11:20
Location: Tower 1
 

R&D, Agency Costs and Capital Structure: International Evidence
By Robert Brooks and Sinclair Davidson
   Presented by: Robert Brooks, RMIT
 

Rating Timing Differences between the two Leading Agencies:
By Emawtee Bissoondoyal-Bheenick
   Presented by: Emawtee Bissoondoyal, RMIT University
 

Pricing LME Commodity Futures Contracts
By Richard Heaney
   Presented by: Richard Heaney, RMIT University

Session 26: Applied Macroeconomic Modelling

Session Chair: Mardi Dungey, Australian National University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 10:15 - 11:20
Location: Ballroom B
 

Models of foreign exchange intervention: Estimation and testing
By Bryan W. Brown; Douglas J. Hodgson
   Presented by: Douglas Hodgson, University of Quebec at Montreal
 

Monetary Policy and Capital Accumulation Processes :How did the FED react to the Transition Phases ?
By Paolucci Frank
   Presented by: Frank Paolucci, cnrs

Session 27: Forecasting I

Session Chair: Esther Ruiz, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 10:15 - 11:20
Location: Ballroom A
 

A Constrained State-Space Approach to the Prediction of Comparable Real Income Across Countries
By Rambaldi, A.N., D.S.P Rao, H.E. Doran
   Presented by: Alicia Rambaldi, Univeristy of Queensland
 

A Smooth Test for Density Forecast Evaluation
By Anil K. Bera and Aurobindo Ghosh
   Presented by: Aurobindo Ghosh, Singapore Management University
 

Determinants of Multi-period Forecast Uncertainty Using a Panel of Density Forecasts
By Kajal Lahiri and Fushang Liu
   Presented by: Kajal Lahiri, University at Albany, SUNY

Session 28: Fiscal Policy

Session Chair: Timothy Kam, Australian National University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 10:15 - 11:20
Location: Yarra 1
 

The Dynamic Process of Tax Reform
By Alan Krause
   Presented by: Alan Krause, University of California (Riverside)
 

Demand Side Shocks and Macroeconomic Policy
By Maciej K. Dudek
   Presented by: Maciej Dudek, National Bank of Poland and Main School of Commerce
 

Default on Government Debt and Exchange Rate Dynamics
By Timo Henckel
   Presented by: Timo Henckel, Australian National University

Session 29: Empirical Time Series

Session Chair: Don Harding, The University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 10:15 - 11:20
Location: Yarra 2
 

Fractional Output Convergence, with an Application to Nine Developed Countries
By Arielle Beyaert
   Presented by: Arielle Beyaert, University of Murcia
 

Inside and Outside Bounds: Threshold Estimates of the Phillips Curve
By Michelle L. Barnes and Giovanni P. Olivei
   Presented by: Michelle Barnes, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
 

Some Methods for Assessing the Need for Non-linear Models in Business Cycle Analysis and Forecasting
By J. Engel, D. Haugh and A. Pagan
   Presented by: Adrian Pagan, Australian National University

Session 30: Survey Data

Session Chair: Tim Fry, RMIT University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 10:15 - 11:20
Location: Flinders
 

The gap between macro and micro economic statistics: Estimation of the misreporting model using micro-data sets derived from the Consumer Expenditure Survey
By Atsushi Maki and Thesia I. Garner
   Presented by: Atsushi Maki, Keio University
 

Monotonicity Conditions and Inequality Imputation for Sample Selection and Non-Response Problems
By Lee, Myoung-jae
   Presented by: Myoung-jae Lee, Singapore Management University
 

Does Innovation Cause Exports? Evidence from Exogenous Innovation Impulses and Obstacles Using German Micro Data
By Stefan Lachenmaier; Ludger Woessmann
   Presented by: Stefan Lachenmaier, ifo Institute, Munich

Session 31: Bargaining, Delegation, and Business Language

Session Chair: David Croson, MIT Sloan School of Management
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 10:15 - 11:20
Location: Swanston 1
 

Sequential Bilateral Bargaining and the Shapley value
By Catherine de Fontenay, Joshua Gans
   Presented by: Catherine de Fontenay, University of Melbourne
 

Delegated Management in Dynamic Oligopolies
By Vladimir Petkov
   Presented by: Vladimir Petkov, Victoria University of Wellington
 

Business Language for Agents with Asymmetric Perceptions
By Jack Stecher
   Presented by: Jack Stecher, University of Minnesota

Session 32: Oligopoly

Session Chair: Eric Chou, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 10:15 - 11:20
Location: Swanston 2
 

Optimal Pollution Tax in Cournot Oligopsonistic Oligopoly
By Koji Okuguchi
   Presented by: Koji Okuguchi, Gifu Shotoku Gakuen University
 

Vertical Control and Horizontal Coordination in Dynamic Oligopoly Pricing: Empirical Evidence from a Natural Supergame Experiment in Gasoline Markets
By Zhongmin Wang
   Presented by: Zhongmin Wang, Monash University
 

A Dynamic Game on Renewable Natural Resource Exploitation
By Shinji Kobayashi
   Presented by: Shinji Kobayashi, Nihon University

Session 33: Policy Design

Session Chair: Richard Cornes, University of Nottingham
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 10:15 - 11:20
Location: Tower 2
 

A Model of Grants Distribution: A Screening Approach
By P. Bardsley and S. Basov
   Presented by: Peter Bardsley, The University of Melbourne
 

Internalisation of Transport Noise Externalities: Activity Disturbance Pricing and Implementation
By Ernestine M. A. Gross
   Presented by: Ernestine Gross, Macquarie University
 

Sensitivity To Tax Revenues and Optimal Anti-piracy Policy Instruments
By D Banerjee
   Presented by: Dyuti Banerjee, Bond University

Session 34: Development Macroeconomics

Session Chair: Russell Smyth, Monash University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 11:30 - 12:35
Location: Ballroom C
 

Institutions and Economic Growth: A Systems Approach
By Mehmet Ulubasoglu and Chris Doucouliagos
   Presented by: Mehmet Ulubasoglu, Deakin University
 

ICT Diffusion and Economic Growth in New Zealand
By Kenneth I. Carlaw and Les T. Oxley
   Presented by: Kenneth Carlaw, University of Canterbury
 

Music Product as a Durable Good and Online Piracy
By Sougata Poddar
   Presented by: Sougata Poddar, National University of Singapore

Session 35: Returns to Education

Session Chair: Lisa Farrell, University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 11:30 - 12:35
Location: Flinders
 

Measuring the consumption value of higher education
By Annette Alstadsæter
   Presented by: Annette Alstadsaeter, Statistics Norway
 

The Impact Of Early Schooling On Subsequent Literacy And Numeracy Performance - Estimates From A Policy-Induced 'Natural' Experiment
By Chris Ryan
   Presented by: Chris Ryan, SPEAR
 

Determinants of Poverty in Eritrea: A Household level Analysis
By Eyob Fissuh & Mark Harris
   Presented by: Eyob Fissuh, Monash University

Session 36: Filtering and Simulation Methods

Session Chair: Vance Martin, University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 11:30 - 12:35
Location: Ballroom A
 

Discretised Non-Linear Filtering for Dynamic Latent Variable Models: with Application to Stochastic Volatility
By Adam E. Clements, Stan Hurn and Scott I. White
   Presented by: Adam Clements, Queensland University of Technology
 

Bayesian Estimation of Non-Gausian Time Series with Applicaitons to Transaction Data
By Chris Strickland, Catherine Forbes and Gael Martin
   Presented by: Chris Strickland, Monash University
 

Analysis of the predictive ability of information accumulated over nights, weekends and holidays
By Ilias Tsiakas
   Presented by: Ilias Tsiakas, Warwick Business School

Session 37: Measurement Error and Finite Sample Inference

Session Chair: Roland Shami, Monash University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 11:30 - 12:35
Location: Tower 2
 

Testing for the martingale hypothesis in Asian stock prices: evidence from a new joint variance ratio test
By Jae H. Kim
   Presented by: Jae Kim, Monash University
 

Overcoming Measurement Error Problems in the use of Survey Data on Expectations
By Kevin Lee and Kalvinder Shields
   Presented by: K Shields, University of Melbourne
 

Seasonality, Cycles and Unit Roots
By Sune Karlsson and Mickael Salabasis
   Presented by: Sune Karlsson, Stockholm School of Economics

Session 38: Forecasting II

Session Chair: Alicia Rambaldi, Univeristy of Queensland
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 11:30 - 12:35
Location: Tower 1
 

Forecasting the Global Electronics Cycle with Leading Indicators: A VAR Approach
By Hwee Kwan Chow and Keen Meng Choy
   Presented by: Hwee Kwan Chow, Singapore Management University
 

Forecasting Industry-Level CPI and PPI Inflation: Does Exchange Rate Pass-Through Matter?
By Prasad S. Bhattacharya and Dimitrios D. Thomakos
   Presented by: Prasad Bhattacharya, Florida International University

Session 39: Econometric Methods

Session Chair: Colin McKenzie, Keio University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 11:30 - 12:35
Location: Ballroom B
 

Confidence bounds for the extremum determined by a quadratic regression
By Joe Hirschberg and Jenny Lye
   Presented by: Joe Hirschberg, University of Melbourne
 

Estimating Structural Change in Linear Simultaneous Equations
By Huang Weihong, Zhang Yang
   Presented by: Yang Zhang, Nanyang Technological University

Session 40: Macroeconometric Models

Session Chair: Andrew Weiss, Australian National University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 11:30 - 12:35
Location: Yarra 1
 

Comparing Empirical Models of the Euro Economy
By Kenneth F. Wallis
   Presented by: Kenneth Wallis, University of Warwick
 

The exchange rate - how should we respond? A new-Keynesian modelling exercise
By Dominick Stephens
   Presented by: Dominick Stephens, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
 

The Aggregate Production Function in the Treasury Macroeconomic (TRYM) Model
By John Clark, Yeon Kim, Leanne Neo, Jim Thomson, Petar Vujanovic
   Presented by: Jim Thomson, Australian Treasury

Session 41: Monetary Policy, Inflation

Session Chair: Peter Stemp, University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 11:30 - 12:35
Location: Yarra 2
 

Monetary Magic? How the Fed Improved the Supply Side of the Economy
By Tamim Bayoumi and Silvia Sgherri
   Presented by: Silvia Sgherri, International Monetary Fund
 

Forecasting US Inflation Using Model Averaging
By Dick van Dijk
   Presented by: Dick van Dijk, Erasmus University Rotterdam
 

Liquidity Effects, Variable Time Preference, and Optimal Monetary Policy
By Radhika Lahiri
   Presented by: Radhika Lahiri, Queensland University of Technology

Session 42: Growth

Session Chair: Pushkar Maitra, Monash University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 11:30 - 12:35
Location: Swanston 1
 

A Welfare Analysis of Growth Models with Endogenous Innovation
By William Schworm
   Presented by: William Schworm, University of New South Wales
 

A Simple Dynamic Model of Big-push
By Ian H.K. Leow
   Presented by: Ian Leow, AGSM, University of New South Wales
 

Factor Intensity reversal and Chaos I
By Aditya Goenaka, Odile Poulsen
   Presented by: Odile Poulsen, Aarhus School of Business

Session 43: Overconfidence, Loss Aversion, and Mental Accounting

Session Chair: Vai-Lam Mui, Monash University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 11:30 - 12:35
Location: Swanston 2
 

Rational overconfidence and excess volatility in General Equilibrium
By Carsten Krabbe Nielsen
   Presented by: Carsten Nielsen, University Cattolica
 

Loss Aversion, Price and Quality
By Hugh Sibly
   Presented by: Hugh Sibly, University of Tasmania
 

Non-Fungibility and Mental Accounting: A Model of Bounded Rationality with Sunspot
By Aditya Goenka
   Presented by: Aditya Goenka, University of Essex

Session 44: Special Invited: Experimental Economics

Session Chair: Lata Gangadharan, University of Melbourne
Session type: invited
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 13:45 - 15:15
Location: Swanston 2
 

An Experimental Study of Price Dispersion in a Search Model with Advertising
By Timothy N. Cason and Shakun Datta
   Presented by: Timothy Cason, Purdue University
 

Experimental Economics and Other-Regarding Preferences: Public Goods Experiments
By Rachel Croson
   Presented by: Rachel Croson, University of Pennsylvania

Session 45: Special Invited: Nonlinear Modelling

Session Chair: Heather Anderson, Australian National University
Session type: invited
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 13:45 - 15:15
Location: Ballroom A
 

A Time Series Model for an Exchange Rate in a Target Zone with Applications
By Timo Terasvirta
   Presented by: Timo Terasvirta, Stockholm School of Economics
 

Testing for Nonlinearity in Mean in the Presence of Heteroskedasticity
By Stan Hurn
   Presented by: A Stan Hurn, Queensland University of Technology

Session 46: Special Invited: Panel Data

Session Chair: Farshid Vahid, The Australian National University
Session type: invited
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 13:45 - 15:15
Location: Ballroom B
 

Testing for Serial Correlation, Spatial Autocorrelation and Random Effects
By Badi H. Baltagi, Seuck Heun Song, Byoung Cheol Jung and Won Koh
   Presented by: Badi Baltagi, Texas A&M University
 

Likelihood Based Estimation in a Panel Setting
By Peter Schmidt
   Presented by: Peter Schmidt, Michigan State University

Session 47: Special Invited: Productivity

Session Chair: Mita Bhattacharya, Monash University
Session type: invited
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 13:45 - 15:15
Location: Ballroom C
 

Estimation and Decomposition of TFP Growth in the Presence of Inefficiency and Production Risk
By Subal Kumbhakar
   Presented by: Subal Kumbhakar, SUNY Binghamton
 

Malmquist, Fisher and Tornqvist Productivity Indexes
By Knox Lovell
   Presented by: C.A. Knox Lovell, University of Georgia

Session 48: Education

Session Chair: Gautam Bose, University of New South Wales
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 15:45 - 17:15
Location: Ballroom C
 

Why Children Work, Attend School, or Stay Idle: Theory and Evidence
By Priya Ranjan
   Presented by: Priya Ranjan, UC-Irvine
 

What Accounts for International Differences in Student Performance? A Re-examination using PISA Data
By Thomas Fuchs, Ludger Woessmann
   Presented by: Thomas Fuchs, Ifo Institute for Economic Research
 

Language and Labour in South Africa. A New Approach for a New South Africa
By Katy Cornwell
   Presented by: Katy Cornwell, Monash University
 

Does Child Labour Affect School Attendance and School Performance?Multi Country Evidence on SIMPOC data
By Ranjan Ray and Geoffrey Lancaster
   Presented by: Ranjan Ray, Univ. of Tasmania

Session 49: Political Economy

Session Chair: William Greene, New York University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 15:45 - 17:15
Location: Flinders
 

Lines in the Sand on the Australian Political Beach
By Sinclair Davidson, Lisa Farrell and Tim R.L. Fry
   Presented by: Tim Fry, RMIT University
 

Political Competition, Welfare Outcomes and Expenditures on Human Development: The Experience of a Democracy
By Arnab Gupta and Richard Damania
   Presented by: Arnab Gupta, University of Adelaide
 

Off with their heads: Terrorism and electoral support for capital punishment in Australia
By Sinclair Davidson, Lisa Farrell, Clare Felvus and Tim R. L. Fry
   Presented by: Lisa Farrell, University of Melbourne
 

Dead Man Walking: An Empirical Reassessment of the Deterrent Effect of Capital Punishment Using the Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration
By Paresh Kumar Narayan and Russell Smyth
   Presented by: Russell Smyth, Monash University

Session 50: Dynamic Stock Market Models

Session Chair: Jonathan Dark, Monash University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 15:45 - 17:15
Location: Tower 1
 

Modeling dependence structure in size-sorted portfolios: A Structural Multivariate GARCH Model
By George Milunovich
   Presented by: George Milunovich, UNSW
 

The Causal Links Between Equity Market Prices: The Case of Australia and Its Major Trading Partners
By Abdulnasser Hatemi-J and Eduardo D. Roca
   Presented by: Eduardo Roca, Griffith University (Nathan Campus)
 

A VECM Model of Stockmarket Returns
By Nagaratnam J Sreedharan
   Presented by: Nagaratnam Sreedharan, University of Tasmania
 

Periodic Heteroskedastic RegARFIMA models for daily electricity spot prices
By M. Angeles Carnero, Siem Jan Koopman and Marius Ooms
   Presented by: M. Angeles Carnero, Universidad de Alicante

Session 51: Volatility Modelling

Session Chair: Gael Martin, Monash University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 15:45 - 17:15
Location: Ballroom A
 

Asymmetry, Loss Aversion and Forecasting
By Shaun A. Bond and Stephen E. Satchell
   Presented by: Shaun Bond, University of Cambridge
 

Forward looking information in S&P 500 options
By Ralf Becker, Adam E Clements and Scott I White
   Presented by: Ralf Becker, Queensland University of Technology
 

Effects of Level Outliers on the Identification and Estimation of GARCH Models
By M.A. Carnero, D. Pereira and E. Ruiz
   Presented by: Esther Ruiz, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
 

The Mean Variance Mixing GARCH (1,1) model
By Anders Eriksson and Lars Forsberg
   Presented by: Anders Eriksson,

Session 52: Issues In Non-parametric Methods

Session Chair: Robert Breunig, Australian National University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 15:45 - 17:15
Location: Ballroom B
 

Robustness of a semiparametric estimator of a copula
By Gunky Kim, Mervyn J. Silvapulle and Param Silvapulle
   Presented by: Gunky Kim, Monash University
 

Using turning point information to study economic dynamics
By Don Harding
   Presented by: Don Harding, The University of Melbourne
 

Normal Log-normal Mixture: Leptokurtosis, Skewness and Applications
By Minxian Yang
   Presented by: Minxian Yang, University of New South Wales
 

Bandwidth Selection for Multivariate Kernel Density Estimation Using MCMC
By Xibin Zhang, Maxwell L. King, and Rob L. Hyndman
   Presented by: Xibin Zhang, Monash University

Session 53: Sharing Rules, Public Goods, and Political Economy

Session Chair: Catherine de Fontenay, University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 15:45 - 17:15
Location: Swanston 2
 

Mixed sharing rules
By Richard Cornes and Roger Hartley
   Presented by: Richard Cornes, University of Nottingham
 

Country size and public good provision
By K Staal
   Presented by: Klaas Staal, Tinbergen Institute
 

The Politics of WTO Enforcement Mechanisms
By Pao-Li Chang
   Presented by: Pao-Li Chang, Singapore Management University
 

Bureaucratic Provision: Influencing vs. Lying
By Samarth Vaidya
   Presented by: Samarth Vaidya, Deakin University

Session 54: Sectoral and International Business Cycles

Session Chair: Guay Lim,
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 15:45 - 17:15
Location: Yarra 1
 

International Business Cycles: Evidence from Capital Coefficient Based Measures of Capacity Utilisation
By Michael Graff
   Presented by: Michael Graff, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
 

A Multi-Level Panel Smooth Transition Autoregression for US Sectoral Production
By D. Fok, D. van Dijk, P.H. Franses
   Presented by: Dennis Fok, Econometric Institute
 

Co-movement of Australian State Business Cycles
By David Norman and Thomas Walker
   Presented by: Thomas Walker, Reserve Bank of Australia

Session 55: Productivity

Session Chair: C.A. Knox Lovell, University of Georgia
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 15:45 - 17:15
Location: Yarra 2
 

A Dynamic Approach to Estimate the Efficiency of U.S. Electric Utilities
By Supawat Rungsuriyawiboon
   Presented by: Supawat Rungsuriyawiboon, University of Queensland
 

Australia's Firm-level Productivity - a New Perspective
By Robert Breunig, Marn-Heong Wong
   Presented by: Marn Heong Wong, Australian National University
 

On the Estimation of Returns to Scale, Technical Progress and Monopolistic Markups
By W. Erwin Diewert and Kevin J. Fox
   Presented by: Kevin Fox, University of New South Wales
 

Stochastic Frontier Models With Correlated Error Components
By Murray D Smith
   Presented by: Murray Smith, University of Sydney

Session 56: Modelling in Financial Markets

Session Chair: Mardi Dungey, Australian National University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 15:45 - 17:15
Location: Tower 2
 

International linkage of real interest rates: the case of East Asian countries
By Philip I. Ji and Jae H. Kim
   Presented by: Philip Inyeob Ji, University of Sydney
 

Do the Stock Markets of South Asia Follow a Random Walk?
By Arusha Cooray
   Presented by: Arusha Cooray, University of Tasmania
 

The Effect of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on US Imports from the UK: Consistent OLS Estimation with Volatility Measured by An ARCH-type Model
By Chongcheul Cheong, Maozu Lu and Jan M. Podivinsky
   Presented by: Jan Podivinsky, University of Southampton
 

Exchange Rate Regimes for the New Member States of the European Union
By Jose Garcia-Solanes and Ramon Maria-Dolores
   Presented by: Jose Garcia Solanes, Universidad de Murcia

Session 57: Experimental Economics II

Session Chair: Steven Tucker, University of Canterbury
Session type: contributed
Date: July 8, 2004
Time: 15:45 - 17:15
Location: Swanston 1
 

Estimating Risk Attitudes in Denmark
By Glenn W. Harrison, Morten I. Lau and E. Elisabet Rutstrom
   Presented by: Morten Lau, CEBR
 

Inferring decision processes from economic experiments
By Marco Castillo, Philip Cross
   Presented by: Philip Cross, Georgetown University
 

An Experimental Analysis of Third-Party Response to Corruption
By Ananish Chaudhuri, Nisvan Erkal, Lata Gangadharan
   Presented by: Nisvan Erkal, University of Melbourne
 

Uncertainty and Resistance to Reform in Laboratory Participation Games
By Timothy N. Cason and Vai-Lam Mui
   Presented by: Vai-Lam Mui, Monash University

Session 58: Jacob Marschak Lecture

Session Chair: Adrian Pagan, Australian National University
Session type: invited
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 9:00 - 10:15
Location: Ballroom ABC
 

Asset Return Volatility, High-Frequency Data, and the New Financial Econometrics
By Francis X. Diebold
   Presented by: Francis Diebold, University of Pennsylvania

Session 59: Income and Health

Session Chair: Jongsay Yong, University of Melbourne
Session type: contributed
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 10:45 - 12:15
Location: Ballroom C
 

The Relationship Between Economic Conditions, Access to Health Care, and Health Outcomes
By Arild Aakvik
   Presented by: Arild Aakvik, University of Bergen
 

Determinants of Health - How Important Is Income? - Evidence from Uganda
By David Lawson
   Presented by: David Lawson, University of Manchester
 

Is Health Care a Necessity or a Luxury? Evidence from Local Quantile Regressions
By Mei-Yuan Chen and Chiu-Kuei Chang
   Presented by: Mei-Yuan Chen, National Chung Hsing University
 

Estimating the causal effect of income on health: Evidence from post-reunification Germany
By Paul Frijters, John Haisken-DeNew and Michael A. Shields
   Presented by: Michael Shields, University of Melbourne

Session 60: Labour Market Outcomes

Session Chair: Alan Duncan, University of Nottingham
Session type: contributed
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 10:45 - 12:15
Location: Flinders
 

New Zealand Labour Supply from 1991-2001: an analysis based on a discrete choice structural utility model
By Guyonne Kalb and Rosanna Scutella
   Presented by: Guyonne Kalb, University of Melbourne
 

Parallel Lives: Birth, Childhood and Adolescent Influences on Career Paths
By Michael Anyadike-Danes and Duncan McVicar
   Presented by: Duncan McVicar, Queens University Belfast
 

Health status and labour force participation: evidence from HILDA data
By Lixin Cai and Guyonne Kalb
   Presented by: Lixin Cai, The University of Melbourne
 

Do Migrants get Good Jobs? New Migrant Settlement in Australia
By P.N.(Raja) Junankar and Stephane Mahuteau
   Presented by: Pramod (Raja) Junankar, University of Western Sydney

Session 61: Interest Rate Models

Session Chair: Anthony Hall, University of Technology Sydney
Session type: contributed
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 10:45 - 12:15
Location: Ballroom A
 

Estimation of the Volatility Structure of the Fixed Income Market
By Carl Chiarella and Thuy Duong To
   Presented by: Thuy Duong To, University of Technology, Sydney
 

Modeling Yield-Factor Volatility
By Christophe Parignon and Daniel R. Smith
   Presented by: Daniel Smith, Simon Fraser University
 

Profiting from Mean-Reverting Yield Curve Trading Strategies
By Choong-Tze Chua, Winston T.H. Koh, Krishna Ramaswamy
   Presented by: Winston Koh, Singapore Management University
 

Forecasting Australian GDP Growth Using Coefficients Constrained by A Term Structure Model
By Lin Luo and Farshid Vahid
   Presented by: Lin Luo, Monash University

Session 62: Annuities, Taxation and Banking

Session Chair: Susan Thorp, University of New South Wales
Session type: contributed
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 10:45 - 12:15
Location: Tower 1
 

Annuitization and Asset Allocation with HARA Utlity
By Geoffrey Kingston, Susan Thorp
   Presented by: Geoffrey Kingston, University of New South Wales
 

Dividend taxation and Corporate investment: A comparative study between the classical system and imputation system of dividend taxation in the United States and Australia.
By Bhavish Jugurnath, Mark Stewart and Robert Brooks
   Presented by: Bhavish Jugurnath, RMIT University
 

The Impact of Bank Entry in the Japanese Corporate Bond Underwriting Market
By Sumiko Takaoka and C.R. McKenzie
   Presented by: Colin McKenzie, Keio University
 

Herd Behavior in the Japanese Loan Market: Evidence from Bank Panel Data
By Hirofumi Uchida and Ryuichi Nakagawa
   Presented by: Hirofumi Uchida, Wakayama University

Session 63: Modelling Long Memory Processes

Session Chair: Rodney Wolff, QUT
Session type: contributed
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 10:45 - 12:15
Location: Ballroom B
 

How Can We Define the Long Memory Concept? An Econometric Survey
By Dominique Guegan
   Presented by: Dominique Guegan, Ecole Normale Superieure de Cachan
 

Another Characterization of Long Memory Behavior
By Jerome J Collet, Dominique Guegan
   Presented by: Jerome Collet, QUT
 

Sensitivity of OLS estimates against ARFIMA error process as small sample Test for long memory.
By Anurag Banerjee
   Presented by: Anurag Banerjee, University of Southampton
 

Effect of Moments on Aggregation and Long Memory in Inflation
By Taner M. Yigit and Kenneth Hightower
   Presented by: Taner Yigit, Bilkent University

Session 64: Household Decisions, Labour Productivity, and Housing Affordability

Session Chair: Zhongmin Wang, Monash University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 10:45 - 12:15
Location: Swanston 1
 

The Household, Time Use and the Sharing Rule
By Robert Breunig, Patricia Apps, Ray Rees
   Presented by: Robert Breunig, Australian National University
 

Intertemporal Equivalence Scales: Measuring the Life-Cycle Costs of Children
By Paul Blacklow
   Presented by: Paul Blacklow, University of Tasmania
 

Labour Productivity, Import Competition and Market Structure in Australian Manufacturing
By Mita Bhattacharya, Harry Bloch and James Ted McDonald
   Presented by: Mita Bhattacharya, Monash University
 

Housing Affordability Options for First Home Owner-Occupiers in Australia: A Simulation Analysis
By Ross Guest
   Presented by: Ross Guest, Griffith University

Session 65: Time Series Decompositions

Session Chair: Renee Fry, Australian National University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 10:45 - 12:15
Location: Yarra 1
 

Cyclical components in economic time series: A Bayesian approach
By Andrew Harvey, Thomas Trimbur, Herman K. van Dijk
   Presented by: Herman van Dijk, Erasmus University Rotterdam
 

Estimating the Output Gap : A Kalman Filter Approach
By Ozer Karagedikli and L. Christopher Plantier
   Presented by: Ozer Karagedikli, Reserve Bank of New Zealand
 

Single Source of Error State Space Approach to the Beveridge Nelson Decomposition
By Heather Anderson, Ralph Snyder and Chin Nam Low
   Presented by: Heather Anderson, Australian National University
 

Reduced Rank Vector Exponential Smoothing
By Ashton de Silva
   Presented by: Ashton de Silva, Monash University

Session 66: Production and Demand

Session Chair: Keith McLaren, Monash University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 10:45 - 12:15
Location: Yarra 2
 

Intertemporal Consumption and Consumer Demand
By H. Youn Kim, Russel J. Cooper and Keith R. McLaren
   Presented by: H. Youn Kim, Monash University
 

Market Response Analysis: The Demand System versus Non-Restricted Marketing Models
By Tie Wang
   Presented by: Tie Wang, Monash University
 

Building Gorman's Nest
By Jeffrey T. LaFrance, Timothy K. M.Beatty, Rulon D. Pope
   Presented by: Jeffrey LaFrance, University of California - Berkeley
 

Telecommunications Adoption Versus Adjustment Costs in an Era of Major Technological Change
By Russel J Cooper
   Presented by: Russel Cooper, University of Western Sydney

Session 67: Networks

Session Chair: Ralph-C Bayer, Adelaide University
Session type: contributed
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 10:45 - 12:15
Location: Swanston 2
 

Duopolistic Competition between Independent and Collaborative Business-to-Business Marketplaces
By Kai Suelzle
   Presented by: Kai Suelzle, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich
 

Why is on-net traffic cheaper than off-net traffic? Access markup as a collusive device and a barrier to entry.
By Tommy Staahl Gabrielsen and Steinar Vagstad
   Presented by: Tommy Gabrielsen, University of Bergen
 

Welfare Properties of Network Bypass
By Richard Martin
   Presented by: Richard Martin, Victoria University of Wellington
 

Network Investment and Competition with Access-to-Bypass
By Keiichi Hori, Keizo Mizuno
   Presented by: Keizo Mizuno, Kwansei Gakuin University

Session 68: Spurious Regression and Unit Roots

Session Chair: Minxian Yang, University of New South Wales
Session type: contributed
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 10:45 - 12:15
Location: Tower 2
 

An Alternative Estimation of Spurious Regression Model
By Shahidur Rahman
   Presented by: Shahidur Rahman, Nanyang Technological University
 

LM-Type tests for a Unit Root Allowing for a Break in Trend
By Luis C. Nunes
   Presented by: Luis Nunes, Univ. Nova Lisboa
 

The Changing Malaysian Financial Environment and the Effects on Its Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism
By Mala Valliammai Raghavan
   Presented by: Mala Raghavan, RMIT
 

Modified Tests for a Change in Persistence
By Stephen Leybourne, David Harvey, Robert Taylor
   Presented by: Stephen Leybourne,

Session 69: Special Invited: Computable General Equilibrium Modelling

Session Chair: Keith McLaren, Monash University
Session type: invited
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 13:45 - 15:15
Location: Swanston 2
 

How Food Policy Affects the Poor: A General Equilibrium Analysis for Indonesia
By Peter Warr
   Presented by: Peter Warr, Australian National University
 

The US economy from 1992 to 1998: historical and decomposition simulations with the USAGE model
By Peter Dixon and Maureen Rimmer
   Presented by: Peter Dixon, Monash University

Session 70: Special Invited: Financial Econometrics

Session Chair: Vance Martin, University of Melbourne
Session type: invited
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 13:45 - 15:15
Location: Ballroom A
 

Strategic Asset Allocation and Consumption Decisions under Multivariate Regime Switching
By Allan Timmermann and Massimo Guidolin, University of Virginia
   Presented by: Allan Timmermann, University of California, San Diego
 

Some Bootstrap Tests for Non-linearity and Long Memory in Financial Time Series
By Rodney C Wolff, Adrian G Barnett
   Presented by: Rodney Wolff, QUT

Session 71: Special Invited: Forecasting and Signal Extraction

Session Chair: Rob Hyndman, Monash University
Session type: invited
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 13:45 - 15:15
Location: Ballroom B
 

Unpredictability and the Foundations of Economic Forecasting
By David F. Hendry
   Presented by: David Hendry, Oxford University
 

Trend estimation, signal-noise ratios and the frequency of observations
By Andrew Harvey
   Presented by: Andrew Harvey, University of Cambridge

Session 72: Special Invited: Microeconometrics

Session Chair: Mark Harris, Monash University
Session type: invited
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 13:45 - 15:15
Location: Ballroom C
 

Accounting For Unobservables In Production Models: Management And Inefficiency
By Bill Greene with Antonio Alvarez (Univ. of Oviedo), Carlos Arias (Univ. of Leon)
   Presented by: William Greene, New York University
 

Institutional Constraints and Random Heterogeneity in Structural Discrete Choice Models of Household Labour Supply
By Alan Duncan
   Presented by: Alan Duncan, University of Nottingham

Session 73: E J Hannan Lecture

Session Chair: Heather Anderson, Australian National University
Session type: invited
Date: July 9, 2004
Time: 15:45 - 17:00
Location: Ballroom ABC
 

Causality: Some New Thoughts on an Old Topic
By Clive Granger
   Presented by: Clive Granger, University of California, San Diego