COunterfactual Methods for Policy Impact Evaluation 2024

June 24, 2024
Time	Location	Event
11:30 to 12:30		Registration
12:30 to 12:45	Auditorium	P0 Welcome, Auditorium
12:45 to 14:00	Auditorium	P1 Plenary Keynote Martha Bailey: “The Second Demographic Transition and Changing US Inequality”, Auditorium
14:00 to 14:30		Coffee Break
14:30 to 16:10	see below	S1 Parallel Sessions
16:20 to 18:00	see below	S2 Parallel Sessions
19:00 to 22:00		Social Dinner
June 25, 2024
Time	Location	Event
09:00 to 10:40	see below	S3 Parallel Sessions
10:40 to 11:05		Coffee break
11:05 to 12:20	see below	S4 Parallel Sessions
12:20 to 13:35		Lunch
13:35 to 14:50	Auditorium	P2 Plenary Keynote Clément de Chaisemartin: “Two-way Fixed Effects and Differences-in-Differences Estimators in Heterogeneous Adoption Designs”, Auditorium
15:00 to 16:15	see below	S5 Parallel Sessions
16:15 to 16:45		Coffee break
16:45 to 18:00	see below	S6 Parallel Sessions
18:00 to 19:30		Reception
June 26, 2024
Time	Location	Event
09:00 to 10:40	see below	S7 Parallel Sessions
10:40 to 11:10		Coffee break
11:10 to 12:40	Auditorium	P3 Plenary Roundtable: Is cross-country research using admin data possible and useful?, Auditorium
12:40 to 13:45		Lunch
13:45 to 15:00	see below	S8 Parallel Sessions
15:10 to 16:25	see below	S9 Parallel Sessions

Summary of All Sessions
Click here for an index of all participants

#	Date/Time	Type	Title/Location	Papers
1	June 24, 2024 14:30-16:10	contributed	Parental leave, mental health and labour supply     Location: Auditorium	4
2	June 24, 2024 14:30-16:10	contributed	Machine learning and causality     Location: 2A-33	3
3	June 24, 2024 14:30-16:10	contributed	Taxation     Location: 5A-33	4
4	June 24, 2024 16:20-18:00	contributed	Skills & training     Location: Auditorium	4
5	June 24, 2024 16:20-18:00	contributed	Environmental outcomes     Location: 2A-33	4
6	June 24, 2024 16:20-18:00	contributed	Transport and productivity     Location: 5A-33	4
7	June 25, 2024 9:00-10:40	contributed	Education 1     Location: Auditorium	4
8	June 25, 2024 9:00-10:40	contributed	Effects of COVID-19 and other shocks     Location: 2A-33	4
9	June 25, 2024 9:00-10:40	contributed	Regional growth     Location: 5A-33	4
10	June 25, 2024 11:05-12:20	contributed	Education 2     Location: Auditorium	4
11	June 25, 2024 11:05-12:20	contributed	Identification     Location: 2A-33	3
12	June 25, 2024 11:05-12:20	contributed	Applications of causal methods 1     Location: 5A-33	3
13	June 25, 2024 15:00-16:15	contributed	Labour 1     Location: Auditorium	2
14	June 25, 2024 15:00-16:15	contributed	Causal methods     Location: 2A-33	3
15	June 25, 2024 15:00-16:15	contributed	Employment protection     Location: 5A-33	3
16	June 25, 2024 16:45-18:00	contributed	Labour 2     Location: Auditorium	4
17	June 25, 2024 16:45-18:00	contributed	Causal methods and dynamics     Location: 2A-33	3
18	June 25, 2024 16:45-18:00	contributed	Health     Location: 5A-33	3
19	June 26, 2024 9:00-10:40	contributed	Wages     Location: Auditorium	4
20	June 26, 2024 9:00-10:40	contributed	Child Penalty     Location: 2A-33	4
21	June 26, 2024 9:00-10:40	contributed	Firm outcomes     Location: 5A-33	4
22	June 26, 2024 11:10-12:40	invited	Roundtable: Is cross-country research using admin data possible and useful?	0
23	June 26, 2024 13:45-15:00	contributed	Skills, age & timing     Location: Auditorium	3
24	June 26, 2024 13:45-15:00	contributed	Causal effects     Location: 2A-33	3
25	June 26, 2024 13:45-15:00	contributed	Applications of causal methods 2     Location: 5A-33	3
26	June 26, 2024 15:10-16:25	contributed	Labour & shocks     Location: Auditorium	3
27	June 26, 2024 15:10-16:25	contributed	Treatment effects     Location: 2A-33	3
28	June 26, 2024 15:10-16:25	contributed	Household and macro finance     Location: 5A-33	3

 

28 sessions, 93 papers, and 0 presentations with no associated papers

COunterfactual Methods for Policy Impact Evaluation 2024
Detailed List of Sessions

Session 1: Parental leave, mental health and labour supply June 24, 2024 14:30 to 16:10 Location: Auditorium
Session type: contributed
The Impact of a Parental Leave Benefit Reform on Parents’ Leave-taking, Labor Supply and Childcare Arrangements
presented by: Till Nikolka, German Youth Institute
The impact of childcare on maternal employment
presented by: Marton Csillag, Budapest Institute for Policy Analysis
Firm Consolidation and Labor Market Outcomes
presented by: Sabien Dobbelaere, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Daycare attendance, mental health and education: evidence from subsidy changes
presented by: Bettina Siflinger, Tilburg University
Session 2: Machine learning and causality June 24, 2024 14:30 to 16:10 Location: 2A-33
Session type: contributed
Causal Machine Learning for Moderation Effects
presented by: Nora Bearth, University of St. Gallen
Comprehensive Causal Machine Learning
presented by: Jana Mareckova, University of St. Gallen
Learning control variables and instruments for causal analysis in observational data
presented by: Jannis Kueck, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf
Session 3: Taxation June 24, 2024 14:30 to 16:10 Location: 5A-33
Session type: contributed
Counterfactual assessment in the design of tax reforms: Model decomposition of revenue and redistribution effects
presented by: Borja Gambau Suelves, Analistas Financieros Internacionales, Afi
Marginal Personal Income Tax Changes: Tax Revenue, Welfare, and Labour Supply Responses
presented by: David Sonnewald, UCLouvain
Female Labor Supply and Intergenerational Spillovers: Evidence from a Tax Reform
presented by: Mareen Bastiaans, Erasmus University Rotterdam
Does Tax Avoidance Make Large Firms Even Larger?
presented by: Tijmen Tuinsma, KU Leuven
Session 4: Skills & training June 24, 2024 16:20 to 18:00 Location: Auditorium
Session type: contributed
Short-term impacts of a vocational training in a vulnerable setting: Evidence from a randomised trial in West Nile (Uganda)
presented by: Thomas Eekhout, C4ED
Afraid of automation? Choose your training carefully
presented by: Zuzana Kostalova, Institute of Economic Research
Skill shortages: demographic change, educational choices and matching in the VET market
presented by: Leonie Wicht, Institute for Employment Research (IAB)
The Effect of the End of Hiring Incentives on Job and Employment Security
presented by: Chiara Ardito, European Commission
Session 5: Environmental outcomes June 24, 2024 16:20 to 18:00 Location: 2A-33
Session type: contributed
Evaluation of Wetland Area Gains and Losses Under the US Clean Water Act
presented by: Ville Inkinen, University of Exeter
The Chinese waste import ban and the existence of waste havens within Europe
presented by: Konstantin Sommer, University of Amsterdam
Greening Obligations, Avoidance Behavior, and Farms’ Environmental and Economic Performance: Insights from EU FADN and Spanish Administrative Data
presented by: Marzia Freo, European Commission, Joint Research Center (JRC)
The effects of financing protected areas on reducing forest cover loss and CO2 emissions: a geospatial matching approach
presented by: Jochen Kluve, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
Session 6: Transport and productivity June 24, 2024 16:20 to 18:00 Location: 5A-33
Session type: contributed
High-Speed Railways and Firms Total Factor Productivity: Evidence from a Quasi-Natural Experiment
presented by: Maurizio Conti, Università di Genova
Roads to development? Examining the Zambian context using AI-Sat
presented by: Cong Peng, Peking University
The next bus out: urban public transportation and multidimensional poverty
presented by: Yadira Gómez-Hernández, London School of Economics
Illusionary Cost Shifting: Examining the Effects of Expressway Privatization in 2005 on Municipal Manufacturing in Japan
presented by: Youjin Oh, Tokyo Institute of Technology
Session 7: Education 1 June 25, 2024 9:00 to 10:40 Location: Auditorium
Session type: contributed
Life-Cycle Effects of Comprehensive Sex Education
presented by: Volha Lazuka, University of Southern Denmark, Lund Uni
Preventing Teen Pregnancies: Evidence on School-Based Reproductive Health Access in Argentina
presented by: Nicolás Roig, University of Alicante
The (un)importance of school assignment
presented by: Sandor Sovago, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
The effect of grading leniency on future academic outcomes: a machine learning approach
presented by: Gianluca Mazzarella, European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC)
Session 8: Effects of COVID-19 and other shocks June 25, 2024 9:00 to 10:40 Location: 2A-33
Session type: contributed
The impact of Covid-19 restrictions on economic activity: evidence from the Italian regional system
presented by: Brian Cepparulo, University of Greenwich
Study on the effectiveness of COVID aid on firms
presented by: Alessandro Sasso, European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Did COVID-19 (permanently) raise the demand for ``teleworkable'' jobs?
presented by: Alessandro Corvasce,
Effects of Cash Transfers Mitigation Impacts in the Face of Socioeconomic External Shocks: Evidence from Egypt
presented by: Basma Yassa, International Food Policy Research Institute
Session 9: Regional growth June 25, 2024 9:00 to 10:40 Location: 5A-33
Session type: contributed
Going Local: Public Spending, Bureaucratic Efficiency and Decentralisation
presented by: Augusto Cerqua, Sapienza University Of Rome
Who Benefits from Place-Based Policies? Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee Data
presented by: Mirko Titze, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH)
EU's Role in Regional Policies: boon or bane for success?
presented by: Viviana Celli, Sapienza University of Rome
Evaluating impact in smallholder livelihoods: coffee cooperatives in Chiapas, Mexico
presented by: Jorge Bouchot, Root Capital
Session 10: Education 2 June 25, 2024 11:05 to 12:20 Location: Auditorium
Session Chair: Sylke Schnepf, European Commission
Session type: contributed
Evaluating the Performance of Performance Standards in Higher Education
presented by: Sander de Vries, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Starting the school year on the right foot. Effects of a summer learning program targeting vulnerable students in Italy
presented by: Sergiu Burlacu, FBK-IRVAPP
University as a Melting Pot: Internationalisation, Networks, and Social Cohesion
presented by: Stanislav Avdeev, University of Amsterdam
Working together on promoting evidence-based education policies: the European Commission's Learning Lab Initiative and potential collaborations
presented by: Silvia Granato, European Commission, Joint Research Centre
Session 11: Identification June 25, 2024 11:05 to 12:20 Location: 2A-33
Session type: contributed
Identifying Causal Effects of Nonbinary, Ordered Treatments using Multiple Instrumental Variables
presented by: Nadja van 't Hoff, University of Southern Denmark
Stage-Based Identification of Policy Effects
presented by: Christian Aleman, NYU Abu Dhabi
Policy Relevant Treatment Effects with Multidimensional Unobserved Heterogeneity
presented by: Lina Zhang, University of Amsterdam and Tinbergen In
Session 12: Applications of causal methods 1 June 25, 2024 11:05 to 12:20 Location: 5A-33
Session type: contributed
Racial Discrimination in the Labor Market of English Football Managers
presented by: Sam Hoey, University of Liverpool
Prison Break: Rehabilitation Programs, Recidivism, and Labor Market Outcomes
presented by: Maddalena Totarelli, University of Amsterdam
Minority Salience and Criminal Justice Decisions
presented by: Kyra Hanemaaijer, ESE
Session 13: Labour 1 June 25, 2024 15:00 to 16:15 Location: Auditorium
Session type: contributed
Advising Job Seekers in Occupations with Poor Prospects: A Field Experiment
presented by: Paul Muller, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Exploring the heterogeneous impacts of Indonesia's conditional cash transfer scheme (PKH) on maternal health care utilisation
presented by: Julia Hatamyar, University of York
Session 14: Causal methods June 25, 2024 15:00 to 16:15 Location: 2A-33
Session type: contributed
Limited Monotonicity and the Combined Compliers LATE
presented by: Giovanni Mellace, University of Southern Denmark
Testing identification in mediation and dynamic treatment models
presented by: Lukas Laffers, Matej Bel University
Using Principal Stratification to Analyze Repeated Treatment Assignment
presented by: Hessel Oosterbeek, University of Amsterdam
Session 15: Employment protection June 25, 2024 15:00 to 16:15 Location: 5A-33
Session type: contributed
Systemic Discrimination in Firing
presented by: Sander Kraaij, University of Cologne
The Impact of Restricting Fixed-Term Contracts on Labor and Skill Demand
presented by: Giuseppe Grasso, Universidade de Lisboa
Employment Protection Legislation and Mismatch: Evidence from a Reform
presented by: Fabio Berton, University of Turin
Session 16: Labour 2 June 25, 2024 16:45 to 18:00 Location: Auditorium
Session type: contributed
Do caseworker meetings prevent unemployment? Evidence from a field experiment
presented by: Michael Oberfichtner, Institute für Employment Research (IAB)
The Effect of Temporary Employment on Labour Market Outcomes
presented by: Enrico Rettore, University of Padova
Evaluating active labour market policies for unemployed youth in Italy
presented by: Enkelejda Havari, IESEG School of Management
Labor mobility in times of turmoil: A comparative analysis of the effects of different economic crises on displaced workers
presented by: Guido Pellegrini, Sapienza University of Rome
Session 17: Causal methods and dynamics June 25, 2024 16:45 to 18:00 Location: 2A-33
Session type: contributed
Understanding the dynamics of a viral spread by sparse composite likelihood selection
presented by: Yigit Aydede, Saint Mary's University
Estimating Heterogeneous Peer Effects with Partial Population Experiments
presented by: Felix Pasquier, CREST
Synthetic Difference-in-Differences for Log-Linear Models
presented by: Valentina Corradi, University of Surrey
Session 18: Health June 25, 2024 16:45 to 18:00 Location: 5A-33
Session type: contributed
Health Perceptions and Behaviors: Health Shocks as Drivers of Change
presented by: Pieter Bakx,
Treating the untreated: The long-term benefits of (mental) health screening in high school
presented by: Roger Prudon, National Bureau of Economic Research
The Causal Effect of Higher Education on Earnings and Health
presented by: Elena Castellaro, University of Amsterdam
Session 19: Wages June 26, 2024 9:00 to 10:40 Location: Auditorium
Session type: contributed
Estimating the Returns to Occupational Licensing: Evidence from Regression Discontinuities at the Bar Exam
presented by: Omar Bamieh, University of Vienna
Mind the Cap: The Effects of Regulating Bankers' Pay
presented by: Jordy Meekes, Leiden University
Pay Incentives in Politics: Evaluating a Large-scale Salary Increase for Local Politicians
presented by: Augusto Cerqua, Sapienza University Of Rome
Evaluating the effect of a drastic cut in unemployment benefit duration on re-employment and wages of jobseekers
presented by: Marton Csillag, Budapest Institute for Policy Analysis
Session 20: Child Penalty June 26, 2024 9:00 to 10:40 Location: 2A-33
Session type: contributed
The Impact of Early Public Childcare on Child Penalties
presented by: Nayeon Lim, Boston University
Bounding the Child Penalty
presented by: Julius Ilciukas,
What Works for Working Mothers? A Regular Schedule Lowers the Child Penalty
presented by: Martina Uccioli, IZA Institute of Labor Economics
The Causal Impact of Taking Parental Leave on Wages: Evidence from Luxembourg
presented by: Michela Bia, LISER and University of Luxembourg
Session 21: Firm outcomes June 26, 2024 9:00 to 10:40 Location: 5A-33
Session type: contributed
Employment effects of investment grants and firm heterogeneity – Evidence from a staggered adoption approach
presented by: Eva Dettmann, Halle Institute for Economic Research
The Impact of Government-backed Lending to Corporates: The Role of Firm Size, Age and Regional Development
presented by: Matteo Gatti, European Investment Bank
Measuring the Dynamic Effects of Building Digital Infrastructure
presented by: Florin Maican, University of Gothenburg and IFN
An Adaptive Experiment to Boost Online Skill Signaling and Visibility
presented by: Bertille Picard, Aix-Marseille University
Session 22: Roundtable: Is cross-country research using admin data possible and useful? June 26, 2024 11:10 to 12:40
Session Chair: Fabio Berton, University of Turin
Session type: invited
Discussants:      1 Manfred Antoni, Institute for Employment Research (IAB)      2 Michela Bia, LISER and University of Luxembourg      3 Stefano Lombardi, VATT Institute for Economic Research      4 Roxane Silberman, Paris School of Economics      5 Andrea Weber, Central European University
Session 23: Skills, age & timing June 26, 2024 13:45 to 15:00 Location: Auditorium
Session type: contributed
Forward-Looking Labor Supply Responses to Changes in Pension Wealth: Evidence from Germany
presented by: Elisabeth Artmann, Institute for Employment Research
Locking in or Pushing out: The Caseworker Dilemma
presented by: Miroslav Stefanik, Slovak Academy of Sciences
Longer careers: A barrier to hiring and coworker advancement?
presented by: Jan Kabatek, The University of Melbourne
Session 24: Causal effects June 26, 2024 13:45 to 15:00 Location: 2A-33
Session type: contributed
Causal inference and policy evaluation without a control group
presented by: Marco Letta, Sapienza University
The Clustered Dose-Response Function Estimator for continuous treatment with heterogeneous treatment effects
presented by: Roberta Di Stefano, Sapienza Università di Roma
The Need for Equivalence Testing in Economics
presented by: Jack Fitzgerald, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Session 25: Applications of causal methods 2 June 26, 2024 13:45 to 15:00 Location: 5A-33
Session type: contributed
The causal component in the intergenerational transmission of income
presented by: Monique De Haan, University of Amsterdam
Air Pollution and the Housing Market: Evidence from Germany’s Low Emission Zones
presented by: Henri Gruhl, RWI - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research
Left over or opting out? Squeeze, mismatch and surplus in Chinese marriage markets
presented by: Yun Xiao, University of Gothenburg
Session 26: Labour & shocks June 26, 2024 15:10 to 16:25 Location: Auditorium
Session type: contributed
Do Alternative Work Arrangements Substitute for Standard Employment? Evidence from Worker-Level Data
presented by: Bernardo Fanfani, University of Torino
The impact of Short-time work during the Great Recession in Belgium
presented by: Natalia Bermudez, Université Catolique de Louvain
Job Loss and the Distributional Effects of Self-Employment Spells
presented by: Fabiano Dal-Ri, Cornell University
Session 27: Treatment effects June 26, 2024 15:10 to 16:25 Location: 2A-33
Session type: contributed
An Unintended Consequence of the Earned Income Tax Credit: Maternal Labor Supply and Child Development
presented by: Jeehyun Ko, Korea Institute of Public Finance
Instrument-based estimation of full treatment effects with movers
presented by: Didier Nibbering, Monash University
Causal forests with Fixed Effects for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Difference-in-Differences
presented by: Mark Kattenberg, CPB Netherlands Institute for Economic Policy Analysis
Session 28: Household and macro finance June 26, 2024 15:10 to 16:25 Location: 5A-33
Session type: contributed
Robust Hicksian Welfare Analysis under Individual Heterogeneity
presented by: Sebastiaan Maes, University of Antwerp
Sovereign Debt Dynamics in the Euro-Zone: The Differential Impact of a Common Currency
presented by: Luca Pegorari, Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (KIT)
Transition Pay vs. Liquidity Holdings: A Comparative Analysis on Consumption Smoothing using Bank Transaction Data
presented by: Jeannine Van Reeken, ABN Amro Group Economics

 

This program was last updated on 2024-06-26 01:00:07 EDT